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BTCUST.P trade ideas

BTC Intraday Scalp — Wick Sweep → ReclaimWe just dropped today’s precision scalp plan: let BTC run the lows, then ride the reclaim with structure + volume. Clean, systematic, zero hopium. Setup • Trigger: Fast wick through ~111.85k (ideal 110.8–111.2k) ➜ strong snapback with ≥1.5× 20-bar volume + 15m BOS up ✅ • Execution: Buy the pullback into displacement FVG/OB at 112.0–112.8k ↩️ • Invalidation: Just below the sweep low (~0.10–0.20× ATR(15m)) 🛑 • Targets: 113.9k → 115.2–115.6k → 116.92k → 120.25–120.99k → 123.10k 🎯 Context • Tape still favors deviation → reclaim over straight breakdowns. Let the liquidity get harvested first, then trade the confirmation, not the panic. • Heads-up: Powell speaks tomorrow — expect headline whipsaws. Keep it surgical into/around the window. ⏳🤖 Risk Checklist • Entry only after BOS + volume confirmation • Scale out on the way up; trail stops once TP1 tags • No revenge trades if the sweep fails — stand down and re-evaluate Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.
Long
by candle_crafts
1
BITCOINThe Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium is an annual, three-day conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. It brings together central bankers, economists, academics, and financial market participants from around the world to discuss key economic issues and monetary policy. Why Jackson Hole Matters to Traders: It is one of the most closely watched central banking events globally because top policymakers, including the Federal Reserve Chair, often signal future monetary policy directions here. Speeches and discussions at Jackson Hole can provide early hints on interest rate moves, inflation outlook, and economic strategy, which significantly influence global financial markets. Market participants anticipate policy clues that can affect currencies, bonds, stocks, and commodities, leading to increased volatility during and shortly after the event. This year's theme is focused on "Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy," addressing important structural changes in labor markets and their implications on monetary policy. For traders and investors, Jackson Hole is crucial as it can shape expectations for central bank actions and market trends for months to come. THE DEMANDFLOORS WILL BE WATCHED FOR BUY OPPORTUNITY. TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY #BITCOIN
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Shorting BTCUSDT – Strong HTF Bearish Signals in PlayRecent Price Action: - First Rejection (8/14): Bitcoin was rejected at the previous ATH (~$102.3K). - Second Rejection: Price failed to surpass the secondary swing high (~$122.4K), leading to a sharp drop (liquidation of buy orders). - Rebound Attempt: Price dipped to $106.8K, filling the CME gap and likely triggering short-term short liquidations over the weekend. However, the rebound lacked sustainability. - Breakdown Confirmation: On Monday’s market open, BTC broke below key support, extending the drop to the 0.786 Fib level (~$114.6K). Market Structure Shift (Higher Timeframe Confirmation): - The breakdown invalidated the prior bullish structure on H4+ timeframes, confirming a bearish bias. - The inability to hold above key levels and the liquidation-driven moves suggest weakening demand. Short Setup Opportunity: - Ideal Entry Zone: 116.8K - 117K - SL: ~118k - TP: ~112k - Confluence: 0.618 Fib retracement from recent swing high. Rejection at this zone would further validate bearish continuation.
by TarsFXLab
1
BTCUSDT (Daily)✅ BTC/USDT — 1D (Spot) | Aug 22, 2025 — Professional Technical Analysis 🔎 Chart Context • Pair: BTC/USDT • Timeframe: Daily • Current price: ~113,983 • The chart shows BTC in a retracement phase after rejecting from the 123,260 high, with projected upside target 131,438. 📊 Key Observations 1. Market Structure • BTC created a higher high at 123,260 earlier this month. • The correction is testing key daily demand zones. • Structure remains bullish on daily timeframe as long as price holds 111,900 – 110,600 block. 2. Support & Demand Zones • 111,999 – 111,915: Immediate demand zone, currently being tested. • 110,600 – 110,400: Deeper liquidity shelf, acting as a strong structural support. • 103,269 – 100,403: Long-term support zone (last defense before bullish invalidation). 3. Resistance & Supply Zones • 118,000 – 120,000: Minor supply zone from breakdown. • 123,260: Recent high & liquidity cluster. • 131,438: Key upside target (marked on chart), representing the next liquidity pool. 4. Liquidity & Fair Value Gaps • Current retracement is designed to rebalance liquidity gaps left by July’s rally. • Liquidity sits below 111,900; once swept, a bullish continuation into 131,000+ becomes likely. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) • BTC holds above 111,900–110,600 demand block. • Path: • Accumulation → reclaim 118,000–120,000 → break 123,260 high. • Target: 131,438 (major liquidity zone). • This aligns with the chart projection, suggesting a sweep into demand before a new impulse. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability) • BTC fails to hold 111,900–110,600 block. • Breakdown path: • Retest from below capped at 115,000–116,000. • Move toward 103,269–100,400 support. • A daily close below 100,000 would shift structure bearish and invalidate bullish continuation. ⚡ Trading Plan Long Setup (Preferred with trend): • Entry: 111,900–110,600 demand zone. • TP1: 118,000 • TP2: 123,260 • TP3: 131,438 • Stop: Below 110,000 Short Setup (Countertrend, Risky): • Entry: Failure bounce into 118,000–120,000. • TP: 111,900 → 103,000 • Stop: Above 123,500 ✅ Conclusion BTC/USDT Daily remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback retesting 111,900–110,600 demand. As long as this zone holds, the probability favors continuation toward 131,438 after reclaiming 123,260. A breakdown below 110,000 would signal deeper correction into 103,000–100,000.
Long
by Ikeyhan
BTCUSD Healthy Retracement Before Next Bullish Leg.Analysis: Bitcoin is currently moving around 114,200. In my view, the market may show a short-term retracement towards the support zone of 113,200 – 112,200. This pullback would be a healthy move, aligning with the idea that “the trend is your friend”. If the support zone holds, I expect BTCUSD to resume its bullish rally and continue the upward momentum. Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Retracement Zone: 113,200 – 112,200 (Potential Support) 📈 Bullish Continuation: As long as price respects this demand area Trading Insight: Corrections are natural in strong trends. A controlled pullback into support may provide a fresh opportunity for bulls to step in. Note: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk properly before entering any trade. If you find this analysis valuable, please like 👍, comment 💬, and share 🔁 to motivate me for sharing more BTCUSD setups with the community. Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
Long
by Forex_Insights_Pro
1
BTC 8H – Testing Key Support, Will Bulls Defend or Breakdown?BTC is once again retesting the 114k–112k support block that has held multiple times since July. Price is consolidating at this major level, with buyers attempting to absorb sell pressure. Support Zone: 114k–112k remains critical for continuation. Resistance: Next hurdle sits around 123k supply. Downside Risk: A clean breakdown targets 105k demand. Momentum: Stoch RSI shows oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce. The next move depends on whether bulls can reclaim momentum at this support, or if bears force a deeper sweep toward the lower demand zone.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
Bitcoin going back homeMy analysis indicates that there is a high chance that Bitcoin starts a major correction right now. This is not financial advice; do your own research. Price should plummet ~30% in the next 6 weeks. This idea can be totally wrong, and the upside move can continue, but the probability makes it worth it for me to take the risk, so I'm going short. What do you think will happen in the next 6 weeks? A. We will see a new ATH. B. Nothing will happen; the price will go sideways. C. The price will break down the 100k support. Let me know in the comments.
Short
by piccard54
Bitcoin's Technical Trajectory: Analysis for Q3-Q4 2025Breaking New Records: Bitcoin's Path Beyond the August Correction With Bitcoin currently trading at $114,352 after reaching its all-time high of $124,474 on August 14, 2025, we find ourselves at a critical technical juncture. Ill examine Bitcoin's potential trajectory through the remainder of 2025. Current Market Context Bitcoin has climbed from around $85,000 in January to establish a new all-time high of $124,474 in mid-August. Following this peak, we've seen a corrective phase with price action forming a potential bull flag pattern between $112,000-$118,000. The most recent data shows Bitcoin trading around $114,352, representing a pullback of approximately 8.13% from the all-time high. This moderate retracement suggests a healthy reset rather than a reversal of the primary trend. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis The Ichimoku Cloud indicators provide critical insights: • Tenkan-sen: $114,127.92 • Kijun-sen: $115,477.50 • Senkou Span A: $119,324.70 • Senkou Span B: $120,176.36 The price is currently trading below the cloud, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. However, the relatively narrow cloud formation ahead suggests potential for a breakout if Bitcoin can reclaim the $119,324-$120,176 range. Wyckoff Analysis The price action following the August peak displays characteristics that align with Wyckoff re-accumulation rather than distribution: • Initial decline represents a "Preliminary Support" phase • Trading range between $112,000-$118,000 shows decreasing volatility • Volume characteristics show diminishing selling pressure • Recent price action suggests we're approaching the "Spring" phase This structure indicates institutional accumulation is still occurring at these elevated levels, projecting a move toward the $132,000-$145,000 range in the coming months. Supply/Demand Zone Analysis Critical price levels that will influence Bitcoin's next directional move: • Major demand zone: $114,600-$116,700 (Fibonacci 61.8%-78.6% retracement) • Secondary support: $111,920-$114,000 (recent low and psychological support) • Primary resistance: $124,474-$127,889 (all-time high region and 127.2% Fibonacci extension) Moving Average Analysis The moving average configuration reveals a strong underlying bullish structure: • 4H EMA 50: $116,284.41 • 4H EMA 100: $116,781.30 • 4H EMA 200: $116,214.57 • Daily EMA 50: $114,939.55 • Daily EMA 100: $110,513.11 • Daily EMA 200: $103,162.36 The hierarchical alignment of these moving averages confirms the primary bull trend remains intact. The current price is finding support near the Daily EMA 50, a critical level that has historically served as a springboard during bull markets. Fibonacci Extension Framework Potential targets using Fibonacci extensions from the recent swing points: • 127.2% extension: $127,889 • 161.8% extension: $132,232 • 200% extension: $137,028 • 261.8% extension: $144,786 Elliott Wave Analysis The current price action suggests an extended wave structure: • Wave 1 high (ATH): $124,474 • Wave 2 low (Recent Low): $111,920 • Wave 3 target range: $144,786 to $157,340 • Wave 4 target: $132,231 • Wave 5 target range: $152,545 to $165,100 This wave count suggests potential for continued appreciation toward the $152,000-$165,000 range before a more significant corrective phase begins. Bitcoin Dominance Factor Bitcoin's market dominance currently stands at 59.3%, indicating a strong position relative to the broader cryptocurrency market, providing additional support for the bullish case. Price Projection Timeline August-September 2025: Completion of the current consolidation phase with potential final support tests in the $114,600-$116,700 range. A decisive break above $120,000 would confirm the end of the consolidation phase. October 2025: Renewed momentum pushing Bitcoin toward the $127,889-$132,232 range, potentially coinciding with seasonal strength typically observed in Q4. November-December 2025: Final wave extension potentially reaching the $144,786-$157,340 range, followed by a Wave 4 correction before the final Wave 5 push toward $152,545-$165,100 by year-end or early 2026. Key Levels to Monitor Support Zones: • Primary: $114,600-$116,700 (Fibonacci retracement zone) • Secondary: $111,920-$114,000 (recent low and psychological support) • Tertiary: $103,162-$110,513 (Daily EMA 100-200 zone) Resistance Zones: • Immediate: $119,324-$120,176 (Ichimoku Cloud base) • Secondary: $124,474-$127,889 (all-time high region and 127.2% Fibonacci extension) • Target 1: $132,232-$137,028 (161.8%-200% Fibonacci extensions) • Target 2: $144,786-$157,340 (Wave 3 target range) • Target 3: $152,545-$165,100 (Wave 5 target range) Strategic Considerations With Bitcoin having already achieved a new all-time high at $124,474 in August, strategic approaches might include: • Maintaining core positions while implementing trailing stop strategies • Adding to positions during retests of key support levels ($114,600-$116,700) • Considering partial profit-taking at key Fibonacci extension levels • Remaining vigilant for signs of distribution patterns at higher levels Conclusion: The Path to $165,000 The weight of technical evidence suggests Bitcoin has entered a new paradigm of price discovery. While the path may include periods of consolidation and volatility, the underlying trend remains firmly bullish with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $152,000-$165,000 range by year-end 2025 or early 2026. The current correction phase represents a healthy reset rather than a trend reversal, creating an ideal technical foundation for Bitcoin's next major advance. Bitcoin appears well-positioned to achieve new record highs in the coming months.
Long
by PHANT0M
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. - Until now, we are still moving in the extension of micro wave Blue Y as the White wxy. I don't have any sign to replace ending of Grey wave W with Brown wave W, just I need to break 115900 and keep above it to detect that starting the Brown wave X or Ending the correction Orange Y totally. >> Reminder: * For the biger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its begining. * For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave C of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A. * For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave B for the upper Blue wave C. Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon! Thanks, bros
by MASCryptoAna
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 20 August 2025 - Bitcoin reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 116754.00 Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed from the support area between the pivotal support level 111950.00 (former monthly high from May, which stopped earlier wave 2) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. This support zone was further strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from June. Given the clear daily uptrend, Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 116754.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal
BITCOINThe Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium is an annual, three-day conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. It brings together central bankers, economists, academics, and financial market participants from around the world to discuss key economic issues and monetary policy. Why Jackson Hole Matters to Traders: It is one of the most closely watched central banking events globally because top policymakers, including the Federal Reserve Chair, often signal future monetary policy directions here. Speeches and discussions at Jackson Hole can provide early hints on interest rate moves, inflation outlook, and economic strategy, which significantly influence global financial markets. Market participants anticipate policy clues that can affect currencies, bonds, stocks, and commodities, leading to increased volatility during and shortly after the event. This year's theme is focused on "Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy," addressing important structural changes in labor markets and their implications on monetary policy. For traders and investors, Jackson Hole is crucial as it can shape expectations for central bank actions and market trends for months to come. WATCH THE TREUCTURE LIKE AND SHARE . #BITCOIN
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC Break or Bounce? All Eyes on This Major Demand ZoneCRYPTOCAP:BTC has dropped from its recent highs and is now sitting right above a crucial support zone. This area has acted as a strong demand level in the past, meaning it’s where buyers typically show up. If BTC can hold this zone, we could see a healthy bounce in the coming days. But if it fails to hold and breaks down, the next likely stop could be around $110K or even the psychological $100K level. All eyes on this zone, it’s a make-or-break moment for the short-term trend. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis - 20.08.25Welcome back to another update, today the 4H timeframe instead of the 1H. We're going to update ETH, XRP and SOL tomorrow. Main Case: We have extended to the downside in the correction but we didn't invalidate the immediate bullish count yet. Due the deep correction we can't count this as Wave 2 anymore so we removed the impulsive count. If we get a move up now we assume it to be a Wave C in white of a potentially bigger move up as an ending diagonal which would potentially mark the top of the bullrun. We also added a trendline breaking it would be the first sign of an incoming reversal. The move down looks rather corrective as to impulsive on the lower timeframes. If we take out the 115847 level it would increase the probabilities for the low being in. Back-up Case: If we break down lower we added a Support area between the 0.5 FIB at 109994 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 103047 USD which is a bullish set up but we have to warn that it has lower probability to take out the ATH afterwards than our current set up as it increases the probabilities for a count in which the recent move up was an ending diagonal that we finished already. But we do expect at least a bounce from it and would need to see if it is of corrective or impulsive nature to get more clarity. Next target would be the 1.382 FIB at 108763 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 106273 USD. Be aware that we have high impact news tomorrow at 14.30 (UTC +2) we get Unemployment Claims and at 15.45 (UTC +2) we get the Flash Manufacturing PMI which can shake up the market. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
BITCOIN PRICE OUTLOOK - 20 August 2025📈 BITCOIN PRICE OUTLOOK – August 20, 2025 Bias: Bullish | Looking for long setups on breakout & continuation 📊 Technical Overview: BTCUSDT has formed a large Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, breaking above the neckline around $114K. The breakout projects a potential measured move toward $140K+, aligning with bullish momentum. Price is currently consolidating in a falling channel, setting up for a breakout continuation. 🔴 Sell Zone (Resistance): 140,000 – 141,000 Measured move target from H&S pattern Major psychological round number resistance Expect profit-taking near this zone 🟢 Buy Zone (Support): 112,000 – 115,000 Neckline retest + falling channel support Strong confluence demand area Ideal accumulation/buy zone for continuation setups 📌 Fundamentals & Macro Drivers: USD Weakness: Fed’s cautious stance and weaker U.S. data boosting risk assets. Geopolitical Risk: Ongoing Middle East instability but crypto showing resilience as alternative hedge. Regulatory Updates: Positive ETF inflows continuing to support BTC demand. Upcoming Catalysts: U.S. PCE inflation & Jackson Hole meeting later this week. Institutional flows + ETF demand key near-term drivers. 📑 Trade Plan: 🟢 Long setups favored on dips into 112K–115K zone 🎯 Target = 140K+ ❌ Invalidation = Daily close below 104,800 📝 Summary: Bitcoin remains structurally bullish after confirming an inverse H&S breakout. As long as price holds above the neckline (112K–115K), upside continuation toward 140K is favored. Buy-the-dip strategy remains optimal in this setup.
Long
by DECRYPTERS