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BTCUST.P trade ideas

▒₿▒ TWIN SHOOTING STARS | WK ▒₿▒COINBASE:BTCUSD [ [ ]] Hello everyone, We identified a critical juncture for Bitcoin, marked by two consecutive weekly Shooting Star candles. The wait for confirmation is now over. The market has made its decision, and the bearish thesis we outlined has been validated. The Bearish Thesis: Confirmed and In Control The potent storm warning we identified has now made landfall. What Happened: The weekly candle closed decisively bearish, breaking below the floor of the recent consolidation range (~$115,000). This move confirms the immense selling pressure at the ~$124,000 resistance and validates the double Shooting Star pattern as a major top for the time being. What It Means: The period of indecision is over. Sellers have taken control, and Bitcoin has officially entered a corrective phase on the weekly timeframe. The Bullish Case Has Faltered The alternative scenario of a "Bullish Rectangle" or a simple healthy pause has been invalidated. The hope that buyers would absorb supply and push higher was negated by the strong weekly close to the downside. The price action has confirmed that the recent sideways movement was distribution, not accumulation. The Updated Game Plan: What to Watch Now With the breakdown confirmed, the context of our key levels has changed. They are no longer possibilities; they are now active targets and established resistance. Established Resistance: $124,000. This level is now the confirmed peak. The bulls would need to reclaim this formidable level to even begin to suggest a return to the uptrend. Broken Support / New Resistance: The previous "Indecision Zone" of $112,000 - $115,000 has now been broken. In the event of any bounce, this area is now expected to act as resistance. The Primary Target: With the initial warning sign at ~$111k triggered, the focus now shifts to the next major support zone. The logical destination for this corrective move is the previous multi-month resistance from May-July. Therefore, the primary target is $104,000 - $100,000. Bear Market Confirmation: As before, a decisive weekly close below $104,000 would break the entire macro market structure, signaling that this is more than a correction and likely the start of a longer-term bear market. The probability of the bull run being over would then become extremely high (>85%). Conclusion The time for a neutral stance is over. The technical evidence confirms that Bitcoin is in a correction with a high probability (70% likelihood) of heading towards the $104,000 support zone. The path of least resistance is now clearly to the downside. Any rally back to the $112k-$115k area is likely to be met with selling pressure. This is not financial advice (NFA). This is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR). Posted by: Kairos
Short
by CRYPTIK1
Is it Bitcoin top ? I would not be surprised if yes.Everyone is bullish , we can see historical leverage longs. Everyone expecting bull run to continue until the end of the year. (me also) Influencers predicting hundreds of thousands even milion targets.. Treasury companies says they are buying. (But really?) You know the rules. I f everyone is expecting something the opposite will happen. This is just a MMXM schematics and it doenst mean it will play out. II don't sell my spot position (ever), but I also keep my short with target open for case this plays out. I wish this doesn't play out , but market doesnt care about wishes, so rather expect unexpected David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
by David_Perk
51
BTC/USD.chart pattern.( BTCUSDT). The highlighted “TARGET POINT” zones in green show areas where price could gravitate toward based on high-volume and low-volume nodes. From the chart: First green target zone is around 112,300 – 113,000 USDT Second green target zone is around 118,000 – 119,000 USDT The arrows and low-volume area between these suggest that price might move quickly through the gap (low liquidity zone) toward the nearest high-volume support/resistance area.
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
10
GBPCAD 1H shortLast week I spotted the GBPCAD setup, long extended candles to the upside and no significant pullback yet. RSI overbought as an extra indicator. So I started to place sell orders in total 2 sell orders, I took the trade over the weekend because the pullback didn't happened yet. But today was the day! GBP showed weakness and starting to drop. I closed the trade at 1R profit but it was nice to see that my initial target 2R and even 3R was also possible. Happy with the result!
Short
by FX-Diaries
Bitcoin 15-Minute Trade SetupAfter a sharp sell-off from the high of 124,571.2, Bitcoin has been consistently forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, indicating sustained bearish pressure. Recently, we observed a break of structure (BoS) at 116,72, followed by a corrective pullback on the 15-minute timeframe. This pullback presents a short-term trading opportunity. Entry: 115,310.9 Stop Loss (SL): 115,000 Target (1:4 RR): 116,551 Interestingly, the 116,551 level also aligns with a potential rejection zone on the 4-hour point of interest (POI), which could reinforce this setup. Trade Idea: Looking to take advantage of the pullback for a risk-defined entry with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Monitoring how price reacts around the 4H POI will be key in managing this trade.
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
BITCOIN I Daily CLS I KL OB in the discount - ATH comingYo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

 “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
Long
by David_Perk
17
"BTCUSDT – Rounding Bottom Breakout with Demand Zone Support"Bitcoin is forming a strong rounding bottom pattern on the 4H chart, indicating a potential bullish continuation. Price has broken above the range and is now retesting near the demand zone at 118,000 – 116,000 USDT. If buyers hold this level, the next target sits near the weak high at 122,000 and potentially the major resistance at 128,000 USDT. Key levels to watch: Support: 114,000 – 116,000 USDT (demand zone) Resistance: 122,000 and 128,000 USDT Pattern: Rounding Bottom, bullish structure after ChoCH confirmation. This is a technical analysis idea, not financial advice. Please manage risk accordingly
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
2
Super Trend Strategies: Mastering Breakouts & RetracementsSuper Trend Unleashed: Mastering Breakouts & Retracements Hey, fellow traders! Ever wished for a straightforward tool to cut through market noise and identify trends with precision? ✨ Meet the Super Trend indicator – a dynamic, trend-following marvel designed to simplify your trading decisions and highlight high-probability entry points. Understanding this indicator can significantly enhance your market analysis. Understanding the Super Trend: Your Trend Compass 🧭 At its core, the Super Trend isn’t just another line on your chart; it's a powerful derivative of the Average True Range (ATR) and a multiplier factor. 🧠 The ATR measures market volatility, helping the Super Trend dynamically adjust its distance from the price, ensuring it stays relevant across varying market conditions. The indicator paints a vibrant line directly on your price chart, switching between green (bullish 🟢) and red (bearish 🔴) to signal the prevailing trend direction. Interpreting the Signals – The Color Code: Green Line (Below Price): When the Super Trend line turns green and positions itself below the price candles, it signals an established uptrend. This often suggests a favorable environment for long positions, acting as a dynamic support level. 📈 Red Line (Above Price): Conversely, when the line shifts to red and appears above the price candles, it indicates a downtrend is in play. This typically implies caution for longs or potential shorting opportunities, serving as dynamic resistance. 📉 The Flip 🔄: The real magic happens when the color flips! A change from red to green often serves as a potential buy signal, while a green to red flip can indicate a sell signal. Mastering Super Trend Strategies: Insights from the BTCUSDT Daily Chart Let's dissect the BTCUSDT Daily chart to understand Four powerful strategies utilizing the Super Trend indicator: Strategy 1: The Breakout Blast-Off 🚀 Our BTCUSDT Daily chart beautifully illustrates a classic Super Trend application: The Breakout Trade. Observe the initial period where price consolidated below a clear resistance level, marked as the "Breakout" line. 🚧 This horizontal line represented a significant ceiling that price struggled to surmount. A powerful surge saw BTC breaking decisively above this resistance. Crucially, at the exact moment of this breakout, the Super Trend line simultaneously flipped from red to a vibrant green and moved to position itself below the price. 🟣 This confluence of strong price action (a clean breakout) and the Super Trend signal (a bullish flip) provides robust confirmation for a long entry. Initiating a trade at this point capitalizes on the momentum generated by the breakout and the confirmed initiation of a new upward trend. It's an aggressive yet calculated entry, based on prior price action providing the foundation. Same way there was a shorting opportunity using this Breakout Strategy as shown in the chart. Strategy 2: The Retracement Rebound 🎯 Even after a significant upward move, markets rarely ascend in a straight line. They often retrace or pull back to 'refuel' before continuing their journey. The Super Trend indicator is exceptional at identifying these high-probability pullback opportunities, offering a more conservative entry point. 🌊 Observe how, after the initial breakout and subsequent rally, the BTCUSDT price pulls back towards the active green Super Trend line. This line effectively acts as dynamic support during an uptrend. The key here is patience and confirmation: wait for a confirmation candle (like the strong green candle highlighted within the second purple circle 🟣) that clearly closes above the Super Trend or shows strong rejection from it. This 'bounce' off the Super Trend, coupled with the indicator remaining green (signaling the underlying uptrend is still intact), provides an ideal opportunity to initiate or add to a long position, riding the continuation of the prevailing trend. This strategy minimizes risk by waiting for the market to prove its intent to continue upwards from a key support level. Strategy 3 Confluence Power: How Price Action & Super Trend Confirm Uptrends! 🤝 Let's turn our attention to the BTCUSDT Daily chart to dissect a powerful entry strategy where price action and the Super Trend align perfectly. 1.Initial Downtrend/Consolidation: Observe the left side of the chart. Initially, the Super Trend is red 🔴, indicating a bearish phase or period of consolidation. Price action might be characterized by lower lows or range-bound movement. 2.The First Hint of a Shift (L to HL): The market begins to show signs of life. After establishing a clear 'L' (Low), the price then forms a 'HL' (Higher Low). This is a crucial early signal from price action – buyers are now defending a higher level than before. 3.The Super Trend Flip: Simultaneously, or very shortly after the price establishes this first Higher Low, the Super Trend indicator performs its critical flip, transitioning from red to vibrant green 🟢. This tells us that the underlying trend, as calculated by the indicator, is potentially shifting. 4.The Confluence Point: Price Action + Super Trend Green Entry! 🚀 The sweet spot, highlighted by the yellow box and arrow labeled "Price action + SuperTrend Green" 🌟, occurs precisely when the price breaks above the previous swing high to establish a new Higher High (HH), and the Super Trend is firmly established as green 🟢. Why is this a high-conviction entry? It's not just an indicator giving a buy signal; it's the market structure itself confirming a shift in momentum. The sequence of HHs and HLs unequivocally demonstrates that buyers are in control and are pushing prices higher. The green Super Trend acts as a powerful validating filter, confirming the strength and sustainability of this newfound bullish trend. 🤝 The Power of Validation: Initiating a trade at this point capitalizes on a dual confirmation: the market is telling you it's going up through its price structure, and the Super Trend is validating this intent by aligning its trend signal. This significantly reduces the likelihood of false breakouts or whipsaws. Riding the Trend: Post-Entry Confirmation ✅ Following this confirmed entry, we observe a sustained upward movement in BTCUSDT. The Super Trend line continues to trail below the price, maintaining its green hue 🟢. This serves as a dynamic support level, and as long as the price remains above it, the uptrend is considered intact. Strategy 4: 4. The Art of Omission: Recognizing False Signals with Super Trend & Price Action. 🛑 In trading, knowing when not to trade is often as crucial as knowing when to enter. While indicators like the Super Trend are invaluable for identifying trends, a common pitfall is to blindly follow every signal. Today, we delve into a critical lesson: how discerning price action can help you avoid "green light, no go" scenarios, saving you from frustrating whipsaws and preserving your precious capital. 💰 1. Super Trend Turns Green: Around mid-May, the Super Trend flipped confidently to green 🟢, typically signaling a long entry. Price did rally initially. 2. Critical Price Action Test: Horizontal Resistance 🚧 As price rose, it hit a significant horizontal resistance around 72,000. Price rallied to this resistance, pulled back, and then tried again, but failed to make a decisive breakout above the previous peak. This formed a double top pattern or a clear ranging environment beneath the resistance. 3. The Disconnect: Green Super Trend vs. Unconfirmed Price Action ⚠️ Crucially, throughout this period, the Super Trend remained green 🟢. However, price action showed a clear lack of conviction to break out and establish new Higher Highs. The market was "chopping" or ranging, not trending. 4. The Verdict: "This Trade Can Be Avoided." 🛑 Despite the green Super Trend, the absence of a clear breakout or sustained bullish price action meant this trade should be avoided. Entering a long position here would be buying into resistance in a non-trending market, often leading to: o Whipsaws: Repeated stop-loss hits. o False Breakouts: Brief moves that quickly reverse. o Trend Reversals: As seen, the lack of conviction eventually led to a downtrend, flipping the Super Trend back to red. The Power of Confluence 🧘‍♀️ This example highlights why confluence is vital. Super Trend gives directional hints, but price action provides the ultimate confirmation (or denial) of that trend's strength. Same for Shorting as well, use power of confluence: Setting Up Your Super Trend on TradingView: A Quick Guide 🛠️ in.tradingview.com Adding the Super Trend to your TradingView chart is simple: 1.Click on the 'Indicators' button at the top of your chart. 🔍 2.In the search bar, type 'Super Trend'. ⌨️ 3.Select the official 'SuperTrend' by ‘Tradingview’ ✨ 4.The indicator will appear on your chart, typically with default settings (Factor: 3, Period: 10). Customizing for Peak Performance ⚙️ While the default settings are a great starting point, the beauty of Super Trend lies in its adaptability. You can adjust its sensitivity to better suit your trading style and the asset's volatility: Factor (Multiplier): This adjusts how far the Super Trend line is from the price. A lower factor (e.g., 2) makes it more sensitive, resulting in more frequent flips and potentially earlier signals but also more false signals (whipsaws). A higher factor (e.g., 4 or 5) makes it smoother and less sensitive, leading to fewer signals but potentially confirming trends later. Period (ATR Length): This determines the number of periods used for the Average True Range calculation. A longer period (e.g., 14 or 20) considers more data, resulting in a smoother ATR and less frequent signals. A shorter period (e.g., 7) makes it more responsive to recent price action. Experiment to find what complements your trading style and the specific market conditions! 🧪 Important Considerations & Pro-Tips for Success ✅ Not a Standalone Indicator: Super Trend excels when used in conjunction with other analytical tools. Combine it with traditional support/resistance zones, volume analysis, candlestick patterns, or other indicators like RSI or MACD for higher probability trades. 🤝 Volatility Matters: In highly volatile markets, the Super Trend might produce more whipsaws. Be mindful of the market conditions and consider adjusting the settings or confirming with other indicators. 🌪️ Dynamic Stop-Loss Placement: The Super Trend line itself can often serve as an excellent dynamic stop-loss. If the price closes on the opposite side of the line after your entry, it could signal a trend reversal and a good point to exit. 🛑 Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Always check the Super Trend on higher timeframes (e.g., Weekly or Daily if trading H4) to confirm the overarching trend before taking trades on lower timeframes. This ensures you're trading in harmony with the dominant market direction. ⏱️ Conclusion: Your Ally in Trend Trading 💰📈 The Super Trend is an indispensable tool for traders looking to identify and ride market trends effectively. Whether you're catching explosive breakouts or entering patiently on retracements, its clear visual signals can provide invaluable clarity. Master its nuances, combine it with sound risk management, and you'll have a powerful ally in your trading arsenal! Happy trading! I truly believe this easy Super Trend strategy tutorial can be a game-changer for many traders seeking clarity 💡 and profitability 💰. If you've found value in these insights, please hit the Like button on this idea 👍 and boost its visibility by sharing it with your fellow traders 🚀 (or even leaving a supportive comment! 💬). Your engagement ensures this accessible knowledge reaches and empowers more of our community 🤝. Let's build a stronger 💪, smarter 🧠 trading community together! Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Education
by ManiMarkets
2
BTC: Multi-Phase Correction Scenario₿ BITCOIN: Multi-Phase Correction Scenario - Liquidity Hunt to Major Pullback Sharing my broader outlook for Bitcoin's next major moves. This is a multi-timeframe analysis with several key phases. 🎯 **📍 Phase 1: Daily Dow Theory Reversal** The pink line below marks the daily timeframe pivot point based on Dow Theory. I'm expecting a liquidity grab at this level first - sweeping out the stop losses parked below this key structural point. 🔄 **📈 Phase 2: The Counter-Trend Rally** After the liquidity hunt, I'm looking for a recovery back toward the upper yellow horizontal line - this represents the recent range high. This would be a classic "fake-out" move to trap short-biased traders before the real decline begins. 🎭 **⏰ Time Factor Consideration:** If this rally extends into next week or beyond, we might only see a recovery to the lower yellow horizontal line instead. **Time affects momentum** - the longer price takes to develop, the weaker the eventual bounce tends to be. 📅 **📉 Phase 3: The Main Event** Finally, I'm anticipating a significant decline down to the purple line at the bottom - approximately the 0.382 Fibonacci level. This would represent the major corrective move. 🎯 **⚠️ Risk Management Note:** I cannot provide a risk-to-reward ratio for this setup yet. **Why?** Because I don't know exactly how price will behave at each critical level, and the stop loss placement will depend on how the structure develops. The R/R calculation will determine whether I actually take this trade or pass on it. 📊 **🧠 Key Takeaway:** This is a perfect example of why having a plan is different from having a trade. I know what I want to see, but I won't commit capital until the risk-to-reward makes sense. Patience pays in trading. ⏳ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
BTC/USDT 4H — Bearish belowBTC/USDT 4H — Bearish below 117k; 112k–110k next if 114.6k breaks Live: BTC $114,790 today. H:116,997 L:114,742. Rejected from 122k–126k supply; CHoCH + break of local uptrend; trading under 4H equilibrium ~116.5–117k. Below the retested trendline and EMA stack → momentum down. Bear bias while <117k. Plan Short trigger: 4H close <114.6k → 112.5k → 110.8k, extension 108k–105k, then 100k. Invalidation/flip: Sustained reclaim >117k → 118.8k → 120.5k → 122k–124k; strength only above 124k–126k. Key Levels Resistance: 116.5–117k, 118.8k, 120.5k, 122k–124k, 126k–128k. Support: 114.6k, 112.5k–111k, 108k–105k, 100k.
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSDT – Bearish - BreakoutHello everyone, what are your thoughts on BINANCE:BTCUSDT ? Bitcoin is currently trading around 115,300 USDT after breaking below the ascending trendline. This breakout signals a negative shift, pushing the price out of its previous bullish channel. On the 4H chart, price action shows that the bears are regaining control. If the price fails to return to the broken support zone, the downtrend could extend towards the next key support at 112,200 USDT. Any retracement back towards the resistance zone around 117,000 – 117,400 USDT could present a good opportunity for the bears to strengthen their position. What do you think? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
6
₿ BTCUSDT 1H TIMEFRAME🔍 Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Bitcoin is currently trading around 116,400 💹 after a sharp drop from the ATH region near 124,000. Price moved from bullish accumulation into consolidation and is now testing a potential breakdown or fake-down zone. 🧠 Market Overview: 🔻 Previous move: Accumulation → Breakout → Rally into ATH 🏔️ 🔁 Current structure: Consolidation followed by breakdown pressure ⚡ 🔼 Resistance: 117,293 → 118,132 📉 Support: 115,956 → 113,813 zone 🎯 Key Scenarios: 🔼 Bullish Continuation Possibility 🚀 If BTC reclaims 117,293–118,132, then upside momentum could push toward 120,000+ liquidity. 🔻 Bearish Breakdown Possibility 📉 If price fails to hold above 115,956, then deeper downside may open toward: 🔹 113,813 🔹 111,920 (major support) 📌 Current Levels to Watch: Resistance: 117,293 → 118,132 → 120,000 Support: 115,956 → 113,813 → 111,920 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Short
by PEAKALPHAFXMARKETS
2