XLE Trending in the right directionStill feeling very positive about XLE..
Targeting 39 to fill the upper gap, but need to get through 36 in a strong way to make that happen.
CVX looks like it has taken full advantage of this recent bounce while XOM seems to be stuck..
Not sure how much more room CVX has to grow right now given the current oil markets, But XOM could make up the difference.
Time will tell on this one. Sitting on Fall Call Options right now for basically nothing..
Trade ideas
XLE could see a pullback through Sept-OctXLE could see a pullback through Sept-Oct but looks like limited upside before further drop. key resistance looks to be in 40-42.50 area. Resistance at this level and further downside later in year.
The 100 tick renko looks like price does have upside potential in short term.
Trading Ideas: Potential Oil Bottom In SightA price bottom may have arrived for oil and oil stocks ($XLE).
Chart displayed a bullish divergence of the MACD and has traded with some strength on the rebound.
A potential cup and handle reversal pattern is forming and will be validated if price can trade above the gap resistance with considerable volume.
We are currently neutral on oil.
XLE Breaks 34XLE broke $34 ceiling in premarket trading.. Needs to hold this level in order to continue up to our $36 target.. Oil seems to be stablizing a bit for now..
Bounced nicely off .618 Fib level from recent high. now above the .236 level..
Creeping into overbought territory on 30min charts. Could see a pull back in the open but should be another 3-4%gainer today.
XLE - Energy sector SPDR S/R levelsHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Everyone sees an opportunity in the oil market. Personally, I would not invest in this commodity. There is a surplus of oil, there is no place to store it and no one wants it. It can't stop mining. But investing in the entire XLE energy sector could be interesting. Here are the main S/R zones where the price could react. Everyone makes their own point of view.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Loading up on more call options todayOkay so we gapped down last night. Obviously Energy sectors are in panic mode. Do you guys really think it will stay here forever??? Hell no.. AS of now we still havent even broken the trend line up even with the gap down. Thinking maybe a short term Put option, but going to be loading up on long term calls here, only going to be cheaper than they were yesterday!
We've got a decent support between 31-30.
Still playing this long over the next few months. Short maybe this week.
September and later Call options are DIRT Cheap...
No brainerBuying More call options today on this drop.. Get them now while they are cheap. These prices wont last forever. Adding to my September calls now. If you've got $200 you can live with losing, it should be put here IMO. upside is huge.
ONLY TRADE WITH MONEY YOU CAN LIVE WITHOUT, IF YOU ARE NOT A FULL TIME PROFESSIONAL TRADER.
I am not a professional trader, i work a day job. But i play with money i can lose. dont be stupid.
Market Outlook & Trading StrategiesAn in-depth comparison in relative strength of various US sectors from peak to trough, complementary to previous post.
It appears that investors have repositioned in recent recovery with a "lockdown" theme, weighting heavier in their investments with healthcare ($XLV), fundamentally strong tech ($XLK) (e.g. $AMZN) and consumer staples ($XLP) (e.g. $WMT).
We are still in favour of stock picking/sector ETFs which should outperform buying into the index.
Oil has tested it's $20 support 3 times in the last monthYou can try to short oil but there is much more upside by going long.
I picked up 122 $55 XLE calls today for .03 each
Not a whole lot to lose and a whole lot to gain. Oil isn't going away like some people think. Way too many industries are reliant upon it and way too many people will lose money if it stays at these prices.
It might not be very soon but there is room for it to rise in the next 6 months.
XLE (Energy Sector)Providing we don’t make any lower lows on the weekly time frame and preferably stay above resistance, last seen in August 2004, this could potentially be the place to buy and hold for the medium to long term.
The next level to watch out for to the upside comes in at 37.71, stronger resistance at 41.47 closing the gap. Above that 48.11 then 38.2 fib level at 52.94.
XLE to long, from 28 to 33Existing Condition:
1. Downtrend line was broken by breakaway Gap (G1). Start a new trend.
2. Gap Up above SMA50
3. double bottom reversal pattern confirmed Weekly demand zone in 11/28/2003;
4. 0.5 retracement,
5. Demand Zone,
6. price droped below 27.1, and back to above 27.8 (above SMA8)
Entry above (SMA8) 27.7 and below 28.5
Stop below (SMA8) 27.5
Target 33.5
Risk/reward=1:6
According to my yesterday' XLE analysis, I created this plan;
This is a trading school homework. I need 6 months to practice trading plan.
If you like it, thank you for your support. Please use SIM/Demo account to try it, until my trading plans get high winning rate.
XLE XLE made a low of $22.89 on March 18, 2020, which is the lowest it has been since 2002. We saw higher highs and higher lows while trading below some previous support around the $26.90-$27.00 has tested the $26.80 numerous times and failed to break the previous support range. The recent gap up and test of the $26.80s again has proven that the XLE has some legs in the short term while respecting and bouncing off intraday lows. A break-through of the previous support ($26.90-$27.00) will prove to be vital to the strength of XLE moving forward. Given the economic conditions, oil is poised for some rebound given demand and the recent activities within the space, and a breakthrough has potential based on the chart.
XLE - weekly charts - mild consolidation before further failureLet us again look out on how XLE is shaping up
(previous analysis attached for your reference)
Price moving just as expected, as evident in the charts, we had support on $ 53.36 levels , which was 24th Dec 2019 low. Price closed at about this level over the last few weeks but during the week, this level was breached. Minor cycle low formed 27th Jan 2020, 2 weeks later than we expected. As we move ahead, the next minor cycle and the major cycle will be moving upwards and the intermediate cycle will start to curve downwards. Following Hurst's principle of summation, we could expect the price to try and move higher over the next weeks. So far price has been making lower highs and much lower lows, indicating downtrend. Expect a failure on any attempt tp move upwards and intermediate cycle bottom around end of March 2020. Larger trouble remains ahead near Aug 2020 end as we would be seeing a bottom of all 3 cycles together. Keep an eye on how these charts develop to maximize opportunities of gain.
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Cheers
XLE - Short - pain continuationHi everyone, today I am reviewing. the energy index XLE on the weekly time frame.
XLE seems to be following a 44 week cycle. XLE made a triple top formation from beginning of 2018 till about 2018 November ever since then it has got into a declining phase, consistently making lower highs and even lower lows. Price has recently breached the previous lows made in the end of Dec 2019, its probably confirmed my projections for a sustained downtrend.
We can see that the downward trend line that we have drawn is now acting as a resistance of a barrier for price to breach. We can see the nuances of principles of summation as descibed by the legendary JM Hursts works in play. This we can be by price action, given the phases in which each of the short term, intermediate and long term cycle (indicated by green, orange and yellow colours).
I maintain my short position on this ETF any upside a chance to go short. Look out for important resistance zones on daily charts to find an entry to go short.
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