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CADCHF trade ideas

CADCHF Is Very Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.587. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.586 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
CADCHF Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, CADCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.5872 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 0.5866 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5876 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Everyone’s Short on CAD… But This Is Why I’m Going Long📊 CAD/CHF – August 4th, 2025 | Tactical Long Bias 🔹 Technical Outlook The daily chart shows: Strong bullish reaction within a weekly demand zone (0.5800–0.5830), confirmed by multiple lower wicks → growing buying pressure. Weekly RSI bouncing out of oversold → potential mid-term reversal signal. Structure may be shifting with a first target at 0.5950 (intermediate zone) and second target at 0.6000–0.6030 (major supply). Recent bullish engulfing broke out of inside candle sequence → active technical trigger. 🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 29 Non-Commercials: CAD: Aggressive increase in shorts (+3,888) and reduction in longs (-2,222) → heavily bearish speculative positioning. CHF: Increase in longs (+936) and decrease in shorts (-1,095) → net bullish sentiment on CHF. 📌 However, CAD’s overstretched short positioning may lead to technical short-covering, especially if CHF starts to lose momentum. 📈 Seasonality – August CHF: Range-bound or weak in August across all timeframes (20y, 15y, 10y). CAD: Mild seasonal strength in August, especially on the 2y and 5y outlook. ➡️ Seasonal bias supports a tactical long on CAD/CHF during the first half of August. ✅ Trading Outlook 📌 Tactical Bias: LONG 🎯 First Target: 0.5950 → mid-level reaction zone. 🛑 Invalidation: below 0.5800 (demand breakdown). 🧠 Confluences: demand zone + RSI reversal + extreme COT positioning + seasonal support.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Bullish Trade Idea for ^CADCHFBullish Case Consolidation at Key Support: Price has been consolidating between 0.579-0.583 for several weeks, showing resilience at this level. This suggests a potential exhaustion of the downtrend. Higher Lows Formation: Looking at the recent 4-hour chart, we can see a series of higher lows forming since July 30th, indicating increasing buying pressure. Potential Double Bottom: The price action in late July shows a potential double bottom formation around 0.579-0.580, which is a classic reversal pattern. Momentum Shift: Recent price action shows increased volatility with bullish candles gaining more ground than bearish ones, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Trade Setup Entry Strategy: Primary Entry: Buy at current market price (0.585-0.586) Alternative Entry: Wait for a pullback to 0.582-0.583 support zone and enter on signs of bullish rejection (hammer, engulfing) Stop Loss: Place stop loss below the recent low at 0.578 (approximately 0.577 for buffer) This represents a risk of about 80-90 pips Take Profit Targets: First Target: 0.595 (Key resistance level) - 100 pips profit Second Target: 0.608-0.614 (Strong demand zone identified earlier) - 230-290 pips profit Final Target: 0.628-0.635 (Supply zone) - 430-500 pips profit Risk-to-Reward Ratio: First target: 1:1.25 Second target: 1:2.9 Final target: 1:5.4 Trade Management Partial Profit Taking: Consider taking 50% off at first target, 30% at second target, and let 20% run for the final target. Stop Loss Adjustment: Move stop loss to breakeven after price reaches halfway to first target (around 0.590). Time Frame: This is a medium-term swing trade with an expected duration of 3-8 weeks. Catalysts to Watch Swiss National Bank Policy: Any dovish signals from the SNB could weaken CHF and accelerate the bullish move. Canadian Economic Data: Strong Canadian economic data, particularly in energy and commodities sectors, could strengthen CAD. Risk Sentiment: Improvement in global risk sentiment typically benefits CAD over the safe-haven CHF. Warning Signs to Exit Early Break Below Support: If price decisively breaks below 0.578 with increased momentum. Failure to Make Higher Highs: If price action fails to continue the pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour chart. Rejection at 0.590: Strong rejection at the 0.590 level could indicate the bullish momentum is fading. This bullish trade idea for ^CADCHF is based on technical evidence of a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. The favorable risk-to-reward ratio makes this an attractive opportunity, with multiple profit targets allowing for flexible trade management.
Long
by ImmaculateTony
CADCHF: Overstretched, Overhyped, Overdue for a Drop**CADCHF: Overstretched, Overhyped, Overdue for a Drop 📉** When a tired rally drags itself into resistance — overbought, overextended, and out of breath — it’s often a trapdoor waiting to open. That’s what I see on **CADCHF**. Price is pushing into a wall, in a clear downtrend, and I’m preparing to short the rejection. 🔻 **Trade Bias**: I’m bearish on CADCHF, looking to short from resistance after a technical bounce in a broader downtrend. Here’s what’s supporting my view: * 🇨🇭 CHF remains the king of safe havens amid global uncertainty * 🇨🇦 CAD is vulnerable to US tariff shocks and fading oil optimism * 🧊 The SNB has paused cuts at 0%, but inflation surprises are limiting further easing * 🧯 Canada’s manufacturing and GDP momentum are cooling * 🔄 Speculators are net short on CAD, suggesting underlying bearish pressure The Canadian dollar is facing multiple headwinds — soft factory activity, a surprise GDP dip, and uncertainty around USMCA renegotiations under the Trump administration. With the threat of 35% tariffs from the US now past the August 1 deadline, the lack of resolution adds more tension than relief. Meanwhile, inflation is heating up just enough to keep the BoC from cutting again, but not enough to attract bullish flows. On the flip side, the Swiss franc keeps flexing its safe-haven muscle. Even with a recent rate cut to 0%, its strong fiscal standing and resilience against inflation are keeping it well-bid. The CHF has been 2025’s top performer — and nothing’s changed yet to undo that status. Price looks heavy here. I’m watching for weakness confirmation before entering, but this is where I want to strike. **Is this the end of the CADCHF bounce — or just the pause before more pain?** Let’s talk. 👇
Short
by Wainainarobert
CAD/CHF REASONS FOR PASSINGThis was one of those “almost” trades — the kind that looks good at first glance and tempts most traders to jump in. We had: ✅ A strong, clearly respected support zone ✅ A breakout and retest ✅ A solid bullish engulfing candle But with the VMS strategy, that’s not enough. We also require volume and momentum confirmation — and in this case, those critical signals were missing. No alignment, no trade. Early in my journey, the almost trades were the ones that kept catching me. They look close enough to take — until you realize they don’t meet all your criteria. That’s where discipline makes the difference. By requiring volume and momentum to confirm the setup, you're not just trading a pattern… you're trading with strength and intention. This is the kind of pass that protects your edge.
by darlwright
CADCHF Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by Derry_Trades
1
CADCHF Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.587. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.588 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1