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Germany 40

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Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is in a neutral range after avoiding a major breakdown, trading at 23,503 near the VWAP of 23,616. RSI at 44.9 indicates indecision. Support is at 22,866, resistance at 24,366. Wall Street remains bullish but is now in a correction phase, trading at 47,515 above the VWAP at 46,903 but below former highs. RSI at 56.9 suggests a resumption of bullish momentum. Support is at 45,592, resistance at 48,214. UK 100 continues to trend bullishly but is rebounding inside a correction phase. Price is at 9,707, just above the VWAP of 9,667. RSI at 54.7 reflects neutral momentum. Support is 9,439, with resistance at 9,895. GBP/USD is in a bearish correction phase - rebounding after a breakdown from its former range, with price at 1.3232 just above VWAP at 1.3155. RSI of 56.2 hints at mild rebound potential. Support is at 1.3043, resistance at 1.3267. EUR/USD continues within a neutral range, having not taken out significant formers lows, trading at 1.1626 slightly above VWAP of 1.1574. RSI at 58.8 signals modest bullish bias. Support is 1.1497, resistance at 1.1652. USD/JPY is undergoing a pullback within its bullish trend after testing multi-year highs, trading at 155.12 under the VWAP of 155.50. RSI at 50.8 reflects balanced momentum. Support is at 153.35, resistance at 157.66. Gold is rallying again after breaking out of a triangle pattern but is still in a correction phase below former highs within its bullish trend, trading at 4,256 above VWAP of 4,117. RSI at 66.3 signals continued strength. Support lies at 3,986 with resistance at 4,256. Brent Crude remains in a neutral range, having avoided a breakdown below the key 6,000 figure, trading at 6,310 on top of its VWAP of 6,300. RSI at 49.3 indicates balanced conditions. Support is at 6,140, with resistance at 6,481.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex Trading
Is the DAX Preparing for a Monster Rally? The Structure Says So.The DAX continues to follow a well-defined Elliott Wave structure across the higher time frames. Following the completion of Wave 1 at the prior cycle top, the subsequent corrective phase retraced efficiently into the 0.618 Fibonacci region, establishing a structurally sound Wave 2 low. Since then, price has progressed through a multi-year impulsive advance, with internal subdivisions aligning cleanly with higher-probability Fibonacci extensions. Current price action is positioned within the latter stages of an extended Wave 3 sequence, where the 2.618 extension zone presents a significant confluence region for a potential medium-term top. A controlled corrective phase is expected thereafter, forming Wave 4 before the index resumes its structural bullish trajectory toward the projected Wave 5 completion. This long-term framework remains valid as long as structural lows are preserved, with the broader trend supporting continued upside over the coming cycles. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading financial markets involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management. If you found this analysis valuable, leave a like, drop your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more structured market insights.
FX:GER30Long
by fibcos
DAX40 reachi8ng resistance at 23550The DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by Trade Nation
Navigating the 23,200 Battleground – Squeeze Before the Surge?🇩🇪 GER40 Navigating the 23,200 Battleground – Squeeze Before the Surge? | 25 Nov Live Spot: 23,215.0 | European Open Session | 09:43 UTC+4 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 Structural Context The German index finds itself locked within a compression zone after Friday's aggressive run toward 23,300. Price is now coiling tightly beneath overhead supply, with sellers capping advances near the upper Bollinger envelope. The broader Dow Theory structure remains constructive – higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart confirm an intact uptrend, though intraday momentum shows hesitation. 📊 Timeframe Dissection 5M/15M: Choppy price action oscillating between 23,180 and 23,260. RSI hovering at midline (48-52 range), indicating indecision. Scalpers should await a clean break of this micro-range. 30M: A subtle bullish flag materializing post last week's rally leg. Pole measured at 180 points suggests a breakout target near 23,440. 1H: VWAP stationed at 23,205 – acting as the session's equilibrium line. Price trading marginally above signals mild buyer control. 4H: Ichimoku reveals price riding above the Kumo cloud with Chikou Span confirming bullish alignment. However, flat Senkou Span B hints at consolidation ahead. 🎯 Critical Price Architecture Upside Barrier: 23,280 – 23,350 (supply shelf + 1.618 Fib extension zone) Downside Floor: 23,120 – 23,050 (demand pocket + rising 21 SMA confluence) 🔮 Wave & Pattern Synthesis From an Elliott lens, GER40 appears mid-flight within wave of a five-wave impulse originating from early November lows. The corrective wave terminated cleanly at 22,900, and current price behavior suggests accumulation before the next thrust. Gann time analysis points to potential acceleration post 10:30 UTC today. Wyckoff interpretation aligns with Phase D markup – signs of strength evident as price absorbs selling pressure without meaningful retracement. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💎 Primary Setup – Long Momentum Play Entry Zone: 23,180 – 23,210 (demand retest) Stop Loss: 23,090 (below structural floor) Target 1: 23,320 (initial resistance) Target 2: 23,420 (flag projection) R:R Ratio: ~1:2.8 💎 Secondary Setup – Fade at Resistance Entry: 23,340 – 23,360 (on exhaustion candle) Stop Loss: 23,410 Take Profit: 23,220 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ Session Caution: German IFO data release could inject volatility. Pre-position with reduced size until post-news price discovery completes. Discipline over prediction. Execute the plan. 🎯
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX DOMINANCE: GER40 Precision Technical Matrix Asset: GER40 (DAX Index) Current Price: 23,290.00 Date: November 24, 2025 Market Sentiment: The German index is trading at stratospheric levels, testing the 23,300 psychological ceiling. Institutional algorithms are fighting for control between a breakout continuation and a mean-reversion correction. 📊 Technical Indicators & Momentum Analysis Trend Structure: The primary trend is STRONGLY BULLISH 🐂 on the Daily timeframe. However, the 1H chart shows a "Rising Wedge" formation, often a precursor to a bearish reversal. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 68.0 . We are approaching overbought territory. A bearish divergence is visible between price highs and RSI peaks, signaling waning momentum. Bollinger Bands: Price is testing the Upper Band deviation. A failure to close above 23,310 could trigger a snap-back to the 20-period SMA (Mid-Band). 📐 Fibonacci & Harmonic Patterns Fibonacci Extension: The current rally has hit the 1.272 extension of the previous correction. The next major resistance aligns with the 1.414 extension at 23,350 . Harmonic Pattern: A Bearish Butterfly Pattern is nearing completion. The Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) is calculated between 23,320 and 23,350. 🛡️ Support and Resistance Levels Resistance 1: 23,320 (Harmonic PRZ) Resistance 2: 23,400 (Psychological Round Number) Support 1: 23,220 (Previous High / Support Flip) Support 2: 23,150 (0.382 Fib Retracement) 🎯 Strategic Trade Setups Scenario A: The Reversal (Short) Valid if price rejects the 23,320 zone with a bearish pin bar. Entry: Below 23,280 Target 1: 23,220 Target 2: 23,150 Stop Loss: 23,360 Scenario B: Breakout Continuation (Long) If price closes above 23,350 on strong volume. Entry: Retest of 23,350 Target: 23,450 Stop Loss: 23,300 ⚠️ Summary: Caution is advised. The confluence of the Bearish Butterfly pattern and RSI divergence suggests a high probability of a pullback from the 23,320 region. We favor Scenario A for the intraday session. 📉🇩🇪
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
German stocks about to drop 7%? (DAX 40)Setup Breakdown from horizontal range Lowest weekly close since June Breakdown below ‘green’ weekly trendline RSI back at 35-40 support Commentary The DAX is sitting right on the support level of its long term range. The index could rally back into its range, offering reversal setups to go long, or it could continue to breakdown. Should it be the latter, projecting the height of the range lower would target 21500 - a demand area preceding the April rally. Strategy Option 2: Sell rebound towards 48,000 supply zone Option 1: Sell the breakdown below 23,000
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by jasperlawler
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 looks bearish with a possible breakdown from its current trading range. Trading at 23,283 and below the VWAP of 23,710, RSI at 39.7 supports a more negative sentiment. Support lies at 22,917, while resistance is at 24,504. Wall Street remains bullish but is now in a correction phase, trading at 46,237 under the VWAP at 46,953. RSI at 42.2 suggests weakening momentum and potential for deeper pullback. Support is at 45,684, resistance at 48,223. UK 100 continues to trend bullishly but has entered a correction phase. Price is at 9,567, beneath the VWAP of 9,686. RSI at 45.3 reflects neutral to soft momentum. Support is 9,456, with resistance at 9,915. GBP/USD remains bearish and in a sideways correction. Price is 1.3122, slightly below the VWAP at 1.30914 and broken support at 1.3150. RSI of 38.6 suggests limited rebound potential. Support is 1.3034, resistance at 1.3208. EUR/USD continues in a bearish leg of an otherwise neutral market, having not broken down past major support. The price is 1.1548 right at the VWAP. RSI at 44.7 indicates ongoing indecision. Support sits at 1.1470, resistance at 1.1638. USD/JPY holds a bullish impulse structure, trading at 157.41 above the VWAP of 156.85, however there was a bearish engulfing candlestick at resistance from the January peak. RSI at 68.4 - down from very overbought levels signals slowing upwards momentum. Support is at 152.18, resistance at 157.41. Gold remains in a correction of its bullish trend, trading at 4,069 just above VWAP of 4,068.94. The correction is contracting, which will lead to a resumption of the trend or an extended correction. RSI at 51.0 indicates balanced momentum. Support is 3,916 with resistance at 4,196. Brent Crude has broken down to its lowest levels since October but remains above the critical $60 level, with price at 6,191 below VWAP at 6,357. RSI at 40.3 reflects downside pressure. Support is 6,105 and resistance is 6,553.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex Trading
DAX 40 Analysis: The Giant with Feet of ClayCurrent Status (Estimated): ~23,800 - 24,100 points (near the highs, but with declining momentum). Summary Verdict: Index "Stretched." Ascent driven by global inertia (S&P 500), but hindered by poor domestic fundamentals. Macro Divergence: The German economy is in a technical recession (manufacturing stalled), but the index is at its highs. This is a divergence that will eventually close (either the economy improves, or the index falls). The Weight of the Euro: With the Fed cutting rates and the ECB holding steady, the Euro is strengthening (EUR/USD towards 1.16+). A strong Euro is poison for the DAX, which is composed of large exporters (BMW, Siemens, BASF) that earn in Dollars and convert to Euros. Poor R:R (Risk:Reward): Buying now at the highs offers limited upside potential (the "ceiling" is near) compared to the risk of a correction (the "floor" is far away, towards 23,000). 2. Future Scenarios (What to expect) Given the mix of American euphoria (which is pulling everything up) and German depression, here are the two most likely scenarios for the coming weeks. SCENARIO A: The "Bull Trap" (Probability 55%) - TACTICAL SHORT The Dynamics: The DAX tries to follow the S&P 500 towards new all-time highs (area 24,500 - 24,600) in the wake of optimism for the Fed rate cut on December 10th. The Trigger: It arrives in that area with low volumes and diverging indicators (RSI H4 decreasing while the price rises). The Outcome: False breakout (Bull Trap) and rapid rotation downwards as soon as investors realize that the Euro at 1.17 kills Q4 earnings of German companies. Target: Return towards the key support at 23,000 / 22,950. SCENARIO B: Lateral "Grind" (Probability 35%) - NO TRADE The Dynamics: The S&P 500 rises, but the DAX cannot follow it. It remains stuck in a narrow range (23,800 - 24,200). The Reason: Money flows out of Europe (low growth) to the USA (AI boom + falling rates) or Asia. Trading: This is the worst scenario for a trader ("meat grinder"). You waste time and pay swaps. Here are the two setups (one Long, one Short) that might make sense: 🔵 LONG SETUP (Only on collapse) Where: Area 22,950 - 23,050. Why: If the price collapses there, it is a technical buying opportunity (technical rebound) regardless of the macro. Stop Loss: 22,800. 🔴 SHORT SETUP (The preferred one) Where: Area 24,450 - 24,600 (Double Top / ATH). Why: Short the extreme resistance with a strong Euro. Stop Loss: 24,750 (Tight, above the highs). Target: 23,500. Logic: Bet on the fact that the real German economy will end up weighing on valuations. Disclaimer!!! The content of this article is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell securities, cryptocurrencies, or other financial instruments. The author is not a professional financial advisor. Investing in the financial markets involves high risks, including the possible loss of all capital. Before making any investment decisions, you are strongly advised to do your own research (DYOR) and, if necessary, consult a qualified professional. The author assumes no liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of the information contained in this article.
GOMARKETS:DAX40
by SicParvisMagna31