Is Procter & Gamble Setting Up for a Strong Bullish Reversal?🚨 P&G Bullish Master Plan: Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy! 🤑
📊 Asset: Procter & Gamble (PG) – Swing/Day Trade Setup📈 Date: September 11, 2025🎯 Plan: Bullish Triangular Moving Average Pullback – Confirm the Buy Trend!
🕵️♂️ Why the Thief Strategy for PG?
The Thief Strategy is a clever, layered limit-order approach designed to capitalize on PG’s bullish momentum while navigating market traps. Backed by technical signals, solid fundamentals, and a cautious market sentiment, this plan aims to sneak in profits before the “police barricade” (resistance) stops the rally.
Here’s why PG is ripe for a steal:
Technical Edge 🧠: PG’s price action shows a bullish pullback within a triangular moving average setup, signaling a continuation of the buy trend.
Fundamental Strength 💪: PG’s robust balance sheet and consistent dividends make it a defensive powerhouse, even in uncertain markets.
Market Sentiment 😊: Retail traders are bullish, while institutions remain cautious, creating a contrarian opportunity for savvy thieves.
Fear & Greed Index 😨: At 39 (Fear), the market’s caution suggests undervaluation, a prime setup for a bullish swing.
📈 PG Stock Snapshot – September 11, 2025
💰 Price Overview
Daily Range: $157.05 - $158.18
Previous Close: $157.35
Market Cap: $372.16B
Yearly Range: $149.91 - $180.43
😊 Investor Sentiment
Retail Traders: 51.6% Bullish 🟢 (Positive buying momentum)
Institutional Traders: 49.3% Bearish 🔴 (Cautious, mixed outflows)
Overall Mood: Neutral, leaning slightly bearish due to institutional caution
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 39 (Fear) 😟
Insight: Indicates cautious market sentiment, with fear slightly dominating greed, suggesting potential undervaluation for contrarian traders.
📈 Fundamental Score: 7.6/10 ✅
Strengths: Strong liquidity, operational efficiency, and reliable dividends.
Concerns: Inventory turnover (60.62 days), negative cash flow growth (-8.77% YoY).
🌍 Macro Score: 6.8/10 ⚖️
Tailwinds: Stable consumer goods demand supports growth.
Headwinds: Tariff policies and geopolitical tensions may pressure global sales. Fed’s steady rates (4.25%-4.50%) could squeeze margins.
🐂🐻 Market Outlook: Neutral (Hold) ⚖️
Bull Case: Strong fundamentals, retail buying, and dividend reliability support long-term stability 🟢.
Bear Case: Institutional outflows and macro uncertainties suggest short-term caution 🔴.
🎯 Key Takeaway: PG is a solid long-term investment with strong fundamentals, but short-term caution is advised due to mixed sentiment and macro risks. Monitor upcoming earnings and tariff developments. 🚨
🕵️♂️ Thief Strategy: Bullish Plan for PG
Plan Overview: Use a layered limit-order strategy to “steal” profits on PG’s bullish pullback within a triangular moving average setup. This approach maximizes entries while managing risk in a volatile market.
📥 Entry:
Layered Limit Orders: Place multiple buy limit orders at $156.00, $157.00, $158.00, and $159.00 to capitalize on pullbacks.
Flexibility: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and market conditions. Choose any price level within the $156–$159 accumulation zone for entry.
Why? The triangular moving average pullback confirms bullish momentum, with support at $156–$159 aligning with Fibonacci clusters and institutional buying zones.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief SL: Set at $154.00 to protect against a breakdown below key support.
Note: Adjust your stop loss based on your risk tolerance and strategy. The $154 level is a suggestion, not a mandate—manage your risk wisely, Thief OGs!
🎯 Target:
Primary Target: $165.00 (strong resistance zone).
Why? $165 aligns with the first resistance level and overbought conditions, where a “trap police barricade” may halt the rally. Take profits early to escape with your stolen gains!
Note: Set your own take-profit levels based on your strategy. Don’t blindly follow the $165 target—secure profits at your discretion.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Use tight risk management with layered entries to average into positions.
Consider partial profit-taking at $160 and $165, holding runners for $172 if momentum sustains.
Monitor macro developments (e.g., tariffs, Fed policy) for potential volatility.
🔍 Technical Breakdown: Why Bullish?
Triangular Moving Average: PG’s price is respecting a bullish TMA structure, with a recent pullback confirming support at $156–$159.
Fibonacci Alignment: The $156–$159 zone aligns with a key Fibonacci cluster, reinforcing the buy zone.
Momentum Indicators: Stochastic RSI is in the bullish zone, and Rate of Change (ROC) shows increasing buying interest.
Institutional Confluence: Institutional models signal a buy with a $159.98 target, supported by technical exhaustion of the recent correction.
🧠 Why This Plan Works?
Technical Precision 🎯: The TMA pullback and Fibonacci confluence provide a high-probability setup for a bullish swing.
Sentiment Edge 😊: Retail bullishness (51.6%) contrasts with institutional caution (49.3% bearish), creating a contrarian opportunity for short-term gains.
Fundamental Backbone 💪: PG’s 7.6/10 fundamental score highlights its resilience as a consumer staple, ideal for defensive plays.
Macro Awareness 🌍: Despite tariff risks, stable consumer demand supports PG’s long-term stability, making it a safe bet for swing/day trades.
Fear & Greed Advantage 😨: A Fear reading of 39 suggests undervaluation, aligning with Warren Buffett’s “be greedy when others are fearful” philosophy.
💸 Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD )
Monitor these pairs for correlated market moves:
AMEX:XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund): Tracks consumer staples like PG. Bullish XLP supports PG’s upside.
NYSE:KO (Coca-Cola): Another defensive staple with similar market dynamics.
NYSE:WMT (Walmart): Retail giant tied to consumer goods demand.
AMEX:GLD (Gold): Safe-haven asset for macro risk hedging.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #PG #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FearAndGreed #ConsumerStaples #StockMarket
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage risk according to your financial circumstances.
PRG trade ideas
PG: Final Strategy, Bought CALLS!🔎 Chart Observations
Price: $157.04 (-1.19% on the day).
Fib Levels:
Key resistance zones at 159.77 (Fib 0.886) and 163.65–167.86 (Fib extensions).
Strong support zones at 155.35 (local low) and 150.20 (weekly low).
Trend: Consolidating after a sharp rebound (yellow candles indicate indecision/possible continuation setup).
Volume: Elevated compared to July, suggesting institutional positioning.
Regression Channel + Earnings (ER): Your annotation points out alignment around $165–168 into earnings, suggesting bullish bias.
📈 Options Play Idea (Bullish Tilt)
Primary Play: Bull Call Spread (moderate bullish)
Buy: $160 Oct 18 Call
Sell: $165 Oct 18 Call
Rationale: Cheapens cost, targets regression + ER move, defined risk.
Max Profit: Captured if PG closes ≥ $165 at expiration.
Alternative Play: Call Debit Spread + Earnings Lottery
Buy: $160 Call (Oct 18 or Nov 15 expiry)
Sell: $170 Call (same expiry)
Thesis: Stock pushes into $165–$170 zone on ER momentum.
Hedge / Neutral Play: Iron Condor (if expecting chop until ER)
Sell: $165 Call + Buy $170 Call
Sell: $150 Put + Buy $145 Put
Rationale: Play the range if PG stalls under $165 but holds above $150.
🧮 Probabilistic Outlook (next 6–8 weeks)
Bullish Continuation (55%): Grind higher into $165–168.
Range-bound (30%): Bounce between $155–161 until earnings clarity.
Bearish Pullback (15%): Drop to retest $150 demand zone.
👉 Best risk/reward: The $160/$165 Bull Call Spread (Oct 18) — aligned with your regression + ER zone.
Procter & Gamble (PG) – Technical Roadmap🚀 Procter & Gamble (PG) – Technical Roadmap
PG has completed a corrective wedge (ABCDE) on the daily chart and is now setting up for a strong breakout.
🔎 Key Technicals
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + Elliott corrective wave completion
Supports: $156–159 (accumulation zone) | $150.32 (macro invalidation)
Immediate Levels:
$161.03 → short-term pivot
$165.29 → first resistance
$168.68 → breakout confirmation
$172.04 → critical Fibonacci extension
📊 Macro Roadmap
Near-term rally toward $165 → $172
If $172 breaks, upside expands into $190–192 zone
Long-term ceiling sits at $200–202 aligned with Fib 4.618 and trendline resistance
🎯 Trade Plan
Bullish bias while above $156
Targets: $165 → $172 → $190 → $200
Stop-Loss: below $150.32
📈 Probabilistic View
Bullish continuation: ~70%
Bearish retest of $150: ~30%
💡 Consumer staples resilience + technical exhaustion of correction points toward higher highs. Watching for confirmation at $165–172 before scaling in for the macro move.
PG (Procter & Gamble) – Technical & Institutional Confluence📊 PG (Procter & Gamble) – Technical & Institutional Confluence
PG is showing strong confluence between Smart Money Concepts and institutional forecasts:
🔹 Entry Zone: $154–$156 (MA bounce + Fib cluster)
🔹 Stop Loss: $151 (2.8% risk)
🔹 Targets:
$160 → First profit zone (institutional model target + equilibrium supply)
$165 → Extended technical target
$172+ → Premium liquidity sweep if momentum sustains
📈 Institutional Forecast Model
Signal: BUY
Target: $159.98 (+2.8%)
Confidence Interval: $161–163
Agreement: 9 of 9 bullish
🔑 Key Confluence:
Technicals show FVG recovery & Fib alignment
Institutional model confirms upside bias
Risk/reward balanced near 1:1 with tight stop
⚠️ Risk Management:
Partial profit at $160, scale out near $165, hold runners for $172 if macro momentum aligns.
Technical Analysis: $PG 🔎 Technical Analysis
Falling Wedge Breakout:
The chart shows a descending wedge (red lines), recently broken to the upside — a bullish reversal pattern.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
Support zone: 159.87 – 161.03 (blue lines).
Next resistance targets:
165.29 (Fib 1.0 extension)
168.68 (Fib 1.618 extension)
172.04 (Fib 2.0 extension)
Bullish Wave Projection (yellow path):
Suggests short-term consolidation near 161 → breakout attempts toward 165 → retrace → continuation to 172.
🎯 Trade Levels
Entry Zone (long bias): Around 159–161 (confirmation bounce).
Upside Targets:
TP1 = 165.29
TP2 = 168.68
TP3 = 172.04
Stop-Loss (risk management): Below 157.00 (invalidates wedge breakout).
📈 Probabilistic View
Bullish probability: ~65% (pattern breakout + Fibonacci confluence).
Bearish probability: ~35% (failure to hold above 159 support could retest wedge lows near 152).
PG Bullish Swing Setup | Breakout Brewing Above $161!🚀 PG Swing Setup: Bullish Breakout Loading? 🔥 (2025-08-21)
📊 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
📈 Momentum: Mixed — RSI fading, but 5-day & 10-day trends show bullish push
💵 Volume: Weak (1.0x avg) → no strong institutional conviction yet
⚖️ Options Flow: Neutral (C/P = 1.0)
🌪 Volatility: VIX 16.60 (favorable low-volatility regime)
📉 Risk: Insider selling + momentum exhaustion risk
✅ Overall Market Bias: Moderate Bullish, but needs volume confirmation for breakout.
🎯 TRADE PLAN
🏦 Instrument: NYSE:PG
📈 Direction: CALL (LONG)
🎯 Strike: 162.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.81
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.57 (-30%)
🎯 Profit Target: 1.20
📅 Expiry: 2025-09-05
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open above $161.03 resistance
📏 Size: 1 contract
🔒 Confidence: 65%
⚠️ Key Risks
🚨 Weak volume could kill breakout momentum
📉 Insider selling pressure
📰 Macro/news shocks
PG (Procter & Gamble): A Textbook Rebound Setup📈 PG (Procter & Gamble): A Textbook Rebound Setup
Summary :
Procter & Gamble just bounced right at a key support zone. The setup offers a low-risk entry with a tight stop and solid upside potential.
Idea :
This is one of those charts that look like they came straight out of a technical analysis textbook. After months of sideways consolidation, PG tested a major support zone around $150–155 and bounced strongly.
Why does it matter? Because this level has acted as a floor multiple times, and now we see confirmation with price respecting it again. That makes it a great buy zone.
📌 Technical view:
• Entry zone: $155–160 (current levels)
• Stop loss: below $150 (tight risk)
• First target: $180 (previous highs, realistic)
• Extended target: $190 (resistance above, long-term breakout potential)
👉 That means we’re looking at roughly:
• Risk: ~$8 per share (from $158 to $150)
• Reward (target 1): ~$22 (from $158 to $180)
• Reward (target 2): ~$32 (from $158 to $190)
✅ Risk/Reward ratio:
• Target 1 → ~1:2.7
• Target 2 → ~1:4
That’s exactly the kind of asymmetry we want in trading: small controlled downside, with a much larger upside if the breakout comes.
Why PG?
Beyond the chart, PG is one of the most defensive consumer staples out there. In times of uncertainty, investors tend to flock to companies with strong cash flows, dividends, and stable demand. That defensive nature supports the technical rebound we’re seeing, buyers are stepping in where it makes sense.
Conclusion :
PG is giving us a clean technical setup: support rebound, tight stop, and clear upside targets. For swing traders, this is the type of chart where you risk little but potentially gain a lot.
PG Approaching Oversold Discount Zone Ahead of Q4 Earnings BTFD?📝 Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) is trading at $153.73 (-10.8% YTD), lagging the S&P 500’s +6.5% YTD gain. Despite recent weakness, a confluence of technical support, dividend resilience, and a looming catalyst could signal a tactical entry. Let’s break it down:
🔍 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q4 Earnings Webcast (July 29):
P&G will webcast Q4 results at 8:30 AM ET, with focus on organic sales growth (guided at +2% FY25) and margin trajectory 14.
EPS Expectations: Q4 consensus at $1.43 (+2.1% YoY); FY25 core EPS guided at $6.72–6.82 (2–4% growth) 410.
Dividend Fortress:
Quarterly payout raised to $1.0568/share (ex-div: July 18), marking 69 consecutive years of increases and a 2.75% yield 612.
Payout ratio at 67% of earnings – sustainable for a consumer staple 6.
Cost Pressures & Mitigation:
Tariff Headwinds: $1B–$1.5B annual cost hit from U.S.-China tariffs 410.
Offsets: $2.4B dividend payouts + $1.4B buybacks in Q3; 280bps gross productivity savings 10.
🌍 Macro & Risk Factors
Consumer Softness: Q3 net sales fell -2% YoY; volume declines in Baby Care (-2%) and Fabric & Home Care (-1%) segments 10.
Pricing Power: Average +1% pricing in Q3 (led by Grooming/Health Care), though mix/elasticity risks persist 104.
Structural Shifts: Portfolio pruning (minor brand exits) and job cuts to offset tariff impacts 4.
📉 Technical Setup: Oversold with Base-Building Potential
RSI 31.5 (Neutral but nearing oversold) 511.
Price vs. MAs: Below all key MAs (20-day: $159.17, 50-day: $161.59, 200-day: $165.56) – signaling bearish momentum but extreme discounts 5811.
Support Zone: $152–153 aligns with 52-week lows ($151.90) and the 2025 dividend-capture floor 212.
MACD -1.57: Suggests potential reversal if momentum shifts 5.
Technical Indicators Summary:
Indicator Value Signal
RSI (14) 31.45 Neutral
MACD (12,26) -1.57 Buy
Price vs. 200D SMA -7.1% Sell
Bollinger Bands (25) $157–161.94 Sell
🎯 Probabilistic Price Targets
Scenario Target Probability Rationale
Bounce to 20D MA $158–160 60% Mean reversion + dividend ex-date support
Reversion to 50D MA $162–164 45% Technical confluence + tariff resolution hopes
Rally to 200D MA + ATH $174 25% Bull case: Macro stabilization + guidance upgrade
📌 Trade Strategy
Entry: $152–154 (aligns with structural support) 28.
Stop Loss: $149.50 (1–2% below July 16 low of $152.27) 2.
Targets: Scale out at $160 → $164 → $174.
Catalysts: Q4 earnings (July 29) + clarity on tariff mitigation 14.
Position Size: Allocate 3–5% of portfolio; pair with long-volatility hedge.
⚠️ Key Risks
Guidance Miss: Sluggish volumes or tariff escalation could pressure FY26 EPS projections.
Technical Breakdown: Close below $151.90 invalidates support, inviting a slide to $145.
Macro Sensitivity: Consumer staples underperformance if inflation rebounds.
💎 Final Take
PG offers a rare combo: defensive yield (2.75%) + oversold technicals + imminent catalyst. While tariffs and consumer weakness justify caution, the $152–154 zone is a high-probability dip-buying opportunity. Earnings day vol could amplify moves – enter pre-event with tight stops.
#PG #ConsumerStaples #DividendKing #EarningsPlay #Tariffs
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own due diligence.
$PG - Charting is Therapeutic NYSE:PG forming solid base at $159 support after 15% pullback from Feb highs.
Strong fundamentals intact with 19% profit margins in Q3. Recent analyst actions positive RBC upgraded to BUY in April, Evercore just raised PT to $190 (19% upside).
Defensive consumer staple with reliable dividend (65% payout ratio). Patient investors rewarded here. #ValueInvestment #Dividends
Bullish $PGNYSE:PG forming solid base at $159 support after 15% pullback from Feb highs. Strong fundamentals intact with 19% profit margins in Q3. Recent analyst actions positive - RBC upgraded to BUY in April, Evercore just raised PT to $190 (19% upside). Defensive consumer staple with reliable dividend (65% payout ratio). Patient investors rewarded here. #ValueInvestment #Dividends
Can P&G Weather the Economic Storm?Procter & Gamble, a global leader in consumer goods, currently faces significant economic turbulence, exemplified by recent job cuts and a decline in its stock value. The primary catalyst for these challenges stems from the Trump administration's tariff policies, which have directly impacted P&G's supply chain by increasing costs for raw materials and finished goods imported from China. This financial burden, estimated to be hundreds of millions of dollars, compels P&G to reassess sourcing strategies, enhance productivity, and potentially raise product prices, risking a reduction in consumer demand.
In response to these escalating pressures and a noticeable slowdown in category growth rates within the U.S., P&G has initiated a substantial restructuring program. This includes the elimination of up to 7,000 jobs, representing approximately 15% of its non-manufacturing workforce, over the next two years. The company also plans to discontinue sales of certain products in specific markets as part of its broader strategic adjustments. These decisive measures aim to safeguard P&G's long-term financial algorithm, although executives acknowledge they do not alleviate immediate operational hurdles.
Beyond the direct impact of tariffs, a pervasive sense of economic uncertainty and declining consumer confidence in the U.S. further complicates P&G's operating environment. Recent data indicates a sustained drop in consumer sentiment, directly influencing discretionary spending and prompting households to become more cautious with their purchases. This shift, combined with broader negative economic indicators such as rising jobless claims and increased layoffs across various sectors, creates a challenging landscape for companies reliant on robust consumer spending. P&G's immediate future hinges on its strategic agility in mitigating tariff impacts, managing pricing, and adapting to a volatile economic climate.
Procter&Gamble: Short-Term Strength Still Fits the PlanPG has extended its rally, pushing turquoise wave C higher. While some selling pressure is starting to show, we’re sticking with our primary view: the stock should still break above $180.43 to complete beige wave b before turning lower. However, in our 37% likely alternative scenario, beige wave alt.b would have already topped, and the stock would next drop below $148.87.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
PROCTER & GAMBLE: This volatility implies a major market bottom.Procter & Gamble is neutral on both the 1D (RSI = 47.822, MACD = 0.180, ADX = 17.832) and 1W (RSI = 49.820, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 20.781) technical outlooks as despite last week's rebound and this ones early strong rise, it pulled back and is about to close the 1W candle flat. We are exactly on the 1W MA50, which inside the 2 year Channel Up has always been a fair level to go long. The 1W RSI indicates that last week's low may be the symmetric low to December 11th 2023. This kickstarted a rally that hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we are bullish long term, aiming at just under the new 1.5 Fib (TP = 190.00).
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PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE)PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.33
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 170.40
Entry limit ~ 169
1. Target limit ~ 174 (+2.96%; +5 points)
Stop order limit ~ 165.25 (-2.22%; -3.75 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
- hyphen = fixed value
Harmonically Bullish on Procter and Gamble. PGXABC bullish zigzag, within a structure harmonically consistent with a developing XABCD. In harmonic reactions, retracements are often indicative of extensions to follow, which in this case is 1.618. This conveniently aligns in a Fibonacci cluster with a .886 larger retracement, consistent with a Bat Harmonic. One thing about Bats is that they are the most common and the most reliable out of the harmonic family. Interestingly, MIDAS, VZO, Stoch and BB%PCT all flipped on literally the same candle? Fractal resonance anyone?
Upgoing on Procter and Gamble. PGReady to gamble with tight stops that we might be having and upgoing ABC here. We are monitoring this position incase this is not the actual break out. Price action is suggestive. Now, what do we mean by that? Anytime we have a plateau or flat price action after any short burst, it can be taken as and indication of more price action in the initial direction.
Procter & Gamble: Target Zone Ahead!Wave in dark green has been successfully completed, creating a new support level at $157.47 with its low. PG is currently working on the countermovement of wave , and we have outlined a Target Zone for the expected top (between $171.66 and $177.84). This price range could be an opportunity to take profits from long trades or establish new short positions. However, our alternative scenario, which allows for a breakout to the upside, holds a 34% probability. If the stock manages to climb above the resistance at $180.43, this will suggest that the broader uptrend continues. In this case, the low observed would not correspond to wave in dark green, but rather to wave alt.(IV) in blue. So, potential short positions could be secured with a stop-loss set 1% above the upper boundary of our Target Zone.