Amazon.com, Inc. stock forum
🔍 Step 1: Core Price & Volume Snapshot
• Closing Price: $222.50 (down 2.23% from previous day's $227.63) – Reflects intraday dip from open at $227.75 to low of $221.23, driven by broader market pullback on mixed economic signals.
• Trading Volume: 33,227,826 shares – Below average daily volume of ~42M, indicating moderated trader activity amid session volatility.
• Market Cap: $2.356T – Positions AMZN as a mega-cap anchor in tech-retail sector, with YTD return at +0.67% versus S&P 500's +13.03%.
💹 Step 2: Fundamental Score Breakdown
• Overall Fundamental Score: 85/100 (Strong Buy leaning) – Based on trailing P/E of 33.67, EPS (TTM) at $6.56, and profit margin of 10.54%; ROE at 24.77% shows efficient capital use, while revenue (TTM) hit $670B with net income $70.62B, highlighting robust e-commerce and AWS growth despite high debt/equity at 47.81%.
• Key Strength: Enterprise value/EBITDA at 17.18 signals undervaluation relative to cash flow generation of $31.02B levered free cash flow.
• Key Watch: PEG ratio of 2.02 points to moderate growth pricing, with analysts forecasting 2025 EPS at $6.61 (up from current).
🌍 Step 3: Macro Score Insights
• Overall Macro Score: 70/100 (Mildly Positive) – Tied to Fed's 0.25% rate cut to 4.00-4.25%, boosting consumer spending; inflation cooling and AI-driven cloud demand support retail/cloud segments, though tariff risks and slowing jobs data add caution.
• Key Driver: Low projected end-of-summer volatility favors risk assets like AMZN, with global rate support enhancing AWS international expansion.
• Key Pressure: Consumer spending tied to economic slowdown (not slump) tempers aggressive upside, per recent indicators.
😊 Step 4: Retail Traders Sentiment Outlook
• Retail Sentiment: 56% Bullish (Neutral-Bullish Tilt) – Measures mood via social chatter; traders rally on AWS/AI catalysts but cool on regulatory trial noise, with message volume at normal levels signaling steady, not euphoric, interest.
• Mood Gauge: Overall investor vibe shows confidence in long-term diversified revenue (retail 33% margins improving), offset by short-term dip-buying hesitation.
🏦 Step 5: Institutional Traders Sentiment Outlook
• Institutional Sentiment: 80% Positive (High Confidence) – 72.20% ownership stake, with Q2 inflows from top funds (e.g., additions of 11K+ shares); reflects bets on 13.3% quarterly revenue growth and strong buy consensus from 94% of tracking analysts.
• Mood Gauge: Passive holdings over 5% via 13G filings indicate long-hold strategy, buoyed by EPS guidance and AI investments amid stable ownership changes.
⚖️ Step 6: Fear & Greed Index
• Current Reading: 63.2 (Greed Zone) – Gauges broad market mood via 7 indicators (e.g., volatility, put/call ratios); up slightly from prior, showing optimism on rate cuts but fragility in stretched valuations – AMZN aligns as greed favors tech growth plays.
🐂 Step 7: Overall Market Outlook Score
• Outlook: Bull (Long Bias) – Balanced rally persists into winter, with small-cap/value outperformance and Fed support; AMZN's 13.92% 1-year return trails S&P slightly but positions for muted gains in bull cycle, avoiding bear traps per historical trends (91 bull years vs. 57 bear).