Get started

BTCF0 / USTF0

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasDiscussionsTechnicalsSeasonalsMarkets

BTCUST.P trade ideas

Bitcoin Is Hiding Something BIG (Target Revealed)In Episode 17 of my Bitcoin daily analysis , we just hit a +2.3% gain from the last long trigger, and now BTC is pressing against a critical resistance. If this level breaks with volume, the next +2.7% move could be right around the corner. In this video, I’ll break Bitcoin down across weekly, daily, and 4H timeframes to show you: Why this resistance is so important 🔑 How I set my next upside target step by step The role of volume, BTC dominance, and TOTAL2/TOTAL3 in confirming moves Whether altcoins (like ETH and SOL) are about to outperform Bitcoin ❌ Don’t FOMO. ✅ Stick to risk management. ✅ Trade your plan, not your emotions. If you found this analysis helpful, share it with your trading friends and let’s grow smarter together.
Long
by SkepticLab
1
BTC/USDT 4hour chart update !! BTC/USDT Downtrend Channel Broken Bitcoin was moving inside a descending channel (highlighted). The price has now broken above the channel, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Support Zone The green area around $107,000 – $108,000 acted as strong demand/support. BTC bounced sharply from this zone, confirming that buyers stepped in. 50 Red MA (short-term) → Recently crossed above price, but BTC reclaimed it, turning it into support. 200 Green MA (long-term) → Sitting around $114,000, which may act as the next resistance. Trendline Support An ascending trendline (black) is holding current price action. As long as BTC respects this line, the short-term outlook remains bullish. Resistance: $114,000 (200 MA zone) → first big hurdle. Higher target: $118,000 – $120,000 if momentum continues. Support: $110,000 (trendline) and $108,000 (demand zone). 📈 Outlook Bullish bias as long as BTC holds above $110,000 support/trendline. A break above $114,000 could trigger a push towards $118K – $120K. If BTC loses $110K, risk of retesting $107K – $108K support zone. DYOR | NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Global Hard Commodity Trading1. Understanding Hard Commodities Hard commodities are natural resources that must be mined, extracted, or produced through industrial processes. They are different from soft commodities, which include agricultural products like wheat, coffee, or cotton. Examples of Hard Commodities: Energy Commodities Crude Oil (Brent, WTI) Natural Gas Coal Uranium Metals Precious Metals: Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium Base Metals: Copper, Aluminum, Zinc, Nickel, Lead, Tin Rare Earth Elements (used in electronics, EVs, clean tech) Characteristics of Hard Commodities: Limited in supply, extracted from earth. Prices are volatile, influenced by global demand and supply shocks. Traded both physically and financially. Often priced in US dollars, making them linked to global currency fluctuations. Hard commodities are critical for energy, manufacturing, construction, defense, and technology sectors, making them a barometer of global economic health. 2. Evolution of Global Hard Commodity Trading Commodity trading is not new—it dates back thousands of years when civilizations bartered metals, salt, and oil. However, the modern commodity trading system began in the 19th and 20th centuries with the rise of commodity exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the London Metal Exchange (LME). Historical Milestones: 19th century: Industrial revolution created huge demand for coal, iron, and copper. 1900s: Oil became the world’s most important energy commodity. 1970s oil shocks: Highlighted the geopolitical importance of commodities. 2000s commodity super-cycle: Rapid demand from China and India fueled a massive rise in metal and energy prices. Today: Hard commodities are not just traded physically but also heavily speculated on global futures markets. 3. Key Players in Hard Commodity Trading Trading hard commodities involves a diverse range of participants: Producers: Oil companies (ExxonMobil, Saudi Aramco, BP) Mining giants (Rio Tinto, BHP, Glencore) Consumers: Manufacturing companies, refineries, power plants, automakers, construction firms. Traders & Intermediaries: Global commodity trading houses like Vitol, Trafigura, Glencore, Gunvor. These firms buy commodities from producers and sell them to consumers worldwide, often handling logistics, shipping, and financing. Financial Institutions: Investment banks (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley) actively trade in commodity derivatives. Speculators & Investors: Hedge funds, mutual funds, and retail traders participate in futures and ETFs for profit. Governments & Regulators: OPEC, IEA, WTO, and national regulators influence prices and rules. 4. Major Hard Commodity Markets 4.1 Energy Commodities Crude Oil: Most traded commodity globally. Benchmarks: Brent (North Sea), WTI (US), Dubai/Oman. Natural Gas: Key for heating, power generation, and industrial use. LNG (liquefied natural gas) has made gas a global trade. Coal: Despite clean energy trends, coal still accounts for a major share of electricity generation in Asia. Uranium: Fuels nuclear energy. 4.2 Metals Gold & Silver: Precious metals for investment and jewelry. Also safe-haven assets during crises. Copper: Known as “Dr. Copper” because it signals global economic health—widely used in construction and electronics. Aluminum, Nickel, Zinc: Critical for cars, infrastructure, and batteries. Rare Earths: Essential for EVs, wind turbines, semiconductors. 5. How Hard Commodities are Traded 5.1 Physical Trading This involves the actual movement of goods—oil tankers, copper shipments, coal cargoes. Large trading houses dominate this space, dealing with storage, shipping, and financing. 5.2 Financial Trading Financial markets allow traders to speculate, hedge, or invest without handling physical goods. Futures Contracts (CME, LME, ICE) Options & Swaps Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) linked to commodities Over-the-Counter (OTC) Derivatives For example, an airline may hedge jet fuel prices through futures to lock in costs. 6. Price Drivers in Hard Commodity Trading Hard commodity prices are influenced by a mix of economic, political, and natural factors: Supply & Demand: Strong global growth → higher demand for oil, metals. Supply disruptions (strikes, wars, sanctions) → price spikes. Geopolitics: Middle East tensions → oil shocks. Trade wars → disrupt commodity flows. Currency Movements: Most commodities priced in USD. A strong dollar makes them expensive for other countries. Speculation & Investor Flows: Hedge funds and ETFs influence short-term price swings. Technological & Environmental Factors: EV demand boosts lithium, cobalt, nickel. Green energy transition reducing coal demand. Natural Events: Hurricanes disrupting oil production. Mining accidents reducing metal supply. 7. Risks in Hard Commodity Trading Price Volatility: Sharp swings make profits uncertain. Political Risk: Sanctions, wars, and nationalization. Credit Risk: Default by counterparties. Logistics Risk: Shipping delays, storage costs. Regulatory Risk: Changing government rules. Environmental Risk: Climate policies reducing fossil fuel demand. Traders use hedging strategies and risk management tools to minimize exposure. 8. Global Trade Hubs & Exchanges London Metal Exchange (LME): Key center for base metals. New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX): Crude oil, natural gas. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): Brent crude, energy futures. Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE): China’s growing influence. Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME): Oil contracts for Middle East & Asia. Physical hubs include Rotterdam (oil), Singapore (oil & LNG), Shanghai (metals), Dubai (gold). 9. Role of Technology in Hard Commodity Trading Technology is transforming commodity trading: AI & Algorithms for price forecasting. Blockchain for trade finance and supply chain transparency. Big Data & IoT to track shipments and consumption trends. Digital platforms replacing traditional paper-based contracts. 10. Future of Hard Commodity Trading Energy Transition: Demand for oil may peak in coming decades. Growth in renewables and metals like lithium, cobalt, nickel. Green Commodities: Carbon credits becoming tradable assets. ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) shaping investment choices. China & India’s Role: Asia will remain the biggest consumer of hard commodities. Geopolitical Fragmentation: Sanctions, supply chain shifts, and regional alliances may create “commodity blocs.” Digitalization: More algorithm-driven and blockchain-powered commodity trading. Conclusion Global hard commodity trading is more than just an economic activity—it is the heartbeat of the world economy. Energy, metals, and minerals not only determine industrial growth but also shape geopolitics, financial markets, and future technologies. While the industry faces challenges of volatility, climate change, and regulatory shifts, it is also evolving rapidly with digitalization, green energy, and new demand sources. For traders, investors, and policymakers alike, understanding hard commodity markets is essential—not just to profit, but also to anticipate global economic and political shifts.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
ATH Trendline - Next BITCOIN Levels to WatchThere was a CME Futures gap at just under $117k which Bitcoin came back down to fill. To explain future, the CME Futures market is only open during typical wall street trading hours, so if the Bitcoin price moves outside of that timeframe, there will be a gap in the CME Futures price chart. The gaps almost always get filled and that is what happened this week. While it hurts to have such a strong pullback just after a new ATH, it is a good thing to have the gap filled now rather than have that waiting to be filled after the price is much higher. The long term, ATH Trendlines are causing some resistance as well. We'd like to see a monthly candle close above these levels flipping them from resistance into support ("S-R flip") and securing $120k as the new bottom for Bitcoin. I think price should continue up from here based on the momentum of the new ATH and many other indicators. If price goes lower, I'm still bullish as long as bitcoin can maintain a higher low above $112k.
Long
by electron_ranger
2
Bitcoin Roadmap – Breakdown Toward $107K or Bounce?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving with high momentum this week , with the US indexes and Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) bullish . Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Support lines , Support zone($110,920-$110,200) and 100_EMA(Daily) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the waves that Bitcoin has made this week have been in the form of a Triple Three Correction(WXYXZ) . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $109,133(First Target) AFTER the Supports are broken. Second Target: $107,740 Third Target: $106,660 Stop Loss(SL): $114,108(Worst) Note: As I said at the beginning of this analysis, the financial markets have been a bit emotional and sudden with their movements this week, so always be prepared for any scenario and pay more attention to capital management. Note: Generally, trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays. Perhaps it is a bit far-fetched to expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) during the weekend. What do you think? Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $114,976-$113,440 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,907-$111,607 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $109,346-$108,259 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $107,181-$106,479 CME Gap: $117,235-$113,800 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
75
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 35💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after touching its resistance at $111,300, Bitcoin moved toward its short alarm zone and activated it. However, the market didn’t show much selling pressure or bearish momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is ranging with very low volume, but with the new week starting, stronger volume could enter the market. ⚙️ Key RSI levels for Bitcoin are at 70 and 50. If RSI crosses these thresholds, Bitcoin could start a strong move — most likely at the beginning of the new week. 🕯 The size and number of green candles have slightly increased, and we are now sitting right below the critical resistance at $111,300. It’s likely that this level will be broken in the coming week. 🖥 This week has plenty of economic news events, which means the market could see high volatility. Overall, it looks like a good week for trading. 📊 Looking at the 1-hour timeframe of Tether dominance (USDT.D), after a strong rally it recently got rejected from the 4.51% level. The market sentiment shifted toward long positions, and selling pressure didn’t sustain. If 4.45% in Tether dominance breaks down, significant USDT could flow into Bitcoin and altcoins. 🔔 The key alarm zones for Bitcoin are set at $110,500 for short positions and $111,300 for long positions. Breaking these zones in the upcoming week could give us solid trade opportunities. Keep in mind that the economic news scheduled this week can strongly influence the market. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
BTC 112.5k Gate: Breakout or Fade the Range?__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is coiling around 111–112k, trapped between 112.0–112.5k supply and 110.1k/107.3k supports. The setup is mixed: HTF still up, MT corrective, LTF rebounding cautiously. Momentum: 📉 Slightly bearish in intraday/MT, with defended lows but lower highs below 112.5k. Key levels: - Resistances (12H–1W): 112.0–112.5k (local supply), 115.9k (720/12H PH), 119.7k (W PH). - Supports (4H–1W): 110.1k (4H PL), 107.3k (D PL), 98.3k (W PL). Volumes: Overall normal; moderate spikes on 15m during failed breakouts. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/1W Up, 4H–12H Down, 15m–2H Up → range confirmed; 112.5k remains the pivot to unlock 113.5k/115.9k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: VENTE (risk-off) — it confirms caution and caps rebounds below 112.5k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: HTF trend intact but MT corrective — stay tactical, trade the range until 112.5k breaks. Global bias: “NEUTRAL SELL” below 112.5k; cautious bias invalidated on a 1H/2H close > 112.5k. Opportunities: - Momentum buy: confirmed breakout above 112.5k → target 113.5k then 115.9k. - Range sell: fade clean rejections at 112.0–112.5k while 4H–6H remain Down. - Defensive buy: wick + reclaim at 110.1k (or 107.3k) with tight risk. Risk zones / invalidations: - Below 110.1k: opens 107.3k, then 98.3k. - Above 112.5k: risk of squeeze toward 115.9k (invalidates shorts). Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - Weak US jobs → higher odds of a Fed cut (risk-on if FOMC guidance cooperates). - OPEC+/WTI easing → less inflation pressure, supports dovish narrative. - JPY/JGB risk and US office CMBS stress → volatility noise and “hard asset” bid. Action plan: - Plan A (bullish breakout): Entry > 112.6k (1H/2H close) / Stop < 111.6k / TP1 113.5k, TP2 115.9k, TP3 119.7k (R/R ~1:2–1:3). - Plan B (range short): Entry 112.0–112.5k on rejection / Stop > 112.8k / TP1 111.0k, TP2 110.1k, TP3 107.3k (R/R ~1:1.5–1:2.5). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ HTFs hold the uptrend structure while MTs correct; LTFs attempt cautious recoveries below 112.5k. 1D/1W: Uptrend intact above 104k; 115.9k–119.7k is the directional cap, need strong closes to open 124.3k later. 4H/6H/12H: Corrective with lower highs; concentrated supply at 112.0–112.5k — break required to free 115.9k. 15m/30m/1H/2H: Tech rebound off ~110k; attempts to reclaim 111.8–112.2k but volume confirmation is still tentative. Key divergence: LTF bullish vs MT bearish → prioritize tactical setups (confirmed breakout or mean reversion at the edges). __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro leans dovish, while on-chain/flows are neutral to mildly supportive. Macro events: Soft US labor boosts cut odds; WTI easing on OPEC+ supply signals lowers inflation pressure; watch JPY/JGB for FX/vol shocks. Bitcoin analysis: Consolidation 104k–116k; potential supply overhang from Movie2K wallets (~45k BTC); spot ETF inflows slowing curb external momentum. On-chain data: Cooling funding, rising stablecoin supply (constructive mid-term), STH sensitive around 114k–116k. Expected impact: Dovish FOMC would ease a reclaim above 112.5k → 115.9k; hawkish tone likely sends price back to 110.1k then 107.3k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is in a “decision range” 110.1k–112.5k inside the broader 104k–116k channel. - Trend: HTF bullish, MT bearish, LTF rebounding → cautious bias below 112.5k. - Key setup: Break & hold > 112.5k to target 113.5k/115.9k; otherwise fade 112.0–112.5k. - Macro: Rising odds of a Fed cut + softer WTI favor a squeeze if the technical trigger appears. Stay disciplined: trade confirmation, not anticipation — 112.5k is the key. 🔑
by Ox_kali
BTC SHORT SET UP (only facts in the chart)📌 Chart Summary Price: ~$115,000 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish) Macro Structure: Completed Cup & Handle Stochastic RSI: Overbought + Bearish cross confirmed Ichimoku Cloud: Price far above cloud – extended EMA/MAs: Bullish but overstretched 🧠 Bias-Free Most Probable Setup (Weekly Outlook) 🟥 Bearish Sniper Setup — High Probability The chart is showing rising wedge exhaustion + Stoch RSI bear cross in extreme overbought = probable correction ahead. 🔽 Short Entry Plan (Sniper Setup) Entry (Short): $114,200 – $116,000 Ideal sniper zone inside the wedge breakdown area / resistance rejection zone Stop Loss: $123,000 Above wedge top and key psychological resistance Take Profit 1 Range: $96,000 – $99,000 Previous major horizontal resistance zone and wedge support retest Take Profit 2 (final target): $80,500 – $83,000 Major structure zone + Ichimoku cloud top + high-volume node Risk:Reward: 1:3.5 to 1:5+ 📈 Alternate Scenario: Bullish Breakout Setup (Low Probability but noted) If BTC breaks and closes above $123,000 on weekly, wedge invalidates and opens target: Breakout Target: $143,000 – $150,000 Based on wedge measured move + Fib extension ⚠️ Additional Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: Weekly RSI + Stoch RSI overbought and curling down Rising wedge near exhaustion Bearish divergence risk with higher highs in price, lower oscillator momentum Volume is declining despite price rising – exhaustion signal 🧩 Strategic Notes: Avoid longing here unless $123K clean break + volume spike Best play = wait for confirmation of wedge breakdown to enter short Leverage carefully – this is a macro weekly timeframe setup
Short
by signetron
3