Apple - This stock will collapse!🥊Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing right now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back five years ago, Apple established a major rising channel pattern. Following this channel, Apple recently created a textbook +40% move higher. But with the current retest of resistance, we will certainly see another pullback of -30% in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Trade ideas
$AAPL: The Market's Breath | A Contrarian Perspective at a Point"My capital is finite, but opportunity is infinite. I will not risk my finite capital on an 'okay' setup when a perfect one is inevitable. I can miss this move and feel nothing, because the next one is already forming."
This is a core tenet for those of us who aim to trade without limits—not financial limits, but the mental and emotional ones that chain us to fear and greed. We missed the last long entry on Apple. This is a fact, neither good nor bad. It is simply a piece of the puzzle that has been laid. Now, a new piece presents itself.
The Technical Landscape
The market has a rhythm, a breath of expansion and contraction. After a powerful inhalation—a strong move up—Apple now finds itself at a critical juncture.
Channel Resistance: Price is approaching the upper boundary of a potential ascending channel. These boundaries are often where the market pauses to exhale.
High-Volume Node: This area of resistance aligns with a previous high that was accompanied by significant volume. This tells us that a great deal of business was done here before, and participants may be looking to take profits or initiate shorts, creating supply.
Overbought Condition: From a broader view, indicators like the RSI are showing the stock as technically overbought. This doesn't guarantee a reversal, but it does suggest the bullish momentum may be stretched thin, like a rubber band pulled taut.
The setup is based on this confluence. We are not predicting a crash; we are simply observing that this is a logical place for the bears to test the strength of the bulls.
The Philosophy: Don't Be a Salmon
A salmon fights with all its might to swim upstream, an admirable but exhausting journey. As traders, we must be wiser. While the prevailing news on Apple is a torrent of bullishness—strong iPhone 17 demand, analyst upgrades—the price has arrived at a technical waterfall. To blindly buy here is to swim against a potential counter-current of profit-taking.
Our approach is to go short at resistance not because we are bearish on the company, but because it offers us a statistically favorable risk-to-reward ratio. We know precisely where our thesis is invalidated (the stop loss), and the potential reward for being correct is multiples of our potential loss. This is not about being right or wrong about the stock's long-term future; it is about sound risk management in the present moment. The bears may be fattening up for a brief winter at this specific altitude.
A Balanced Perspective: The Forest for the Trees
To truly understand our trade (the tree), we must look at the market (the forest).
The Bull Case: The narrative is powerful. The launch of the iPhone 17 is being met with stronger-than-expected demand. Analysts are raising price targets, with some calling for a move above $300. The underlying trend is undeniably strong, and a breakout through this resistance could lead to another significant leg up, fueled by those who capitulate on their shorts.
The Bear Case: The recent surge has been parabolic. From a technical standpoint, the stock is overextended and trading at a premium valuation. This resistance level is the perfect psychological point for early buyers to take profits. Any broader market weakness or a simple exhaustion of the current buying frenzy could easily trigger the exhale we are anticipating.
An Illustrative Setup
This is a hypothetical setup for educational purposes, based on the principles discussed.
Entry: 256.52
Stop Loss: 267.75 (This is our point of invalidation)
Profit Target: 226.75 (A logical point of reversion)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.65
We act on our setup. If the market proves us wrong, we accept the feedback with gratitude, preserve our capital, and await the next opportunity, which is already forming.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Apple: Pullback From ATH Can Be Opportunity To Join The TrendApple hit all-time highs, but an uptrend may not be over yet. Infact price is showing a clear impulsive structure that still supports the broader uptrend. However, it looks like black wave three on the daily chart may be finshed, so a near-term pullback would be natural and healthy before the next bullish leg shows up. Any deeper retracement could provide a new opportunity to join the trend IMO, with the previous fourth-wave zone around 244–251 offering an attractive support area while the market stays above 214, the key invalidation level. Also, notice that 252 is a gap from the latest earnings release, so it certainly can be an interesting zone for completion of a next retracement.
Highlights:
Trend: Bullish (wave three nearing completion)
Support: 244–251
Resistance: 300
Invalidation: 214
Note: Watch for more gains after wave 4, nice support at 252 gap
GH
AAPL – Decision Point Ahead? Nov. 21 Trade Plan1-Hour Outlook (Main Bias)
AAPL sold off sharply from the 275–277 zone and is now sitting at the lower trendline of a falling wedge structure. Price is stabilizing near 266–267, where the first signs of a short-term base are forming.
1H Structure
* Clear downtrend but entering wedge support.
* Recent BOS to the downside confirms bearish pressure earlier today.
* Price is trying to form a higher low at the wedge bottom.
* MACD is flattening — early signs of slowing bearish momentum.
* Stochastic deeply oversold, beginning to curl up.
1H Key Levels
Upside levels
* 270.00
* 272.50
* 275.40–277.00 (major resistance)
Support
* 264.50 (1H demand)
* 262.00 (lower wedge support)
Bulls gain advantage above: 270.50
Bears gain control below: 264.50
1H Trading Idea
Bullish scenario:
If AAPL holds 266–267 and pushes above 270, buyers can attempt to reclaim 272.50 then 275.40.
Bearish scenario:
If 270 rejects or price breaks back below 266, look for continuation into 264.50 → 262.
15-Minute Outlook (Execution Timeframe)
AAPL is consolidating inside a narrow 266–268 range after the heavy drop earlier. Structure is mixed but trying to form a micro base.
15M Structure
* CHoCH → small BOS → micro consolidation.
* EMAs are still stacked bearish but flattening.
* Price is sitting inside a discounted zone of the wedge.
15M Trading Setups
Bullish entry:
* Ideal retracement entry: 266.20–266.80
* Look for a bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick.
* Targets: 270 → 272.50
* Stop: below 265.20
Breakout entry:
* Enter if AAPL clears 270.50 cleanly.
* Stop below last 15M swing low.
* Targets: 272.50 → 275
Bearish scalp:
* Only valid if price rejects 270–272 zone repeatedly.
* Target: 264.50
GEX Confirmation
From the GEX chart:
Bearish Pressure
* Strong negative NETGEX near 267 → 264 (PUT support).
* Highest negative NETGEX aligns near 264–262, a natural downside magnet.
Bullish Signals
* Large CALL walls 275 → 277 → 280, a major resistance cluster.
* Positive GEX blocks appear only if price gets above 272.50.
Interpretation
* GEX favors sideways to slight downside unless AAPL can reclaim 270.50.
* Above 272.50, gamma can flip bullish and price can drift toward 275–277.
Options Trading Plan (GEX-Based)
Bullish Plan (requires reclaim of 270.50)
Contracts:
* 270C
* 272.5C
Targets:
* 272.50 → 275
Reason:
Reclaiming 270.50 shifts structure bullish and forces hedging upward into CALL resistance.
Bearish Plan (base case unless reclaimed 270.50)
Contracts:
* 265P
* 262.5P
Targets:
* 264.50 → 262
Reason:
Strong negative NETGEX below 267 guides price toward the 262–264 zone.
Final Bias for Nov. 21
AAPL sits at wedge support.
* Bullish only above 270.50 with upside toward 272.50–275.
* Base case: Continued chop/downward drift into 264–262 unless buyers step up aggressively.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
AAPLAAPL. Looks like more upside is in store for AAPL as it is on the cusp of price discovery. The daily RSI is primed at 68 right now. Additionally, if it plays catch-up to Nvidia and Google (which have hit 161.8% retraces from their December 2024 high to April 2025 lows), then one would think that $285/$300/$316 would be on deck for price targets in the relatively near future. It is also notable that Apple hasn't sold off really at all on these recent pullbacks this week. Let's see what happens.
Is Apple Stock $APPL About To Crash Hard?Apple. Yes, one of the most liquid, most loved, and most worshipped stocks on the planet is about to teach retail traders a very expensive lesson. And no, you don’t need fundamentals, Bloomberg breaks, or Tim Cook whispers. You just need supply and demand imbalances, price action… and a little patience — the hardest skill ever created by nature.
Let’s dive into why AAPL could drop like a stone straight into the next monthly demand level. And yes… smaller timeframes can turn us into absolute dummies, so today I’ll save you from yourself.
Apple. The king of liquidity. The heavyweight champion of market capitalization. The stock that every beginner wants to buy… usually at the worst possible moment, of course.
And today, we’re going to talk about what really matters for the next years — the monthly supply and demand structure, not the tiny little M15 candles that make us behave like confused chickens.
Why Apple Is Setting Up a Major Drop (Again)
AAPL has been in a long-term bullish trend for years, but what many traders forget is this:
👉 Rallies eventually need to correct.
👉 Big imbalances act like magnets.
👉 Smaller timeframe “signals” make people behave like total dummies.
Apple: Pause - but New Highs Likely Ahead Apple has recently shown signs of sluggishness, trading mostly sideways. For now, we expect this pause to give way to renewed gains, allowing the green wave to reach a new high. However, there is also a 31% chance that the current consolidation could break to the downside, leading to imminent sell-offs below the $212.94 support level. In that scenario, we would view the previous advances as merely corrective and anticipate a new, broader corrective low in the blue wave alt.(IV), although this would still form above the lower $168 mark.
Apple bull flag setup points to breakout potential this week
Current Price: $267.69
Direction: LONG
Confidence Level: 68%
Targets:
- T1 = $272.50
- T2 = $277.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $265.00
- S2 = $263.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
Several professional traders are flagging Apple as a standout in the large-cap tech space right now. The collective trader consensus from multiple analyses points to Apple holding up better than peers, showing a defined bull flag structure and testing key levels that could open the door to a bullish breakout. Looking at the way these traders combine technical setups with current momentum, there’s shared focus on a push through upper resistance zones, with pullbacks being seen as opportunities rather than warnings.
**Key Insights:**
Here’s what’s driving this call — many traders have made note of Apple's ability to hold above multiple layers of support, often citing $269–$270 as a key pivot zone. The $272.50 mark comes up repeatedly as a short-term upside magnet, with $277–$277.32 flagged as the breakout area that could accelerate price action. This aligns with bullish momentum seen on the daily timeframe, where patterns like the bull flag just above prior highs tend to bring in additional buyers.
What I’m also noticing is the split between cautious macro sentiment and strong single-stock setups. While broader indices have been choppy, Apple’s relative strength is standing out to several traders, and that’s worth paying attention to when identifying outperformers for the week. The key point here is that Apple is not trading in sync with general market softness; instead, it's finding bids at every dip toward well-watched support levels.
**Recent Performance:**
This all played out in last week’s price action — Apple gained ground and closed notably higher on strong days, while managing to minimize losses on market down days. Several instances showed Apple bouncing off intraday supports to recover by session end, a clear sign of accumulation in the $265–$269 range. That resilience has been especially visible over the past five trading sessions, with multiple tests of intermediate resistance not leading to pronounced selling.
**Expert Analysis:**
Multiple traders have pointed to the $274–$275 zone as being critical for momentum confirmation, with one layer of consensus forming around waiting for a clean break to target $277+. Another frequently cited setup is entering early on confirmation of strength above $272.50, using tight stops just under $265 to limit downside risk. Several also remarked that only Apple and Alphabet are still holding above their 55-day moving averages out of the “Magnificent Seven,” underscoring Apple's relative positioning.
**News Impact:**
While there’s no single market-moving headline changing Apple’s fundamentals this week, the backdrop of tech sector rotation is relevant. The chatter around upcoming product cycle demand, potential boosts from seasonal shopping trends, and resilience despite chip supply cost hikes from suppliers like TSM is giving traders more confidence to lean bullish. Additionally, Apple’s role as a major index weight means its breakout could influence broader market sentiment positively.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Here’s my take — at $267.69 and with support layers close by, I favor initiating a long with entries above $269, tightening risk with S1 at $265 and S2 at $263. The near-term upside objective sits at T1 $272.50, with strength through that level opening a path toward T2 $277 for this week. This setup offers a good risk-reward profile due to tight stop placement and identifiable upside catalysts. Sizing should be moderate given the mid-range confidence, but the technical backdrop favors the long side as long as price remains above $263.
AAPL Coiling for a Break, Gamma Pressure Tightening. Nov 12-15AAPL has been drifting sideways on the surface, but underneath the calm exterior, the order flow is tightening. The candles look slow, even boring — but the gamma structure behind the scenes is anything but.
Right now, AAPL is sitting inside a highly reactive GEX pocket, and pressure is building for a strong move once price escapes it.
This is one of those setups where the chart looks quiet, but the data warns something bigger is loading.
Let’s walk through the story.
4H Chart — Rising Trendline + Hidden Structural Defense
On the 4H timeframe, Apple continues to respect its ascending structure:
* A rising trendline catching every pullback
* Repeated BOS signals confirming the uptrend
* CHoCH resets showing controlled pullbacks
* Buyers defending the 270–273 zone consistently
AAPL isn’t exploding upward — it’s gliding in a slow grind, typical of institutions quietly building positions without attracting attention.
Momentum is soft, but not bearish.
Structure is intact and leaning bullish.
This is how major tech consolidates before the next leg.
1H Chart — Sideways Compression Right on Top of Support
The 1H view explains the recent frustration traders feel:
* AAPL is pinned between 270–276, bouncing back and forth
* Each push into 276 fades
* Each dip into 272 recovers
* Volume remains steady but not aggressive
It’s almost mechanical.
This isn’t retail.
This is the effect of a neutral gamma band — price gets compressed and moves become muted until the zone breaks.
And that’s exactly what GEX is showing.
🔥 GEX Data — The Hidden Map Behind AAPL’s Next Move
This is where the story gets clear.
🔹 Positive GEX / Call Walls Above 276–282
This zone acts like a magnet AND a lid.
* 277.5 → first strong resistance
* 280 → large GEX shelf
* 282–285 → stacked CALL walls
* 287.5+ → positive drift zone
If AAPL breaks 276–278 with momentum, it enters a region where price tends to grind upward slowly but consistently.
🔹 Neutral Gamma Pocket at 270–276
This is where AAPL is right now.
Neutral GEX =
* flat movement
* controlled volatility
* mean-reversion
* low momentum until breakout
This explains every false move this week.
🔹 Negative GEX Zone Below 267
This is the danger zone.
Below 267, hedging flows flip bearish:
* Dealers short gamma
* Hedging accelerates downside
* Dips deepen faster than expected
Targets open at:
262.5 → 259 → 255
This is the level bulls cannot lose.
🔥 Trading Suggestions — Based on Structure + GEX
📌 Bullish Setup (Higher Probability if 276 Breaks)
ENTRY:
Break + hold above 275.50–276
TARGETS:
* 277.5
* 280
* 282.5
* 285
STOP-LOSS:
Below 272.50
WHY IT WORKS:
Above 276, AAPL steps into stacked positive GEX → natural upward drift.
📌 Bearish Setup (Only if AAPL Breaks 267)
ENTRY:
Break + reject below 267
TARGETS:
* 262.5
* 259
* 255
STOP-LOSS:
Above 271
WHY IT WORKS:
Below 267, AAPL enters negative gamma → downside accelerates.
📌 Neutral Strategy (If AAPL Stays 270–276)
The current condition favors:
* Credit spreads
* Iron condors
* Short strangles
* Calendars
Neutral GEX = volatility crush → great for premium sellers.
🔥 Options Suggestions (GEX-Compatible)
Bullish Option Play (if 276 breaks)
Buy:
280C or 285C (1–2 weeks out)
Safer Spread:
275/285 call debit spread
Matches the entire positive gamma ladder.
Bearish Option Play (if 267 breaks)
Buy:
265P or 260P
Safer Spread:
267/257 put debit spread
Perfect for negative gamma flush setups.
Neutral Play (current zone)
For slow, choppy conditions:
* 270/276 iron condor
* 270/280 strangle
* ATM calendar at 273
All benefit from gamma compression.
My Thought
AAPL looks calm, but the gamma structure says something else: the next directional wave is coming soon. The 270–276 range is squeezing tight, and once price escapes this GEX pocket, momentum will return aggressively.
The roadmap is clear:
* Above 276 → positive gamma drift toward 280–285
* Below 267 → negative gamma flush toward 262–259
* Inside 270–276 → compressed chop
This is one of those setups that looks quiet until it suddenly isn’t.
This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your plan.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) 4H – NASDAQ chart Pattern...Apple Inc. (AAPL) 4H – NASDAQ chart:
Here’s a detailed read of the setup my drawn 👇
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🧭 Chart Overview
Current Price: ≈ $269.4
Trend: Strong uptrend (price holding above Ichimoku cloud & rising trendline)
Support Zone: Around $265 – $266 (where price retested the trendline + cloud)
Resistance/Target Box: Marked on my chart as Target Point near the upper trendline.
---
🎯 Target Analysis
My blue arrow points to a resistance zone near the top of the ascending channel.
The Target Point zone is around $285 – $288.
→ That’s roughly +6% to +7% upside from the current level.
---
📈 Summary
Type Level (USD) Notes
Entry (current) 269–270 Price retesting support/trendline
Target 285 – 288 Channel top / bullish target
Stop-loss (recommended) 260 – 261 Below trendline & Ichimoku cloud
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⚠ Notes
If AAPL closes below $260, this trendline support breaks, and momentum may shift bearish.
But as long as it stays above $265, it looks strong toward $285+.
Watch volume — a breakout above $275 with volume would confirm move to target.
The Falling Apple: Apple’s Descent Into the 2026 Bear CycleApple has arrived at a rare point where Natural Law and fundamentals speak in unison.
The geometry of its long-term cycle and the internal condition of its business now deliver the same message: the arc that carried Apple through its 2020–2025 ascent has reached its structural boundary.
This is the moment where the cycle turns — the moment the Apple begins to fall.
1. Geometry: The 1×2 Monthly Angle Has Been Hit
Apple has been riding a clean, disciplined 1×2 monthly trend since the March 23, 2020 low.
Price has now risen to the top rail of that 1×2 channel, the same line that capped major moves in the past.
2. The Weekly Angle (2023-2025) Has Also Hit Its Own Ceiling
A faster internal angle begins from the January 3, 2023 low.
This weekly angle represents Apple’s internal rhythm — the speed of its secondary cycle.
Apple is now touching both:
the top of the long-term monthly angle, and
the top of the short-term accelerated weekly angle
at the same time.
These two angles intersect the first week of 2026,
Please see Monthly Version of chart Below:
A. Speed & Acceleration — The Internal Engine Stalls
The internal motion beneath Apple’s advance is no longer confirming the new highs.
Speed has weakened into the rally, forming a clear lower high even as price presses into the top of the 1×2 monthly angle.
This is the signature of a late-cycle move — higher prices carried by diminishing force.
Acceleration reveals the same condition.
It peaked earlier in the cycle and is now fading, unable to match the strength of prior expansions.
When acceleration rolls over while Speed is already declining, the trend has lost its ability to compound momentum.
Together, Speed and Acceleration show a market moving upward while its engine slows beneath it.
This is the exhaustion phase: motion compresses, angles converge, and the structure prepares to turn.
Please see Daily Chart
B. Daily Motion — The Fast Angle Breaks
On the daily chart, the internal structure has already failed.
The steep 1×1 angle — where each trading day rises one dollar — has broken decisively.
This is the fastest rhythm Apple can sustain, and losing it confirms a short-term top.
Speed follows the same message.
It has slipped beneath the median line, signaling that the drive powering this advance has weakened even as price tests multi-year resistance.
Acceleration is the most urgent tell.
It is sharply negative at the highs, a signature that momentum has collapsed beneath the surface.
Acceleration always turns first; price only acknowledges it later.
Together, the break of the 1×1 angle, the median failure in Speed, and the deeply negative Acceleration show a market losing force as it presses into long-term resistance.
The short-term engine has stalled at the exact moment the monthly cycle reaches its ceiling.
Please see Timing Chart:
Apple’s major swings have not been random.
The timing chart shows a consistent rhythm: the dominant changes in trend occur in January and December, forming a repeating cadence across the 2020–2025 cycle.
January 2022 — Major top
January 2023 — Major low
December 2024 — Major Top
Dec /Jan — **Forecasted Top
This creates a temporal cycle where Apple’s trend turns at the opening and closing of the Gregorian calendar — a natural point where momentum resets and the prior cycle completes.
Fundamentals Now Confirm What Geometry Already Shows
Price is not just rising into resistance —
it is rising into resistance while the fundamentals weaken.
a. Revenue Growth Has Stalled
Apple’s total revenue has been flat to slightly negative for nearly two years.
iPhone sales are no longer growing
Services growth has slowed
Mac and iPad units are in multi-year decline
This is the key disconnect:
**Price is making new highs
The business is not.
b. Valuation Has Doubled While Growth Has Halved
Apple now trades at:
31–34× forward earnings
Versus a historical long-term range of 16–20×
Apple is being valued like a high-growth AI company,
even though its earnings are stagnating.
This kind of valuation expansion always shows up as price hugging the upper rail of the long arc.
c. No Real AI Cycle (Yet)
Apple is pricing in an AI future it has not yet earned:
No major AI product cycle
No cloud AI leadership
No LLM ecosystem
No new growth vector
The chart reflects pure thematic flow, not fundamental acceleration.
With new leadership at the helm of Apple and a replacement from TIm cook is found. the stock may go though an adjustment period as well, as Apple tries to re fidn its identify again
d. Buybacks Are Manufacturing the Slope
Apple has spent $600+ billion on buybacks.
That is what creates the smooth, steady 1×2 slope —
but when buybacks meet revenue stagnation, price eventually reaches a point where geometry = fundamental limit.
We are exactly at that point.
e. Leadership Transition — A Coming Shift
Apple is approaching a leadership transition.
Tim Cook’s successor has not yet been named, but the change is forthcoming — and with it comes an inevitable period of adjustment.
As Apple prepares for a new era of leadership, the company will need to reaffirm its identity and strategic direction.
Markets tend to price this uncertainty early, especially when it coincides with the completion of a major structural cycle.
A shift at the top reinforces the broader message of the chart:
Apple is entering a phase of transition — in leadership, in momentum, and in market cycle.
5. When Natural Law and Fundamentals Agree, the Move Is Significant
Price is not hitting resistance in isolation.
It is hitting resistance with weakening internals:
Slowing revenue
Stretched valuation
Compressed consumer demand
No new product cycle
Buybacks masking the slowdown
Leadership Transition
SUMMARY
Apple has reached a structural and fundamental limit.
The long-term 1×2 monthly angle is touched.
The 2023 weekly angle converges at the same point.
$270 natural resistance is met precisely as time and price square.
Internally, revenue growth has stalled, valuation has stretched beyond its cycle, consumer demand continues to soften, and new leadership at the helm of Apple.
In short, Apple stands at the threshold of the 2026 Bear Cycle.
Nana Hermes —
All Things Move by Measure.
Midterm Stock Forecast for APPLENASDAQ:AAPL 's H1 chart suggests a midterm pullback from $271 toward $250 as trend strength softens. Technically, momentum indicators show divergence after a steady climb. Fundamentally, stable services revenue supports the stock, but softer global device demand may limit upside near term. A correction to $250 would align price with fair-value zones.
APPLE: Trading Signal From Our Team
APPLE
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short APPLE
Entry - 271.49
Sl - 273.26
Tp - 268.34
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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TSLA: 395.23 Hello trader: After an uptrend, a downtrend correction triggers a sell-off. Let's hope the stock pulls back tomorrow.
Bullish entry: 266.00, possible profit take: 274.00.
Bearish entry below 264.00, resistance at 384.00. Note: We should never have expectations about the market, as it does what it wants; we just need to be patient.
sell aaplaapl hit upper trend resistance and is currently overbought, overpriced, its time for another major correction that could then even lead to a trendbreak due to increasing risks, it will be very exciting to monitor all further moves and especially price action at highlited trend lines.
other stocks like tsla recently signalled a turn as well as they printed double top patterns, bitcoin momentum is also slowing down, a whole market turn seems very likely.






















