Opening (IRA): IBIT January 16th -47P... for a 1.36 credit.
Comments: Adding at intervals at strikes better than what I currently have on, targeting the 25 delta (ish) strike.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.36 ($136)
Buying Power Effect: 45.64
ROC at Max: 2.98%
Will generally look to start taking profit at 50% of max and/or roll to obtain assignment of shares at the lowest price the market will allow, after which I'll proceed to sell call against.
Market insights
Opening (IRA): IBIT December 19th -56P... for a 1.67 credit.
Comments: A starter position at around the 25 delta strike. Will look to add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.67 ($167)
Buying Power Effect: 54.33
ROC at Max: 3.07%
$BTC $IBIT a backtest and higher soonCRYPTOCAP:BTC NASDAQ:IBIT : One can count 5-waves up from the $46 low to the last Friday high. A backtest of this bounce is quite normal. I expect another bound to at least AB = CD of $53 area, which is a 10% move from the current position.
One needs to be careful with position sizing though. When BTC goes down and you sell of fear, that is because your position size is too large.
There is a >0% probability that BTC has topped and we're now in a bear market, although this is not my belief, we can't ignore this possibility.
Also ask yourself, if BTC has topped and will take another 10 months to start going up, with a possible drop to $40K, what would you do?
IBIT vs GOLD. BIGGER RISK ≠ NOT EQUAL BIGGER PROFITS.This publication is a simple comparision of two assets:
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF NASDAQ:IBIT that has been launched (among many others) in Jan. 2024
Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD as itself.
Returns over the nearly past two years you can see by yourself. Bigger risk (+ left-and-right + back-and-forth volatility) are not equal bigger profits.
Gold wins in this given time, with much lower risk-profile scorings.
Technically saying about IBIT (which RSI readings is nearly 30 points), we would prefer to wait a new one divergence with RSI(14) readings like it has happened twice before.
I.e. Lower low for NASDAQ:IBIT asset, that lead to higher low for RSI.
iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) Technical AnalysisThe iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) is testing the critical support level of the medium-term rising channel it has maintained since the fourth quarter of 2024. The pullback that began from the channel upper band resistance seen in September/October 2025 (around the $65.00 region) has brought the price to the main trend support (around $53.50 - $54.00). Although indicators (MACD, RSI) point to a weakening of short-term momentum, the main trend structure remains intact. The upcoming sessions will be crucial for maintaining the medium-term trend's continuity.
Base Scenario (Positive) : The price is expected to rebound from the current support band of $53.50 - $54.00 and break above the short-term falling wedge resistance (around $57.00). In this scenario, the first target will be the middle band of the channel, followed by the $65.00 - $66.00 region where previous peaks are located.
Alternative Scenario (Negative) : A high-volume daily close below the main rising channel support (53.50$) would signal a significant breakdown in the medium-term trend structure. In this case, selling pressure could accelerate, and the next major support areas at 46.00$ and 40.00$ could be tested.
Conclusion and Strategy
The IBIT ETF is at a critical support point that will determine the fate of its medium-term trend. Although indicators point to short-term weakness, we maintain our cautiously optimistic view as long as the main trend structure remains intact. The $53.50 level is considered a "key level" (pivot level) that should be closely monitored for risk management and trend continuity.
IBIT longI spotted accumulation near $60.
Price surged up to $70 right in our distribution zone.
Last time it corrected from the distribution zone that is our current accumulation zone it
corrected 28%.
We are now 21% into a correction and firmly in the accumulation zone.
A risk remains for another 28% drop, targeting around $51.
Opening (IRA): IBIT January 16th -50P... for a 2.24 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on. Here, targeting the 25 delta strike.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.24 ($224)
Buying Power Effect: 47.76
ROC at Max: 4.69%
Will generally look to start taking profit at 50% max.
IBIT NOV-2025IBIT is consolidating between 56–68 (BTC ≈95K–110K), with buyers defending the main order zone near 58–60 (BTC ≈100K) after strong distribution around 70 (BTC ≈125K). The closed gap at 50 (BTC ≈85K) now acts as a neutral pivot, while the open gap in the 40s (BTC ≈70K–75K, ≈7.2B orders) remains a pending liquidity target if 56 breaks. A sustained move above 65 (BTC ≈115K) could confirm continuation toward 70 (BTC ≈125K); losing 56 (BTC ≈95K) would expose 45–40 (BTC ≈70K–75K) as the next institutional absorption zone.
Target ↑: 70 (BTC ≈125K)
Target ↓: 45–40 (BTC ≈70K–75K)
#IBIT #BTC #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
IBIT DISTRIBUTION - 2025Price is trading inside an institutional distribution zone under the $70 resistance. If the institutional support at $56–68 fails, the distribution phase would end, opening the way toward the lower 40s. The $65 gap remains a short-term pivot.
Upside target: $75 if $70 is reclaimed with strength.
Downside target: $45 gap fill and potential extension to low 40s if $56 breaks.
#IBIT #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #btc #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
Nov 3: Bitcoin bottomed, off to ATHBitcoin bottomed today with a double retest of the 200 MA. The correction was actually shalllow as it corrected around the previous resistance/support area - it corrected in time, not in price.
The NASDAQ:IBIT chart looks cleaner with a bullish pin bar at the 200 MA. I think the whole market will start to rally, with breadth improving from now on.
$BIT (WEEKLY): BEAR RSI & OBV divergences, CORRECTIONNASDAQ:IBIT and CRYPTOCAP:BTC on the WEEKLY should normally be almost identical charts, as the #BlackRock Bitcoin ETF follows the token's price closely, yet there are some very interesting differences.
#IBIT had a clean BEAR RSI divergence before the 10 OCT collapse, while Bitcoin's WEEKLY chart did not. That would have been useful to know, looking back.
Another clear sign pre-collapse was flashing on BLACKROCK'S weekly chart in OBV — again, a BEAR divergence. Not on the BTC chart, once more.
And the last huge difference is in the VOLUME profiles — IBIT's red bars have been much stronger and more towering than the ones on the KING crypto's chart.
The differences between the charts can be easily explained by the notion that share prices, even though they do follow BTC’s price, also have an added effect of institutional confidence — that extra inflow/outflow balance that the regular BTC chart doesn’t show.
And since this cycle is purely institutional, the IBIT (805 thousand BTC held by the #etf ) chart can be extremely helpful when trading BTC.
At the moment, it only adds to the bearish case, sadly. 💙👽
Opening (IRA): IBIT November 21st 55 Monied Covered Call... for a 52.96 debit.
Comments: Slowly building a position. Would've preferred a down day, but can't have everything. Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call and to take advantage of higher call side IV.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 52.96
Max Profit: 2.04 ($204)
ROC at Max: 3.85%
50% Max: 1.02 ($102)
ROC at 50% Max: 1.93%
IBIT: ready for liftoffOn the daily chart, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) trades at $62.97, testing the key 0.705–0.79 Fibo zone ($61.63–63.87). This area marks a breakout and retest line, forming a clear buy zone. The technical structure remains bullish: after breaking out and pulling back, price holds potential to move toward $69.39, with Fibo extensions targeting $76.54 and $85.63. Volumes confirm buyer activity on dips, and the bullish flag pattern supports the continuation of the upward trend.
Fundamentally , the main driver is bitcoin itself, with institutional demand for BTC ETFs staying strong. Large funds continue accumulating positions, while expectations of a softer Fed tone add pressure on the dollar, fueling capital inflows into crypto. This strengthens the bullish case for IBIT.
Tactical plan: watch $61.6–63.8 as the key entry zone. Holding above opens the path toward $69.3, followed by $76.5 and $85.6. The scenario breaks only if price falls below $61.
And let’s be honest: IBIT isn’t just a ticker - it’s the “accelerate bitcoin” button for your portfolio.
The key is whether it can rise above 67.21
Hello, traders. Nice to meet you.
By "Following," you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(IBIT 1W Chart)
Since the chart was created recently, the M-Signal indicator for the 1M chart is missing.
However, the HA-High and DOM (60) indicators indicate a stepwise upward trend.
The key question is whether the price can maintain its upward momentum above the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range of 62.41-67.21.
If it falls below 62.41, it is likely to touch the uptrend line (1) and re-establish the trend.
At this point, the key support and resistance levels are 53.05-54.90.
We need to check for support near this 53.05-54.90 range.
If it rises above 67.21, the target levels are:
1st: 74.93
2nd: 93.96
The target levels are expected to be around the first and second levels above.
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Because BTC is linked to the stock market and is being linked to it, it is highly likely to be affected by stock market movements.
However, it is always advisable to check the fund flow in the coin market first, as the coin market itself can exhibit price defense.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Opening (IRA): IBIT October 19th 56 Covered Call... for a 54.20 debit.
Comments: Selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a +25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call and to take advantage of higher IV on the call side than on the put.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 54.20/share
Max Profit: 1.80
ROC at Max: 3.32%
Opening (IRA): IBIT Sept 19th 58 Covered Call... for a 56.05 debit.
Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a +25 delta short put to take advantage of higher IV on the call side and the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 56.05
Max Profit: 1.95
ROC at Max: 3.48%
50% Max: .98
ROC at 50% Max: 1.74%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at break evens better than what I have on.






















