Trade ideas
Premarket activity is a sign of manipulation So, I have done my research to pick the right moment to enter a trade, studies the market and earnings. Everything went well. The stock gone up for @IBM after the announcement. I am waiting to get some return on my money spent on this stock as a trader.
But then comes the premarket activity.
The stock has gone down premarket, from $287 to $262.
Made me lose trust in this US stock market as a whole.
What a stupid example of manipulation and corruption. Favouring some people or organisations (legally with rules, but still favouring) over the rest of individuals.
What is the difference between USA and China ?
All manipulating and corruption but in different methods. Each one seeing the other corrupt.
To me, both as rotten and corrupt as each other.
What is Run Gain Potential and how do you use itToday's tutorial is about Run Gain Potential and how to calculate it for daily candles and intraday minute candles. It is a very important part of determining how far a stock can run, whether the run gain has sufficient points for good profits, and whether or not the run gain potential is shrinking over time, a common warning that instead of a minor retracement a correction either sideways or down is over due. Retracements and corrections are normal and necessary to maintain the integrity of the upward trend.
Also Run Gain Potential tells you where to place your stop losses. Using percentage stop losses instead of support appropriate for your trading style is the most common reason why retail traders stop losses are taken too soon.
International Business Machines (IBM) Gearing for Breakout Ever since breaking out of a falling wedge on November 2023, International Business Machines (IBM) spike 130% breaking highs after highs.
In recent news, IBM plans to launch a platform that will enable financial institutions, governments and corporations to manage digital assets across various blockchains while meeting their compliance obligations.
The IBM Digital Asset Haven is being developed in collaboration with Dfns, a digital wallet infrastructure provider that has created 15 million wallets for 250 clients, the companies said in a Monday (Oct. 27) press release.
About IBM
International Business Machines Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, and Financing segments. The Software segment offers hybrid cloud and AI platforms that allows clients to realize their digital and AI transformations across the applications, data, and environments in which they operate.
IBM (IBM) Expands AI and Cloud Technology ReachInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a global technology and consulting leader specializing in hybrid cloud, AI, and enterprise IT solutions. The company’s platform helps organizations modernize infrastructure, enhance cybersecurity, and drive digital transformation. IBM’s growth is fueled by the expansion of its AI-powered Watsonx platform, steady demand for cloud services, and its leadership in helping enterprises integrate AI and automation across global industries.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights bullish momentum. The price has entered the momentum zone after moving above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be set just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders protect profits while leaving room for continued upside potential.
IBM Analysis – 28 October 2025
- IBM broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 320.00
IBM recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 300.00 and the 296.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (3) in the middle of June).
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the start of August.
Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 320.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
IBM just cleared a daily Cup with Handle on strong earningsKey points at the time of writing.
✣ New bull market cycle running since June 2025
✣ Market Direction is Up 90%
✣ Stock Fundamentals have just turned good.
✣ Institutional support with a buy/sell ratio of 1.3 and a ownership of 59%
✣ TTM Performance is 33%
I expect a more important upside move if we get some follow-through in the comming weeks.
IBM - Closed the GAP, What is next?Hello Everyone, Followers,
In September 7th I shared below analysis and talked about possible GAP closure for IBM. Here is the link:
Approx %15 in 20 days , not bad :))
Now what is next for IBM:
Related to the Quantum Computing news support this move, as IBM is also working on the Quantum area and i am expecting to to reach 296 - 300 in short term. This level is our next Resistance level and if it breaks this level then i would expect to reach 315- 317 first.
Other possibility is : Pull-back to 274-275 then get support from this level and try to break 296 - 300. If it decide to do this then these levels are good level to buy.
Depends on the news and other political statuses, there is a possible to reach 360 - 365 level end of the this year . This is a note to myself.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Happy Weekend to All
IBM Wave Analysis – 25 September 2025- IBM broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 286.75
IBM recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 276.00 and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the ABC correction (4) from June.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from August.
IBM can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 286.75 (former top of wave B from July and the target for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
IBM Rebound Trade - Buying the Pullback at Key ConfluenceSetup:
IBM is setting up for a potential high-conviction long entry around the $245 level, a price zone marked by multiple layers of technical confluence and volume-based support. Over the last 18 months, IBM has seen two notable pullbacks—both in the 17–20% range, often around earnings events. The current drawdown is consistent with this historical behavior and may represent an opportunity rather than a breakdown.
Technicals & Indicators
Volume Profile Support:
Using a volume profile anchored from January 2024, a clear volume shelf exists between $245 and $265.
A second profile anchored 10 months ago confirms heavy volume at $260 and $245, indicating high institutional activity and potential support zones.
200-Day Moving Average:
IBM has consistently respected its 200-day MA over the past two years. The MA is now converging at $245, adding dynamic trendline support.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Applying retracements from the April 2025 lows to the recent ~ $300 highs, the $245 level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, a key zone for potential reversals.
GAP Fill:
Looking for the recent earnings gap to close within the next 2 months, as we see new opportunities for tech companies and rising demand. This overreaction created a gap that should be filled as investors digest the macro strength and re-enter long positions in IBM. Gap close ~ $280 level.
Candles & Buying Pressure:
Recent daily volume after earnings suggests strong buying pressure with a hammer/doji candle forming on the day after earnings. Investors are already buying back into this name.
Fundamentals & Business Operations:
Despite the post-earnings dip, IBM continues to display strong business fundamentals:
Free Cash Flow (TTM): ~$12.3B, supporting dividends and future investment.
FCF Margin: 19.1%
Gross Margin: ~58% | Operating Margin: ~ 17%
Forward P/E: ~22.45x | EV/EBITDA: ~19.85x
Dividend Yield: 2.6%
These metrics reflect operational efficiency, cash generation, and relative undervaluation compared to peers—especially given IBM’s AI and hybrid cloud positioning that remains strong. With margins that continue to be at the top of the industry, IBM also has the resources to execute on the tremendous opportunities arising in the tech world.
Macro & Industry Context:
We’re in the early stages of a long-term AI and data center growth cycle, and IBM, while not the most popular AI name, is deeply embedded in enterprise infrastructure, consulting, and mainframe compute. Their recent earnings beat didn’t change that narrative. Investor sentiment overreacted, giving patient traders a potential entry on weakness. Analysts still hold a buy on this name with price targets well above $270. This isn't a one-day trade, but in a few weeks, let's see where the market is at.
Price Targets & Risk/Reward:
Entry Zone: $245 (watch for confirmation & strength)
Target 1: $280 (resistance level with high volume in the range)
Optional Long-Term Hold: If the broader AI trend continues, IBM could break all-time highs and trend above $300 over time.
Strategy & Patience:
This is not a chase setup. I will wait for $245 to be reached and confirmed—a level backed by technical support, volume profile, and long-term valuation logic. If IBM holds and reverses with strength, this could be a strong swing trade or even a long-term position for investors who want value with AI exposure. I will be looking for a confirmation(maybe a candle pattern) before entering the trade, but if it gets there, I see good potential for a bounce.
IBM Wave Analysis – 19 September 2025
- IBM broke resistance level 264.80
- Likely to rise to resistance level 276.30
IBM recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 264.80 (which stopped the previous wave (ii) in July) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the ABC correction (4) from June.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the active short-term impulse wave 3 from the start of September.
Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 276.30 (former support from June).
Bullish Alert: confirmed Head & Shoulders Breakout Price action has been building tension for weeks. After forming a classic head & shoulders pattern , the market seemed uncertain — bulls testing, bears pushing back. But price has broken the neckline decisively, signaling that buyers have taken control. This breakout is the confirmation that the previous hesitation is over, and the trend is ready to move higher. 📈
-> Momentum Confirms the Move
The MACD indicator has turned bullish. The MACD line crossed above the signal line, and the histogram is now positive. This shows that the momentum isn’t just short-term noise — it’s aligned with the breakout and supports continuation toward the target. Momentum and price action are both in sync, making this setup stronger than a pattern alone. ⚡
-> Trade Plan & Target
The measured move from this breakout points to 258 as the immediate upside target. Traders have two main options:
Enter on the breakout itself to ride the initial surge.
Wait for a pullback to the neckline for a potentially safer entry with better risk-reward.
Place a stop just below the neckline — this defines risk clearly while keeping the trade aligned with the bullish trend. As long as price remains above the breakout zone and momentum stays positive, the target of 258 remains realistic. 🚀
IBM | The Trend Is Your Friend | LONGInternational Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which engages in the provision of integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, Financing, and Other. The Software segment combines hybrid cloud platform and software solutions to help clients become more data-driven, and to automate, secure, and modernize their environments. The Consulting segment focuses on integrating skills on strategy, experience, technology and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment offers solutions for hybrid cloud and is the foundation of the hybrid cloud stack. Infrastructure is optimized for infusing AI into mission-critical transactions and tightly integrated with IBM Software including Red Hat for accelerated hybrid cloud benefits. The Financing segment refers to the client and commercial financing, facilitating IBM clients' acquisition of IT systems, software, and services. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.
IBM Wave Analysis – 9 September 2025- IBM broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 265.00
IBM recently broke resistance area between the resistance level 253.60 (which has been reversing the price from the start of August) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse C from July.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated active short-term impulse wave 3 of wave (5) from the start of August.
IBM can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 265.00 (former top of wave iv from July and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
IBM watch $256-258: Key Resistance zone Break should RUN STRONG IBM has been clawing its way back from a downtrend.
Now testing a key Resistance zone at $256.19-258.21
Look for a Break-n-Retest or a Dip-to-Fib leg for entry.
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See "Related Publications" for previous charts --------------->>>>>>>>>>>>>
Such as this EXACT BOTTOM call:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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IBM - Will close the gap soon?Hello Everone,
Happy Sunday to All.
I checked the charts today and found IBM interesting.
There is a gap between 264 - 280 and my expectation is, it will close this gap soon.
It is still in UP Trends and as long as 234.70 235.00 levels are not broken direction is Up.
This level is a strong support level and if this level is broken then i would expect to reach 210.00.
I am holder of IBM and i am holding IBM for a long term and for benefiting Dividend Payments.
For long term you can get IBM in any price levels i believe.
For short term you could watch the levels that i mentioned then make your decision.
My Personal thinking:
I would wait and watch if it will break the 252.00 - 252.50 then this could be a good signal to buy. First target then 280.
My long tern expectations and target price is between 310-315
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Happy Sunday to all.
potential for uptrend continuation as we return to support 1->3 : price moves up , number 1
sellers push the market down and number 2
push the market above 1 and establish proven
dominance
3->4 : price returns to number 2
what next ?
* hidden bullish divergence and oversold on rsi
and mfi
*downtrend is broken on obv
*vwap 1st standard deviation
IBM Buy Setup – 3 Step Rocket Booster StrategyIBM Buy Setup – Rocket Booster + Daily Candlestick Signal 🚀📈
IBM is flashing a powerful technical buy signal right now.
On the daily chart, price action is sitting comfortably above the 13 EMA, confirming that short-term momentum is firmly bullish. Adding to this, the most recent candle printed a long lower shadow — a classic sign that buyers are
stepping in aggressively at lower levels, rejecting downside pressure and protecting support.
Meanwhile, on the monthly timeframe, the Rocket Booster Strategy has triggered, aligning the broader market trend with the short-term setup. This
creates the perfect “multi-timeframe confluence,” where higher timeframe strength supports the daily entry.
✅ Daily momentum above 13 EMA
✅ Long lower shadow = demand confirmed
✅ Monthly Rocket Booster engaged
Trade Idea: With both the daily and monthly charts aligned, IBM looks ready for a sustained move higher. Early buyers may benefit from getting positioned before the next leg up.
Please Note: This trade Will take 2 months for you to take profit
it is med-term trading.
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.Also use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.






















