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BTCUST.P trade ideas

BTC: Was That the Cycle Top? A Mid-Term Risk ScenarioThe chart outlines a potential scenario for Bitcoin's macro structure, worth watching closely over the next 12–18 months. 🔺 Rising Wedge Breakdown - Classic bearish pattern confirmed. BTC broke below the rising wedge structure that guided the rally toward ~$130K. 📉 Distribution Signs - New highs lacked momentum. Volume failed to confirm the breakout. A sign that smart money may be exiting. 🧊 Loss of Momentum We’ve seen lower highs forming post-ATH, combined with key demand zones being breached a typical post-euphoria market behavior. 📌 Possible Scenario: $130K = Cycle Top / Liquidity Exit Point Pullback to $90K–$85K = First major support Continuation down to $70K–$65K possible in 2026 if bearish structure unfolds 💡 Why It Matters: Most participants are still in "BTC to $250K" mode, but history shows us: even bull markets come with -40% to -50% corrections. This isn't FUD - it's risk management thinking. Better to be ready than wrecked. 📊 Stay flexible. Hedge your bias. Watch the trend, not the hopium.
by CHOWTRADE
1
What is going on with BTC? Psychology of loss :(🚨 Bitcoin Price Update We’re at a super interesting spot in the market right now ⚖️. BTC is giving us both bullish & bearish signals 📈📉. Bulls are pointing to institutional accumulation and macro tailwinds, while bears see warning signs in recent volatility and sharp pullbacks. In short → we’re preparing for all possibilities. Stay flexible, not biased! 🧠💡 🧩 The Psychology of Loss in Trading Every trader faces losses—it’s part of the game 🎲. But how you perceive those losses will decide how far you go in your trading journey 🚀. Many traders go through 5 stages when losing money: 1️⃣ Denial – “This trade will bounce back, I’ll just wait…” 2️⃣ Anger – “Why me?! The market is rigged 😡” 3️⃣ Bargaining – “If I move my stop loss just a bit…” 🤔 4️⃣ Depression – “Maybe trading isn’t for me 😞” 5️⃣ Acceptance – “Okay, lesson learned. Let’s refine the plan 📑✅” 🎯 Key Takeaway Losses should never be internalized as an ego hit. They’re not proof you’re a “bad trader”—they’re data points 🧮. Each loss is feedback you can use to: Improve your risk management 🛡️ Refine your strategy 🔧 Understand market conditions better 🌍 Think of losses as tuition fees you pay to the market—painful, but they buy you growth 📚✨. 🔥 Final Thoughts Bitcoin is in a decision zone ⚡—so stay sharp, manage risk, and remember: your progress depends not on avoiding losses, but on learning from them. 💎
by Trade-Journal
1
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (02.09.25) Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Link in bio BTCUSDT Forecast: Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only) Forecast timestamp: ~06:30 UTC Timeframe: 15m Prediction horizon: 6 hours Model output: Central estimate (blue line): -110,335 Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction. 80% confidence band (light blue): 110,066 – 110,877 The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close 40% confidence band (dark blue): 109,844 – 111,422 The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration Volume on signal bar: 181.86 This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones. Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals. This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
by karansgr
1
Bitcoin Breakout: Bull Run Starting or Just a Fakeout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has been locked inside a bearish channel since the RSI divergence played out earlier this summer, dragging price into correction. But now things are heating up — BTC has broken the upper channel trendline, showing the first real signs of bullish momentum. RSI is still sitting below 50, signaling caution, yet leaving space for buyers to step in. The big question: is this the start of a new bullish wave, or will Bitcoin stall at resistance and retest support? Technical Analysis: 📉 Previous Divergence: The bearish divergence marked earlier worked perfectly, sending BTC lower. 📊 Current Setup: BTC has now broken out of the channel — a bullish sign, but confirmation comes only if price holds above $113,533 (Resistance 1). 🔑 Support Levels: $107,367 → $106,590 → $105,083 🔑 Resistance Levels: $113,533 → $117,523 → $120,425 🎯 Potential Buy Zone: $106,590 – $107,967 (if support holds). 📈 RSI (14): ~46 — below 50 but turning upward, hinting at possible accumulation. Fundamentals Supporting the Bullish Case: ✅ ETF Demand: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract billions in inflows, with BlackRock and Fidelity leading. A single day recently saw $1.18B of inflows, pushing BTC higher and squeezing shorts. ✅ Post-Halving Scarcity: The 2024 halving cut miner rewards by 50%, reducing new supply. With 70% of BTC held by long-term holders, supply on exchanges is extremely tight. ✅ Macro Tailwinds: Softer U.S. economic data and potential Fed rate cuts have lifted risk assets, fueling demand for BTC as a hedge. ✅ Institutional Recognition: Bitcoin is increasingly treated as digital gold. Even the U.S. has announced a $120B Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, boosting credibility and long-term confidence. Do you think Bitcoin’s breakout is the start of a true bullish reversal 🚀 — or will bears push it back to support before the next big move? #BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #CryptoTrading #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinPrice #BTCPrice #BitcoinChart #CryptoCharts #TechnicalAnalysis #TA #RSI #Trading #TradingView #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #CryptoSignals #CryptoTraders #CryptoNews #CryptoCommunity #CryptoWorld #BTCAnalysis #BTCUpdate #CryptoInvesting #CryptoMarket #BitcoinUpdate #CryptoBullish #CryptoBearish #BTCResistance #BTCBreakout #BTCBullish #BTCBearish #SupportResistance #CryptoTrend #CryptoSetup #CryptoTradingSignals #BTCSetup #DigitalGold ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves high risk; always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Long
by asimafridi
2
BTCUSDT (15M)|Bearish Rising Wedge at Decision Point|BEARS BACK?BINANCE:BTCUSDT Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones BTC is trading inside a bearish rising wedge 📉, showing weakening structure below 108,734 immediate resistance 🔴. Price is consolidating near the top, forming a decision point (breakout or breakdown) ⚡ while resting above critical support 108,200–108,160 🟢. Market Overview Momentum remains fragile as sellers defend higher levels. A breakout above 108,734–108,940 could trigger short-term relief, while a failure to hold support risks a deeper bearish continuation. Market sentiment leans bearish unless a strong reclaim of resistance occurs. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Breakout above 108,734 🎯 Target 1: 108,940 🎯 Target 2: 109,400 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Breakdown below 108,160 🎯 Downside Target 1: 107,800 🎯 Downside Target 2: 107,480–107,350 (major demand zone) Current Levels to Watch 🔴 Resistance: 108,734 – 108,940 🟢 Support: 108,200 – 107,480 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Short
by PEAKALPHAFXMARKETS
1
CONGRATS IF YOU LONGED! MY NEXT TRADE IDEA📊 In trading, you can have the most meticulous plan, and it still won’t always play out as expected. Sometimes you’re right, but you don’t get the confirmation you’re comfortable with ✅. 💡 In my opinion, that’s exactly what happened in the last 24 hours—aside from the deviation short play we caught this morning ⏰📉. 🎥 Watch today’s video to understand why and get insights on the next potential moves for Bitcoin 🚀🪙.
Long
by Trade-Journal
1
Critical Warning – Bitcoin Drop of $10K–$15K ImminentIn my previous post , I explained how Bitcoin is astonishingly repeating the exact same behavior from four years ago. To analyze this more precisely, I cloned the previous Bitcoin cycle and overlaid it on the current price action. The result was striking: So far, Bitcoin has been moving almost step by step in alignment with that past pattern. 🔹 In the chart, the dotted lines represent the market behavior from the previous cycle. Interestingly, over the past few months, Bitcoin has been following the exact same path. 🔹 If this repetition continues as it has so far, the pattern suggests that within the next couple of days we could see a sharp decline of $10K–$15K in Bitcoin’s price. ⚠️ This is a serious warning: If history repeats itself, Bitcoin could be facing a major crash in the coming days. And if this sharp drop occurs, it could very well trigger the second historical correction down to the $65K–$70K zone. In my view, this is one of the most critical turning points of the current Bitcoin cycle, and traders should approach the market with maximum caution and precision.
Short
by Captain-MM8
1
Sep 1, 2025 - BTCUSDT Short ScenarioIn the recent downtrend, each retest of the descending trendline has shown a slight weakening in bearish momentum. Currently, the price is approaching a key daily support at 105,500 . Since Bitcoin has already broken previous support levels and dropped to this point, a test of this final support zone seems likely. Therefore, once the price reaches the trendline, I will monitor its reaction on lower timeframes. If bearish continuation is confirmed, I will be expecting roughly a 3% downside move. For opening a position after Bitcoin reaches this area, I will also check Bitcoin dominance to decide whether to short Bitcoin directly or look for setups in altcoins. If BTC dominance rises, I will focus on short opportunities in altcoins. The next important reactions will be around 106,500 and 105,500 . As mentioned earlier, we are already seeing early signs of weakness in the current downtrend: 1. Each touch of the descending trendline shows reduced bearish momentum. 2. The bearish waves are getting smaller in size with each touch of the trendline. Thus, in these final support areas where buyers may step in, the probability of a trend reversal is now higher than at any previous point in this downtrend.
Short
by Utopia-2025
1
The upmove for Bitcoin is comingHi traders, Since my last outlook Bitcoin did exactly as I've predicted. After it came into the Daily FVG, price went up again for a new ATH. After that it dropped and formed bearish Daily FVG's. So I think it started the big correction down. Now after it finished the first downmove we could see the next (corrective) upmove soon. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: This is not the right time to trade Bitcoin. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
by EduwaveTrading
1
$BTC: -$4000 in 10min – panic or opportunity?Here's our take: 🔹 Historically, such sharp CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops used to cause -20% to -40% crashes in altcoins. Now, some alts are holding, others correcting mildly, and a few are even rallying. 🔹 In the last 24 hours, $840M was liquidated. Roughly 80% were long positions. Historically, reversals often start after $1.1–1.3B in total liquidations. 🔹 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) and Tether Dominance (USDT.D) are forming readable, consistent patterns. 👉 Current thesis: OKX:BTCUSDT will likely continue its movement inside the falling purple channel. If price reaches $107–108K, we’ll consider closing our short bot to reassess market conditions. 💬 What’s your perspective? Share below. ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
by P_S_trade
11
Bitcoin Above $110,000, Major Bullish Development · Bulls WinsBitcoin is now trading back above $110,000, one of the most important levels in this cycle and also on the short-term. I don't think you are surprised to see this as we've been LONG but still, this is a major development. Support is found based on a long-term moving average with perfect precision. Bitcoin closed below 110 only four days. Four days below this level and is now recovering. EMA144 has a reading of $107,000. BTCUSDT bottomed today at $107,000. On a previous drop June 2022, Bitcoin found support at EMA89. This time this level broke and the action is happening below, just barely. This is another classic. The action moves below previous support just to recover after a few days. This is a strong bullish signal, it shows that the last drop was a bear trap but confirmation only comes when the day ends. Bitcoin will continue to grow, the chart is saying so. I think it will take months to reach a new major high and this cycles top and final all-time high. It will take time but it will be all worth it. We are changing the world. Crypto will continue to evolve; Our capital will continue to mature and grow. Everything looks great and we expect period of sustained growth. Don't be distracted by market noise. Focus on the long-term and hold. There is no way to beat the exchanges, the whales and the bots, they have all of your info and you have none of theirs. The way to beat all these entities is to buy holding long-term. Since there is a no way to remove a strong hand, you will be able to reap the reward. See how Ether trades at a new all-time high only four months after hitting a multiple years long bottom; the rest of the market will do the same. First the biggest projects, then the medium sized ones and finally, the rest of the market. It never fails; it always works... » Bitcoin's next target is $137,000 followed by $155,000. » Ethereum is moving to $6,000 - $8,000. » XRP will continue to hit new all-time highs. » Cardano will hit several new milestones and Solana will do the same. The market is set to continue with its 2025 bull market. We are missing the bull run phase. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
BTCUSDT Hello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN ? Bitcoin failed to sustain above its recent highs and has since entered a corrective phase, breaking below its ascending trendline. Price is now trading below the broken trendline and beneath a key resistance zone. A pullback toward the broken trendline appears to be in progress. If price fails to reclaim the resistance, we expect a continuation of the decline toward the highlighted support levels. Invalidation: A daily close above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and shift focus back to the upside. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
46
BTC – Fakeout Before the Big Breakout!Bitcoin has been repeating a familiar pattern: - Fakeouts below key support zones, trapping early sellers. - Breakouts back above structure, followed by strong impulsive moves. We’ve already seen this sequence twice in the past months, and BTC might be setting up for it once again. Price faked out below support, reclaimed it, and is now eyeing a breakout from the falling channel. 🔁If history rhymes, the next leg could trigger a powerful impulse toward new highs. Traders should keep an eye on the $112,000–$114,000 zone — a breakout from here could be the spark for the next rally. Is BTC about to repeat its playbook? 👀 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
20
Bitcoin Daily MACD & RSI, Most Likely Scenario & How To TradeTo many people Bitcoin is mixed right now or even bearish. The $125,000 price tag is the cycle top and we are due a massive bull market. To me, Bitcoin is bullish and more growth is definitely possible. If this is true, we should find some hints on the chart. If I am wrong, most of the signals should point lower. It would be impossible to fine dozens of bullish signals on this chart. Let's read the chart and see what happens. Bitcoin's daily RSI doesn't look great but we have an interesting signal, let me show it to you. And the indicator right now leans more bullish rather than bearish. We are looking at the daily timeframe. BTCUSDT (D) RSI There was a low 22-June followed by a bullish move. The next major low happened very recently, late August. Notice how the late August low managed to reached below the 22-June low, a lower low. A weak one so it can also be considered a double-bottom. BTCUSDT is quite different. 22-June we had a low $98,186. In Late August, the lowest Bitcoin did was $107,250; a higher low. This is a classic hidden bullish divergence. This signal is not very strong but it is a start. A divergence can show up for weeks or even months before it reflects on the price. The fact that Bitcoin continues to trade above $110,000 more than 52 days after peaking is also positive. But these are not definitive signals, it is more of a mix. The MACD is in a different situation, trading within the bearish zone with a bullish bias. The bullish bias comes from the fact that the MACD is rising after hitting the lowest point since March—but it can still move lower before recovering. BTCUSDT (D) MACD In March Bitcoin was bearish and crashing as the 2025 correction low happened on the 7th of April. So it is the first time the MACD moves below zero after the April recovery. See the MACD chart. First there is a drop and once a low is hit we get a small bounce, the bounce is followed by a new drop and then the indicator starts to rise. While the MACD bottomed in March, Bitcoin bottomed in April, this is the classic lag, a lagging indicator. The MACD can bottom anytime and as it hits bottom, we know what follows is a wave of growth even if it takes a while to show up on Bitcoin's price. Bearish Signals The double-top is a bearish signal but this one has been consumed with the recent down-move. Bitcoin can indeed move lower but this isn't a necessity, not a market compulsion. If Bitcoin continues lower, we know this is only short-term based on the other signals we are seeing. The RSI is still below 50 even if rising. The MACD is in the bearish zone even if it is starting to turn. We need strong signals and strong indicators to confirm a major advance. Conclusion Bitcoin is likely to continue growing short-term, mid-term and long-term. On the very short-term, say one to two weeks, anything is possible. On this very short time horizon Bitcoin can easily crash according to the chart. Most Likely Scenarios More sideways, more neutral, more bearish action followed by growth. Bitcoin is likely to continue in this kind of mixed period for sometime. If we consider the bigger picture, we are still locked within the $100,000 and $125,000 price range. For LONG or SHORT, wait for the trend. For spot accumulation, focus on the altcoins. For Bitcoin, the best is to wait. The time to buy was when prices were below $100,000 or $90,000. There are better choices right now. The next time to buy is when the signals become really strong, or when prices are trading at support. It all depends on your trading style, risk tolerance and your goals of course. Do not be distracted by market noise. When we focus on the short-term, we tend to miss the bigger picture. The truth is that the most money is made when the market is in a trend. Since we are in a bull market, we wait for support and go LONG. When the bull market is over, each time there is a bounce or a price advance it becomes an opportunity to go SHORT. We trade in the same direction of the market. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
1
Bitcoin New Analysis (4H)It seems that Bitcoin’s correction is not yet complete. After a slight upward retracement, the price is expected to drop again and move toward lower levels. The bearish structure is still well intact. For now, it’s better to track Bitcoin step by step while also paying attention to nearby support zones. The expected path for Bitcoin’s next move has been outlined on the chart. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark