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DE40 trade ideas

German Index Recovery: Breakout or Just a Bounce?The German index is showing signs of recovery ahead of the London session, but the key question is whether this is a genuine shift or just a retracement. Price is holding around 23,550 support, and if we see a break and sustained move above 23,800, buyers could gain control and open the door for further upside. So what happened with the sentiment? Political and economic factors are adding strength to improving German and Eurozone PMI data, better business sentiment, and expectations of ECB support are all lifting confidence. But before you hit the BUY button remember 23,800–24,000 remains a critical resistance zone, and how price reacts there will decide if this bounce continues or if sellers' step back in. This is not financial advice =)
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Maroko86
DAX (GER40) – New Short SetupThe DAX is currently trading around 24,150. On the 4-hour chart, price has dropped below the 10 EMA (red line) and failed to reclaim it, which is a bearish signal. The short-term EMAs (yellow and green) are flattening and starting to turn down, showing weakening bullish momentum. Trade Setup Entry: Around 24,150 – 24,160 Stop Loss: Above 24,224 (recent local high) Target 1 (T1): 24,000 Target 2 (T2): 23,488 Target 3 (T3): 23,053 Why I’m Short Price is now trading weak, also Nasdaq shows signs of a drop - which usually signals bearish momentum. Multiple failed attempts to reclaim the moving averages show that buyers are losing strength. The targets are based on clear historical support levels that have been tested multiple times. Summary I’m looking for a short entry around 24,150 – 24,160, with targets at 24,000, 23,488, and 23,053. If price breaks above 24,224 with conviction, the setup becomes invalid. No financial advice – just my personal trade idea.
VANTAGE:GER40Short
by Maxxchineee
10
At All-Time Highs - Can the DAX Power Higher or Time to Pause?GER40 Technical Analysis: 🇩🇪 At All-Time Highs - Can the DAX Power Higher or Time to Pause? ⏸️ Asset: GER40 (DAX 40 Index CFD) Analysis Date : September 5, 2025 Current Closing Price: 23,654.5 (as of 11:54 PM UTC+4) Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐 The GER40 is trading at a historic high, showcasing a formidable bullish trend. 🚀 However, the price is now testing a critical psychological resistance zone near 23,700. The rally shows signs of minor exhaustion, with momentum indicators flashing overbought signals. This creates a classic tension between a potential breakout continuation and a healthy pullback. A decisive break above 23,700 could target 24,000, while a rejection may trigger a retracement to gather strength. This analysis provides a clear plan for intraday 🎯 and swing traders 📈. 📈 Quick Summary & Key Takeaways (TL;DR) 🔄 Market State: The DAX is at a critical Gann & Fibonacci confluence zone around 23,650. A decisive break above or below this level will dictate the next major move. 🎯 Primary Bullish Target: A breakout above 23,800 targets 24,200 - 24,500. ⚠️ Primary Bearish Target: A breakdown below 23,500 opens the path to 23,100 - 22,800. 📊 Key Indicator: RSI is neutral but showing early bearish divergence on the 4H chart, suggesting upward momentum is waning. ⭐ Trade of the Week: Short on a rejection from the 23,750-23,800 resistance cluster with a target towards 23,200. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart): Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish. Price is well above all key Daily Moving Averages (200, 100, 50 EMA), which are fanned out and sloping upwards. Short-Term Trend: 🟡 Bullish but Overextended. The recent ascent has been steep, suggesting the market may need a brief pause or dip to attract new buyers. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories: Breakout & Consolidation: The index has broken above previous highs and is now consolidating near the peak. This can be interpreted as a bull flag formation, suggesting a potential continuation upon a breakout. Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: T he rally from the last significant low appears to be a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This implies that while the trend is up, a larger Wave (4) correction is becoming due. A typical retracement target for a Wave 4 is the 38.2% Fibonacci level near 22,800. Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is trading high above the Cloud on daily charts, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is also clear of price, supporting the bullish bias. However, this extension suggests a pullback to the Cloud is possible. Gann Theory ⏳: The 23,700 level represents a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break and close above it could open the path to the next Gann angle target. 3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance (R1): 23,700 - 23,800 (Key Psychological & Technical Ceiling) 🚨 Resistance (R2): 24,000 (Projected Target) Current Closing Price: ~23,654.5 Support (S1): 23,400 - 23,500 (Immediate Support & 21-period EMA) ✅ Support (S2): 23,000 - 23,200 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & Prior Breakout Zone) 🛡️ Support (S3): 22,600 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement) 4. Indicator Consensus: RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is between 65 and 70, signaling overbought conditions. 📛 This suggests upside momentum may be slowing and warns against chasing longs at these highs. Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is riding the upper band, a sign of strong momentum. A move back towards the middle band (20-period SMA) would be a healthy development. Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is intact. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart acts as crucial dynamic support. Volume & VWAP: Volume has been respectable on the breakout. The Anchored VWAP from a recent swing low shows price is extended, suggesting a pullback would be healthy. Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯 A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts): Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) ⬆️: A break above 23,700 with increasing volume could trigger a momentum move higher. Entry: On a small pullback to re-test 23,700 as new support. Stop Loss: Below 23,650. Target: 23,900 (TP1), 24,000 (TP2). Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: Given overbought conditions, a rejection at this resistance is a valid setup. Entry: On bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star 🌠) at 23,700. Stop Loss: Tight, above 23,750. Target: 23,500 (TP1), 23,400 (TP2). B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts): Strategy: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY. The risk/reward for new long entries at this resistance is not optimal. 🚫 Ideal Long Zones : A pullback to the 23,200 - 23,400 support confluence would offer a much higher probability long entry to ride the next leg up. ✅ Bearish Risk: A daily close below 23,000 would signal a deeper correction is likely underway, potentially targeting 22,600. Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️ Key Risk Events: European economic data (German Industrial Production, ZEW Survey) and ECB commentary are key drivers. 🔥 As a major export index, the DAX is also highly sensitive to global growth expectations and geopolitical developments. Position Sizing: Due to the potential for increased volatility at key levels, always use conservative position sizing. Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on a single trade. Conclusion: The GER40 is bullish but testing a major ceiling. ⚖️ The trend is your friend, but the smart play here is patience. Swing traders should wait for a pullback to strong support before entering. Intraday traders can play the range between 23,500 and 23,700 until a decisive break occurs. The most probable outcome is a period of consolidation or a shallow pullback before the next major directional move. 📊 Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 23,200 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish between 23,650-23,700 For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX gearing up for a breakout?The lengthy consolidation on the DAX means the German index is no longer technically overbought on the weekly and lower time frames. The monthly is still above 70.0 but with other global indices looking strong, the DAX could be about to break higher again. For confirmation i would like to see a break above the bearish trend line and ideally a move above the next band of resistance between 23,900 to 24,100. If and when the DAX clears this area, any rounded retest of this zone from above could potentially offer a decent bounce trade, targeting new record highs. Meanwhile key support continues to remain near the old highs of around 24,480 or so (shaded in blue). By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by FOREXcom
Dax - Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:GER40Short
by VladimirRibakov
5
DAX40 bulish continuation supported at 23950The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 23950 – initial resistance 24116 – psychological and structural level 24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23250 – minor support 23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX 40: Important Level Ahead of Index ReshuffleThe DAX is currently consolidating at a critical level on the higher timeframes. We’re seeing indecision in the market and the next move will likely depend on how London session plays out. If price breaks above this consolidation zone → bullish confirmation. If price rejects and stays below → bearish continuation. No trade until we get a clear break and retest. London might just consolidate, so patience is key. STOXX just announced the September reshuffle of the DAX (effective Sept 22). GEA Group joins the index, while Sartorius, Scout24, and Porsche AG exit. This increases the DAX’s industrial exposure and reduces its defensive healthcare/tech weight making it more sensitive to trends. We’re at an important decision point. Wait for London to show its hand before committing. Good luck traders and remember this is not financial advice =)
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Maroko86
1
DAX40 corrective pullback support at 23400The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 23950 – initial resistance 24116 – psychological and structural level 24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23250 – minor support 23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX 1H — Clean break of the descending trendline from 22–29 Aug.Context • Price has been capped by a well-defined descending trendline (orange-tagged lower highs) since last week. • Into month-end, the selloff lost momentum and compressed into a falling wedge/descending triangle against a 23,93x–23,94x demand (marked by EQL/“weak low”). • We’ve now impulsed through the local trendline and into the prior 1H supply band, flipping it to potential support. Structure & confluence on the break • Multiple BOS/CHoCH prints inside the wedge signaled absorption/basing before the break. • The breakout occurs around the 0.618 pullback area of the last minor leg, with a neat cluster of equal lows below (liquidity left behind), and room to the upside until the next heavy area: the higher, older trendline / “Strong High” zone. • Measured from the wedge height, the projection aligns with ~24,387 (shown on chart). Plan (not financial advice) • Bias: Long on breakout and/or retest of the broken trendline / prior supply. • Entry zone: 23,970–23,986 (retest/acceptance above the break). • Invalidation: 1H close back below 23,930–23,937 (back inside the wedge and under the micro base). • Protective stop: 23,902 (beneath the “weak low” and wedge base). • Targets: • TP1: 24,060 (first 1H supply & dashed mid-range). • TP2: 24,180–24,220 (prior EQH/dashed line). • TP3: 24,300 (round number & prior reaction). • Final: 24,387 (confluence with the higher trendline; your blue arrow). • R:R guide: From ~23,980 entry to 23,902 stop is ~78 pts risk; to 24,387 is ~+407 pts → ~5.2R if full target prints. • Management: Once price accepts above ~23,986, consider moving to BE; trail under each new 1H swing low as we stair-step up. Failure to hold 23,970 on the retest = stand aside and reassess. Alt (bearish) scenario • A sharp rejection from 24,06x–24,18x and a close back under 23,930 would turn the break into a fake-out, exposing 23,880 → 23,840 and, if that fails, the deeper demand around 23,80x. Heads-up (event risk this week) • Eurozone/Germany PMIs (Mon–Tue), Euro area flash HICP (Tue), Germany Factory Orders (Fri), and US NFP (Fri) can all inject volatility—size appropriately and be wary around release times. CFI:GER30
CFI:GER30Long
by KhaleelSuliman
4
DAX trade idea, DO what everyone else ISN'T expecting Next week I think we go for a sweep of both sides of this range we've been playing. Favouring the upside first and then come back down and sweep the lows and then we see how the market plays. I think everyone is expecting the market some sort of big reaction to the downside, I think it's coming but not before we sweep the highs and take out all those stops. Trade Idea Short 23950 - 24050 TP - 24500 (( around there ))
IG:DAXShort
by TraderJay1990
DAX | Buy & Sell Setup | 12 Sep 2025 – 16:20 BSTDAX | Buy & Sell Setup | 12 Sep 2025 – 16:20 BST Buy Zone: 23796.40 – 23727.04 Sell Zone: 23650.02 – 23601.72 Scenario : Buy Entry: 23730 Stop Loss: 23655 Targets: TP1 → 23793.06 TP2 → 24024.22 TP3 → 24206.53 Analysis: From Buy Zone (23796.40 – 23727.04) creates possibilities for a buy move. Scenario 2 : Sell Entry: 23655 Stop Loss: 23730 Targets: TP1 → 23549.96 TP2 → 23080.00 Analysis: From Sell Zone (23650.02 – 23601.72) creates possibilities for a sell move. Stay alert on updates here. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
XETR:DAX
by TrendReset