support trendline still intactRSI shows room to run and on the upswing. I don't anticipate strong moves either way, but could be wrong. I think the crypto market will largely wait to see how the US stock market fares next week. US stock market may have just charted a double bottom to late January's low, which would be bullish if support holds.
BVOL7D trade ideas
Bitcoin recovering from the support line of the rising channelBitcoin has been moving in a broad rising channel on the weekly chart that started since the April's peak. Recently, the price bounced on the support line of the rising channel. This pullback came in line with the primary bullish trend as the 20-week EMA is still moving over the 50-week EMA, which indicating that the bull market is still intact.
The appreciation can resume in the coming sessions as the market seems to be trading out of the oversold waters according to the Williams %R and the IMI. Yet, the support line of the ascending channel is safely driving the price northwards. Hence, the bullish move is intact unless the bears press the price below that support line and the most recent trough around $33,000 .
Currently, the price is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level as well as the 20-week EMA at $46,762 where the price has dropped last week. Should the bull run continue, the door would open for the resistance level at $52,500 and then the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels at $55,273 . Additional gains from here would clear the way towards the tough resistance zone of $59,700 to all-time-highs in November 2021 at $69,000 .
On contract, if the bears take the upper hat again, the price may seek initially support at $40,000 and then the support line of the rising channel and the most recent low near $33,000 . Falling beneath $33,000, the spotlight will turn to the key support zone from $31,230 to $29,000 from January 2021.
Summarizing, the most recent trough in Bitcoin may live in the medium-term amid strengthening momentum signals, the upward trajectory could keep buying confidence intact, as long as the price holds above $33,000.
BTCSHORTS trendline?I'm not too faithful when it comes to BTCSHORTS ratio trendlines but as you can see on the chart the last time that trendline broke down we went from 29k to 69k
Looks like we are building something similar even if it's not as extreme as summer lows but worth keeping an eye on.
I would expect a massive multimonth uptrend once that trendline breaks
New Forecast: 30K or lower in 3 Weeks..!This is just my observation do whatever you want..!
Bitcoin is nothing but the battlefield of algorithms..!
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Bitcoin forecast for the next 3 weeks!With the current momentum, it is highly likely BTC will retest the 30K zone in less than 3 weeks!
Keep in mind this is a 3 weeks forecast and there will be some positive days in between that could be used for day traders!
There is a slight chance BTC retest the 45-46K level in the next 7 days and then slips away!
However, the probability of having more red days is higher!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
*You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
We call this Max Pain First we pump to damn near previous ATH.
Retail who is currently panic selling and shitting their pants are in disbelief, they FOMO in and provide us with exit liquidity.
We proceed to print a nasty head and shoulders on the weekly and then its goblin town.
The past, the present and the future occur simultaneously.
Everything that is always has been and always will be.
As always, my memories are from the future.
We'll talk again when time catches up.
BTC Short Term WedgeShould find out soon but providing the bulls are still here, they would want to use the impulse from this wedge break to also take out the recent wave high. I have cloned the height of the wedge for a target area.
Not a lot of time for this to happen other wise I would call it a false break out.
BTC Macro OutlookI still believe us to be in a macro wave 4. Sadly this wave 4 has been massive and nearly a year long so far.
The wave one's 1.618 extension and the current wave three's 0.236 retrace happen to overlap. This should and will be strong area of support. If this holds then we are either experiencing an A-B-Truncated C for the wave 4 retrace or some sort of ABCDE that is yet to end playing out. Alternatively, we could fall to the 0.382 retrace at around 22k. This would be a more standard ABC correction.
I don't believe we have had a wave 5 top yet for a few reasons. Firstly, the waves to the current ATH were an ABC up. The A and C legs are roughly 1:1 extensions. Following the first point, there is no discernable 5 wave structure. Also, there has been no 'blow off top'. Finally, there was no fibonacci area of resistance. It simply stopped in between the 1.618 - 2.618 extensions of the first wave.
I'd also like to make clear I have done no time analysis. The lines are complete conjecture as to where they land in time frame.
BTC Short Term Bounce DueThere appears to finally have been a minor impulse wave since the move down began. Targets are around 43 - 45k. Then it will either make a higher low or simply go lower again.
I will post the 'higher resolution' of the minor wave in the comments as it was on 1minute charts and TV doesn't let you publish any ideas under 15minute time frames.
Set-up invalidated below the current low.