Five types of major support and resistance levelsWant to buy the bottom and sell the top? Want to predict major turning points in a security's price? Want to avoid buying too early or selling too late? Then you need to understand support and resistance levels!
I know a lot of people who mostly trade breakouts. That can be a very successful strategy, and I've used it myself to good effect. But if you buy a breakout after it happens, you pay a "breakout premium"-- especially if you're buying option calls or puts. You'll get a much better price on options if you buy them *before* a breakout or *before* a major change in momentum. How do you do that? Know your support and resistance levels!
Once you know how to identify the different types of support and resistance, you can look to see where several different types of support or resistance coincide . Those will be key price points at which different types of investors who rely on different types of indicators will all buy or sell at the same time.
2HP trade ideas
HPE catch some PLTR hype pls?What is HPE?
HPE aka Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company provides solutions that allow customers to capture, analyze, and act upon data from edge to cloud. The company offers industry standard servers for multi-workload computing; mission-critical servers; storage solutions; and solutions for secondary workloads and traditional tape, storage networking, and disk products, such as HPE MSA and HPE XP. It also provides mobility and Internet of Things solutions under the Aruba brand, which include wired and wireless local area network products, such as Wi-Fi access points, switches, routers, and sensors; software products, such as cloud-based management, network management, network access control, analytics and assurance, and location services; and professional and support services, as well as as-a-service and consumption models for the intelligent edge portfolio of products. In addition, the company offers various flexible investment solutions, which comprise leasing, financing, IT consumption, and utility programs and asset management services for customers to facilitate unique technology deployment models and the acquisition of complete IT solutions, including hardware, software, and services from Hewlett Packard Enterprise and others. Further, it invests in communications and media solutions, Hewlett Packard labs, and various business incubation projects. The company serves commercial and large enterprise groups, including business and public sector enterprises; and through various partners comprising resellers, distribution partners, original equipment manufacturers, independent software vendors, systems integrators, and advisory firms. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
This is the cloud division of HP and they been really beaten up this year, i think with the way everything is going, this is worth a lotto for some $13 calls for next year.
If it becomes a runner, it'll be like striking gold.
Major Support $9 area, Resistance $13.89 area
My plan?
With all the hype surrounding cloud stocks this year and that crazy PLTR run, maybe it's worth a lotto for some $13 calls for next year.
If it becomes a runner, it'll be like striking gold.
HPE sentiment is changingLast week I put up a post titled "HPE sentiment may change for the better," but the post got blocked because I had a link in there that the mods felt constituted advertising. Well, HPE sentiment has begun to change for the better, as I predicted, so I think this is worth an update and repost with the offending link removed.
I track metrics of both value and sentiment, and I usually only buy a stock if measures of both value and sentiment are aligned. I've noticed, though, that there's more money to be made if you can pick a stock with good value and poor sentiment that's about to improve. HPE may be a candidate for just such a positive change in sentiment.
Value
I've struggled with how to calculate PEG ratios post-Covid. I generally take my earnings growth rate from an approximately five-year linear regression line (three years past actuals, two years future estimates). But when you've got a black swan event right in the middle of your time series, what do you do with that? Do you use a continuous function that makes the growth rate look negative? Or do you use a piecewise function that makes it look positive? I've settled on taking the average of the two. So, keep that in mind when I tell you that I've calculated HPE's PEG ratio at 3.39 and PSG ratio at 0.36. I typically multiply the two values together to get a composite PEG*PSG ratio, in this case 1.23. Of the stocks I track, the only one with a better PEG*PSG than this is $HPQ.
HPE is also trading near the bottom of its 3-year valuation range in terms of forward P/E and forward P/S. It has generally traded at about .75 forward P/S. Right now it's about .47. Implicitly, there's about 59% upside from here. Do the same calculation with forward P/E, and the numbers imply about 40% upside from here.
Another thing I really like about HPE is how innovative it is. Over the last three years, HPE has averaged 50 patents granted per billion dollars of current market cap, making it more innovative for its size than any other company I watch save IBM. Throw in the fact that HPE is expected to pay 4.8% in dividends over the next 12 months, and you've got a stock that combines both shareholder returns and growth potential. That's rare.
Sentiment
HPE's Equity Starmine Summary Score improved from 1.6/10 to 3.7/10 in the last 24 hours, meaning that analysts are growing more positive on the stock. The upgrade caused a nice spike in the stock price today.
The sentiment change comes after HPE reported 3Q results and not only beat analyst expectations on earnings and revenue, but also beat analyst expectations on 4Q guidance. Analysts sharply increased earnings estimates for the next couple years after the earnings report. Perhaps even more importantly, HPE dramatically improved its financial health from the year-ago quarter. From the conference call: "Our Q3 free cash flow of $924 million was up $276 million year over year, driven by a record cash flow from operations as a result of our improved execution this quarter. . . . We generated cash flow from operations of approximately $1.5 billion. This is the highest level for the past 11 quarters, as we improved our operational execution." The company does expect cash flow to be sequentially lower next quarter due to restructuring, but the company is still in stellar shape financially, with an $8.5 billion cash reserve.
Given HPE's strong results, I expect continued analyst upgrades. And I'm not alone in thinking so; HPE now has a bullish put/call ratio of 0.51.
Technicals
HPE's technicals are neutral at the moment, with the stock in a triangle. A couple ways to play it would be to buy near the bottom of the triangle or wait for an upside breakout. I do think there's a good chance HPE will make an upside breakout in the coming weeks, overall market conditions permitting.
Sell Short: Hewlett Packard - Ticker HPE - TechnologySell Short: Hewlett Packard - Ticker: HPE - Sector: Technology Industry: Communication Equipment
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Sell Entry: 12.22 to 10.91
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Analysis of HEWLETT-PACKARD 9.10.2019The price is below the moving average of 20 MA and MA 200, indicating the downward trend.
MACD is below the zero level.
The oscillator Force Index is below the zero levels.
If the level of support is broken, you shall follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 16.15
• Take Profit Level: 15.15 (100 pips)
If the price rebound from the support level, you shall follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 17.00
• Take Profit Level: 17.50 (50 pips)
USDCHF
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 0.9910
USDJPY
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 107.45
EURUSD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.0990
GBPUSD
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 1.2190
HEP JUMPS ON EARNING BEATInvestors finally have something to be bullish about, earnings beat estimates easily and the company is optimistic for the future.
The stock was down over 20% in 2019 but has had a nice 7% gain in the afterhours.
Much will depend on the earnings call, a possible entry for a long is $14.15, juts above near term resistance.