Analysis LearnOpen the image to see it in higher quality. 🕯 The points marked are potential entries based on market conditions and higher timeframe analysis. If confirmed, I may take the trade. The win rate usually ranges between 30% and 60%, which means that out of all these buy and sell setups, up to 60% might result in a loss.
📕 Many of you have asked for tutorials here and on TradingView. Please understand that I don’t have the time to provide them, and the best way to learn is by trading with your own money—which you’ve worked hard to earn—of course, not with large amounts but with proper risk management.
🙏 I hope this chart helps you.
BTCUST.P trade ideas
BOttom reached up from here BTCYes, I believe BTC has reached the local bottom, now we go back up, 121, 124, it's a wrestling match between buy and sell, but we gotta take our chances and not be afraid, and be flexible to switch between bearish and bullish when the charts show you the way forward. Get it? Peace out.
TCK.
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 14 August 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from the strong resistance 122770.00
- Likely to fall to support level 115000.00
Bitcoin today recently reversed down with the Bearish Engulfing from the strong resistance level 122770.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1 at the start of July).
The resistance zone near the resistance level of 122770.00 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the resistance level 122770.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Bitcoin can be expected to fall to the next support level 115000.00.
BTC | Swing Plan UpdatePrice failed to break out above 1D supply and sharply rejected, losing key 4H demand at $117,300.
HTF demand at $109,000 (1D FVG + BOS + S/R) is the next major area of interest—this is where I’ll look for fresh swing setups if the market flushes further.
No need to rush new positions until a clean setup prints or levels are reclaimed.
Plan:
Wait for price to test $109,000 zone before considering a swing long.
Only consider LTF scalp longs if we reclaim the 4H BOS at $118,300.
Stay flat until high-probability entry, let the market show its hand.
BEAR TRAP BEFORE A BULLISH REVERSAL?on the daily TF i can see the consolidation that occurred a few months ago at the ATH, after this consolidation, price broke to the downside, forming a bearish trend line.
Over the last few days, price has broken through both parts of the major consolidation from a few months ago and also the major trend line formed. Price has since broken down to touch the major trend line at 17,500.
From a technical standpoint, an entry point at 17,500, aiming for a possible break to a new ATH is my expectation.
If i remember correctly, price formed this similar pattern when breaking the ATH of 60k, could this be a repeat?
BTCUSDT 12HAs we mentioned in our previous analysis, we expected #BTC to struggle breaking above the resistance zone at $122,120 – $123,218 — and that’s exactly what happened. BTC attracted liquidity just above this zone and quickly reacted downward.
This drop also filled the CME Gap at $119,100 – $117,425.
On the 12H spot chart, BTC is still within the support zone, with the 12H EMA50 holding as support. If Bitcoin is to move higher, it must hold this zone and rebound quickly.
Otherwise, a breakdown below the triangle support line could lead to moves toward:
🎯 $114,437
🎯 $111,337
🎯 $108,236
🎯 $103,822
🎯 $98,200
If volume picks up and BTC breaks above the resistance zone, the upside targets are:
🎯 $126,507
🎯 $130,473
🎯 $135,524
🚫 Right now is not the time for leverage trades. It’s crucial to wait and see which way Bitcoin breaks. Avoid greed and make decisions with clear judgment — either stay on the sidelines or stick to the spot market.
⚠️ As always, use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
Secure Profits? Bitcoin Crash! $100K or Lower?Bitcoin broke out of a consolidation range with resistance at $112,000 and hit a high of $123,000 14-July. The retrace from this major high on 2-August reached a low of $112,000. From this low, Bitcoin made a new jump and peaked earlier today at $124,500.
This second jump produced a very strong rejection. This rejection produces a double-top pattern and points to lower prices. Bearish volume is really high. Lower is confirmed.
How far down will it go?
The first low was $112,000 and the bounce led to a double-top. The double-top means no new highs, buyers were not strong enough, which means that the next drop will break support. Since resistance holds, support is more likely to break.
Bitcoin is now headed toward $107,750 or lower to test the previous support range. We are talking a range between $100,000 and $110,000. This is the support zone that will be tested again.
Please keep in mind that if Bitcoin were to drop to $100,000, market conditions would remain extremely bullish and at the same time we would have a major 20% big correction. This means that after such correction the market can again turn and resume growing for months. Can be 3-5 months growing straight up or it can be more.
The retrace can also result in the test of previous support and this support holding, this is $112,000. If this happens, the market responds ultra-bullish and we focus on a higher high next.
Regardless of the short-term, we continue bullish long-term. Bitcoin is going down.
The bull market is not over.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis- 14.08.25Welcome!
We got our move down in the red Wave C that we were talking about after we briefly took out the ATH which we warned about in our last Analysis. :)
The Wave C hit the 1.618 FIB at 117426 USD which is a common target in an expanding Flat as ABC. We did also touch the 0.5 FIB of the Wave 2 support area at 117150 USD. The price still could climb down a few more dollars into our Wave 2 support area but we expect a bounce soon. The blue Wave 2 support area lies between the 0.382 FIB at 118400 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 114118 USD.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 13.08.25Welcome back! ^^
Since yesterday we saw a bit more momentum towards to the upside but the case still stays the same. We assume that the recent top could be a Wave 1 and we are looking for a retracement in Wave 2 as a red ABC of which we already finished the Wave A and potentially Wave B in today's move up.
The Wave 2 support area lies between the 0.382 FIB at 1184000 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 114118 USD.
The Wave C targets are the 1 to 1 FIB at 117818 USD which is the most common target and it is right below the low of Wave A. Further targets are the 1.236 FIB at 116779 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 116137 USD which is right above the golden pocket and additionally at the same price level as the price action of the 8th to 10th August which could function as further support and as last the 1.618 FIB at 115099 USD.
Be aware that the Wave B could extend to the upside and turn into an overshooting B Wave. It can even take the ATH briefly but if we break above the 125k price level this count get's less probable and we are either in a more complex bigger correction or the red Wave A was already the whole Wave 2 correction which would be valid as it touched the 0.382 FIB of the support area at 118400 USD.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC and correction Bitcoin entered a price correction and after seeing the range ahead, I expect to buy and in this move I expect the risk-free previous purchases to be activated with a medium-term view and I will enter the purchase at cheaper prices.
In every market move, before paying full attention to the analyses of others and prominent people, only pay attention to the reality of the market and the price trend.
Preserving capital is much more important than making profits.
Be with me and grow your account, slowly and steadily.
Boost me and introduce me to your friends so that everyone can profit together.
$BTC is repeating history, and it’s doing it with precision.CRYPTOCAP:BTC is repeating history, and it’s doing it with precision. 📈
In the last cycle, it took Bitcoin 1,044 days to move from the bear market bottom to a new all-time high. This cycle is on the same timeline, and we’re now well into that phase.
Price is staying inside the long-term rising channel, and momentum is building. If this continues, a macro top could form between late October and early November, maybe even by the first week of October if the rally speeds up.
The RSI is also climbing toward the same overbought levels seen before past tops. The cycle pattern isn’t random.
It’s the guide.
Liquidity Grab Long Setup with Fib Rejection and Head & ShoulderThought Process:
- Identify rejection at 0.618 Fib as a potential trend reversal signal.
- Map out major liquidity pools where stop-loss clusters are likely.
- Expect market makers to push price into these pools to collect liquidity.
- Plan a long entry immediately after liquidity grab for a possible bounce.
- Watch for bounce to align with right shoulder completion in Head & Shoulders pattern.
- Use neckline as the main resistance and decision point for next move.
BTC 8H – Testing Trendline After Local High RejectionBitcoin’s 8H chart shows price pulling back after rejecting near 124K, now retesting the ascending trendline from April. The key breakout retest zone sits between 110K–113K, offering a potential support area if the trendline fails. Stoch RSI is cooling from mid-range levels, suggesting momentum may shift before the next move. A bounce here could target recent highs, while a breakdown risks revisiting the prior support base.
Blessed RT-Tool 3.0 Fib levels give me goosebumps everytime yeaaaah. 2% risk for 11% return.
Alright I think i can give a good statement about btc here right now. I like this patterrn what we see here but usually I see this not at ATH territories. But anyway, its possible that the bottom is in. What we need to see now is a S1S2 pattern to form. this will increase the likelyhood heavily to pressure higher for price discovery. If not we will quickly find out. Only liq grabs right now would be allowed for the idea to manifest. everything else would invalidate this
BTCUSDT Quick Update: Shakeouts at $125k✅After the recent retest of $122-125k, BTC has fail to get a decisively move above $125k.
The 2D macd had temporally flipped positive. However, because of the current shakeouts from $124.5K, the 2DMACD has gone back negative.
This means a strong upside volatility will be needed to force the 2Dmacd to maintain it bullishness.
As usual, this short term short pullback is not an indicative of a TOP as the Bi-monthly and Q are still suggesting bullish uptrend (Explain in the video).
🟡Therefore, within this trading range of 125-112k zone, the supports are
118-117k & 113-112K.
Will directionally look for ~$130k (1.414extension as explain in recent videos) as the next take profits zone.
🔵Will keep an eye on the D macd as it is still positive. If it flips negative, will reassess.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #152👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the Bitcoin analysis. Unfortunately, I couldn’t post the analysis yesterday, but starting today, it will once again be posted daily as part of our regular routine so you can benefit from it.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, on the 1-Hour chart, Bitcoin made a strong upward move and set a new all-time high at the 124474 zone.
💥 However, today the US Producer Price Index (PPI) was released, showing an unusual figure of 0.9%. This news is very negative for Bitcoin because it means the Federal Reserve may not be able to lower interest rates, which is bearish for Bitcoin.
⭐ This negative news caused Bitcoin, after the fake breakout of the 122733 zone, to drop, and the price has now fallen back to the 117000 zone. The momentum of this drop has been quite strong.
⚡️ If the 117000 zone breaks, the probability of a decline toward the 110000 zone will increase significantly because a very important resistance has been faked out, which has weakened buyer strength considerably.
🔍 In my opinion, the likelihood of this happening is low because this large candle we see was triggered by news, and the effects of news are more important in the long term rather than immediately at the time of release. However, the news that was released is fundamentally negative for Bitcoin in the long run and could even be the starting point of a bearish trend for Bitcoin.
✔️ So, from a fundamental perspective, it’s better to wait for Powell’s September session.
📊 But if the 117000 zone holds as support, we can consider opening long positions when suitable triggers are activated because the trend is still bullish, and the price could retest the previous high again.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Update Short-Term · Ignore Rejection At ResistanceQuick update and important. This will not change the broader market picture and our view. The market will continue growing long-term.
Here Bitcoin is showing a strong rejection on the daily timeframe coupled with a lower high and rising bearish volume. This can lead to some bearish action. This bearish action can be considered part of the consolidation period below resistance. As Bitcoin moves sideways, fluctuates, the altcoins market should continue to grow.
The bullish bias will be revealed based on the fact that day after day, many new altcoins will continue to break up.
The consolidation period for Bitcoin to break above $112,000 was 48 days. It's been 28 days since Bitcoin challenged $123,000. Do not be distracted, Bitcoin will continue to grow.
If you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment.
» If there is any altcoin you would like me to look at, just leave a comment with the trading pair ticker and I will do a full analysis for you.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Update · Rejection Nullified · $135,000 Short-TermBitcoin's lower high and rejection at resistance has been nullified already after just one day. This means that the market is bullish and confirmed to continue rising. The bearish signal previously mentioned has been fully nullified.
Bitcoin is likely to continue to challenge resistance though or grow only slowly, more consolidation, while the altcoins market bullish cycle unravels. It is a long process.
While the action looks good above resistance, black line on the chart, it can move back down and continue to fluctuate for days, weeks or months. In this case, months is not a possibility so we are left with only weeks or days.
Bitcoin can continue with its consolidation at resistance for a few days or some weeks at max and then we are at the next high. Market conditions will be very different when Bitcoin trades at $135,000 vs $120,000. Things will be even harder to manage when Bitcoin trades at $155,000 vs $135,000, but this is where we are headed. The bulls own the game.
The altcoins market will look so much different and everything will be up 200-300%. This timeline is expected to develop in the coming 60 days.
The bull market will continue to unravel and prices will continue to grow all across Crypto.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.