$BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
30min hollows
After a spectacular price drop of 16% - 17% over 8 hours on 30 minutes timeframe chart...
We can say that a downward parallel channel has been formed, from which since the price came out of the channel, this signaled the beginning of the consolidation phase, that is the stabilization of the price.
The stabilization rate ranges between 4%.
So using the Fibonacci retracement sequence, we can see the Support and Resistance areas forming.
So there is this condition:
If the price is within the support point and breaks it downwards, this means that the market trend will be downward.
Respectively, if the price enters the resistance point and then breaks it, we can say that we have an upward market trend.
and then the resistance point will become the support point.
Good Luck
#CryptoHellas team
Trade ideas
BTC forms a global bull flag inside a local bear flagBTC forms a global bull flag inside a local bear flag, signaling a possible short-term decline before a major upward rebound and fifth Elliott wave
BTC has formed a local bear flag, which I wrote about earlier, and if it is broken, the price will go down. However, a more global pattern has recently begun to form within which the movement is taking place: a bull flag
For this to form, we must approach or touch its lower boundary, possibly with a false breakout, in order to rebound and move higher
If we reach the intended fall levels, we will form an accumulation zone at the lower boundary of the bull flag, from which we can then move higher. According to the previous analysis, this movement will be the 5th Elliott wave, after which we will move lower
Current price: $111,134
The probable rebound and accumulation zone is between $95,100 and $107,900
Important:
Only after reaching the expected levels is an upward movement possible according to the pattern: these are the nearest zones of $109,500 and $110,800 , if this occurs. The pattern will be worked out, until the movement continues above these boundaries, possibly to $114,100 and higher...
An expected downward breakout within the pattern is possible to $92,700
BTC1. Market Context Before the Move
On-chain metrics showed exchange outflows, reduced available BTC, and rising whale wallet accumulation, setting the stage for reduced downside panic and shallow liquidity sweeps.
Open interest and funding rates were balanced and slightly declining, meaning the market was not heavily biased in either direction—prime territory for a liquidity-driven move rather than a trend breakout.
2. The Downside Liquidity Sweep / Stop-Hunt
As seen on both clusters and TradingView, price broke down and aggressively swept the lower support/liquidation cluster ($109,500–110,000).
This cascade triggered long position liquidations and wiped out late, over-leveraged bulls, creating a "liquidity vacuum."
At the same time, aggressive shorts tried to chase the breakdown, but on-chain delta and liquidations confirmed most were too late and then quickly liquidated on the reversal.
3. Reversal and Pump: The Smart Money Play
After the downside flush, aggressive buying (positive delta, increasing OI around support) stepped in. This absorption matched large clusters
Price bounced sharply out of the support box, confirming this was a classic institutional stop-hunt and fade.
Longs who entered at the lowest liquidity cluster had the best risk/reward entries and quickly saw price rocket back above intraday support.
4. Short-Term Distribution/Profit-Taking
As the move unfolded, net long profit-taking began. Price faced resistance in the prior mid-range (your TradingView upper white box, $111,800–$113,000).
Shorts who entered early were liquidated, while new shorts began building higher—creating another potential squeeze if price surges again.
Order flow delta signals showed longs in profit reducing exposure, while new shorts may be "fuel" for further upside.
5. Price Action Structure (TradingView 4h TA)
The chart now shows price sitting inside a high-confluence support box, repeatedly defended as the main liquidity magnet.
If this box holds, intraday bounces or even a reversion to the upper resistance range ($113,000+) remain the highest probability play.
Failure to hold (strong breakdown with negative delta and OI spike) targets another flush and stop-hunt below.
players:
Open long if price
108500-109800
risk Takers : 109k-111k range
tp: 111,400
111,600
111,900
112,400
stop: 107600
BTC testing key support levelBitcoin is now testing a key support zone between $107,000 and $109,000.
This area has been tested three times in the last weeks, each time producing a bounce, which suggests that buyers are ready to step in around this price.
Large on‑chain wallets are accumulating near $108k, adding hidden buying pressure that helps defend the level. Volume‑profile analysis shows a high‑volume node at the same price, another classic sign of strong support.
If the daily candle closes cleanly above this range, the floor is likely solid and the next target becomes the $115k–$120k resistance band.
Conversely, a daily close below $107k–$109k would flip the narrative from defended floor to broken support.
A break of the support would open the path toward $96,000, a psychologically important round‑number zone and the next major point of interest.
A sizable cluster of stop‑losses and pending sell orders sits just above $95k, so price could accelerate once that barrier is breached.
Should price fail to hold at $96k and keep falling, the next structural test is the downward trend line that converges near $91k.
In short, today’s critical signal is the daily close: stay above $107k for a bullish continuation, fall below for a move toward $96k, and watch the $91k trend line for a longer‑term structural shift.
Risk management is essential; the $96k area offers a favourable risk‑to‑reward profile for long‑term holders.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #198👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. The price is in a very sensitive area, so it’s important to have a proper analysis.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin is still near its support zone and is ranging around 110,420.
⭐ The top of the range is 111,714, and the price is forming a compression.
✨ At the same time, the RSI has formed a range between 30 and 50 and is oscillating.
📊 If 110,420 breaks, the probability of breaking the range increases significantly, and this level can serve as a good early short trigger.
📈 For long positions, we can open the first position on a break of 111,714. The next entry points would be 113,218 and 115,698.
🔔 Currently, market volume is very important and decisive; the volume favors sellers, which increases the probability of a bearish scenario. If this volume persists, Bitcoin’s support zone could break.
💥 However, if we see a change in volume and buying volume exceeds selling volume, we can expect Bitcoin to be supported in this area and move upwards.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Mastering the Hanging Man PatternAlright, traders, let’s talk about the Hanging Man candlestick pattern.
This one’s a classic, and if you know what you’re looking at, it can be a game changer when you’re spotting potential reversals. So, what exactly is the Hanging Man pattern, and how can you use it to your advantage? Let’s break it down.
What Is the Hanging Man Pattern?
The Hanging Man pattern appears when the market has been pushing higher, and then—bam—a sign that it could be running out of steam. It’s called the Hanging Man chart pattern because the candlestick looks like a little figure hanging by its feet, with a long lower wick. The body is small, and the lower shadow is long—typically at least twice the size of the body. This shows that while buyers were in control, sellers came in strong towards the end of the session, pushing prices lower.
Hanging Man candles can be red or green. Even though the candle is green, it still suggests the same potential reversal because the rejection of higher prices by the sellers shows weakening bullish pressure. The key point to remember is that the Hanging Man candle pattern signals potential exhaustion in an uptrend. It doesn’t guarantee that the trend is reversing, but it highlights that the bullish momentum is waning, which could be a sign that a reversal is near.
Where to Look for the Hanging Man Pattern?
Context is everything. The Hanging Man pattern is much more significant when it appears at the top of an uptrend. In this case, it suggests that buyers are losing control, and the market could soon turn bearish. If it appears after a downtrend, it’s known as an Inverted Hammer, and its interpretation is different—it could signal a potential reversal to the upside.
So, while the Hanging Man is typically seen as a bearish reversal indicator after a sustained uptrend, it is crucial to recognize that the context matters. A Hanging Man at the peak of a strong bullish trend often attracts attention from traders as a potential signal for a shift in momentum.
How to Confirm the Reversal?
The key to using the Hanging Man pattern effectively is the confirmation candle. After spotting the Hanging Man candlestick pattern, you’ll want to wait for a bearish candlestick in the next session that closes below the low of the Hanging Man candle. This confirms that sellers have taken control and that the market is likely heading lower.
It’s also important to consider the volume during the confirmation. A strong bearish Hanging Man pattern with higher-than-usual volume adds strength to the reversal signal. If the confirmation candle has low volume, it might not carry as much weight, so always consider the volume when confirming the pattern.
However, the Hanging Man candlestick pattern is not foolproof. A Hanging Man trading pattern without confirmation can sometimes lead to a false reversal, especially in markets with high volatility or when the overall trend is still strong.
False Signals and Pitfalls
One of the biggest challenges when trading the Hanging Man pattern candlestick is false signals. In choppy or sideways markets, the pattern may form but fail to lead to a true reversal. To avoid these traps, consider waiting for the confirmation candle and also use other tools to verify the signal, like:
Trendlines: Ensure the market is actually in an uptrend before considering the Hanging Man pattern.
Support/Resistance Levels: Wait for a breakdown below a significant support level to increase confidence in the reversal.
Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD): Use momentum indicators to confirm that buying pressure is truly weakening, as suggested by the Hanging Man pattern.
These additional tools can help you filter out false signals and increase the reliability of your trades.
The Hanging Man pattern can be a valuable tool when used correctly, but it’s not a standalone signal. It works best when combined with other forms of technical analysis, such as momentum indicators, trendlines, and volume analysis. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and always manage your risk. The Hanging Man trading pattern is a great addition to your candlestick pattern toolbox, but it should be used as part of a broader strategy that includes multiple indicators and sound risk management.
BTC is ready to to 160K (or 79K)My view is that by November 18, Bitcoin will have surpassed $148,000. There is a risk that, ahead of the decisive breakout, the market could perform a liquidity run down to ~$79,000 to shake out revenge trades and weak hands. Note that such a drop would also break the long-term channel that traces from $15,000 to the present. Despite that tail risk, I assess the base route as a move toward $148,000, and I expect this to unfold within roughly one month.
TRADING LEVERAGE | How to Manage RISK vs REWARDFor today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio "
We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management.
You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this :
💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position.
Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ?
The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed. The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk.
For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...)
Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL.
Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example:
Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3.
Another way to express this visually:
In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like:
If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable.
Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
Bitcoin – Corrective Structure Developing#Bitcoin – Corrective Structure Developing
Current price: $110,350
Bitcoin continues to trade inside a corrective structure, suggesting the market may be preparing for another downward leg before a potential recovery.
🧩 Technical Overview
• Price failed to hold above the $112,000 resistance zone and has since formed a descending pattern, likely part of an ABC correction.
• The local structure shows repeated lower highs and compression around $110,000, confirming seller control in the short term.
• The correction remains active while price stays below $112,000–$112,500.
📉 Scenario
• The market is forming a short-term bearish continuation pattern, with potential extension toward deeper Fibonacci supports.
• Stop-loss: above the $112,000 resistance zone.
• Downside zones to watch:
– $108,900–$107,300 — initial support area (0.5–0.618 Fib range)
– $105,000 — critical pivot zone
– $99,000–$100,000 — key Fibonacci cluster and potential short-term bottom
– $93,000–$88,000 — extended target range if pressure intensifies
⚙️ Market Context
• BTC remains in a corrective pullback phase following a strong September rally.
• Broader sentiment shows reduced risk appetite across crypto and macro assets.
• A sustained break below $105,000 could accelerate selling pressure, while recovery above $112,000 would invalidate the bearish scenario.
🧭 Summary
Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a corrective pattern, leaning bearish below $112,000.
Short-term momentum favors further downside toward $105,000–$99,000, with deeper extensions possible near $93,000–$88,000.
Until a breakout confirms otherwise, the bias remains cautiously bearish in the near term.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Inside the Range
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily analysis.
Yesterday, unfortunately, buyers failed to regain market activity, and today we’ve once again moved down to the lower boundary of the range. After a false breakout of the local low, the price bounced back and tested a small demand zone at $112,000–$113,000 formed yesterday.
The cumulative delta continues to decline, showing ineffective buying pressure.
On the other hand, the price is being squeezed tightly toward the $109,500 low, suggesting a possible liquidity sweep soon. In case of a false breakout, the move could extend up to $115,000.
However, if we see a clear breakout and consolidation below, the scenario shifts toward short positions.
Buy Zones:
• $109,500 (false breakout level),
• $97,000–$93,000 (volume cluster).
Sell Zones:
• $112,000–$113,000 (local volume zone),
• $114,400–$115,600 (local volume zone),
• $120,900–$124,000 (major volume zone).
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTC - Another Wick Down to 35,000Per this parallel ascending Channel breakdown - expect another large wick to the downside.
Short Entry - 111,200 to 112,500
Stop Loss - 112,700
Target 1 - 97,350
Target 2 - 64,700
Target 3 - 36,100
This is the first wick down of a 3 wave corrective movement.
I will break the trade down into smaller segments.
For the larger idea see related post “Ultimate Swing Short”
- DD
BTC Hello, as we can see in the monthly Bitcoin timeline, Bitcoin was stuck in the resistance area of $106,593 from late 2024 to mid-2025. In the first half of 2025, this area was broken by a strong candle and has not been able to return to this area to this day, and the $106,593 area has become a strong support area.If Bitcoin can break the support zone below, Bitcoin’s next support will be $95,733. Otherwise, if it breaks the triangle, it could reach $150,000 by the end of the year.
Can BTC break the 111681$ resistance? | BTC 1H Analysis D2👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! - ❤️ Welcome to Satoshi Frame .
📅 Today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin (BTC), we can see that — similar to USDT.D — it is moving within a range box, but inversely positioned near a Maker Buyer support and a multi-timeframe Low at $111,681. A confirmed breakout above this zone could push Bitcoin upward toward the box midline.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we can see that it’s currently oscillating between the Oversell (30) Low and the static ceiling around 53. A breakout beyond either of these boundaries would likely signal the start of Bitcoin’s next move.
🕯 Recent volume on Bitcoin has increased as it reached the Maker Buyer zone — strong buying pressure from market makers has helped defend this support level effectively. Right now, Bitcoin sits just below a resistance area that will require a significant uptick in buying volume to break and confirm stability above it.
🧠 For Bitcoin positioning, we can consider that this current Low is very strong and unlikely to break easily, so the main focus should remain on long positions:
🟢 Long Scenario: Once Bitcoin breaks the multi-timeframe resistance at $111,681, combined with RSI surpassing the 53 threshold and a visible increase in buying volume, a long position setup becomes valid.
🔴 Short Scenario: Since the Maker Buyer support is very strong and USDT.D has been repeatedly rejected at its top, it’s better to wait until the Maker Buyer zone breaks with a large whale candle before considering short setups.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Ah ha! I found the right one. Changing good into great!!I have coded many AI models from scratch to ensure we have the best tech available
Although my favorite model did really well, the tail end of the forecast could have been better
So I went to the 'Mixture of Experts' model and saw it had the correct forecast. PHEW!!
GREATNESS REMAINS!
BTC Short Term OverviewBased on structure and Daily TF view BTC has more probability to retest 109K before than 118K, in fact I dont even expect 117.3K but a sweep and rejection around there is a high supply zone for now, not only a resistance zone (previous July daily box range low) but we have an 4H Bear gap + Prev Month High, golden supply zone for shorts
Based on this type of 4H PA I expect at minimum the 50% of the wick on the 4H liquidity candle to be fill, around there we have the Daily/Weekly MSB and support zone within 109 and 107 so could see a consolidation before going lower if so, in fact we can consider the whole 4H candle to be a range for now, the open of that candle has liquidity and supply so Im expecting to respect it
*Key zones here is to fill the CME Gap (111K-110K GAP on BTC1!), totally expecting it to be filled
Bullish panoramas starts at a reclaim and Hold of 118K
BTCInstitutional Market Analysis – BTCUSDT
Over the recent sessions, the BTC market structure exhibited a classic set of liquidity-driven moves best identified and executed using advanced institutional order flow, liquidation, and open interest monitoring systems.
1. Pre-Move Context
Institutional positioning data showed pronounced capital outflows from exchanges and strong signs of large account accumulation, creating a diminishing liquidity environment on the downside. Real-time derivatives metrics indicated a balanced yet cautious market: funding rates and open interest were soft, signaling risk-off positioning and a high likelihood of a liquidity sweep event.
2. The Stop-Hunt & Liquidity Cascade
This thesis played out as price sharply swept the major support and liquidity cluster in the $109,500–110,000 zone. The move triggered a wave of forced liquidations among leveraged long accounts, clearing out weak positioning and drawing in aggressive late sellers. High-resolution flow monitoring confirmed that short positions entered during the flush were quickly neutralized as the market reversed.
3. Reversal and Aggressive Positioning
Immediately after the sweep, signature absorption flows appeared—evident from rising participation and open interest at key zones. Smart-lot execution and block order prints indicated institutional interests accumulating, setting the stage for a rapid reversal. The result was a pronounced recovery off the lows, with profit quickly being realized by those with optimal entries at the liquidity inflection point.
4. Short-Term Distribution & Mean Reversion
As price recovered toward the mid-range, order flow signals showed long participants reducing exposure while new short accounts entered near resistance. With most short interest exhausted at the higher bands and new entries clustering, a potential setup emerged for further upside acceleration if short covering persisted, especially on a break above $111,800–113,000. Profit-taking in the mid-range has so far induced mild retracement.
5. Technical Structure (4h View)
The current 4-hour chart reflects this entire process: after a disciplined liquidity sweep and reversal from structural demand, price is cycling between the lower support and historical supply around $113,000. Should current support continue to hold with firm absorption, the probability for continued mean reversion or an upward squeeze remains elevated. Breakdown confirmation would only arise with a new wave of forced liquidations and capitulation beneath current lows.
Summary Table
Phase Zone Institutional Flow Market Outcome
Stop-hunt $109,500–110,000 Liquidation spike, block absorption High-conviction long entries, reversal
Recovery/Squeeze $111,000–112,000 Short neutralization, OI rise Rapid bounce, shorts liquidated
Distribution/Profit $111,800–113,000 Reduced longs, new short clusters Consolidation or squeeze setup
Conclusion:
Recent price action has followed an institutional playbook—targeting liquidity, executing sweeping reversals, and exploiting passive and aggressive flows across the book. Continuously monitoring OI, flow delta, and structural liquidity remains critical for anticipating the next high-conviction trade as the market oscillates from one liquidity pocket to the next. This approach ensures entries and exits are based on where the largest players actually transact—not retail-driven indicators or price-only signals
Could $BTC Fill the 100k Wick?Bitcoin is trying to hold the 109k level, though order books remain significantly thin in this low-volume environment.
The 114–115k zone is the key hurdle CRYPTOCAP:BTC needs to reclaim. If it fails to break back above, there’s a higher chance we’ll fill the liquidation wick down to around 100K–99k, allowing the price to establish a value area at a discount.






















