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SPY Play 9/5/25After weak job report, Stock surge. SPY is in up. Be patient and allow the market to confirm it is still going higher. Don't guess - react. POI is at 650.51. You can wait until pullback to that and see if it holds for entry or use PMH. The range is 648.44-652.10. But if you wait the first 15 mins PMH 652.10 Break-Retest and Hold = CALLS PML 648.44 Break -Retest - Hold = PUTS PDH 649.09 PDL 643.74 TP1 653.30 TP1 647.76 #YouGotOptions "Discipline is the bridge between vision and victory. God gives the vision, but it's your daily obedience that builds the bridge."
AMEX:SPYLong
by tmac1914
SPY Sept 5 Gameplan Alright here’s what I’m seeing: On the 4H chart SPY still holding a bull flag / ascending triangle vibe. VIX is under 15, 10-year yields are dumping, and DXY broke down — that all leans risk-on. Options flow shows big open interest stacked around 645–647, so that area is like a magnet. I think price probably **chops around 648 first, then bounces and tries for 655+. 3 Scenarios 🟢 Bullish: * Hold above 648 → reclaim 651 → run toward 655–658, maybe stretch 662. * Confirmed if tech leaders (MSFT, META, AMZN) keep pushing. Sideways / Chop: * Stuck between 648–651, fakeouts both ways until volume picks a side. * Basically consolidation around that option wall. 🔴 Bearish: * Lose 648 with momentum → flush to 643–640. * Would need DXY/yields to reverse back up or VIX to spike. 🎯 Key Levels * PMH 651.30 * PDH 648.06 * PDL 643.51 * Option cluster: 645–647 * Targets: 655 → 658 → 662 💡 My bias → watch the 648 zone. If buyers defend it, I’m leaning long into that 655+ move.
AMEX:SPYLong
by davekclinton76
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 5, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Jobs Friday = make or break. Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, and wages will lock in Fed expectations into September. 📉 Positioning light ahead of NFP — futures choppy as traders square books. 💬 Consumer sentiment wraps the week — expectations on inflation and spending will color the tape. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Nonfarm Payrolls (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Unemployment Rate (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Average Hourly Earnings (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Wholesale Trade (Jul) ⏰ 10:00 AM — UMich Consumer Sentiment (Final, Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #NFP #jobs #labor #Fed #economy #bonds #Dollar
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY setup 9/4/25PMH 645.27 PML 644.01 POI 645.24 PM Gap Fill 643.40 Range is between 6.43.17-645.27 Look for SPY to go back and retest PMH before coming back down to 644.70. If it breaks through look for it to go to PML 644.01 or Fill the Gap at 643.40. Wait for clear signs before hopping in. If it breaks, retest and hold PML look for PUTs to 642.90-642.20 T/P 1. If it breaks PMH and pullback and hold look to enter for CALL 646.10 T/P 1. You can also use the 9/13 EMA as entry. Use S/L and manage risk properly. Let’s Goooo! “Discipline is the tithe you pay, The reward is financial freedom.” - #You Got Options
AMEX:SPYLong
by tmac1914
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book — traders want to see if Thursday’s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown. 🏦 Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX. ⚙️ Productivity & costs add another layer to the inflation debate. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Trade Balance (Jul) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Productivity & Unit Labor Costs (Q2, rev.) ⏰ 11:00 AM — Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #joblessclaims #labor #economy #bonds
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY SEP 3rd 3 scenarios. No guessing. Just react. 🟢 Bull Case Trigger: Clears + holds 644 (PMH) ↳ Buyers show up, QQQ & NVDA strong, VIX chill. Play: • Long 644+ • Targets: 648 / 650 • Risk: <642 ⚖️ Chop Zone Trigger:Stuck 637–644 ↳ No real push either way, just range + noise. Play: • Scalp 637 → 644 • Light size or sit out • Avoid forcing 🔴 Bear Case Trigger: Loses 637 ↳ Volume picks up, VIX >17.5, macro weak. Play: • Short <637 • Targets: 634 / 630 • Risk: >639 🔍 Flow Clues • DP walls: 643–648 = tough resistance • Big puts stacked at 615/635 • Seasonality leans red ⚠️ 📌 TL;DR > 644+ = bulls push > 637–644 = chop zone > 637 = bears in charge
AMEX:SPYShort
by davekclinton76
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🏦 Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header — ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Friday’s NFP. 📉 Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss — markets looking for confirmation of labor cooling. 💻 Tech earnings rotation continues — volatility in AMEX:XLK spilling into broader tape. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications ⏰ 🚩 8:15 AM — ADP Employment Report (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — ISM Services PMI (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — Fed Beige Book ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #ADP #BeigeBook #Fed #labor #ISM #bonds #economy
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY Technical Analysis-September 3SPY is rebounding strongly off the 633–634 demand zone, reclaiming ground after the recent selloff. Price is now pressing into the middle of the broader ascending channel, with momentum shifting back toward the bulls. * Resistance: The key zone sits at 644–647, where prior supply converges with the midline of the channel. This is also where sellers previously capped rallies. * Support: Immediate support lies at 640–641, the pivot level that bulls must defend. If this breaks, downside flows reopen toward 639 → 637 → 634. * Indicators: MACD has flipped bullish with rising histogram, showing positive momentum. Stoch RSI is overbought, suggesting some near-term exhaustion risk unless price pushes through resistance quickly. 🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation * Resistance: * 644–647 matches a heavy call wall cluster, confirming overhead resistance. * Dealers are short calls here, creating a ceiling unless broken with volume. * Support: * 641 aligns with the 3rd put wall and heavy negative gamma → if this level fails, hedging accelerates downside. * 637–634 confirmed as the next strong support band. This confirms the chart view: 641–647 is the critical battleground. 🎯 Trade Scenarios * Bullish: Hold above 641 and break through 647 with strong volume → upside opens toward 650–652. * Bearish: Failure at 644–647 or breakdown under 641 → downside targets 639 → 634. 🧠 Final Take SPY’s rebound has momentum, but the 644–647 zone is the make-or-break level. Clearing it would shift the bias back to the upside, targeting 650+. Failure to do so likely triggers a rejection and renewed selling pressure back toward 634.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
“From Mountain to Collapse: SPY Faces 630 Test”📖 Crown Point Research 1️⃣ Date & Time Date: 2nd September 2025 Time: Pre-Market | 09:15 PM IST 2️⃣ Fundamental News No major Fed statements or policy updates overnight. This move is purely structural: technical rejection at higher chambers + pre-payroll caution across markets. 3️⃣ Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour Retail psychology: Traders treated $640–645 as breakout continuation zones, rushing in. Institutional behaviour: Institutions sold into resistance, distributing supply near 645–650. Social Signal: Headlines still project bullish “market strength,” but structure = pullback, not extension. 4️⃣ Current Structure Macro Resistance: 645–650 Support: 630–628 Stage: Macro = Mountain Maturity → Exhaustion. Micro Resistance: 640–642 Support: 630 → 628 zone. Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks, failed rescues, collapse candles on intraday. 5️⃣ Projection Primary Path (65%): Continuation lower to $630–628 support. Alternate Path (25%): Bounce if $640 reclaimed, capped at $645. Low Path (10%): Breakout above $650 only with rescue event (policy or global shock). 6️⃣ Pullback Levels Shallow: $640–642 Medium: $635 Deep: $628 (critical Sea anchor zone). 7️⃣ Final View Bias: Bearish short-term → Path remains toward $630 unless $645+ 8️⃣ Essence (Philosophy Line) “Macro still near the Mountain, but microframes are in Collapse. Pullbacks are rebalances, not rescues. Until gates reopen, bearish flow dominates.” 9️⃣ Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Sturdy_Intraday_Trading
SPY washed away the Stops, and now rinse supportAt the U-MLH the air is very, very thin now. SPY is experience this and it looks like this market shows it's hand. It's the second time where the breakout failed. A classical Double-Top. Today SPY will open back into the Fork, which is a very bad sign for climbing markets. And if SPY can't close outside the Fork today, it would be a clear short to me. So, after the Wash of the Stops at the Top, what follows is the "Rinse" of the support level and then way down to the PTG1, the 1/4 line, and further to the PTG2 at the Center-Line.
AMEX:SPYShort
by HowToChart
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