BTC Elliott Wave Analysis Shows Fifth Wave GrowthBTC continues to form its fifth wave of growth, according to Elliott Wave Theory and the previous analysis from August 28, 2025
I'm making some adjustments as the fifth wave's movement has dragged on, and it was expected to be faster
The decline from October 10, 2025, played out perfectly according to the bearish local ascending expanding wedge pattern, which we indicated on our website from August 28, 2025. The only unexpected thing was the extremely rapid decline over an extremely short period of time. This decline will be historic in its speed
According to the previous analysis, the picture has become clearer, and according to the fifth wave's trajectory, the price could now reach $132,000 - $135,000 with this peak occurring in late September, possibly November
Two patterns are currently forming well, which, after rising above the aforementioned levels, both lead to a decline to $90,000 - $100,000 (whether the price will go lower is still unclear), but these levels are roughly the lower boundary of the ascending corridor
We currently have two possible scenarios: the first is a head and shoulders pattern, and the second is a triple top
If the second pattern forms, the price could again reach its all-time high in the $140,000 - $150,000 region
This will likely happen around summer, after which the market will decline significantly, to levels that are still difficult to predict
It's also worth considering that if there is strong positive news from the US government, there's a strong chance the ascending corridor and its upper boundary will be broken
Important
This analysis can be destroyed, provided that the government of the USA, China, and other world economic leaders makes any powerful positive statement regarding BTC, with the signing of relevant documents
Trade ideas
BTC 15M Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 55☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 15-Minutes timeframe .
👀 On the 15-minute timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after breaking out and consolidating above the $114,351 zone, BTC began moving upward and is now trading within a 15-minute range. A breakout from this range could trigger the next move. The top of this trading range sits at $115,715 and the bottom at $114,750 — breaking and holding beyond either level could start a strong leg for Bitcoin as the new week begins.
🧮 The RSI oscillator on the 15-minute timeframe shows Bitcoin currently moving within a range capped at 64 on the top and 42 on the bottom. A breakout from this RSI range could significantly increase buying or selling momentum, adding fuel to Bitcoin’s next move.
🕯 The size, volume, and count of green candles have increased since the flash crash, and institutions like BlackRock, World Liberty, and Trump-aligned funds have been averaging solid buy positions. With rising buying volume, Bitcoin could break through its ticker-seller resistance at $115,715 and continue its bullish move following the recent dramatic flash crash.
🔍 Despite concerns like the ongoing U.S.–China economic (tariff) war, the market remains in a risk-off mode on higher timeframes. If entering trades, we aim to manage capital across multiple entries — for example, allocating only 0.25% risk per position or averaging in gradually.
🧠 Two trading scenarios are considered for Bitcoin, both offering clear opportunities for structured entries.
↗️ Long scenario (breakout above the range):
If Bitcoin breaks above $115,715 with rising buy volume and RSI crossing above 64, it could initiate another strong bullish leg toward higher resistance levels.
📉 Short scenario (breakdown below the range):
If the micro-buyer support at $114,750 — a key demand zone — breaks, Bitcoin may extend its correction downward. This move should coincide with RSI losing the 42 level and increasing sell volume. Note: in short positions, take profits quickly and maintain tight risk-to-reward control.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
#BTCUSDT Daily ChartPrice did a huge sweep and tapped into our 4h demand zone where it got heavily rejected from then retested our 4h demand at 109.5k before moving up again. MACD is still showing bearish momentum, RSI and EMAs are both neutral. Price is expected to keep pushing upwards from here towards our daily supply zone at 121k as a midterm target.
BTC Weekly Outlook (Oct 13 → Oct 20)After that brutal dump on Oct 10, BTC has been slowly reclaiming key levels — showing a short-term optimism across the market. It’s clear that many traders are buying the dip, thinking the crash was just a massive long squeeze after an overheated rally.
But personally, I don’t think it was just a long squeeze. It felt like a broader reaction to Trump’s sudden policy shift — something the market simply couldn’t price in fast enough. Both equities and crypto got hit hard by that shock, especially since everything had only recently stabilized after months of inconsistent policy moves under Trump’s return.
Looking at BTC, ETH, and internal money flow across the crypto market, I think we’re likely to see another short-term correction coming soon. Here’s why:
Profit-taking after the bounce:
The market just recovered from a deep dip — many short-term traders will likely take profits early, especially since the last BTC collapse still left a scar on most of them.
Stalled inflows:
The recent bounce didn’t come with major inflows. There’s been some recovery, but overall volume and liquidity seem to be slowing down.
Smart money behavior:
This bounce looks heavily driven by institutional/smart money. These players don’t gamble — they’ll wait to see how the market reacts next. If BTC drops again, expect them to pull back temporarily or rotate funds into BTC from alts (e.g., ETH).
Heavy resistance ahead:
BTC faces a major resistance zone at $116.8k – $117.5k. Breaking through that level will require a strong, high-volume push — not something easy to achieve right now.
Still, the weekly (W) timeframe remains healthy — momentum is intact, and overall this could still be viewed as a normal correction inside a larger bullish structure.
My take for the week (Oct 13 → Oct 20)
Price will likely attempt to push into the resistance zone above, but I expect at least one rejection bounce before any real breakout.
If that push fails, BTC might retest market sentiment around $114k, or in a more bearish case, down to $112k – $111.8k.
So this week, keep an eye on how price reacts near the upper resistance.
If we see a strong rejection, it’s worth considering short opportunities toward the lower zone — but be flexible with exits depending on how price reacts.
During the first half of the week, expect some choppy, whipsaw moves as bulls and bears fight for control.
After Oct 16, we’ll likely get a clearer short-term trend direction for the following week.
BTCUSDT – Shift in Structure Signals Bullish MomentumBTCUSDT is displaying a clear shift in market structure after a prolonged corrective phase. The recent formation of a Higher Low (HL) followed by a break to the upside indicates that sellers are losing control and buyers are gradually stepping back in. According to Dow Theory, the emergence of consecutive Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows confirms a trend reversal—and BTC is currently aligning with that structure.
The RSI has recovered strongly from oversold levels without showing any bearish divergence, which further validates bullish strength rather than signaling exhaustion. With price reclaiming previous resistance levels and converting them into support, momentum appears to be building for a potential continuation move. As long as price sustains above the recent Higher Low, BTCUSDT is poised to print new HHs, supporting a bullish outlook for the sessions ahead.
BTC📊 BTCUSDT 4H Analysis – Key Reversal Zones
Bitcoin has shown a sharp recovery after a strong bearish impulse, bouncing from lower demand zones. The current move suggests a possible short-term corrective rally before facing significant resistance levels.
Potential Reversal Zones:
🔹 115,803.24 – First reaction area / potential intraday resistance.
🔹 117,494.52 – 118,572.76 – Key resistance range; watch for rejection signals here.
🔹 121,238.05 – Major resistance zone where strong selling pressure could appear.
If BTC continues to hold above 113,000, a push toward 118K remains likely. However, failure to sustain above current support could lead to a deeper retracement toward lower liquidity zones around 108K – 106K.
📈 Bias: Short-term bullish correction within a larger bearish trend.
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
BTCUSDT — Possible Rejection from Channel ResistanceBitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of the linear regression channel near the $114,500–$115,000 resistance zone.
The Stochastic Oscillator is showing overbought conditions, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
A rejection from this level could send BTC back toward the midline or lower channel support near $113,000–$112,300.
However, a confirmed breakout above $115,700 would invalidate the bearish bias and open room for continuation higher.
🔹 Timeframe: 15m
🔹 Indicator: Linear Regression Channel, Stochastic (10,3,3)
🔹 Exchange: Binance
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #Scalping #PriceAction #CryptoTrading
Breakout Or Breakdown?Price has recently shown signs of bullish intent after a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), breaking above previous lower highs. This shift suggests potential accumulation following the BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside earlier.
Key Levels:
Resistance (R) Zone: Currently testing this supply area. A strong close above could confirm continuation.
Support Zone: Below, previous demand and BOS zone, likely to act as support if price rejects.
Bullish Scenario:
A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone could open up a push towards higher targets, confirming bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects strongly from resistance, we may see a return to the lower support zone and potentially break it to reach the lower target.
Watch for confirmation before entering, and manage risk accordingly.
btc idea We had a great run since Nov 2022 when wave 2 bottomed. Wave 3 delivered a massive rally, peaking near 109k.
Since then, I’ve been tracking wave 4:
Wave A bottomed ~75k
Wave B rallied us to the 124k rejection right at the 0.618 fib
This rally wasn’t impulsive but corrective (classic Wave B overshoot).
⚠️ If BTC loses 110k on 1D, the probability for a sharp Wave C massively increases → target 66-68k.
From there, Wave 5 could unfold with a brand new rally. 🚀
Forecast for BTCUSDT 12th October 2026 (Updated)Forecast for BTC for the next 4 weeks. Weekend/Monday pump to ~$115k followed by a decline to to ~$107k followed by a bullish counter-trend pump to ~$120k.
Counter-trend pump then gets exhausted then back down to ~$102k-103k for a bottoming before all time highs to ~$150k-$170k-$200k
Crystal ball into BitcoinI'm predicting not only the price but also the date Bitcoin is going to reach 100,000
Bitcoin will reach $100,000 exactly 5 weeks from now on around 20th of November.
Look at the chart. It is respecting the trend line and also the first time cycle which I have drawn. It has happened twice before and the next predicted date is 25th of November.
BTCUSDT up to 17400-17800 as response to last declineI am waiting an incline to 117400-117800 as response to last decline within 5 days. But after that will be whatching the the finacial and the political environment with my finger on the key. BTC will have to do ıts best till the end of October (Last rocket to 135000 -14000 etc) and the beginning of November especially in November I am vaiting a deep correction to 93000 BTC
Btc ABCD harmonic 50-200Posted yesterday about a bullish shark harmonic I was looking at, as someone who is interested in harmonics I've been widening my search for other harmonics on the chart and have now come up with a bearish ABCD.
When I say bearish, the D point is around the $144,xxx area, my theory being that the bullish shark harmonic closes the CME gap which is the golden pocket of the ABCD.
This isn't financial advice, this is just my thoughts........
BTC Macro PathInner channel still intact.
If this structure holds, Bitcoin could stretch to the $140K–$150K zone before the next major reset.
That level likely marks the cycle top after which a sharp correction back to the $70K region becomes the next logical move.
Not the end of the bull, just the part where patience and discipline separate traders from tourists.
NFA
BTC likely scenario is to re-test the 120K USD BTC will likely restest the upper trend line (~120k) while ETH will make a new All time High in
coming 2/3 weeks.
NOTE: the longer BTC hang 110k range the stronger will be the ALT season.
Scenario1:
BTC will likely establish itself above 120k (for 2 week) we will se a three week ALT season.
Scenario2:
If BTC get rejected at 120k ETH will consolidate at 4000-5000 range while other ALT have to wait for ALT season or ALT will rise for momentarily only.
BTC: 145,000-170000$ would be a good exit
ETH: 8000-14000$
ADA: 7-13$
NOTE: MISAKENLY wrote 20k on chart, Correction it is 120k