Trade ideas
BTC's Make or Break Zone: Will $101K Hold?Bitcoin continues to respect the short-term downtrend structure, with price now testing the mini trendline resistance, a zone that has aligned perfectly with the “President Trump Tweet Resistance” a region that historically triggered notable market corrections.
Despite the selling pressure from this resistance, BTC remains supported by its underlying bullish structure. The Immediate Area of Interest still provides short-term stability, but all eyes are now on the Critical Support Zone between $101,000 and $98,000.
This zone is extremely vital for the ongoing bull structure. If price makes a surprise visit into this range, it could offer one of the best re-accumulation opportunities before the next impulsive leg higher.
However, a decisive break below $98K would signal a potential end to the current bullish phase a development that could shift momentum sharply against buyers.
Technical View:
• Resistance Levels: $111,753 – $116,000 (Trump Tweet Resistance)
• Critical Support: $101,000 – $98,000 (Key Re-Accumulation Zone)
• Upside Targets: $127,857 → $132,165 (if breakout confirmed)
As we’ve seen in past market cycles including the 2020–2021 rally Bitcoin often revisits dynamic support zones before launching the next leg of its super-cycle move. As long as BTC trades above the Critical Zone, the macro trend remains bullish.
Risk management is crucial here plan entries carefully and let structure dictate reaction.
Today let’s look into MEME coins family, drop your meme coin on the comment area for quick market analysis.
Like, share and comment your view do you believe BTC will hold the $101K zone or break below?
BTCUSDT DIRECTIONThis what I think. Mostly Sentiment is Bearish. it will see another crash .
what are your thoughts !?
Chart analysis for Bitcoin. !!Chart analysis for Bitcoin.
A view of Bitcoin, focusing on key technical levels and market structure:
Trend and Price Activity
Downtrend Confirmation:
The price is clearly following a descending trendline. Attempts to break this line near the $111,000-$112,000 resistance level have failed.
Resistance Zone:
The gray area around $111,000-$112,000 represents a supply zone where the price struggled and faced selling pressure.
A very high resistance band exists near $123,000-$124,000 (upper chart), but the price is still well below this level.
Support Zone:
The large green box at $102,000-$106,000 marks a key demand zone, indicating where buyers could step in for a potential reversal or bounce.
DYOR | NFA
The win streak continues! (With explanation to back it up)In my previous post I suggested a symmetrical triangle was forming to perform the function of shifting the market across...instead it decided torange it's price action into a narrow channel before following the MTOPS-ai forecast.
We are officially on 10 out of 10 back to back accuracy from the AI forecasts!
BTCUSDT – Nothing Stopping a Move Below $100kBitcoin has now confirmed a bearish bias after closing below the weekly 20 EMA, breaking one of the key structural supports that held up the previous cycle.
i am pretty confident we continue the down move for the next couple weeks months.
We’ve already seen a clear distribution phase play out on the daily , and price continues to fail at every short-term EMA retest. Momentum is fading fast, and from a structural standpoint — there’s nothing stopping us from breaking below 100k.
Until proven otherwise, I’ll be following the bearish side. Every rally looks corrective, not impulsive, and no real strength is showing anywhere across the crypto market. Altcoins are already breaking down harder, and if BTC continues lower, expect altcoins to bleed much deeper in the coming weeks.
Most people don’t want to believe we go lower, but the charts are showing otherwise — clean breakdown structure, confirmed close below the key trend level, and zero signs of accumulation.
❓Will BTC finally flush below six figures?
❓Is this the start of the larger markdown phase that everyone’s ignoring?
❓Or are we just seeing one final shakeout before the next macro leg up?
#Bitcoin Short has crypto facess major depressionAfter 10th of october the crypto market never come back from it, making evveryone leveraged liquidated making a 19Billion but more around 400 Billion out of the market, Blackrock is selling like never seen again, we follow instituions plus tecnics.
Im full short bitcoin for a possible dip of 10% like we saw last week.
Mark this one!
Bitcoin — Key Levels to Watch This WeekBitcoin could correct down to $107K.
If support holds, the next target would be $113K.
If $107K fails to hold, a deeper correction toward $100K is likely.
BTC/USD — The Calm Before The Blow Off TopAfter a long corrective phase, Bitcoin has completed its macro Wave 4 and is now showing clear structural signs of strength.
Here’s why I’m turning bullish and positioning for the next impulsive leg 👇
1. Elliott Wave Structure
• The wick to ~102k marked the end of the Wave 4 correction a textbook liquidity sweep.
• Since then, price created an impulsive 5-wave rally to ~116k, followed by a deep 0.886 retrace to ~103.5k, which fits a Wave 2 correction.
• We are now building Wave 3 of the final Wave 5 on the higher timeframe.
• Momentum is shifting upward on 4H and Daily, confirming the start of the acceleration phase.
2. Confluence Zones
• The 0.886 retrace aligns with weekly demand and the bottom of the daily range strong institutional absorption.
• Daily BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed above 110k showing trend reversal intent.
• Fib extensions of Wave 1 project Wave 3 targets at 1.382–1.618 = 123k–126k short term,
with extended targets at 135k–140k if momentum accelerates.
3. Market Psychology
• Sentiment remains neutral or bearish exactly the disbelief phase that fuels Wave 3 runs.
• Liquidity below 104k has been taken, leaving only upside imbalance.
• Volume is low but steady typical of institutional accumulation before breakout.
Outlook
I expect short-term intraday pullbacks (LTF wave (iv)) but overall bullish continuation.
The bigger picture suggests Bitcoin is preparing for its final macro Wave 5 expansion, potentially setting new all-time highs in the next months.
#BTC #Bitcoin #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #FibLevels #WaveAnalysis #Bullish #Wave3 #TechnicalAnalysis
BTCUSD: Option A or B?Plan for today. 2 options for BTCUSD.
A: Break and close above 1 to go bullish.
B: Break and close below 2 to go bearish.
Option B is preferred with high timeline bearish view. However Option A is still a possibility with low probability.
Wyckoff ReaccumulationCurrent range looks like another reaccumulation range. Spring has just occurred and looking for a move back and then above the top of the range.
Bearish if we breakout then retrace forming an upthrust after distribution (UTAD).
$BTC (DAILY): DEAD CAT BOUNCE up to $117k next in line?CRYPTOCAP:BTC has DEFENDED the key 200 MA so technically, it is STILL in a BULL MARKET.
#BTC did, however, put in a LOWER LOW on yesterday's DAILY candle close, so no LONGS for me.
Having said that, I'm expecting a DEAD CAT bounce up to $117k next, and this is my bias until it closes below the 200 MA. Then I will flip like a coin and become bearish. 200 MA is my BULL/BEAR boundary, in a nutshell.
So, LONGS only from the $100k zone, SHORTS only from $117k.
Also, Bitcoin need volumes in the next couple of days otherwise I see $100k soon.
💙👽
Bitcoin Buy Setup on 1H TimeframeBitcoin is in Bullish Trend on 1H Timeframe. on 4H Timeframe, Bitcoin can make a Higher-Low, which means price will retrace back to below 110,000 level. However, if it does not retrace back, and makes a Higher-High on 1H timeframe, we can take a 1:1 "Buy-Stop" trade here.
Let's see how it goes.
BTCUSDT — Don’t Try to Catch the BottomBitcoin looks ready to test its local low — or even break it.
In any case, don’t try to catch the bottom — the second leg down may come as a “bonus.”
🎯 Target: 106,000
❌ Invalidation: shown on the chart
The overall structure remains bearish, and I’m watching for confirmation before any potential reversal
Bitcoin BTC Analysis - PM NY Session
Bullish Bitcoin Analysis – PM Session 💰🐂
Recent price action on the 1-hour timeframe (H1) has shown weak candle closures, indicating a failure to achieve significant displacement.
However, we observed a recent sweep of the previous daily high (PDH), followed by a strong close above that level.
This move led to a market structure shift (MSS), suggesting a potential transition to a bullish trend.
With this bullish bias in mind, I have identified a key Fibonacci range that aligns with several confluences supporting the bullish outlook.
Notably, there remains an unfilled bullish imbalance (BISI) on the H1 chart, in addition to a nearby H1 order block.
Furthermore, the optimal trade entry (OTE) level aligns closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, further strengthening the case for a long position. - 109 000 is the level we’re looking at 👀
#BTC reaches the divergence zone📊#BTC reaches the divergence zone✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, we rebounded from the overlapping support zone at 103588 and continued the bullish trend, gaining over $8,000. We've now reached a critical level where bulls and bears are battling. Since we've already seen strong returns and a pullback is possible, we've closed our long position.
➡️If the price can pull back to and stabilize near the rising trend support line today, we might consider looking for some long positions. There's a desirable red target zone to reach above.
➡️If there's no pullback and we directly attack the bearish defense, we can use a small position to look for some shorts.
⚠️Note: Both ups and downs in the divergence zone are normal. Only after breaking out of this zone can we find suitable trading opportunities. Don't forget risk management!
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bulls are Back Major Support Reclaimed CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Market Analysis: BTC
BTC has shown a strong rebound in recent sessions, successfully reclaiming the major support at $108,000, which had previously acted as a critical breakdown zone. This reclaim confirms a clear shift in short-term momentum, indicating that buyers have regained control after a deep corrective phase. The structure now shows price stabilizing above this reclaimed support and testing the next resistance cluster.
Currently, BTC is trading around $111,000, sitting within a key Support/Consolidation range between $110,400 – $110,216, which is acting as the immediate holding base. Sustaining above this zone will be essential for maintaining bullish pressure, as it serves as the first structural demand level after the breakout.
The next immediate upside challenge lies between $112,828 – $113,000, marked as the 1st Resistance zone. This area represents a prior breakdown level and is likely to attract short-term profit-taking or seller interest. A clean breakout and sustained close above this level could open the path toward the 2nd Resistance at $114,175, where the market may briefly consolidate again before attempting to expand further.
The broader upside target for this structure sits within the Target Range between $117,158 – $117,000, aligning with the top of the recent corrective structure. This zone represents the next potential liquidity sweep area if buyers continue to maintain strength and push the market through the intermediate resistance layers.
On the downside, immediate supports are layered below at $109,264 (2nd Support) and $108,011 (Major Support Reclaimed). Any move back below $108,000 would invalidate the short-term bullish sentiment and could shift the tone back toward a neutral-to-bearish bias.
Overall, BTC’s structure shows healthy recovery momentum with clear signs of reaccumulation after the $108K reclaim. The focus now remains on how price reacts around the $112,800–$113,000 zone — a decisive breakout here could confirm the next leg higher toward the $114K and $117K targets.
🧭 Summary:
Major Support Reclaimed: $108,000 – $108,011
2nd Support: $109,264
1st Support / Consolidation Range: $110,400 – $110,216
1st Resistance: $112,828 – $113,000
2nd Resistance: $114,175
Target Range: $117,158 – $117,000
Market Tone: Bullish bias; reclaim of $108K confirms strength.
Bias: Bullish above $110,200; neutral below $108,000.
Key Focus: Reaction around $113,000 resistance — breakout continuation could extend to $114K and beyond, while rejection may lead to a retest of $110K support.
FOMC ahead: tactical plan between 106k and 113.5k__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC rebounded from the 106k area after a liquidation flush and is pushing into a dense HTF supply (111,800–113,500). Momentum is improving intraday but capped below 113.5k within a mildly risk-off backdrop into the FOMC.
Momentum: 📈 Slightly bullish intraday, but broadly range-bound while 113.5k caps.
Key levels:
- Resistances (4H/1D): 111,800–112,300; 113,500; 118,000–120,000.
- Supports (2H/1D): 110,200–110,600; 109,400–109,800; 106,000–106,800.
Volumes: Moderate on the bounce; extreme prints belong to the prior selloff (HTF).
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H/4H/2H = neutral sell ; 1H/30m/15m = neutral buy . LTFs push into 111.9–112.3k, but HTFs remain constrained below 113.5k with non-expansive volume.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL — it contradicts the intraday uptick and favors patience below 113.5k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
The dominant setup is a post-flush range below 113.5k: stay tactical, buy only on confirmations, and sell disciplined rejections.
Global bias: Neutral-bearish while ≤113.5k; key invalidation: clean acceptance above 113.5k (HTF).
Opportunities:
- Breakout buy: 4H/12H close-and-hold >113.5k → target 118k then 120k.
- Tactical fade: Sell a clean rejection at 111.8–113.5k → target 110.6k then 109.4k, stop just above 113.9–114k.
- Breakdown sell: Lose 109.4k on volume → target 108.6k then 106k.
Risk zones / invalidations: Confirmed reclaim >113.5k invalidates defensive shorts; loss of 109.4k invalidates rebound longs.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
- FOMC underway: binary volatility; wait for clear validations.
- US spot BTC ETFs: 3-day outflows, negative 7d average → risk-off tilt.
- “Gold fatigue” with mixed risk appetite: rotation narratives possible but unconfirmed.
Action plan:
- Entry: 112.3–113.6k after break/hold (successful retest).
- Stop: 110.8k (below structure).
- TP1/TP2/TP3: 118k / 120k / 124.6–126k.
- Approx R/R: about 1:1.8 to 1:3 depending on retest quality and traction to 120k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall, HTFs remain capped below 113.5k while LTFs grind into 111.9–112.3k, sustaining a range regime.
1D/12H/6H/4H/2H: Sequence of lower highs below 113.5k; 111.8–112.3k is the gate to convert, with 109.4k then 106k as downside checkpoints if it fails.
1H/30m/15m: Recovery channel into 111.9–112.3k with waning momentum; bullish trigger = acceptance at 112.3k then 113.5k.
Major confluences/divergences: LTF up vs MTF down = chop; moderate bounce volume → need a firm 113.5k reclaim to align TFs higher.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
The macro tone is cautious (slight risk-off) into the FOMC, with softer ETF flows and a reset on-chain — a mix that calls for technical confirmations.
Macro events: FOMC in progress (potential volatility); yields biased higher; “gold fatigue” headlines; softer China data and EU sanctions chatter on the radar.
Bitcoin analysis: US spot ETF outflows (3-day streak; negative 7d) → headwind for HTF recovery; liquidity is improving but headline-driven; a reclaim above 113.5k would be the needed show of strength.
On-chain data: Historic deleveraging (~$19B), negative funding, ongoing LTH distribution, demand yet to return → reset consistent with a post-flush range.
Expected impact: Neutral-bearish while under 113.5k; a close/acceptance above 113.5k could quickly pivot structure toward 118–120k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
Post-liquidation range under HTF resistance, wrapped in a slight risk-off backdrop.
- Trend: neutral to bearish while 113.5k caps; 109.4k and 106k remain the key supports.
- Most relevant setup: breakout buy only on confirmed acceptance >113.5k toward 118–120k; otherwise tactical fades on 111.8–113.5k rejections.
- One key macro: FOMC + ETF outflows reduce odds of a clean breakout without confirmation.
Stay disciplined: let levels decide, size down into FOMC, and demand volume on any breakout.
Analytics: Market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin experienced another wave of decline, but didn’t reach the low of the previous dump. On Friday, there was a volume anomaly at $105,000, after which a correction was expected to $108,000. As a result, we got into a sideways movement at these values, and the seller's activity didn’t resume.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
On the hourly timeframe, a trend reversal to the upside has been recorded. We’re currently testing a significant volume sales zone, and the slowdown in price movement (price action) indicates a likely correction. Our future tactics will depend on the dynamics of this correction: whether to join the longs or stay on the sidelines.
Two support zones have formed below the current price, and if there is a reaction, testing these zones will serve as a buy signal. If the situation unfolds favorably, the $116,000 level may be tested this week. If the buyer doesn’t show any activity, the priority scenario shifts towards sales, and we expect a decline to the level of $97,000.
Buy Zones:
• $107,300–$106,300 (accumulated volumes)
• $105,600–$104,500 (volume anomalies)
• $97,000–$93,000 (major volume zone)
Sell Zones:
• $110,000–$113,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $114,400–$115,600 (local volume zone)
• $120,900–$124,000 (major volume zone)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
This week, we’re following these macroeconomic events:
• October 22, Wednesday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK Consumer Price Index for September;
• October 23, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial jobless claims in the United States;
• October 23, Thursday, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on U.S. home sales for September;
• October 24, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US Consumer Price Index for September;
• October 24, Friday, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the US Service and Manufacturing Business Activity Index for October;
• October 24, Friday, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of US new home sales data for September.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
A diamond-shaped pattern is forming on the 4-hour chart1-week range: Resistance at 116,000 and support at 108,000
4-hour range: Resistance at 126,000 and support at 102,000
A short position can be planned near 116,000, as the next potential move could target 75,000.
In the previous bear market, it took roughly 365 candles from the top to the bottom. If the current top is 126,000, there’s a strong possibility this bearish trend could continue until around November 2026, when the bottom might form near 25,000 — a price level ideal for accumulation by large players.
Remember: Smart money never buys at the highs — those levels are usually traps. Good luck.
BTCUSDT — Sweep Zones Map (Post-London Update)🧭 BTCUSDT — Sweep Zones Map (Post-London Update)
The wolves woke up early today. After the weekend drift, Bitcoin is back defending its mid-range, and the tape’s showing more intention than hesitation. Let’s dissect the layers 👇
1️⃣ Market Structure (W → 2D → 12H)
• Weekly: Structure remains bullish — last HH ≈ $123K, HL ≈ $94K. No violation yet.
• 2D: Clean rejection from mid-supply ($127K → $107K), now retesting $108–110K as mid-range support.
• 12H: Liquidity sweep under $107K, reclaim candle closed above $110K → short-term BOS confirmed.
2️⃣ Sweep Zones
💚 Support Zone: $106K → $108K — prior liquidity pocket aligning with POC. If bulls defend, targets extend to $115–118K.
❤️ Resistance Zone: $117K → $121K — unmitigated supply and heavy short clusters (Binance + Bybit). A clean break opens $125K+ territory.
3️⃣ Orderflow Snapshot
⚙️ Derivatives Snapshot (visual interpretation — incomplete data from Velo)
• Funding back to neutral after deep negative skew (-0.02 → 0.01 %).
• OI recovering ≈ +2.5 B since Sunday’s close.
• CVD still negative but curling upward — spot demand quietly absorbing.
• Liquidity pools resting below $106K and above $117K → potential sweep zones ahead.
4️⃣ Footprint Context (12H / 3D)
• Strong sell-side absorption at $108K POC; delta flipped positive the next candle (3× imbalance).
• 3D footprint still shows prior absorption active → buyers defended the same zone twice.
• Volume compression = volatility coil → expect breakout behavior within 12–24 hours.
5️⃣ Execution Scenarios
🟩 Bull Path: Hold > $108K → LTF BOS confirmation → targets $117K → $121K.
🟥 Bear Path: Lose $106K close → flush toward $101–102K liquidity pocket before reversal attempts.
📊 Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (short-term reclaim confirmed)
🎯 Focus: Reaction between $108K–$110K. Pullback entries only after 12H displacement retest.
🔥 BTC holding mid-range while spot absorption rises and funding normalizes = constructive base forming into Q4.
⚔️ Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.
Bitcoin Roadmap Until 2029 | Halving Cycle ProjectionThis analysis illustrates Bitcoin’s potential price trajectory through the upcoming halving cycle.
Key Support Zone: 39,800 – 40,000 USD
Halving Date: 2028
Projection: Historical cycle patterns suggest a potential continuation toward 250K–300K USD range before the next major correction.
Mid-term Correction Expectation: Around late 2026 to 2027 before the next bullish expansion.
🔹 Based on past halvings, each cycle tends to follow a 12-18 month accumulation, parabolic rise, and correction phase.
🔹 Long-term investors might focus on accumulation near the blue support zone.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #HalvingCycle #SmartMoneyConcepts
روند احتمالی بیتکوین تا سال ۲۰۲۹
در این تحلیل، چرخهی بعدی هاوینگ بیتکوین در سال ۲۰۲۸ و ناحیهی حمایتی مهم در محدودهی ۳۹٬۸۴۴ دلار مشخص شده است.
بر اساس الگوهای تاریخی، انتظار میرود پس از اصلاح میانمدت بین سالهای ۲۰۲۶ تا ۲۰۲۷، روند صعودی بزرگ بعدی آغاز شود که میتواند بیتکوین را به محدودهی ۲۵۰ تا ۳۰۰ هزار دلار برساند.
🔹 دورهی هاوینگ معمولاً با فازهای زیر همراه است:
۱️⃣ انباشت (۱۲ تا ۱۸ ماه قبل از هاوینگ)
۲️⃣ رشد پارابولیک
۳️⃣ اصلاح چرخهای
#Bitcoin #BTC #تحلیل_بیتکوین #Crypto #Halving #TradingView #farhadlotfizad
20/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,965.44
Last weeks low: $103,546.52
Midpoint: $109,755.98
Following the flash crash of two weeks ago, Bitcoin opted for the "fill the wick" pattern last week with a steady continuation of the downtrend printing a low for the week 1.5% shy of completely backfilling the entire wick.
Because of the aggressive nature of the immediate recovery, I would estimate that a large number of stop losses would be placed just under the bottom of the flash crash wick and so as price approached that level, buyers stepped in to move price away from that danger area. I am still not convinced that $98,000-102,000 area is safe from a revisit, but when is a question I do not have an answer for.
This week we've seen an early move by the bulls to flip a very important $108,000 level. I could see BTC conforming to the weeks range quite strongly as both extremities of the range as well as midpoint line up very well with HTF S/R levels. I think any PA between those levels would give clues as to the strength of both sides, bulls and bears but the important moves will happen around the extremes. Of course the trade war news is a factor still in play as well as CPI later in the week.
This CPI release is also taking place during a government shut down, it's the first CPI on a Friday since 2018 and FOMC (rate cut predicted) takes place just 5 days after with massively reduced data releases due to the Government shut down. This to me is a volatility storm waiting to happen and many participants are going into it blind.
Good luck this week everybody!
