BTC/USDT Analysis. Expected Range-Bound Movement
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded from the lower boundary of the high-volume zone at $113,600–$110,600, showing a modest upward move. Upon reaching local resistance, selling pressure returned — currently, sell-side activity dominates according to delta data. However, the absence of strong bearish candles suggests that price action is more likely to drift toward the upper boundary of the current range.
For now, the scenario remains unchanged: we expect continued rotation within the $110,000–$116,000 range. The breakout priority remains to the upside, supported by several factors — stop-hunting below key levels, preservation of the broader flat structure, and evidence of selling absorption in delta.
The bearish alternative would be a firm consolidation below the local low of $109,500, which could open room for a deeper decline toward $97,000.
Buying Zone:
$113,600–$110,600 (high-volume area)
Selling Zone:
$120,900–$124,000 (volume zone)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Trade ideas
Bitcoin’s Bloodbath Was a Setup Smart Money Knows ItBitcoin remains structurally bullish despite the recent market turmoil. The monthly chart clearly shows that the main ascending trendline continues to hold firm acting as the backbone of the current bull cycle.
The recent drop was nothing more than a controlled retest of this key support zone. As long as Bitcoin stays above $103,000 and the trendline remains intact, the bull market stands strong.
Next upside projections:
First target: $126K – $165K
Extension target: $200K+
Only a confirmed monthly close below $103K would invalidate the bullish structure. Until then, this phase remains a buyers’ market, not a sellers’.
Share your thoughts below do you believe this trendline can carry BTC to new highs?
Like & share if you agree.
BTCUSDT – Technical Analysis (1H–4H)
Date: October 15, 2025
Time Horizon: 24–48 hours
🔹 1. Structural Overview
Bitcoin is showing a classic distribution phase after the sharp rebound.
A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed between $113,500–$115,900, alongside a double top near the same level — two separate but aligned bearish structures.
The market is now testing the neckline, and a break below this area could trigger a new downward impulse toward previous support zones.
🔹 2. Patterns and Signals
🧩 Head & Shoulders (1H)
Left shoulder: around $113,000
Head: top near $115,950
Right shoulder: about $113,500
Neckline: around $111,000 (yellow sloping trendline on the chart)
📉 Target on breakdown: $105,500–$106,000 (Fib 76.4% + previous intraday target).
This aligns with the low-volume node and VWAP bottom, marking strong technical support.
🧩 Double Top
Double top between $115,950 and $115,600 confirms a top structure and loss of buying momentum.
The “neckline” coincides with the H&S base — around $111,000, meaning a break here would confirm both patterns simultaneously, a strong bearish signal.
🔹 3. Key Levels
Support Zones (Buy Areas)
1️⃣ $111,000–$110,500 → neckline support (critical; a break = confirmed breakdown)
2️⃣ $108,500 → flush low and VWAP cluster
3️⃣ $106,000–$105,500 → main target if H&S completes
4️⃣ $101,000 → extreme low (Fib 100% + psychological level)
Resistance Zones (Sell Areas)
1️⃣ $113,500 → right shoulder / local top
2️⃣ $115,600–$115,950 → double top / previous liquidity zone
3️⃣ $118,000–$119,500 → macro resistance and pre-drop supply area
🔹 4. Momentum and Indicators
RSI (1H): around 40 → showing weakness, no overbought signals → room for further downside.
MACD (1H): still bearish, no bullish crossover yet → momentum remains down.
Stoch RSI (4H): in the lower zone but without a clear reversal → possible short pause before another leg down.
ADX (4H): 42–45 → trend remains strong, no sign of losing momentum.
➡️ Overall, the indicators confirm a bearish pattern with strong trend continuation, though small bounces may occur.
🔹 5. Volume and Market Structure
Volume Profile: highest around $113K–$114K (right shoulder area) where sellers dominate.
Volume below neckline is still light → suggests the market is waiting for confirmation before the next major move.
Open Interest: stable after the recent flush → market may be ready for another move without excessive positioning noise.
🔹 6. Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1 – H&S Breakdown (Most Likely)
Break below $111,000 → activates the pattern.
Target: $105,500–$106,000 (Fib 76.4% + prior trendline support).
RSI likely to drop below 35 once confirmed.
Volume confirmation: at least +15–20% increase during breakdown.
📈 Scenario 2 – False Breakdown and Rebound
If buyers defend $111,000 and push back above $113,500, a short-term short squeeze toward $115K is possible.
Could occur if macro news or sentiment improves.
🔹 7. Conclusion
BTC currently shows two bearish formations (H&S + Double Top), with $111,000 acting as the critical pivot level.
A confirmed breakdown below this line will likely trigger a strong move toward $106K–$105K.
Short-term bias: 🔻 Bearish
Mid-term (24–48h): 🔻 Downside toward $108K–$106K most probable
Bullish only if price breaks and holds above $113,500.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Technical Analysis – October 2025:Bitcoin just hit an ATH above $125K, and now it’s consolidating in a tight pennant pattern! This TradingView chart breaks down key levels and signals for traders. Here’s what’s cooking:
🔑Key Levels
- Support: $106K-$102K (strong demand zone, backed by 1W MA50)
- Resistance: $126K (near-term target), $138K (Q4 projection)
- Pattern: Bullish pennant forming post-ATH breakout
🔍 Indicators:
- RSI (H4): Oversold bounce, signaling buy opportunity
- MACD: Bullish crossover on daily, hinting at momentum
- Volume: Rising institutional inflows ($10B+ ETF AUM)
📅 Date: October 15, 2025
💬 What’s your take on BTC’s next move? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss! Follow for more crypto TA updates.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading #PricePrediction #October2025
Bitcoin Faces Key Liquidity Levels — High Volatility ExpectedWith a break below the $113,726–$113,893 range, over $400 million in long positions could be liquidated.
Additionally, a break of $111,548 could trigger another $252 million in liquidations.
You can consider taking positions around these levels, but keep in mind — volatility is likely to spike sharply once these liquidity zones are tested.
While Bitcoin did manage to bounce from $111,879 with increasing volume, I personally don’t like the structure of the recent candles. For now, I’m staying on the sidelines, avoiding both long and short entries until the market shows clearer direction.
Sometimes, patience is also a position.
BTC/USDT Analysis in 1H Time FrameCOINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCEUS:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSD.P OKX:BTCUSDT.P MEXC:BTCUSDT.P BITGET:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD.P DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P BINGX:BTCUSDT.P BITMEX:BTCUSD.P BITMEX:BTCUSD.P DERIBIT:BTCUSD.P KRAKEN:BTCUSD.P BYBIT:BTCUSDC.P WEEX:BTCUSDT.P KRAKEN:BTCUSD.PM BINGX:BTCUSDC.P BINANCE:BCHUSDT.P
At present, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within a well-defined range, holding just above the Major Support Zone around $111,200.00. This level has acted as a crucial defensive area over the past few sessions, with buyers consistently stepping in to maintain structure. As long as BTC sustains above this support, the probability of a breakdown in the current week remains relatively lower — though traders should maintain caution given the overall market uncertainty and volatility.
Currently, price action is consolidating between Major Support ($111,200.00) and the Immediate Resistance Zone at $113,400.00–$114,000.00. A decisive breakout above this immediate resistance range will likely open up the next leg higher toward $115,500.00–$116,500.00, which marks the next Major Resistance / Supply Zone. This region is expected to pose a significant challenge for bulls, as prior reactions indicate strong selling interest there.
On the upside, for the bullish sentiment to truly take control, BTC will need not just a breakout but a sustained close above $118,000.00–$119,000.00. A successful defense and hold above this level would indicate a shift in broader market sentiment, confirming bullish dominance and potentially paving the way for higher targets toward the $120K+ region over the following sessions.
On the downside, immediate structure support remains at $107,500.00–$106,500.00, a critical zone for bulls to defend. A clean break and sustained move below this region would signal renewed bearish control, likely pushing price momentum toward the $101,500.00–$102,000.00 area — or even a deeper retest near $85,000-$98,500.00 in an extended correction scenario.
Key Levels to Watch:
Major Support: $111,200.00
Immediate Resistance: $113,400.00–$114,000.00
Major Resistance: $115,500.00–$116,500.00
Bull Confirmation Zone: $118,000.00–$119,000.00 (sustained breakout = bullish continuation)
Bearish Takeover Zone: $106,500.00–$107,500.00 (breakdown = bearish control)
Summary:
BTC is currently in a range-bound phase between strong support and layered resistances. Market structure remains neutral-to-bullish above $111,200.00, but short-term volatility may persist. Bulls must reclaim and sustain above $114,000.00 to confirm short-term strength, while any failure to defend $107,500.00 could expose BTC to deeper corrective pressure. Until either side achieves a decisive breakout, range trading and disciplined risk management remain the most prudent approach.
Bitcoin plummeted as US-China tensions escalated again.
The world's two largest economies continued their battle over key industries related to defense and national security.
Washington and Beijing renewed their battle on Tuesday after China decided to sanction five US subsidiaries of Hanwha Ocean, a South Korean shipbuilder, for alleged ties to the US government. Hanwha's stock price plummeted 8% on the news, while Bitcoin fell 4% before recovering in the afternoon.
(China accuses Hanwha Marine, a South Korean shipbuilding company, of assisting the US in a Section 301 investigation / Hanwha Marine)
A formal announcement from China's Ministry of Commerce stated: "In response to the US's Section 301 investigation measures against China's marine, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors... we hereby announce the imposition of countermeasures against five subsidiaries of the US-related Hanwha Marine Co., Ltd., effective October 14, 2025."
Section 301 of US trade law allows the government to respond to unfair trade practices. The US alleges that China is secretly engaging in unfair activities aimed at dominating the marine, shipbuilding, and logistics industries. Beijing has been accused of subsidizing these industries and even employing "forced technology transfer" to "reinvent technology."
The United States subsequently imposed service fees and tariffs of up to 150% on Chinese marine products. Beijing retaliated with higher service fees and, today, sanctioned Hanwha's US subsidiary, accusing it of assisting Washington's investigation.
"A Google Translated version of the official Chinese announcement states: 'The US Section 301 investigations and measures against China's marine, logistics, and shipbuilding industries seriously violate international law,' and 'Hanwha Marine's US subsidiary assisted and supported the US government's investigation, endangering our country's sovereignty, security, and development interests.'"
Bitcoin and Hanwha stock weren't the only assets affected by the news. The broader cryptocurrency market fell 2%, and stocks experienced some volatility following the announcement, but subsequently recovered. However, the Nasdaq remained down 0.18% at press time.
At the time of writing, it was trading at $112,334.40, having earlier plummeted to $110,029.49 following the Chinese announcement. The cryptocurrency is down 7.55% this week, despite having risen as high as $116,020.49 since Monday.
FAQ ⚡
Why is Bitcoin down today?
Bitcoin fell over 4% after China announced sanctions against a subsidiary of South Korea's Hanwha Ocean, which has ties to the US.
What sparked the US-China dispute?
Washington imposed steep Section 301 tariffs on China's marine industry, prompting Beijing to retaliate.
How severe was the market reaction?
The overall cryptocurrency market fell around 2%, with Bitcoin briefly dipping to $110,000 before recovering somewhat.
What is Section 301?
It's a US trade law that allows tariffs to be imposed on countries accused of unfair or coercive trade practices.
BTCUSDT.P — C-Wave Short Setup/EntryTL;DR:
Bear HVN rejection, momentum rollover, C-leg targets 111 k–110 k.
Short bias intact while under 113.5 k.
⸻
🩻 Market Logic
This is a C-leg continuation play within a corrective structure, trading momentum + order-flow confluence:
• CVD down + CRVOL flat = liquidity fade.
• RSI breakdown = momentum confirmation.
• HVN rejection = structural trigger.
If 113.6 k gets reclaimed on strong volume → thesis invalidated; above that, next play is the L-BOR toward 116 k – 122 k.
After the liquidation flush and retrace, BTC printed a textbook A–B–C corrective structure inside the larger wave-5 on hourly charts.
The B-wave retraced ~0.93 of the prior drop — deep enough to trap late longs but shallow enough to preserve bearish symmetry.
🧠 Technical Context
• 1H HVN: 113.1k zone acting as supply shelf.
• RSI (10m): rolled under 50 → momentum shift confirmed.
• CVD: still negative (~–55k) — buyers not reclaiming control.
• CRVOL: >1.1× → active but fading = exhaustion, not expansion.
• Fib projections (C-wave):
• 1.0 × target → 111.55k
• 1.618 × extension → 110.38k
⚙️ Execution Plan
• Short Entry: 112.9 k – 113.2 k (bear HVN underside)
• Stop: 113.6 k (above 1 h wick)
• Targets:
• TP1 = 111.55 k
• TP2 = 110.38 k
• TP3 = 109.8 k (full C-leg completion)
• Bias: Bearish until hourly close > 113.48 k
BTC market snapshotBTC — we’re seeing a period of indecision between both sides, which often happens after strong moves. We just had an abnormal drop, but as long as we’re above 108K, I still allow for the possibility of a new ATH, despite the global short signal.
On the 2-week TF, there’s a clear compression pattern that often leads to an upside breakout. On the monthly TF, the major drop hasn’t even started yet.
For now, the market is waiting for liquidity — and there’s already plenty of it: around $18B in open short positions in the 123–127K zone. Very interesting setup.
Bitcoin - First Signs of the Bear AwakeningBitcoin recently swept the previous all-time high, taking liquidity from the major external range. After that sweep, price reacted sharply downward, leaving behind a significant daily imbalance. This gap is now acting as resistance, with clear rejection seen on the daily timeframe. The move signals exhaustion from buyers and an early sign that the market could be preparing for a deeper retracement phase.
Consolidation Structure
Following the rejection, Bitcoin is moving within a short-term consolidation range, sitting between the daily imbalance above and a major demand zone below. This structure represents indecision as the market transitions from expansion to a potential reaccumulation or redistribution phase. The large wick left behind during the last drop suggests that liquidity was collected below the previous range, but it remains unfilled, hinting at unfinished business in that area.
Bullish Scenario
In the short term, a bounce from the lower zone could play out as the market attempts to correct the imbalance. This would align with a 50% fill of the previous large wick, providing the liquidity needed before resuming any sustained downside movement. If buyers manage to reclaim control temporarily, the move would likely target the unfilled 4-hour gaps sitting above current price.
Bearish Scenario
However, any upside reaction is expected to face resistance at the daily imbalance. Once those 4-hour gaps are filled, the likelihood of another rejection increases. If that rejection confirms, it could trigger a larger selloff targeting the strong support area below, where the next round of liquidity rests. The reaction from that zone will determine whether the market continues lower or begins forming a new base for accumulation.
Price Target and Expectations
The ideal flow would see Bitcoin dip to fill 50% of the large wick, find temporary support, then stage one final bounce into the 4-hour imbalance zone before resuming its bearish leg. This structure keeps the overall narrative intact, combining liquidity behavior with efficient price delivery.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s current setup remains technically balanced between two key inefficiencies. A short-term bounce is likely before continuation lower, with the daily gap rejection acting as the main pivot point in this structure. Until the wick fill and 4-hour gaps are resolved, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
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BTCUSDT 15M 🔸 #Bitcoin Update – 15 Min Chart (Long Setup)
After last week’s sharp market crash, many long positions were wiped out.
There’s currently a lot of fear and uncertainty in the market, but most liquidity still lies above us, which suggests a possible recovery ahead.
📊 Market Structure & Expectation:
I expect BTC to range between $111,000 and $114,000.
Price could first sweep the long liquidity between $111,000 – $111,500 before turning back upward.
If BTC tests this zone, I see a good long opportunity between $111,200 – $111,500.
From there, BTC could push into the yellow target zone between $117,700 – $119,000, where larger short liquidities are located.
⚠️ Key Condition:
We must hold above $113,500
to confirm the bullish structure and reach the target in the yellow box.
📅 Outlook:
I expect BTC to turn bullish again this week or by next week at the latest.
The current setup offers potential for a swing long, once the lower liquidity zones have been tested.
💡 Note / Not Financial Advice:
This is not financial advice — just a personal market idea.
Always manage your own risk carefully!
📉 Example:
If I enter a position with $1,000, I risk a maximum of $100 with a stop-loss.
A stop-loss is always better than losing your entire capital.
👉 Learn from the last crash and protect your hard-earned money! 💪
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #LongSetup #BTCUSDT #MarketUpdate #SwingTrade
The fall of BTC, the shock necessary for the revival of altcoins
Despite the growth of Bitcoin from 15000 to 126000$ , practically popular altcoins such as shiba, ada, floki, etc did not grow noticeably and significantly, and before the fall of Bitcoin, I was sure that altcoins needed a big shock to start again, this fall was an activation for altcoins. In my opinion, the growth trend of Bitcoin is not over yet and I believe that we will see a new NATH record, but with the difference that altcoins will grow much better than before. This is not the first time that Bitcoin has seen such shocks due to Trump's economic policies, and experience has shown that Bitcoin has the ability to continue its path after such shocks, and it is these traders who must choose between fear and opportunism.
BTC 1H Box Breakout Setup | D1👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great!
💥 Welcome to Satoshi Frame — today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after its recent drop, Bitcoin has entered a one-hour consolidation box. The top of this box is around $115,802, and the bottom is at $110,224. A breakout from this box could lead to the next impulsive move. Currently, Bitcoin’s price is near the midline of the box at $113,222 — and if it breaks and stabilizes above this level, Bitcoin could start moving toward the top of the box and potentially break above it.
Notice that Bitcoin reacted to the buyer-maker zone near the bottom of the box, showing a reversal pattern. With buying pressure pushing it upward and a higher low forming, the probability of a midline breakout has increased.
🧮 Looking at Bitcoin’s RSI oscillator, it’s currently near the static resistance around the 54 range. If RSI breaks and stabilizes above this level, long-trade momentum is likely to increase, which could help Bitcoin break through the midline and become more bullish.
🕯 Let’s first discuss the maker-buyer zone, which acts as a major support area for buyers and institutions that accumulate their positions here. This area tends to create counter-direction reactions in Bitcoin. Right now, Bitcoin has formed a higher low just below the midline and is showing increasing buying volume, with larger candle sizes appearing on the chart.
🧠 For Bitcoin’s trading setup, once the midline breaks, we can consider entering a position, forming a potential long scenario:
↗️ Long Position Scenario:
If Bitcoin breaks and stabilizes above $113,222, accompanied by an RSI breakout above 54 and a rise in buying volume, it could move toward the top of the box and provide a solid long opportunity.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
From Confidence to Panic: The Real Story Behind TradesIn the crypto market, emotions are the true engine behind price movement . Traders often believe they’re analyzing charts, but in reality, they’re analyzing their own minds. This analysis explores the emotional path of a trade from excitement and confidence to fear, loss, and recovery.
Hello✌️
Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Bitcoin is approaching a key daily support which could set up a 9% rally toward 122500$. Traders should watch this level closely for a potential bounce. 📈🔍
Now , let's dive into the educationa l section,
🌱 The Beginning of Hope
Every trade starts with hope hope for profit, recovery, or financial freedom. At this point, a trader’s confidence is at its peak. They see confirmations everywhere and believe the market agrees with them. Each green candle strengthens their optimism, while small pullbacks seem harmless. Yet, beneath that confidence, greed begins to grow quietly.
⚡ The Turning Point
The market, however, always follows its own rhythm. One sudden drop or an unexpected move is enough to shake that confidence. The mind shifts from analysis to reaction. Logic fades, and emotion takes control. This is the moment fear begins — when patience disappears and decisions become impulsive. Most losses are born right here, not from bad charts but from emotional decisions.
🌀 The Emotional Cycle
Crypto is a mirror of human emotion.
Hope → Greed → Doubt → Fear → Despair → Hope again.
Professional traders accept this cycle instead of fighting it. Each crash wipes out the impatient, while the disciplined quietly prepare for the next rise. The real difference lies not in knowledge, but in emotional control.
🧩 The Path to Balance
Trading is the art of making decisions amid mental noise. The only real edge is emotional discipline. Once you recognize that emotions are part of the game, you stop being controlled by them. The most successful traders are not the ones who know more they’re the ones who react less.
🧰 Practical Tools to Read Market Emotions
TradingView offers several features that help you measure market sentiment and stay objective while trading.
1. Fear and Greed Index
This index shows the current level of fear or greed in the market. Low values indicate collective fear (often a buy signal), while high values suggest greed (potential risk). Adding it to your chart helps you understand crowd psychology in real time.
2. Volume Profile (Visible Range)
This tool highlights the price zones with the highest trading activity. These levels often represent emotional clusters points of decision, panic, or reversal.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI reveals whether the market is overbought or oversold. High readings reflect greed, while low ones expose fear. When paired with volume, it creates a clear emotional map of the market.
🔚Conclusion
The crypto market is built not just on charts, but on human emotions. If you can read those emotions on the chart, you can anticipate the rhythm of price itself. Your emotional balance is the one indicator no one else can see.
💬Golden Pieces of Advice for Traders
Predict your own reactions before predicting the market. Knowing how you respond to fear or greed saves more capital than any signal ever will.
No trade is worth your mental peace. The moment your thoughts get heavy, your strategy loses value.
Observe emotions don’t suppress them. Professionals feel everything, but they act on logic, not impulse. That’s the true difference between survival and failure.
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📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
7 out of 7, back-to-back accuracy. Power!Since last week Monday I thought to share my AI forecasts with the public using Bitcoin 30min chart as my chart of choice.
It's taken 8 years of growth to be able to get here, and it feels like I have finally made it
I say this as yesterday my nerves were letting doubt in, thinking that this next forecast would be the one that didn't work out... instead it's brought 7 out of 7, back-to-back accuracy. Power!






















