Trade ideas
btcusdtBitcoin (BTC) Daily Technical Analysis
Current Market Context:
Price action suggests a bearish intraday bias within the broader context. The setup indicates a potential for a short-term decline towards lower support levels.
Trade Setup Overview:
Direction: Short (Bearish)
Strategy: Fade on strength towards resistance / anticipate breakdown.
Execution Parameters:
Entry Point: $91,630
Rationale: This level is anticipated to act as a point of rejection following a retest of a breakdown level or a minor resistance zone.
Stop-Loss: $92,065
Rationale: Placed just above the recent swing high or a key resistance level. A break above this invalidates the bearish premise and suggests a potential move higher.
Take-Profit Target: $90,365
Rationale: This target aligns with a significant support level where profit-taking or a bullish reversal might occur.
Risk Management:
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:4.9
This is an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, where the potential profit significantly outweighs the potential loss.
Position Sizing: Ensure the position size is calibrated so that a loss from this trade remains within your predefined risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of total capital).
Technical Justification & Chart Analysis:
This setup implies that Bitcoin is facing selling pressure near the $91,630 - $92,065 zone. A rejection from this area, confirmed by bearish price action (e.g., a bearish engulfing pattern, pin bar, or loss of momentum), could trigger a sell-off towards the $90,365 support level.
The trade's validity relies on the market structure remaining bearish on the lower timeframes (e.g., 4-hour or 1-hour charts). The tight stop-loss requires precise execution.
Conclusion:
This is a high-probability, high-R/R short-term bearish setup. The key to success lies in waiting for confirmation at the entry zone rather than entering blindly. Monitor lower timeframes for bearish confirmation signals before executing the trade.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risk.
Bitcoin Tests $90K Range High: Binance Netflows Signal PotentialTechnical & On-Chain Outlook:
After losing the $90K support level, Bitcoin has settled into a clear Range Zone between $70,000 and $90,000.
As seen on the technical chart, price action found support near the Point of Control (POC) and is now rallying to test the Range High at $90K.
Binance Netflows: Bearish Divergence Appears
Binance’s 7-day cumulative netflow data highlights a potentially bearish setup:
1. Heavy Asset Inflows (Bearish Signal)
Large amounts of crypto assets have been deposited into Binance:
$2 Billion in BTC
$500M in XRP
$315M in ETH
Such large inflows typically indicate an intention to sell.
2. Weak Stablecoin Buying Power
Stablecoin movements show limited demand:
$1.4B USDT flowed into the exchange
$665M USDC flowed out
➡️ Net stablecoin inflow: ~$735 Million
This represents the actual available buying power on Binance.
Conclusion
A clear supply-demand imbalance is forming:
Potential selling pressure: ~$2.8B (Crypto assets)
Available buying power: ~$0.735B (Stablecoins)
This strongly suggests that short-term investors are preparing to sell at the range ceiling.
Without a renewed wave of stablecoin liquidity, a clean breakout above $90K is unlikely.
A rejection from the range high and continuation within the $70K–$90K range appears to be the more probable scenario.
Bitcoin Analysis – November 28|The Most Important Day of Month!Bitcoin Analysis – November 28
Hello dear traders! Hope you’re all doing well.
Today is November 28, the last active market day of the week — and honestly one of the most important days of the month. Even if bitcoin doesn’t make a big move today, I strongly recommend staying at the charts, because these days often bring unexpected volatility.
The Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 20, which means we’ve moved from Extreme Fear into normal Fear. As you know, the past weeks were dominated by extreme fear.
🟦 Why Today Matters
We’ve seen heavy selling throughout November, but today and the next two days will determine how the monthly candle closes.
Since the major markets will be closed tomorrow and the day after, crypto will likely have lower overall liquidity, meaning today has the highest probability of making the move.
🟧 Market Structure
Daily timeframe: still bearish
1H timeframe: bullish
If today continues upward → 4H may turn bullish as well
Yesterday I explained why this shift can happen — buyers have stepped in with better momentum.
Also note:
After the recent short rally, the market had a time-based correction with very low volume.
A fresh surge in volume today can be a strong signal for continuation.
🟩 Scenario A – Bullish
If 91,636 breaks to the upside:
✅ You can take a long position
• Preferably after a 1-hour candle close above the level
• A 15-minute breakout is acceptable if you see strong volume
• Bitcoin itself is a good option because Bitcoin Dominance is currently supporting the move
-Don’t forget to check the order book on your exchange.”
🟥 Scenario B – Bearish
If 90,786 breaks down:
⚠️ Expect a clean drop
In this case:
→ I recommend shorting BTC pairs that already have a bearish structure
Example: APT, which is currently trending down.
🔑 Final Notes
Always use proper risk management
Avoid unnecessary risky trades
My goal is to keep the analysis as simple and clean as possible
The market rewards traders who show up every day
And to stay in the game every day, you must protect your capital
Have a great day and trade safely! 💙📉📈
Understanding Global Market Meltdowns and CrisesIntroduction
Global markets are the backbone of the world economy, connecting nations, investors, and industries. They are often perceived as resilient and self-correcting, yet history shows they are prone to sudden and severe collapses known as market meltdowns. These meltdowns are characterized by sharp declines in stock prices, bond markets, and commodities, often accompanied by panic selling, liquidity crises, and systemic financial disruptions. Understanding the causes, mechanisms, and impacts of these crises is essential for policymakers, investors, and businesses alike.
Defining Market Meltdowns
A market meltdown, sometimes referred to as a financial crisis, occurs when the prices of assets drop precipitously within a short period. Unlike normal market corrections, which reflect adjustments based on valuations or economic cycles, meltdowns are marked by panic-driven behavior, loss of confidence, and widespread liquidity constraints. They are rarely confined to a single sector, often triggering a chain reaction across global financial systems.
Historically, major meltdowns include the 1929 Great Depression, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, and the 2020 COVID-19 market crash. Each had unique triggers but shared common dynamics of excessive speculation, over-leverage, and systemic vulnerabilities.
Causes of Global Market Crises
Excessive Leverage and Debt
Financial institutions, corporations, and households often borrow excessively during economic booms. High leverage amplifies gains during expansions but drastically magnifies losses during downturns. For example, the 2008 crisis was primarily driven by over-leveraged banks investing in subprime mortgages. When defaults rose, the interconnectedness of institutions led to a global liquidity crisis.
Speculative Bubbles
A speculative bubble forms when asset prices soar far above their intrinsic value, fueled by irrational investor optimism. Bubbles are often visible in real estate, equities, and commodities. When investor sentiment reverses, the bubble bursts, triggering rapid sell-offs. The 2000 dot-com crash exemplified this phenomenon, where internet-based companies were massively overvalued before the market collapsed.
Banking System Failures
Banks are the lifeblood of modern economies. A failure in the banking sector can quickly escalate into a financial crisis. Bank runs, where depositors rush to withdraw funds, can destabilize the entire financial system. The 1930s Great Depression was exacerbated by widespread bank failures, causing massive unemployment and contraction in economic output.
Macroeconomic Imbalances
Excessive fiscal deficits, high inflation, or persistent trade imbalances can undermine confidence in financial markets. Investors may withdraw capital from affected regions, causing currency depreciation, stock market losses, and economic stagnation. The Asian Financial Crisis of 1997 was partly triggered by high external debt and currency overvaluation in countries like Thailand and Indonesia.
Geopolitical and Global Shocks
Wars, political instability, pandemics, and natural disasters can act as sudden shocks, triggering market panics. For instance, the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 caused unprecedented global market volatility as governments imposed lockdowns, disrupting supply chains and consumer demand.
Regulatory Failures and Lack of Oversight
Weak regulatory frameworks, insufficient supervision, or financial innovation without proper oversight can allow systemic risks to build unnoticed. The 2008 crisis highlighted the dangers of unregulated derivatives, which magnified losses and spread risks across global financial institutions.
Mechanisms of Market Meltdowns
Liquidity Crunch
During a meltdown, liquidity—the ease with which assets can be bought or sold—evaporates. Investors rush to convert assets into cash, driving prices further down. Banks may restrict lending to preserve liquidity, exacerbating economic contraction.
Contagion Effect
Financial markets are globally interconnected. A crisis in one region can quickly spread internationally through trade, investment flows, and banking linkages. The 2008 crisis, which started with U.S. mortgage-backed securities, rapidly affected Europe, Asia, and emerging markets due to these linkages.
Panic Selling and Herd Behavior
Human psychology plays a significant role. Fear often triggers irrational selling, creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral. Investors abandon long-term strategies, leading to sharp price declines that are disproportionate to actual economic fundamentals.
Credit Freeze
Banks and investors may hoard cash and reduce lending, causing a credit crunch. Businesses struggle to finance operations, leading to layoffs, bankruptcies, and reduced consumer spending, which further depresses economic activity.
Impacts of Market Crises
Economic Recession
Market meltdowns often coincide with broader economic downturns. Declining asset prices reduce wealth, curtail consumption, and disrupt investment, leading to slower economic growth or outright recession.
Unemployment and Social Consequences
Business failures and reduced investment lead to layoffs, increasing unemployment rates. Social unrest and political instability may follow, as seen during the Great Depression and subsequent economic crises.
Loss of Investor Confidence
Crises shake investor confidence, making markets more volatile and risk-averse. Recovery often takes years, as rebuilding trust is slower than stabilizing balance sheets.
Policy Interventions
Governments and central banks typically intervene through fiscal stimulus, interest rate cuts, or quantitative easing. While necessary to restore stability, these measures may increase long-term debt burdens or inflate asset prices, potentially sowing the seeds of future crises.
Global Ripple Effects
In a globalized economy, meltdowns in major financial centers impact trade, investment, and currency markets worldwide. Emerging economies often bear the brunt of capital outflows, currency depreciation, and reduced access to credit.
Lessons and Mitigation Strategies
Diversification and Risk Management
Investors can protect themselves by diversifying portfolios across asset classes, sectors, and geographies. Proper risk management helps absorb shocks during periods of extreme volatility.
Regulatory Oversight and Transparency
Strong regulation, stress testing of financial institutions, and transparency in financial products reduce the likelihood of systemic risks accumulating unnoticed.
Monetary and Fiscal Preparedness
Central banks and governments must maintain tools to stabilize markets, such as liquidity facilities, interest rate adjustments, and targeted fiscal stimulus to cushion economic shocks.
Behavioral Awareness
Understanding the psychological dimensions of markets—herd behavior, panic selling, and over-optimism—can help investors make rational decisions even in turbulent times.
Global Coordination
Given the interconnectedness of modern markets, international cooperation is crucial to prevent contagion and stabilize financial systems. Institutions like the IMF and World Bank play pivotal roles in crisis mitigation.
Conclusion
Global market meltdowns are complex phenomena with roots in economic imbalances, speculative excesses, regulatory lapses, and human psychology. While each crisis has unique characteristics, their recurring nature underscores the need for vigilance, risk management, and systemic safeguards. Understanding the mechanisms, causes, and impacts of these meltdowns is essential for investors, policymakers, and societies to navigate the volatile terrain of global finance.
By learning from history and implementing robust preventive measures, the world can reduce the frequency and severity of market crises, ensuring more stable and resilient financial systems in the future.
Bitcoin Update — Big Correction, Clear Levels, and What’s NextBitcoin has been in a strong corrective phase ever since the October ATH. After breaking down from the rising structure, price has been grinding lower and finally tapped into the broader demand zone we’ve been watching for weeks.
The recent bounce shows that buyers are still active, but the larger trend remains in “recovery mode,” not full reversal mode yet.
🔍 Current Structure
BTC has been trending inside a descending channel since the ATH
Lower highs continue to form under the yellow resistance line
Price found support inside the orange mid-range demand box
RSI and MACD on 8H/12H are recovering, hinting at short-term strength
Volume on the selloff has calmed, suggesting the worst of the panic may be over
Overall, this is a classic cool-down phase after a major breakout — nothing structurally unusual.
📈 Key Levels to Watch
Support:
$87k–$90k — current holding zone
$78k–$80k — major range low if things dip lower
Resistance:
$98k — mid-range ceiling
$102k–$105k — the first meaningful resistance cluster
$113k — upper diagonal rejection area
As long as BTC stays above the mid-range support, the structure remains healthy. Reclaiming the yellow diagonal would open the door toward $102k+ again.
⚡ What’s Next?
Bitcoin is stabilizing after a multi-week correction, but it hasn’t yet broken back into bullish momentum. The next major move will likely depend on whether BTC:
breaks above the descending resistance, or
retests deeper support before reversing higher.
Either way, the macro trend remains intact — this is still a structured pullback within a larger bull cycle.
Not financial advice — just chart analysis.
BTC — Trendline Rejection or Breakout? BTC is approaching a key structural decision point, and the next move will determine whether we see continuation upward or a corrective sweep to lower liquidity levels. This idea outlines both scenarios with clear targets and educational structure analysis.
Key Structural Areas
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support
BTC continues to respect a clean ascending trendline. This line has been a major pivot for the past several days.
Price is currently hovering just above it, and the yellow circle marks the confluence of:
Rising trendline support
A local demand block
Prior liquidity sweep zone
This is the most important area to watch for reaction.
2️⃣ Short-Term Rejection Scenario (White Path)
Before breaking upward, BTC may show short-term downside rejection, targeting:
➡️ Short-Term Target:
$88,180
This level aligns with:
Demand block retest
Trendline kiss
Local inefficiencies needing fill
A rejection into 88,180 would be normal and healthy before a potential bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Bullish Reclaim Scenario
If price taps the rejection zone and reclaims the trendline, upside targets remain:
$95,800 – $96,500 → Half-filled FVG + structural supply
$99,500 – $100,200 → Major FVG + macro resistance zone
These zones are where we expect strong reaction and profit-taking.
4️⃣ Breakdown Scenario
If BTC fails the trendline with a full candle close below, expect:
Breakdown of structure
Full sweep of demand
Deeper correction into mid-range levels
Not my primary bias, but it's critical to acknowledge the possibility.
Summary
BTC is sitting on an important trendline.
A quick rejection into 88,180 could be the liquidity grab needed before upside continuation.
Reclaiming the trendline = bullish continuation toward FVGs.
Breaking below = deeper corrective move.
📘 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It represents personal opinion and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your own risk.
Bitcoin prediction Nov 2025Bitcoin prediction Nov 2025, Bitcoin is expected to push to the upside after it broke previous high and came to test previous low and bullish order block and start to move toward previous high (Bullish Extension). This move may break previous all-time high and break record of 2025 All-time high.
sell limit and buy limt. OCODirection: LONG LIMIT
Entry: $91,250
Stop Loss: $90,800 (below structure & liquidity zone)
Take Profit: $91,950
RR Ratio: 1 : 1.55
OR
BUY STOP Entry: $91,650 (after retest confirmation)
Stop Loss: $91,300 (tight invalidation)
Take Profit: $92,400
RR Ratio: 2.14
DELETE Second order if first one is triggered
M15:
Strong bullish breakout from accumulation zone (~$87,000–$89,000).
Sharp expansion → consolidation phase now near $91,400–$91,600.
Potential formation of a bull flag or reaccumulation.
M5:
Tight price compression after a strong rally.
Micro higher lows forming around $91,200–$91,300.
Clear resistance at ~$91,600.
M1:
Repeated rejections from $91,500–$91,600 zone.
Low timeframe equilibrium building.
Minor liquidity sweep below $91,300 followed by recovery.
I DIDNT PLACE THE SELL LIMIT CORRECTLY ON THE CHART. SL AND TP ARE WRONG. FOLLOW DESCRIPTION
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-11-27 17:00 UTC🚀 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-11-27 17:00 UTC
📊 Market Context
Type: Technical outlook / Long setup
Potential Entry Zone: 90,800 – 90,870 (Fibonacci Dip Zone)
Potential Upside Level: 94,140
Defined Invalidation Level: 88,765
Approx. R/R Concept: ~1:1.5
📈 Technical Analysis Overview
🔹 Fibonacci Structure
Price interacting with the Fibonacci Dip Zone (~0.382–0.618 retracement)
Historically, this zone has acted as a reaction area for buyers
Current structure shows strong buyer interest and whale accumulation
🔹 Order Flow & Liquidity Context
Whale buy detected: 842,654 USDT
Higher bid activity relative to recent sessions
Liquidity concentration forming near 90,800–90,870
Order book imbalance indicates buyers dominating
🔹 Momentum Indicators
RSI: 44.6, indicating recovery from oversold conditions
Stochastic: 71.9, approaching neutral, supporting early bullish continuation
MACD: Histogram trending upward, buyers gaining control
Volume: OBV trending upward, confirming sustained buying momentum
📊 Volume & Trend Context
Strong net buy pressure (+100% whale dominance)
Volume spikes near support zone confirm buyer accumulation
Momentum and trend alignment suggest bullish continuation if price holds above entry zone
🎯 Key Market Levels
Immediate Support: 90,000
Major Support / Invalidation: 88,765
Zone of Interest 1: 91,500
Zone of Interest 2 / Target: 94,140
Extended Area (if momentum persists): 95,500
⚡ Structural Notes
Market consolidating near Fibonacci Dip Zone after prior bullish leg
Sellers showing reduced follow-through
Multi-timeframe momentum gradually aligning to upside
📘 Trade Planning Concepts (Analysis Only)
Confirmation above 90,870 may indicate stronger buyer intent
Scaling entries possible in volatile environments
Break-even adjustments recommended after hitting 91,500
Partial profit-taking at predefined targets helps manage volatility
⚠️ Risk Framework
Position sizing must follow personal risk rules
Invalidation set at 88,765
Monitor volume for continuation; weak volume may invalidate the structure
Avoid late entries after breakout without pullback
📱 Checklist for Entry
Fibonacci Dip Zone interaction ✅
Whale buy activity confirmed ✅
Momentum indicators supporting bullish continuation ✅
Volume structure aligned with upward attempt ✅
Risk/Reward favorable ✅
🧭 Timeframe & Method
Approach: Short-term / Scalping
Trade Objective: Capture 3–3.6% upside with controlled risk
Bitcoin Long OpportunityBitcoin 👀
After a clear liquidity sweep, price reacted with a bullish expansion, showing that early buyers have stepped in with conviction.
My primary focus is on the buy-side liquidity resting below.
I anticipate a liquidity grab into that area and will look to execute from the M15 unfilled imbalance beneath current price.
On the HTF, we have a strong DOL, supported by an unfilled H1 SIBI, which remains a key objective. 🎯
Also, we have a OTE level of a previous range that aligns with our entry POI - unfilled M15 FVG.
I will consider taking partial profits into the H1 SIBI zone 💰
📉
BTC/USDT Analysis. Sell-Side Absorption in Play
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily market update.
Yesterday Bitcoin followed our long scenario — the move started earlier than expected, without a liquidity grab, as market buyers stepped in aggressively. As of now, price has reached the first resistance at $90,000–$92,300 (volume zone).
In this area, delta has spiked sharply, indicating “high-level buying,” which has already triggered a local correction.
The key pivot level now is $90,000 — it may work as support, but if price settles below it, the level becomes resistance.
If price breaks the local high → expect a test of the upper selling zone and a deeper correction afterwards.
If price breaks and holds below $90,000 → the downside target becomes the anomaly zone at $84,000–$82,000.
Buy Zones
$88,000–$86,000 (local volume zone)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$90,000–$92,300 (volume zone)
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
$105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC Playbook: 93k Pivot vs 98k Path__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
Price is pressing into a well-defined 92,800–93,500 resistance band while macro leadership stays risk-off, making this a decision area. Momentum is rebuilding off 89k supports, but higher timeframes lean cautious until acceptance above 93,150.
Momentum: Bearish-to-neutral with a tactical counter-trend bounce; sustained strength needs a clean break-and-hold above 93,150.
Key levels:
- Resistances (HTF): 92,800–93,500 (240 Pivot High zone), 98,115 (W Pivot Low), 107,474 (D Pivot High)
- Supports (HTF/ITF): 90,500–90,800 (recent base), 89,012 (240 Pivot Low), 86,261 (240 Pivot Low)
Volumes: Moderate on 1D/12H; normal on intraday (6H/4H/2H/1H).
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D Up vs 12H/6H/4H/2H Down; intraday 1H Up but into HTF resistance. Defer to 12H Down unless 93,150 is accepted with persistence.
Harvest zones: 80,200 (Cluster A) / 76,600–77,100 (Cluster B) — ideal deep dip-buying areas for inverse pyramiding if market overreacts.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral sell — confirms the cautious stance under resistance and argues for patience on longs.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
The dominant read is neutral-sell into HTF resistance; adopt a reactive approach: fade failed breakouts, flip to long only on confirmed acceptance.
Global bias: Neutral-sell while below 93,150; bias flips constructive on ≥2H/4H acceptance above 93,150. Invalidation of the fade: sustained hold above 93,150.
Opportunities:
- Tactical sell: Fade 92,800–93,500 if 2H/4H prints rejection and volume fades; add on loss of 91,000 toward 89,012.
- Breakout buy: Engage on ≥2H/4H close above 93,150 with successful retest; first target 98,115.
- Reactive buy: Probe 89,012 only on strong reversal signal (≥2H) with improving volumes.
Risk zones / invalidations:
- Break below 89,012 would invalidate reactive longs and opens 86,261 risk.
- Sustained hold above 93,150 would invalidate shorts from the 92,800–93,500 fade zone.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
- Liquidity tailwind: PBOC injections + equities <2% from ATH, but thin holiday liquidity can distort moves.
- ETFs: 7-day BTC spot ETF flows negative despite a small daily inflow — headwind near resistance.
- Rates: Elevated Fed cut odds support dips, but headline risks (stablecoins/geopolitics) can spark risk-off spikes.
Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid):
- Palier 1 (12.5%): 80,200 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry
- Palier 2 (+12.5%): 75,400–77,000 (-6%/-4% below Palier 1) (Cluster B included) → reinforcement
- TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash
- Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF (93,150)
- Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low (not provided) or 96h no momentum
- Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF (93,150) on rejection + bearish trend → neutralize below R
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
Higher timeframes are mixed with 1D Up versus 12H Down; execution should respect the 12H filter until 93,150 is reclaimed with persistence.
12H/6H/4H/2H: Downtrend bias pressing into 92,800–93,500 supply; rejection here favors a rotation to 91,000 then 89,012. Acceptance and hold above 93,150 unlocks 98,115.
1D/1H: 1D Up but capped by 93,150; 1H Up is counter-trend into HTF resistance, so expect chop under 93k unless volume expands on breakout.
Confluences/divergences: Persistent HTF resistance at 93,150 aligns with risk-off macro; 1D strength is an exception that requires flow/volume confirmation to extend.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro is cautiously constructive on liquidity, but BTC-specific flows are not yet a tailwind, keeping technical resistance meaningful.
Macro events: PBOC liquidity injections aid risk; S&P 500 near ATH with thin US holiday liquidity; elevated cut odds into December create a soft landing narrative but headline risk persists.
Bitcoin analysis: BTC reclaimed 90k with negative/neutral funding; overhead supply 91.9–93k; ETF 7-day flows negative, dampening confidence at resistance.
On-chain data: Liquidity pockets discussed around low 80ks; heavy puts near mid-80ks; recovery impulses need stronger demand inflow and key cost-basis reclaims.
Expected impact: If ETF flows stabilize and price accepts above 93,150, path opens toward 98,115; otherwise the 92,800–93,500 zone favors tactical fades.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC is testing a critical resistance while macro risk-on is tentative and flow support is uneven.
- Trend: Neutral-to-bearish below 93,150; constructive only on confirmed acceptance above.
- Setup: Fade 92,800–93,500 rejections; switch long on ≥2H/4H hold above 93,150 targeting 98,115.
- Macro: ETF 7-day flows remain negative, capping conviction at resistance despite broader liquidity support.
Stay patient at the boss gate; wait for a clean unlock above 93,150 or harvest the rejection.
BTCUSDT Short Scalp Setup, 15 Minute Chart BTC is showing clear weakness after another rejection at $91,900–$92,000.
Combined with strong bearish divergences, this creates a clean short scalp opportunity on the 15-minute timeframe.
📉 1. Bearish Divergences (15M)
Price forms a higher high,
Momentum forms a lower high → classic bearish divergence.
RSI confirms the bearish pressure.
🔴 2. Strong Rejection Zone
The zone at $91,800–$92,000 gets rejected again.
Sellers dominate, buyers show exhaustion.
🎯 3. Short Setup (15M)
Entry: $91,800 – $92,000
Stop-Loss: Above the recent high
Targets:
TP1: $90,440
TP2: $89,600
TP3: $88,900
TP4: $88,000
As long as BTC stays below resistance, the bearish scalp remains valid.
🧩 4. Summary
✔ Bearish divergence
✔ Clear rejection
✔ Weak momentum
✔ Valid short scalp setup
Perfect for a 15M public TradingView idea.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice — just a personal market idea.
Always use your own stop-loss and proper risk management.
93195 and 94000 both touch before 86900Based on the chart structure, the price will definitely touch the two mentioned points in the last 24 hours before falling below 86,900. It should be noted that the current trend will be bullish due to the lack of heavy resistance against Bitcoin, and if the price reaches 95,800, there will be no downward trend for at least 6 weeks.
BTC: Wait for 120KI've repeatedly suggested buying BTC consistently below 90K, and the market has validated my view once again. Our current positions are profitable – keep holding and wait for the high to hit.
Today's BTC Trading Strategy:
BTCUSDT buy@88000-90000
TP:93000-95000
I'll send out accurate signals right at the opening every day, don't miss out.
Is This the Beginning of a New Bull Cycle?Ladies and gentlemen, Bitcoin’s conditions have completely flipped, and if you don’t adapt to the new reality fast, you’re about to leave a lot of profit on the table.
In this analysis, we’re going to look at Bitcoin with zero bias, pure objectivity, and open positions together.
I’m Skeptic, founder of Skeptic Lab . If you want to take your long-term performance to the next level using real psychology, data, and strategy, you’re in the right place.
Let’s start with the daily timeframe 📉
it looks like the pullback is completing. Yesterday’s candle closed extremely bullish, and the odds of the next two daily candles also closing bullish are honestly pretty much. btw Anything upward from here on the daily is just lower highs and a pullback toward 100k. YES, the HWC (weekly) is still in an uptrend, but the daily IS NOT. That doesn’t mean we sit on our hands—we still take longs, but only in lower timeframes and with a completely different risk-management approach (explained below).
🔍 Drop to the 1H for the real triggers.
Yesterday our long trigger fired exactly as planned and gave us a clean +4.35% move (if you missed it, go check yesterday’s analysis). We’ve now reached 91,497.25 and the upper boundary of the 4H ascending channel. From here, two main scenarios: 📍
1. Break of support at 90,892.60 → continuation down to the channel midline, then retest of 88,118.70 support.
2. Break of resistance at 91,497.25 → entry into fresh bullish momentum that can carry us all the way to the next major resistance at 96,066.89 .
Key observation: LWC momentum is strongly bullish. Volume has spiked on the rise and dropped sharply on pullbacks and during consolidation, so the probability of breaking the top is higher right now.
Risk-management difference (this is critical):
- Longs are counter-trend to the daily MWC → we take profit faster and use tighter stops so we can reach target quickly before a single daily candle potentially wipes the whole move.
- Shorts would be with the MWC → we can afford wider risk and scale out with partials.
Volume is our final confirmation here: if we had rising price but decreasing volume on the push to the top → cancel orders. Same rule applies to shorts.
Yesterday, when price rose toward 88,118.70, volume exploded—that was our confirmation, and we entered long.
If this analysis helped you, I’d really appreciate a boost. It keeps the energy coming. 🩵
Now get outta here.
BTCUSD — Bullish Above 82,725 With Long-Term Target at 141,300BTC remains bullish as long as price holds above the key support at 82,725. This zone is the base of the current structure, and maintaining it keeps the long-term target at 141,300 in play. In a bearish scenario, price cannot break above the key support zone; any move toward it while trading below is only a corrective bounce. Holding above 82,725 supports continuation toward 93,723, 103,830, and ultimately 141,300,
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-11-25 12:00 UTC🎯 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-11-25 12:00 UTC
📊 Market Context
Type: Technical outlook
Potential Entry Zone: 87,300 – 87,450
Potential Upside Level: 91,300
Defined Invalidation Level: 85,600
Approx. R/R Concept: ~1:2.25
📈 Technical Analysis Overview
🔹 Fibonacci Structure
Price interacting with the 0.382–0.500 retracement zone
Historically acted as a reaction area
Current structure suggests prior buyer interest
🔹 Order Flow & Liquidity Context
Higher bid activity relative to recent sessions
Liquidity concentration forming under 87,400
Order book imbalance suggests buyers currently more active
🔹 Momentum Indicators
RSI rebounding in 35–45 zone
Stochastic showing bullish cross in lower band
MACD histogram trending upward toward zero line
Volume profile showing active participation around current range
📊 Volume & Trend Context
OBV trending upward over recent candles
Volume spikes near local support
Overall volume structure supportive of continuation if follow-through occurs
🎯 Key Market Levels
Immediate Support: 86,800
Major Support / Invalidation: 85,600
Zone of Interest 1: 89,200
Zone of Interest 2: 91,300
Extended Area (if momentum holds): 93,500
⚡ Structural Notes
Market forming tight consolidation after prior downside
Sellers showing reduced follow-through at support
Multi-timeframe momentum gradually aligning to upside
📘 Trade Planning Concepts (Analysis Only)
Confirmation above 87,400 may indicate stronger buyer intent
Scaling entries can be considered in volatile environments
Break-even adjustment often considered after 89,200
Partial profit-taking at predefined levels can help manage volatility
⚠️ Risk Framework
Maintain position sizing according to personal rules
Predefine invalidation at 85,600
Monitor volume for continuation; low volume may invalidate the structure
Avoid late entries after breakout without pullback
📱 Checklist
Fibonacci zone interaction
Increasing buyer participation
Strengthening momentum indicators
Volume supportive of upward attempts
Favorable risk/reward structure
🧭 Timeframe & Method
Approach: Short-term & Scalping technical analysis
QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) — BTC BOUNCED FROM RESISTANCE✅ 1. Breakout from the downward trendline
On the chart, I see:
a yellow downward trendline—it has been broken,
the candlestick dynamically breaks through it and closes above it.
➡️ This is the first signal of a shift in momentum to upward.
✅ 2. Price is testing the 200 SMA (blue)
BTC is currently:
touching the 200 SMA,
bounces slightly downward—a classic reaction to strong resistance.
➡️ Until we break through the 200 SMA, the market remains in a downtrend.
🟩 3. Nearest resistance levels (green levels on your chart):
90,400 USDT – current resistance (reaction already visible)
92,500 USDT – next important level
93,200–94,000 USDT – strong supply zone
94,900 USDT – strong level from previous bounces
➡️ The closer the price gets to 94–95k, the greater the chance of a downward rebound.
🟥 4. Nearest support levels
From your red levels:
88,700 USDT – first level of defense
87,500 USDT – key support
85,500 USDT – major local bottom
84,150 USDT – extreme support
➡️ If BTC returns below 87.5k, the correction will deepen.
📊 5. RSI — Neutral-Bullet
RSI ~ 55,
Not yet overbought,
RSI trend is increasing.
➡️ There is room for further upward movement.
📉 6. MACD — Bullish Signal
MACD has crossed the signal line upward,
the histogram is rising.
➡️ Upward momentum, shorting here is risky.
Difficult and imperfect swing trade setup on BTCUSD dailyCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken below its rising channel and is now exhibiting a downward trajectory. This shift creates a potential swing-trading opportunity arising from two distinct scenarios:
A reversal of the current downward trend, leading to a renewed bullish movement, or
A temporary pullback within the continuation of a broader bearish trend.
On the weekly timeframe, the first major traditional moving average above the current price is the 50-week moving average, positioned at approximately 100,000 USD. The daily chart reflects a similar structure: the nearest significant moving average above is again the 50-day moving average, also situated near 100,000 USD. This alignment establishes a notable—albeit high-risk—swing-trade setup. Should the price initiate even a micro bullish trend within a larger bearish context, the most probable target for such a move would be a reversion toward the 50 DMA at around 100,000 USD.
Supporting this thesis, several momentum indicators—specifically the RSI, Rate of Change (ROC), and MACD—are beginning to turn upward from recent troughs. This emerging positive momentum suggests that underlying buying strength may be forming, which would be consistent with the early stages of a bullish swing within a broader bearish structure.
A potential entry trigger on the daily chart would occur once price breaks above and remains above the 10 DMA for a sustained period (e.g., a 1- to 3-day confirmation filter, depending on risk tolerance). Historically, such moves have provided reliable signals on at least four consecutive prior occasions as depicted in the chart.
However, caution is warranted: daily closes above the 10 DMA are common, and many such moves fail to persist. This is why a multi-day filter is proposed—to increase the probability that the breakout represents a genuine shift rather than short-lived noise.
Proposed Trade Parameters
Entry: Break and sustained hold above the 10 DMA (estimated near 90,000 USD).
Take Profit (TP): Reversion to the 50 DMA (approximately 100,000 USD).
Stop Loss (SL): A daily close back below the 10 DMA (likely around 95,000 USD).
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Important Caveats: This setup is inherently imperfect, as both the entry and stop-loss levels are determined by moving averages and the trade itself yields a relatively modest risk–reward profile. Moreover, the rationale for a bullish retracement is based solely on technical patterns—specifically, the observation that counter-trend rallies frequently occur even within pronounced bearish phases. There is, at this point, no anticipated fundamental catalyst or macro-level justification supporting an imminent bullish move; the thesis is grounded entirely in probabilistic technical behaviour.






















