BTCUSDT OUTLOOKtoo many news make the market unpredictable so be careful
here is my outlook of my BTCUSDT
BTCUST.P trade ideas
Short term bitcoin move Bitcoin has landed on a support coupled with a trendline at 112000…
It will make an attempt to retest the upper trendline at around 114000 before finally dumping to 107500…
pullbackI think the next bit will have a correction period and the price will not hold the $120,000 floor.
BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest above an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $118109.1
Take Profit; $115956.8
Stop Loss; $118757.7
Bitcoin Go 70k Bitcoin repeats the pattern again and MACD is showing us a big drop and RSI is also showing negative divergence on the weekly chart.
Bitcoin Go 70k
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MVRV Demystified: A Guide to Tops, Bottoms & RiskFinancial nerds love to give tools weird names to make them look like fortune-tellers. Some actually are predictive—like grandma’s dreams!🌙 I’m Skeptic from Skeptic Lab , and today we’re talking about MVRV .. First off, it can’t predict the future , but it tells you four key things:🔮
Identifying market tops and bottoms
Assessing market sentiment
Trading strategies
Risk management
What is MVRV? 🔍
Imagine you have a box of chocolates. You want to know how many you have and what they’d be worth if everyone decided to buy or sell.
MVRV is a number that shows: “How the current value of everyone’s chocolates compares to the price they originally paid.”
High MVRV → people are selling chocolates for much more than they paid → expensive market.
Low MVRV → people are selling for less than they paid → cheap market, potential buy zone.
In short: MVRV is like a green/red light for buying and selling chocolates 🍫🚦.
The Formula ➗
Market Value (MV): total value of all coins at current market price.
Realized Value (RV): total value based on last on-chain transaction price — a "truer" cost basis, filtering out short-term volatility.
Why Z-Score? ✨
MVRV alone sometimes misleads:
In bull markets , it can stay high for weeks → fake sell signals.
Low MVRV can just be short-term noise.
One week after MVRV was introduced, David Puell and Murad Mahmudov created the MVRV Z-Score. It standardizes MVRV against historical mean and volatility, showing if current levels are truly abnormal.
Z > 7 → speculative top
Z < 0 → deep undervaluation, potential bottom
Applications 🎯
Spotting Tops & Bottoms:
High MVRV (>3.5) = late bull top
Low MVRV (<1) = bear bottom, strong buy
Z-Score filters extremes
Market Sentiment:
High = greed, low = fear → emotional barometer
Trading Moves:
Long-term: buy <1, hold
Medium-term: sell >3.7, buy <1
Timebound MVRV (365d, 60d) shows short vs long-term holder pressure
Risk Management:
Identifying potential profit zones Checks if BTC is overpriced/undervalued vs RV
Works best combined with SOPR, NVT, macro factors
Limitations 🌡️
Sensitive to volatility
Assumes on-chain movements = sales (not always)
Blind to shocks (regulations, macro events)
Overvaluation can persist → mistimed sell signals
Needs historical data → weak for new coins
Not standalone → combine with other metrics
Conclusion 📍
MVRV compares Market Value to Realized Value → shows over- or undervaluation
Identifies market tops and bottoms
Z-Score filters noise, highlights abnormal levels
Historically effective in Bitcoin cycles
Best used with other metrics for holistic analysis
Boost for more Skeptic takes :) 📈
Disclaimer: This article was written for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
#BTC is about to test support 📊#BTC is about to test support ⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, the 8-hour support zone has been broken, turning into resistance. Optimism remains only if this zone is successfully broken and stabilized. Currently, the price is within the 12-hour support zone, and there has been no rapid test of the important support zone of 110,000-112,000. I believe the probability of a test of this support zone is still high, so please ensure proper risk management.
Let's see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Head and Shoulders BTCObvious head and shoulders patter.
Needs to close below neckline for confirmation.
Height of Head to Neckline (price difference) X 2 = Price Target
Remember, Always to set a stop loss :)
btc is heading for double red (RT-Tool) Btc is on its way to double red after the failed reclaim of the upper blue extension !
Does this looks like a wyckoff pattern? The way i look at it:
1. Follows the market structure
2. It's a long term trader setup
3. Similar to chart pattern of Wyckoff
This chart has been in analyzed from monthly to H4. H4 has cross the EMA, to 'short' but D1,W1 and M1 still carry 'Bull'.
Therefore, it depends on what type of trader are you and your entry should follows it.
Follows price action and see the bigger market structure for money magnet area.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Attempts to Buy Back
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst, and here is the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin formed a large number of anomalous clusters both in delta and horizontal volume. Buyers attempted to resume growth, but after reaching the resistance zone of $114,700–$116,000 (seller’s market activity zone), the price moved into a correction.
The situation now looks quite ambiguous. On the one hand, the large number of anomalies indicates the weakening efficiency of sellers. On the other hand, buyers are not yet showing strong activity. Locally, we may still see upward expansion. However, the price has approached the key minimum at $112,000, which is highly likely to be tested since a large number of stop orders and liquidity are concentrated below it.
From a broader perspective, there is a strong probability of balance expansion in the downward direction with a subsequent test of the $110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes) zone. The only question is whether this scenario develops in the coming days or next week.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,700–$116,000 (seller’s market activity)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (absorption of buys)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin sell short 97000Bitcoin has a correction to 97,000 after the twin ceiling and daily divergence as before
97000
Bitcoin Go 97000Bitcoin has a correction to 97,000 after the twin ceiling and daily divergence as before
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #159👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. Today, Bitcoin is sitting right on a very important support level. Let’s see what could happen in the market.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Today, I removed the old range we had on Bitcoin and added a support zone around 112000.
✔️ The reason for removing the old range was that the price had broken through it several times, both from above and below, so it could no longer be considered a Maker Buyer or Maker Seller zone.
🔔 The new zone I drew is a very strong support, and right now the price is fluctuating inside it.
✨ The 114790 trigger is a good entry signal for a long position, confirming that the price has been supported by the Maker Buyer zone. The important resistance levels above are at 116829 and 119096.
💥 If the 112233 level breaks, a sharp bearish leg could occur. But in my view, it is unlikely to happen today. If it does, it will probably come after Powell’s speech tomorrow.
🧩 Breaking the 30 level on RSI is still the momentum trigger for Bitcoin. If it enters the oversold zone, Bitcoin’s momentum will turn bearish, and the RSI could move down toward 24.60.
🔍 For today and tomorrow, I prefer not to open any new positions and wait until Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole event to see when the market chooses its direction.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Game PlanBTC Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is currently retracing lower after printing new all-time highs.
It is moving toward the 112,000$ level, which contains significant liquidity. Therefore, I expect a strong bounce from that zone.
Additionally, price is approaching the equilibrium level (0.5 Fibonacci), which represents a discount for me.
📌 Game Plan
I expect price to retrace to the 111,316$ level and bounce from there.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will be watching the 4H market structure for confirmation before initiating a position.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H swing low confirming the BOS
Targets:
TP1: 118,446$
TP2: 124,351$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Bitcoin Cycle Repetition? Eyeing $70K Support
Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high around $124,500, but the current weekly structure is flashing similarities to the 2021–2022 cycle, when BTC dropped from $69K to $15K (-75%). If history rhymes, a significant correction may be underway.
🔍 Cycle Comparison
2021–2022: 69K → 15K (−75%)
2024–2025: 124.5K → Potential 65–70K (−45%)
Both cycles show strong rallies followed by potential double-top formations, which historically have triggered deeper corrections.
📌 Key Levels
🔼 Resistance: $120K – $124.5K
⚖️ Mid Support: $92K – $85K
🔽 Major Support: $65K – $70K
📈 Bullish Scenario
Condition: Weekly close above 125K
Targets: 135K → 145K
📉 Bearish Scenario (Main)
Condition: Weekly close below 110K
Targets: 92K → 78K → 68K
⚖️ Conclusion
Bitcoin may be entering another historical correction phase, similar to the 2021–2022 cycle. The 65–70K zone remains the strategic support. However, if BTC breaks and holds above 125K, the bearish outlook will be invalidated.
👉 The next few weekly closes will likely decide the bigger trend – patience and risk management are key.
History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes — stay prepared for both outcomes.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is personal analysis only, not financial advice.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSDT #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 18💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after hitting the $115,000 zone, it got rejected with a relatively strong red candle and is now moving toward its support at $112,700 .
⚙️ We have two key zones in the RSI : the support zone at 30 , and the resistance zone for long positions at 59.67. Breaking these levels can push Bitcoin toward its alarm zone and sensitive price area for a breakout .
🕯 The size of the red candles is getting smaller , showing reduced selling pressure , while the green reversal candles from $112,700 are closing larger and stronger than before .
💵 USDT.D on the 1-hour timeframe is moving toward its resistance at 4.46% , but the trend is weakening and the size of the buying candles is shrinking . In previous attempts to reach this zone, it faced rejection . If the 4.36% support level is lost , strong inflows could move into Bitcoin .
🔔 Our trading alarm zones are at $115,000 and $112,700 . These zones usually break with increased volume and volatility , and by watching price behavior there , we can find the best trading opportunities .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin (BTC): Expecting Bounce From $112K ZoneBTC still struggles to reclaim the local high zones on a smaller timeframe, where sellers are showing a decent amount of pressure, which might lead the price to the $112,000 area.
We are not going to rush, as we have mentioned before; we wait for a proper sign of reversal, which would start with buyers reclaiming the $114,500, which recently got taken by sellers.
Once we see the price form BOS near that zone, we will be starting to look for a full-scale breakout and then another buy-side movement where we can also take a position or two.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently downtrending on 4H chart. I am watching how price reacts to the HTF resistance zone, which price is currently at. I want to see if the price will keep downtrending on the low-timeframe trend or if it will start to reverse
Wait for break down trend line b4 buyBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P hello guys it's time to buy BTC🫸 wait for double bottom and break down trend line . b4 you buy again Good for Long terms And swing trading Guys📈😊
BTC at the bottom of GTF range🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
• Above: 114150 / 115700 / 116455
• Below: 112300 / 111850 / 110653
🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap:
• Above: 114957 / 116098 / 116953
• Below: 112866 / 112201 / 110061
Liquidity pool under 111850 remains major magnet for the price. Will it be wiped out or not, no one knows for sure, but chances are very high. Especially since stocks took a hit yesterday. So either BTC dips and pumps back up fast, or that can turn into full scale correction down to 109k at least.
Developing quarter VWAP and Daily 20sma now form the strongest resistance on the way from 116010 to 116455 (values are approximate).
⏰ TG alarms set for: 111850, 110432, dev Quarter VWAP/VAH & Day 20-sma
New moon consolidation period & Camarilla pivots hintsMy choice is to use some very basic indicators as Pivot Points Standard - available in every exchange and TV for free. From the settings menu, just choose - Camarilla Pivots. I prefer to hide 1 and 2 and to use only P - pivot and S5, S4, S3, R3, R4, R5.
My observation. Usually S4 is support and bounce level. R4 - resistance, rejection level. They could be used on any time frame. 3, 5, 15 minute - daily pivots; 30 minutes up to 8 h - Camarilla pivots for the week. D - monthly; W - pivot levels for the year.
BTC reached S4 and still this level gives strong support. Nothing wrong if it goes to S5, but it will mark weakness. And yet, if BTC don't loose it, there is a chance a long term bullish continuation to be held.
There is new moon in Virgo - 23.08. Usually new moon is the start of the new cycle, but the start starts with clearing the “floor“ so to say. Move down ant testing the health of lower levels.
For now, BTC holds not only S4 - Camarilla pivots, but 50% of Asia - 19.08. It already take 50% from the previous red vector candle.
Price projection till the end of the week, based on the factors, indicators and characteristic of the price action, mentioned above.
If BTC loose S4 - S5 109700 has to hold. If BTC continue up to S3 before saturday, it could be more build for the short, rather bullish continuation.
I will not take any action or trade before Monday 25.08.25
Bitcoin Short Setup _ Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has managed to break the Support zone($114,720-$113,570)/Now=Resistance zone and 50_EMA(Daily) , as I expected in the previous idea . And now it seems that Bitcoin is completing a pullback .
Also, on the 1-hour time frame , if you look closely, Bitcoin seems to be moving inside a descending channel .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 , so that microwave 4 could have an Expanding Flat structure(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $112,640 after completing the pullback ( microwave 4 of the main wave 3 ).
Second Target: $112,323
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $116,755-$115,778
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $114,500-$114,077
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $112,615-$111,743
Note: From today until Friday, important indexes will be released from the US, which can create excitement in financial markets, especially crypto, and even change the market trend when released.
Note: Most likely, after Bitcoin touches the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) and 100_SMA(Daily), we should wait for Bitcoin to bounce back (you might be able to look for a long position trigger in that zone).
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $114,823
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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