BTC has formed a local downward corridorBTC has formed a local downward corridor within which downward movement is underway.
Current price is $101,785
According to wave analysis, a false breakout of the channel is expected from the current levels indicated in the purple area.
After which, the price is expected to return to the downward trend
More detailed analysis, additional charts, and key levels to watch are available on our site
Trade ideas
BTC Current Analysis | ETH | ZECTL;DR:
✅ 98K–100K = must-hold bullish base.
⚠️ 115K = breakout confirmation or rejection pivot.
⛔️ Break below 50WMA → 73K target.
🎯 Above 115K → 119K → 121K → 124K.
1. Structure Summary
Current: Sideways with a bullish tone on daily.
Key Zones:
Support: 98K–100K
Resistance: 115K
Upper targets: 119.1K / 121K / 124K
Deeper supports: 100WMA ≈ 73K
🔍 2. Short-Term (Daily Chart)
BTC is consolidating sideways — likely forming a bullish continuation pattern (a flat range).
Momentum (RSI/MACD) likely shows neutral divergence.
As long as price stays above 98K–100K, bulls maintain control.
A clean daily close above 115K would confirm range breakout, opening the path to 119–124K.
→ Bias: Bullish-neutral (accumulation before potential breakout).
🧱 3. Mid-Term (Weekly Chart)
50WMA acting as dynamic support; a breakdown below it often signals the start of a mid-term correction.
If 50WMA breaks and holds below, the next logical demand zone aligns with 100WMA (to ~73K) — a deep retracement zone.
Uptrend line support also converges near that level, increasing the probability of strong buying interest there.
→ Bias: Bullish until 50WMA breaks. If broken, expect a 25–30% correction to the 73K zone.
Bitcoin: From Green to Red — A Full Sentiment Shift in MotionAs illustrated in the chart, BINANCE:BTCUSDT has now transitioned cleanly from an uptrend (green candles) to a warning phase (yellow) — a signal that flashed just before Friday’s crash (excellent timing) then red candles.
The latest 4H chart confirms a clear downtrend, with price collapsing from the midline to the lower boundary of a machine-learning–derived trading channel. Selling pressure is mounting, and bears are firmly in control.
This transition is clearly visible in price, but the story doesn’t stop there.
Another ML-based tool, my composite sentiment indicator, turned negative back on Tuesday, October 7th (also great timming) and has since dropped deep into bearish territory. It reflects the emotional cycle turning from optimism to despair, perfectly aligned with the technical deterioration shown in the chart.
Statistically, my propietary trend strength index now reads 0.39 — well below the neutral 0.50 threshold. This means short-term selling pressure is dominating both medium and long-term momentum. The index combines multiple quantitative measures (Hurst Exponent, Sharpe Ratio, variance, and CAGR) to assess how “healthy” a trend really is. At present, it’s anything but healthy.
🧭 Conclusion
BTC’s current structure has progressed in perfect order: bullish → warning → bearish. All three pillars — technical, sentiment, and statistical — are aligned to the downside.
In short, this is not a buy-the-dip environment. Short-term rallies are better viewed as opportunities to enter short positions, not long ones.
A shift to a bullish bias would require all three signals to reverse:
1. Yellow then Green candles reappearing on the price chart (after a yellow phase).
2. A visible improvement in sentiment. (composite indicator returning to positive readings).
3. Statistical momentum index recovering to at least 0.50.
Until then, caution remains the strategy.
If you’d like to discuss building highly effective trading indicators, feel free to drop a comment below.
And if you’re curious about how my main crypto bot is approaching the market right now, check the first comment.
BTC Long Term Trend: From Warning to Stress Test. Two weeks ago, I highlighted that BTC had transitioned from bullish to warning phase, with yellow candles replacing green, sentiment rolling over, and my proprietary COMPOSITE index collapsing below 0.50. That signal came just before the 10/10 crash, and the structure shifted exactly as expected.
Now, with social media screaming “bear market,” it is time to ask the real question: is this the start of a new downtrend, or a volatility adjusted correction within a still intact macro uptrend?
Let’s break it down across three lenses: Weekly, Daily, and 4H, to separate noise from structure using a rigorous statistical and mathematical framework. Let the science speak.
1️⃣ Weekly Setup: The Long Term Structure
Despite the headlines, the data does not confirm a full reversal yet. The long term channel remains technically upward biased, even though it is clearly under pressure.
Unlike previous corrections that stayed comfortably within the ML channel or barely dipped below its baseline temporarily, this move has pushed price to its lower boundary in a stronger form, even moving the 2 sigma derived white point that I use not only as a stop level but also as a trend indicator. However, despite the unquestionable pressure mounting, price has not broken the structure yet.
The cyan histogram (my Composite Index) on the lower panel tells an even deeper story. Past pullbacks were very well telegraphed by the collapse of the red line, which signaled temporary structural resets. This time it is messy, less coherent, more disorderly, with the red line unable to telegraph a temporary move. This suggests a much more serious test for the long term trend is happening, although the final damage has not been inflicted yet.
🧭 Statistically, this remains an upward system under heavy stress, not a reversed one.
2️⃣ Daily Setup: Tactical Deterioration
On the daily chart, the short term structure has clearly rolled over. Price action closed well below the ML channel baseline, confirming dominance of selling momentum.
My composite sentiment aggregator is more coherent here, clearly tilted to the downside, printing negative readings that are consistent with distribution rather than accumulation. This frame says that bears control the short term flow, but we have not yet triggered the full structural breakdown seen in prior cycle reversals.
3️⃣ 4H Setup: Micro Structure (Swing View)
Zooming into the 4 hour view, we see a textbook micro replica of the daily structure. Price fell hard below the baseline, then briefly rebounded inside the ML channel. That rebound is a technical reaction, not a trend change.
Strictly speaking from a statistical point of view, this current rebound is noise against a broader deterioration visible in higher timeframes. Until the daily and weekly setups recover, every 4H bounce remains a countertrend move, not a reversal.
Conclusion: The Crossroad Moment
We are standing at an inflection point.
Weekly: Upward trend under stress.
Daily: Active short term downtrend.
4H: Temporary rebounds within that weakness.
A sustained break of the weekly ML midline would confirm a deeper phase shift, possibly the start of a true bear regime. Until that happens, this remains a stress test of the long term structure, not its collapse.
If you would like to see how these ML based indicators are built and why they adapt faster than most traditional systems, just ask for it in the comment section below or connect.
Pullback or Freefall? Bitcoin’s Battle Around $100K?Bitcoin dropped below $100K yesterday, setting a new lower low and confirming the ongoing bearish momentum.
Currently, the price is pulling back toward the $105K–$106K zone, which aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement level.
What’s next?
I expect a rejection from this area, followed by a retest of $100K, and possibly a move below that — meaning we might soon see a four-digit Bitcoin again.
As always, this is not financial advice, just a personal market observation.
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction
$BTC — Bounce or Bluff?Bitcoin tapped the 98k zone, but 104k continues to act as firm resistance. If this level keeps rejecting into New York close, a deviation toward 97k–96k looks likely before any meaningful retest of the 105k–107k range.
After sweeping liquidity, Bitcoin is showing a modest bullish pullback. Following a sharp move, sideways consolidation tends to be the next phase — forming a new range where both buy-side and sell-side liquidity start to build.
Any rejection around 104k could offer a solid short setup, targeting the 97–96k zone for a potential triple-drive setup.
Conversely, if price stabilizes at 100k and buyers defend it with strength, that’s when long opportunities begin to look more compelling.
When the hell will this end?In recent weeks everyone on the market is in panic. I’ve already seen crazy ideas that Bitcoin will fall all the way to $50,000! Not impossible, of course, but I’m more likely to believe in Bitcoin at $200,000 than at 50.
Let’s figure out what’s actually happening and when this will end.
➡️ The price continues to move in a descending channel, and quite safely at that, not testing the lower boundary of the channel. It is consolidating near the upper boundary, which is a bullish sign.
A divergence is forming in selling volumes, indicating weakening selling pressure.
➡️ Money Flow shows that over the last two days, despite the decline, liquidity has been flowing into Bitcoin. Which means the dip was being bought.
➡️ But the price still hasn’t reached its yearly ascending support, which means the potential for a drop remains.
➡️ Also, focusing on a range-trading strategy, the price is currently in the so-called “premium” zone. And I’m clearly not the only one who’s noticed this.
📌 In the end:
There’s nothing scary about the current decline. It simply removed the excessive overheating from a market that had been rising non-stop for the last 3–4 months. Which basically shouldn’t have happened anyway, since summer is behind us — historically a quiet period.
That’s why I wrote right away in all the reviews that we shouldn’t expect that UPTOBER. I’m actually surprised the correction didn’t start back in September.
If the price doesn’t hold now at the $100,000 level, the next major target is $93,000–92,000.
✍️ Write in the comments: are you buying the dip or selling?
When the hell will this end? In recent weeks everyone on the market is in panic. I’ve already seen crazy ideas that Bitcoin will fall all the way to $50,000! Not impossible, of course, but I’m more likely to believe in Bitcoin at $200,000 than at 50.
Let’s figure out what’s actually happening and when this will end.
➡️ The price continues to move in a descending channel, and quite safely at that, not testing the lower boundary of the channel. It is consolidating near the upper boundary, which is a bullish sign.
A divergence is forming in selling volumes, indicating weakening selling pressure.
➡️ Money Flow shows that over the last two days, despite the decline, liquidity has been flowing into Bitcoin. Which means the dip was being bought.
➡️ But the price still hasn’t reached its yearly ascending support, which means the potential for a drop remains.
➡️ Also, focusing on a range-trading strategy, the price is currently in the so-called “premium” zone. And I’m clearly not the only one who’s noticed this.
📌 In the end:
There’s nothing scary about the current decline. It simply removed the excessive overheating from a market that had been rising non-stop for the last 3–4 months. Which basically shouldn’t have happened anyway, since summer is behind us — historically a quiet period.
That’s why I wrote right away in all the reviews that we shouldn’t expect that UPTOBER. I’m actually surprised the correction didn’t start back in September.
If the price doesn’t hold now at the $100,000 level, the next major target is $93,000–92,000.
✍️ Write in the comments: are you buying the dip or selling?
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #211👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a downtrend and has reached its next support!
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin finally broke the important support at 106,396 yesterday, and with a very high selling volume, it managed to start its new downward wave.
💥 The RSI oscillator also entered the oversold zone at the same time as the 106,396 break, which was another reason for the market's drop.
⚡️ This downward move has reached the 100,308 support, and the price has calmed down a bit now.
✅ The psychological level of 100,000 is extremely important. Despite the massive selling volume and bearish momentum in the market, buyers haven’t allowed the price to stabilize below this level, and now the market is in a corrective phase.
🧩 After the price reacted to this zone, the volume has significantly decreased, which favors the sellers. If the buying volume remains low, the price will likely start falling again with the entrance of new selling volume.
🔔 However, since the RSI has faked the 30 level and the market momentum could turn bullish, we could see a reversal. If the volume starts to increase and considering the bullish trend on higher timeframes like the weekly chart, we could open a position.
🔍 For now, the first long trigger we have in this timeframe is 111,789. If the price can sharply recover to this level, a very strong bullish trend could begin.
💡 The main resistance zone we have is 115,771, and breaking this level will confirm the start of Bitcoin's new upward wave. We can look to enter the trend after breaking 111,789. If the price builds further structure, we can enter earlier with smaller triggers.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Testing the Lower Boundary of the Range
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s your daily analysis.
Since Monday, Bitcoin has moved exactly as expected — heading lower and testing the $105,600–$104,500 support zone (volume anomalies).
Volumes spiked sharply, and some selling pressure was absorbed, but on the second test, the price slid through the level almost effortlessly.
At the moment, Bitcoin is testing the lower boundary of the global range $102,000–$116,000, where we’re observing strong volume anomalies that have triggered a short-term correction.
However, this reaction alone is not enough for a full reversal.
We expect a retest of the push-volume zone $103,700–$106,700, from where seller pressure may resume, leading to a move toward ~$101,000.
Only if that zone shows strong buying defense can we consider long entries.
For now, the bias remains bearish — the market seller is weak, but the price continues to move downward by inertia.
If the $101,000 level fails to hold, the next downside target lies at $97,000–$93,000.
Buy Zones:
• ~$101,000 (volume anomalies)
• $97,000–$93,000 (volume zone)
Sell Zones:
• $103,700–$106,700 (push volumes)
• $109,500–$110,700 (accumulated volumes)
• $112,400–$113,300 (accumulated volumes)
• $114,700–$115,700 (accumulated volumes)
• $120,900–$124,000 (volume zone)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT | Bitcoin Drops 15% in 8 Days – Is Recovery Next?By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin has faced a strong correction over the past few days — dropping nearly 15% from $116,400 to $98,940 in less than eight days.
After sweeping liquidity below $102,000, buying pressure returned, and BTC is now trading around $102,400.
If price manages to break and hold above $104,700, we could see a rebound toward $110K+. Otherwise, Bitcoin may continue its decline toward $95,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin Structure & Order Flow Analysis✅ What the chart is telling us
1) Strong Impulsive Down Move
Large bearish impulse candles
High selling volume
CVD deeply negative → aggressive sellers in control
Main trend is still down.
2) Reversal Reaction at Support Zone
At the local bottom we see:
Increased volume at lows ✔️
CVD flattening ✔️
Multiple failed breakdown attempts ✔️
This area shows buyers absorbing, shorts covering, and early longs stepping in.
3) First Higher Low (HL)
A Higher Low formed following a sharp drop.
✅ First sign of potential trend shift
❗Not a confirmed uptrend yet
To confirm a true reversal we need:
HL → done
HH → minor HH formed
Retest & hold → pending
So far this is only early recovery structure, not yet trend reversal confidence.
4) Key Level: POC + Value Area Low
Price is holding above yesterday’s POC — short-term bullish signal.
However, overhead we have:
Mid-range resistance
102.3–102.6 supply zone
Micro-value high cap
Price is pushing into resistance.
📊 1H Structure Summary
Element Status
Higher timeframe Downtrend
Current structure HL → minor HH
Volume Stabilizing
CVD Recovering (-9k → -380)
Location Retest of POC into supply
Bias Range → early accumulation signs
This is not a FOMO long spot.
This is a range recovery zone, not breakout continuation.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔥 Bullish scenario
Looking for:
Minor pullback
Hold 101.90–102.10
Break into 103,000 zone
Best long entry = HL retest after breakout, not here.
❄️ Bearish scenario
Short continuation if:
Price loses 101.90
Drops below Value Low
CVD flips down again
✅ Trader Game Plan
We do not chase here. Patience wins.
Looking for either:
Pullback to 1H demand + bounce → long scalp
Reject from 102.6 + LH on 5m → short continuation
Trade the reaction, not prediction.
Let the market show direction before committing.
📌 Conclusion
Buyers showed life — but still need to prove momentum.
Key levels
Bull defense: 102.0 – 101.9
Breakout confirmation: 102.6+
Bear continuation trigger: < 101.9
Now is the time to wait, not guess.
Patience ≠ weakness — it’s discipline.
Bitcoin: Sellers Pushed the Price Below the RangeThe price tested the 50% level of the monthly range (100,353)
Hello, traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
On the daily timeframe, the market remains in a sideways range, and the seller initiative managed to push the price below its lower boundary.
The price also interacted with the 50% level of the monthly trading range — 100,353.
These two factors may trigger buying activity and a potential return of the price back into the range.
Within the seller initiative, we can see four seller candles with increasing volume, with the highest volume at the bottom — the IC candle.
To look for buying opportunities, the price needs to return into the range.
Absorption of the seller’s IC candle would be a good sign to start looking for long setups.
Nearest key levels on the daily timeframe:
— Lower boundary of the range — 102,000
— High of the seller candle that broke the lower boundary — 107,299
If we look at the 1-hour timeframe, there’s also a nearby level at 107,672, which corresponds to the 50% level of the hourly trading range.
If buyers start to move, it will be important to watch how they handle the 107,299–107,672 zone.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Bitcoin Losses Hit 9-Month High Of $24 Billion Amid 8% Price DroBitcoin is trading at $101,729 at the time of writing, sitting just above the critical $100,000 support. Earlier, BTC slipped below this level, forming an intra-day low of $98,966 before rebounding slightly.
The recent 8% drop has validated a head-and-shoulders pattern, which projects a potential 13.6% decline targeting $89,948. However, if investors begin buying at lower levels, Bitcoin could bounce from $100,000 and retest $105,000 or higher.
Conversely, continued selling pressure and weak market conditions could send BTC below $100,000 again. A breach under $98,000 may lead to further losses toward $95,000 or lower, undermining any short-term recovery hopes.
Chart Analysis: BTC / USDT (Weekly Timeframe)Pattern: EMA Retest (Potential Breakdown Risk)
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC) facing notable bearish pressure after recent highs. Price is currently testing the 50-week EMA, a historically important support zone that has previously triggered strong bullish rebounds. However, current momentum shows weakness as sellers dominate.
Key Observations
🔹 Support Zone: Around $100,900 (50 EMA) — acting as critical dynamic support.
🔹 June Low Support: Near $98,200, the next major level to monitor.
🔹 Bearish Candle: BTC down nearly 8% for the week, showing strong selling pressure.
🔹 Bull Bear Power (BBP) Indicator: signaling that bearish strength outweighs bullish demand, and selling momentum remains strong.
🔹 Previous Bounces: The last two retests of the 50-week EMA (circled) led to solid recoveries, but this time, price action looks weaker and sentiment more cautious.
Potential Move
If BTC fails to hold above the 50-week EMA, further downside targets could be:
🎯 Target 1: $95,000
🎯 Target 2: $90,000
Conversely, a strong bullish reaction from the 50 EMA may spark a rebound phase and signal renewed accumulation.
Summary:
Bitcoin is currently at a critical support retest on the 50-week EMA. The Bear Power indicator suggests growing downside pressure, and a weekly close below $100K could confirm a deeper correction. Holding this zone, however, might preserve the broader uptrend.
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTraders #CryptoMarket #BullBearPower






















