Trade ideas
BITCOIN SIGNAL: BIGGEST MOVE YET TO COME!!!? (scary)Yello Paradisers, enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN – LONG - 105K SWEEP BEFORE WE LEAPTraders,
In my latest analysis I said that Bitcoin will reach 117.000-117.500 before a bigger dump. Price didn't reach those levels yet, and dumped instantly instead.
However, the main thesis still stands: price is likely to reach that zone (117.000-117.500) before a larger reversal down. But before that, I expect a short squeeze beginning at $105.000.
Why I Expect a Squeeze
During the Asia session, new leveraged short exposure was built. Open Interest (OI) increased while Net Shorts rose, showing that traders were adding fresh short positions.
Around 107,000–107,500, both Spot CVD and Coin-Margined CVD are showing bullish divergence. Sellers are active, but price is holding, which indicates absorption.
Stablecoin-Margined CVD in the same range shows exhaustion, suggesting selling pressure is fading.
At New York open, OI continued to rise together with Net Longs, meaning aggressive longs are now fading into the short exposure created during Asia.
What This Means
Historically, the London and New York sessions tend to sweep Asia’s positioning. When Asia builds short exposure, the later sessions often push price higher to liquidate those shorts. This often results in a short squeeze, which aligns with what we may be seeing now.
Determining the Next Move Down
Before deciding if price extends lower first, we must identify the variables of probability (VOP) — the “magnets” that increase the likelihood of a lower sweep.
1. Weak Thursday Low
There is a weak low that has not been properly tested. In TPO (Time Price Opportunity) terms, a weak low forms when price finds temporary support without strong buying response. Such levels often get revisited.
2. Unswept Sunday 19 Oct Low
There is also an unswept Sunday low from 19 October. Sunday lows are often swept because weekend liquidity is thin and order books are shallow. When liquidity returns during the week, those inefficient areas tend to get filled.
Imbalances and Volume Gaps Below
Next we look for gaps, imbalances, or LVNs (Low Volume Nodes) — areas where trading activity was limited or one-sided. These zones often attract price because markets seek balance.
Many traders identify “fair value gaps” by looking at candles, but that only shows part of the picture. To locate the real inefficiency, we need to look inside the candles using order flow or a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) to find the exact levels of bid-ask imbalance.
Volume Profile and Fibonacci Confluence
Drawing the Fixed Range Volume Profile from the impulse move below the Sunday 19 Oct low shows a clear imbalance at 105,070.
Checking confluences:
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (low to high) aligns exactly with 105,070
The 0.886 retracement (higher low to high) also aligns exactly with 105,070
Fibonacci extensions (1.113 and 1.272) both target around 105,000
The 0.618 extension also lands near 105,000
Thesis Summary
Based on all data and confluence:
Price likely dips to sweep the weak 30 Oct low and the 19 Oct Sunday low
Target zone: LVN / imbalance near 105,000
Expect a liquidity grab that traps late shorts and shakes out weak longs
After that, expect a reversal toward 117,000–117,500, where the next major liquidity pool lies
Why a Lower Sweep Is Expected
The Asia session built significant short exposure
There is an inefficiency and low-volume magnet around 105k
Weak lows provide clear liquidity targets
Once those areas are cleared, market structure favors a strong reversal upward
In summary:
Bitcoin is likely to make one more sweep toward the 105,000 zone to clear liquidity before expanding upward into the 117,000–117,500 area, where a larger reversal setup is likely to form. Of course, price can always move up or down without perfectly respecting these levels — the market does not owe us precision. These levels simply represent the highest-probability areas based on current data and confluence.
BTC market snapshotIndices are overheated. Crypto is overheated. Gold doesn’t even think about to stopping its rally. Banks are running out of the cash. The U.S. economy looks massy. AI sector is bubbling - threatening to burst and pull back hard.
Noy exactly encouraging, but better to face reality.
BTC has dropped below 200-day MA again, making another move toward 108k. Chances are seeing 100k zone are increasing. Still staying in short mood
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – November 03, 2025I would like to share my Bitcoin idea as of November 3.
This idea is an extension of the one from October 27. The short positions entered on the 27th will be closed in profit in connection with this idea, and I plan to add some additional positions at the same time.
This idea is based on a bearish (short) perspective,
and I see a high possibility of a downward correction based on technical grounds.
First Basis — FIBONACCI 1.272 Retracement
Currently, Bitcoin is located in the 1.272 retracement zone relative to the previous downward movement.
This is generally recognized as the completion zone of a rebound,
where buying pressure tends to weaken and selling pressure begins to appear.
Second Basis — Trendline Breakdown
Bitcoin has clearly broken below the short-term ascending trendline.
This indicates the end of the short-term upward movement
and suggests the potential for a new downward trend reversal.
Accordingly, I set the average target price around 100,600 USDT.
Further position management and updates will be provided depending on market developments.
Thank you for reading.
Bitcoin Miners Trade Place With Long-Term Holders To Harm BTC Bitcoin’s price currently stands at $107,968, hovering above the key $108,000 support level. Historically, BTC has slipped through this zone during periods of miner or institutional profit-taking. Maintaining this support is crucial for preventing a deeper retracement.
If miner selling intensifies, Bitcoin could drop toward $105,585, marking a two-week low. The move would likely trigger short-term liquidation pressure and add to investor uncertainty. A further decline could also weaken technical support ahead of $103,000.
However, if miners ease off and sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could rebound toward $110,000. A confirmed breakout above this level may pave the way for a rise to $112,500, restoring short-term bullish confidence in the market.
Analytics: Market Outlook and Forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
At the beginning of last week, Bitcoin tested the key level of $116,000, forming an abnormal cluster of buys below this mark. We expected a supporting force to emerge during the retest of this anomaly. However, the movement turned out to be a seller's trap, leading to a downward price reversal. On Tuesday, we highlighted this fact in our daily TradingView post and adjusted our analysis.
Bitcoin continued to decline, tested important volume zones below, and only slightly slowed down its fall. On the global timeframe, there is a clear sideways pattern in the range of $102,000-$116,000, within which we’re currently trading.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The priority for movement is towards the nearest selling zone. If there is no reaction from this zone, the priority is towards the lower boundary of the designated sideways pattern. We’re not considering global and positional buys yet. The initiative is still on the seller's side, and we should wait for a clearer picture.
When the lower limit of the flat is reached, the probability of returning to the range is minimal, as the volumes within the range are distributed closer to the upper limit. In this scenario, we’ll consider more global buy zones below the current level.
Buy Zones:
• $105,600–$104,500 (volume anomalies)
• $97,000–$93,000 (volume zone)
Sell Zones:
• $109,500–$110,700 (accumulated volumes)
• $112,400–$113,300 (accumulated volumes)
• $114,700–$115,700 (accumulated volumes)
• $120,900–$124,000 (volume zone)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
This week, we are following these macroeconomic events:
• November 3, Monday, 14:45 (UTC) - publication of the US Manufacturing PMI for October;
• November 3, Monday, 15:00 (UTC) - publication of the US Manufacturing PMI for October by ISM;
• November 4, Tuesday, 15:00 (UTC) - publication of the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTS) for September;
• November 5, Wednesday, 13:15 (UTC) — publication of the change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the United States for October;
• November 5, Wednesday, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the supply management index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for October;
• November 5, Wednesday, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index for the services sector of the United States for October;
• November 6, Thursday, 12:00 (UTC) — announcement of the UK interest rate decision for November;
• November 6, Thursday, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT.P - November 3, 2025BTCUSDT.P is forming a potential lower-high structure within a broader corrective phase, suggesting renewed bearish momentum. The setup plans a sell short limit order at $116,380, targeting a move down toward the profit level at $100,904, with a stop level positioned at $131,811 for risk management. The structure favors a downside continuation as long as price remains below the $116,380 resistance zone. A break above the stop region would invalidate the bearish bias and shift momentum back to buyers.
Risk Assessment: Medium risk — while the market structure supports a bearish setup, the wide range and volatility around the $110,000–$120,000 zone introduce potential fluctuations before confirmation.
03/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,415.75
Last weeks low: $106,320.38
Midpoint: $111,368.06
This week will be the third week in a row where ~$116,000 is acting as weekly high and a major resistance level. Last weeks price action was clear, the bulls are incapable of flipping that level and making it new support. As a result the bulls retreated back towards strong support at weekly low ~106,000 completing the SFP. Also this pattern is a mirror image of the previous weekly outlooks price action. No clear trend bias at all here but what is obvious is bull market momentum is dying out.
Bitcoin has always been hyper sensitive to liquidity, as always month end window dressing by the banks have a negative effect on liquidity, it usually takes a few days to get over this and resume normal levels again. The Government shutdown in the US does not help this as spending from the Treasury General Account has stopped with approximately $150Bn coming out of the market in October alone as a result.
Should Bitcoin push higher it can only do so once Government operations resume IMO. FOMC resulted in a 25bps cut and QT (Quantitative tightening) is ending on 1st December, all bullish signs for the future but currently and for this week I think chop/ gradual drawdown continues.
Good luck this week everybody!
#BTC/USDT – When the Bullish Wave Returns#BTC
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and is adhering to it well. It is poised to break out strongly and retest the channel.
We have a downtrend line on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward move.
There is a key support zone in green at 106775, representing a strong support point.
We have a trend of consolidation above the 100-period moving average.
Entry price: 107347
First target: 107742
Second target: 108525
Third target: 109246
Don't forget a simple money management rule:
Place your stop-loss order below the support zone in green.
Once the first target is reached, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTC/USDT: Bearish Bias Holds Below 116K as Price ConsolidatesBTC/USDT is trading within a broad descending structure, having rejected the 116K resistance zone. Price continues to form lower highs, respecting the downward trendline while consolidating below 110K.
If this zone holds, a short-term rebound toward 110K is possible before selling pressure resumes. Momentum remains bearish, with downside targets near the 102K–95K support zone.
❗️ Risks:
– Strong U.S. economic data could spark volatility.
– Renewed ETF inflows may boost spot demand.
– Holding above 110K would weaken the bearish case.
BTCUSDT: Buyers Aim for Recovery Toward $115K ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing a constructive bullish setup after rebounding from the 106,600–107,000 Support Zone. This area has consistently acted as a strong demand region, confirming buyers’ interest each time price tested the lower boundary of the Upward Channel. The market structure has remained bullish overall, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows since the correction phase in mid-October.After a recent fake breakout below the support line, buyers quickly regained control, pushing price back above the channel’s lower boundary. This rejection from support and recovery above 110,000 suggests renewed bullish momentum.
Currently, BTCUSDT is approaching the midline of the channel, while short-term resistance lies at 115,400 — a level that coincides with a previous fake breakout zone and horizontal supply area.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT holds above the 109,000–110,000 region, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect the price to continue climbing toward the 113,000–115,400 Resistance Zone in the near term. A clean breakout above 115,400 could open the way for another bullish leg toward the upper boundary of the channel near 117,000–118,000.
However, a confirmed rejection from 115,400 could trigger a temporary pullback toward the support trendline before another potential push higher. In my view, Bitcoin remains in a healthy uptrend, and I prefer to look for long opportunities from dips above the support line, targeting 115,400 (TP1) and potentially 117,000 (TP2).
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC returns to support zone, bullish reactionBTC/USD Analysis (4H timeframe)
Bitcoin continues to trade within a descending wedge structure, suggesting a potential accumulation phase before a possible bullish breakout. The market is currently reacting near the lower boundary of the pattern, showing signs of support around the 106,300–107,000 zone.
1. Market Structure
Price remains trapped between the wedge’s lower trendline support and the descending upper resistance. Each rejection from the upper boundary has been met with strong buying interest at the lower support, indicating that buyers are still defending this level.
The overall structure shows higher lows forming within the wedge, which could be a bullish signal if confirmed by a strong rebound.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate support: 106,300–107,000
Secondary support: 103,400 (major liquidity zone and previous swing low)
First resistance: 113,800–114,000 (near descending trendline and EMA confluence)
Second resistance: 116,300–116,500 (major breakout zone)
3. EMA Confluence
The 34, 89, and 200 EMAs are currently stacked above price, acting as dynamic resistance. A clean breakout and candle close above these EMAs would confirm a shift in momentum and likely trigger a move toward the 113,800–116,300 targets.
4. Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above 106,300 and rebounds with strong bullish candles, price could retest 113,800, followed by 116,300. A breakout above 116,300 would confirm a bullish reversal and open room toward 120,000+.
Bearish Scenario:
A clear breakdown below 106,300 could lead to a deeper retracement toward 103,400 before a possible rebound.















