MSTR In another few weeks MSTR will start having a tough year-over-year and trailing 12 months record to point to as far as price appreciation goes. By the end of November MSTR will show flat to negative returns over the last 12 months. Momentum chasers and swing investors will be turned off, as the bulk of their stock research involves finding the top performing stock over the past 12 months and piling on, hoping for the best. Current holders will be reminded they've spun their wheels the last 12 months while the Mag 7 had another incredible run.
Not a huge deal, but it is part of the larger picture where Saylor is feeling the noose tighten.
MSTR Today the company announced they acquired another 1,955 bitcoin at an average price of $111,196. It was paid with ATM proceeds of $11.6M in STRF, $5.2m in STRK and $200.5M in common shares. So again, the STRx series is a bust and nearly all the capital raised is from dilutive share sales. The mNAV stands this morning at 1.52, as reported by strategy.com (which is actually an inflated figure because it doesn't count preferred shares value as outstanding debt if surrendered).
MSTRthelogman I agree with you on the Lazer Eyes Saylor meme horseshit. I commented that he needs to own the May 12th decoupling and TALK to his shareholders about it, own it and discuss his solution, in comments on this YouTube channel called BitCoin Sessions. They routinely interview him ON the channel. Not just clips of other videos. The video is youtube.com/watch?v=LNfomwwUkS8&t=12s. Welp, I searched the transcript. Not one mention of mNav, dilution, ATM, or frankly, even MSTR. I mention that and the Saylor faithful all pounce on me. It was all BTC pablum and hype. They are sheep. But they are not wall street. two totally different trading behaviors, there.
MSTR Big trade block at 4:00am ET opening that took MSTR down to 318. It spent most of the overnight hours trading at around $326, so I'm not sure why someone was so anxious to dump at a steep discount to the market. Stock immediately recovered to $326 and is now trading around $328. That's only about $8 off the NYSE close on Friday, so I think today will not be a total wreck unless bitcoin joins the downside party. The NYSE open will either confirm that, or arb traders will take the opportunity to drive nervous nellies out of their positions in a liquidity hunt.
I believe the smart money spent last week building their positions in AppLovin' and some in HOOD, with the latter being the long shot bet. I don't think MSTR was even much in the running for most traders and arb shops. Only the people here, on the Reddit forums, and with the twitter handle "Michael Saylor" were taking the S&P inclusion chances very seriously.
My argument all along was that MSTR would get snubbed under the guise of "earnings quality"... But the real reason, I believe, is the gray beards on the S&P Inclusion Committee have memories like elephants and they think Moses (Saylor) hasn't completed wondering the Sanai Desert and the Wilderness of Sin for 40 years quite yet... They still have a ways to go. If you don't understand that logic and reference, then Google "Saylor's fraud antics during the dotcom bubble of the early 2000s" and read about how it brought all the indexes to their knees. In their eyes, Saylor is a bad hombre (which he is) and their trust will need to be earned.
Saylor has spent his entire career taking short cuts and looking for the easy route to success. Rather than digging in his heals and putting his nose to the grindstone to build a real company with real earnings, he'd rather play fast and loose with the accounting books (1997-2000). He'd rather post pictures of his laser eyes and use the latest crypto lingo ("Mr. HODLer") to gain a fanatical and loyal following as opposed to turning his company around by driving real revenues and profits to gain institutional acceptance.
One route slowly builds a solid foundation and transforms companies from good to great. The other route takes less effort and is faster, but is built on sand and can come crumbling down anytime with just a little negative outside influence.
Elon Must, as erratic as he is, has proven that he has the backbone to work 120 hours a week to achieve his visions and he is not afraid to take the hard path to get their. The S&P eventually recognized that trait and included TSLA. Same with Microsoft and Bill Gates long ago when, believe it or not, the S&P snubbed MSFT for a long time before the company and its leadership proved their mettle.
It's time for Saylor to step up and transform this company from good to great. Leverage BTC gains into sustainable businesses that generate real revenues and real profits. MSTR could become an M&A company and build a portfolio of companies that are deep and wide in the tech industry. Instead he is stacking all his bets into a single silo that grows more unstable the higher it becomes. It is time, or even well past time, to move this company beyond a novel investment approach and turn those gains into self-funding investment vehicles. It's time to replace the stupid laser eyes and use the full vision that a $100B war chest brings to the table.
If Saylor continues down the current path, he'll go down in history not as the person that made Bitcoin Treasuries vogue, but as the person that again facilitated the history of greed repeating itself with a predictable ending in failure.
MSTR on the left, Strategy during the dot com era, on the right, Strategy since 2023 - what do you think a company you pay twice the price of Bitcoin for, and you don't even get the Bitcoin is worth 🤔 Really I'm just a casual observer, not taking a position, but anecdotally I think it's overvalued.
MSTR 📉 MSTR "STRATEGY INC" STOCK – Bearish Thief Plan (Swing/Scalp Setup) ⚡ Trade Setup (Bearish Pending Order Plan) Asset: MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) Plan: Bearish (waiting for support breakout confirmation).
Entry Zone: Pending breakout entry @ 320.00 ⚡ Layered “Thief” Strategy (scaling entries): Sell Limit Layers: 340.00 / 330.00 / 320.00 You may add or adjust layers based on your own risk tolerance.
🔔 Set TradingView alerts at breakout levels to track price action.
Stop Loss (Thief Style): Protective SL @ 360.00 (after breakout confirmation). Adjust per your strategy & risk management.
Target Zone (Exit): Police barricade support @ 290.00 Note: Take profit is discretionary — escape with profits at your own chosen level 🚪💰.
🔑 Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy Context) The Thief Plan = using multiple layered limit entries after a breakout for better risk/reward. Scaling entries gives flexibility while reducing FOMO and chasing. Exit early at support barricades or oversold traps.
MSTR In another few weeks MSTR will start having a tough year-over-year and trailing 12 months record to point to as far as price appreciation goes. By the end of November MSTR will show flat to negative returns over the last 12 months. Momentum chasers and swing investors will be turned off, as the bulk of their stock research involves finding the top performing stock over the past 12 months and piling on, hoping for the best. Current holders will be reminded they've spun their wheels the last 12 months while the Mag 7 had another incredible run. 
