HD, This Formation Is The Crucial Factor For Futher Outcomes!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the stock value HD 4-hour timeframe perspective, the current formation and what to expect from this stock the next times. Although HD has formed some new highs it is struggling at the moment as the volatility gets extremely low and the price weakens it can be possible to reverse, in such environment it is important to note that there are stocks which gained strongly out of the corona crisis and stocks which showing bearish signals, as HD has shown some bullish signs this can reverse to the other side now therefore I detected some important signs to consider which will determine the further outcomes.
Looking at my chart you can watch there that HD has formed this huge possible rising-triangle-formation which is marked in blue where the price already severaly touched the lower and upper boundary within its low-volatile movement, what is important is this movement as it gets slower and slower here the price struggles to advance, such movement can suddenly reverse which is also playing into the rising-triangle-structure the stock is building up here. This triangle will confirm when the price closes with a volatile move below the lower boundary and therefore confirms the triangle, a continuation to the downside will be highly possible and should be considered when this happens.
When the more likely bearish scenario plays out here the stock will look for remaining supports which is firstly the 100-EMA marked in red which is a possible support that can hold and when it does not the next support will be at the 300-EMA marked in black, in these levels the stock can reverse and possibly continue bullish on the middle or even on the long-term but this has to be confirmed rightly. Although a immediate aggressive approach is also possible here such formation can be traded best possible with a confirmation of the whole triangle-formation with a close below the lower boundary and cotinuation, it will be highly interesting how this is playing out in the current structure.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight and have a good day!
“The fundamental law of trading is the forecast of the future.”
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets
HD trade ideas
Downtrends May Have Begun in HousingHomebuilders were a surprise leader in the first half. But with interest rates staying high, bears could be moving into the neighborhood.
Today’s chart focuses on Home Depot. Similar patterns appear on related charts including NYSE:LEN Lennar, NYSE:PHM PulteGroup and NYSE:TOL Toll Brothers.
The first issue is potential bearish divergence. HD made a six-month high on August 15. But notice how MACD, Wilder’s RSI and Rate of Change peaked earlier and were falling at the time. Those lower studies may indicate slowing momentum.
Second is the emergence of a potential falling channel. In late August, HD dipped below its price range from earlier in the month. It then peaked around $333 on September 1, which was about $5 below the August 15 zenith. In other words, a lower low was followed by a lower high.
Finally, the macro environment may be more difficult for housing. Optimism about supply and demand boosted sentiment earlier in the year. But now strong economic data could be keeping rates higher for longer. That may cause some anxiety and reality checks in the coming weeks.
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HOME DEPOT Last strong buy opportunity.Home Depot Inc (HD) is trading within a Channel Up since the May 16 Low, strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following a 1D Golden Cross. The pattern is quite similar to the October - December 2022 bullish Channel and as a result we treat this as the last strong buy opportunity before the Resistance Zone test. Our target is its top at $347.65. Notice that the 1D RSI is also on a Higher Lows trend-line, the trend shift will most likely occur after that breaks.
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Home Depot short entryHome Depot (HD) reported earnings of 4.65 per share on revenue of 42.92 billion for the fiscal second quarter ended July 2023. The consensus earnings estimate was 4.46 per share on revenue of 42.25 billion. The company beat expectations by 4.03% while revenue fell 2.00% compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company said it continues to expect fiscal 2024 earnings of 14.52 to 15.52 per share on revenue of 149.53 billion to 154.26 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is 14.95 per share on revenue of 152.39 billion for the year ending January 31, 2024.
8/18 expiry:
Put Volume Total 34,123
Call Volume Total 31,847
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.07
Put Open Interest Total 52,767
Call Open Interest Total 46,824
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.13
8/25 expiry:
Put Volume Total 6,227
Call Volume Total 7,229
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.86
Put Open Interest Total 3,369
Call Open Interest Total 2,098
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.61
9/1 expiry:
Put Volume Total 922
Call Volume Total 819
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.13
Put Open Interest Total 1,505
Call Open Interest Total 1,177
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.28
HD The Home Depot Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold HD here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of HD The Home Depot prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $325usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $7.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Home Depot, Inc. (‘HD’)Home Depot, Inc. (symbol ‘HD’) share price has made some profits in the second quarter by just over 10%. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending July 2023 is set to be released on Tuesday 15th of August, before market open. The consensus EPS is $4.46 compared to the same quarter of last year at $5.05.
‘The company is currently performing exceptionally well compared to the start of the quarter but there are some financial issues to be paying attention to. Even though the home improvement giant has a current ratio of 1.27 , the debt to equity ratio as of 30/04/2023 is at 113.03 indicating that the company is operating at a great level of debt which is something that might discourage investors to direct their funds towards the company.’ said Antreas Themistokleous at Exness.
From the technical analysis perspective the price is trading in an aggressive bullish rally for the last 2 months with some signs of possible correction in the near short term. The first indication is the extreme overbought Stochastic oscillator which is in this level for an extended period of time and more specifically around 3+ weeks. The second indication is that in the recent sessions the price moved away from the Bollinger bands after consecutive touches of the upper band which usually but not always a correction follows.
If this scenario is confirmed in the following we might see some support around the $320 price area which consists of a reaction area since mid February as well as the psychological support of the round number. On the other hand if the bulls prove to be stronger than the bears then we might see the price retesting the previous highs around the $340 level.
HD - Horizontal Trend Channel🔹Breakout the horizontal trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Breakout a double bottom formation
🔹A decisive break of the resistance 302, continue looking at next resistance 322.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
BATPrice appears to be struggling at a resistance level and is boxed in right now.
Possible Ascending Triangle formed which is neutral until broken.
A Bat pattern noted, crooked M which is bullish but price keeps hitting the resistance line, so has not broken as far upward like most Bullish Bats do.
A bat has peak 2 lower than peak 1 and the 4th leg down should hit the .886, or 1.113 for a Alternate Bat. This nailed the .886 fib level of XA but continues to struggle.
No recommendation.
Home Depot - Pump to $327 incoming🐂 Trade Idea: Long - HD
🔥 Account Risk: 1.00%
📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option
🔍 Entry: +/- 306.27
🐿 DCA: No
😫 Stop-Loss: 284.29 (or 294.65 for aggressive trade)
🎯 Take-Profit: 327.27 (50%)
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
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Home Depot is in a larger uptrend since Oct. 2016 (yellow trend line) but consolidates sideways since Feb 2023 despite a take-off situation in the housing market - at least when it comes to permits. Home Depot is considered as a stock that should benefit from those situations.
Technically we can see that the bottom support of the current consolidation zone (big green box) was breached only one time immediately retracing in the consolidation box with high volume. This indicates a stronger support there. Since beginning of June we now entered into a much smaller consolidation box (little green box) on the upper right corner of the bigger zone. Those multiple tests of the upper resistance and the share price remaining ever closer to resistance indicate an upward breakout.
If you’re a pre break-out trader you might want to jump in with a tight stop around 294. All others should wait for daily confirmation outside the box possible at 306.
Don’t forget earnings in August if you take the trade.
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Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG
The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only.
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Home Depot Sits Calmly as Housing SurgesThe U.S. housing market is taking off -- at least according to yesterday’s data (starts and permits). However one of the biggest companies in the sector is still negative on the year: Home Depot.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on February 21 after sales and guidance disappointed. HD has recently started probing the $305.55 opening price from that session. Does this create the potential for a breakout?
Second, positive pressure could be emerging from below. Notice how HD tried to break under its March low last month but quickly rebounded. There was a higher low on June 1, followed by a steady push upward. That kind of price action may suggest buyers are lurking near the current price area.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) are also rising. Those may reflect improving short- and intermediate-term trends.
Finally, HD stalled at its 200-day SMA about two months ago. However the current consolidation is occurring at the same line -- a potential sign it’s losing relevance as resistance.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .