Dollar - Daily Range I Liqudity I Key Level - ShortDollar has reached key level after whipsaw move on FOMC. It also grabbed liqudity and COT is still bearish while HTF Key Level on lower prices. Hence I think new low is in play.
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DXY trade ideas
DXY at a Critical Juncture — What’s the Fed’s Next MoveHey Guys,
I’ve put together a swing-style analysis for the DXY.
This one’s been highly requested — my followers are valuable to me, and I never turn them down.
DXY Daily Levels:
- Resistance: 100.606 – 99.837
- Support: 96.530 – 95.902
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently dropping due to Fed policies.
No steps are being taken to push the dollar higher.
Because of this, investors are choosing gold as a safe haven instead of buying dollars.
Gold keeps hitting new ATHs, and naturally, the dollar index is sliding.
Unless the Fed takes action to support the dollar, this decline will continue.
In short, the drop in the dollar is entirely due to the policies implemented by the Fed Chair.
Remember — DXY isn’t heavily influenced by technical analysis; it’s driven by Fed policy.
That said, since the index has fallen so much, I believe we might see some steps taken in the coming months to lift the dollar.
I’ll be sharing updates right here.📢
Once support or resistance levels are broken, I’ll post new insights immediately.
Every like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to all my friends who support me — you’re the best. ❤️
Dollar I Weekly Range I 50% Target I Model 1GM Traders, we have seen price has been accumulating thru the whole august, now it dipped bellow the range and strongly rejected and created OB. It has change to to go to 50% of that range where is doouble top liquidity which.
Have a great trading week !!
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
What Was Important for the US Dollar Index (DXY) This WeekWhat Was Important for the US Dollar Index (DXY) This Week
The long-awaited event — the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025 — has taken place. What is particularly important to note is the price action on the US Dollar Index (DXY) chart.
The value of the USD against a basket of other currencies made a two-step move, forming a pin-bar candle with a long lower shadow:
→ Arrow 1: When the Fed actually announced the easing, the dollar weakened as expected on this “dovish news.”
→ Arrow 2: But at the subsequent press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a series of “hawkish” remarks that shifted the market mood and drove the dollar higher. He stressed that this cut does not mark the beginning of “a series of continuous rate reductions,” and that further decisions will be taken “based on incoming economic data.”
Powell also stated plainly that the option of a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut had not gained sufficient support among FOMC members. Therefore, the “down-then-up” move highlights a sharp change in trader sentiment within a short timeframe, as expectations failed to materialise.
Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
In our 9 September analysis, we confirmed the relevance of:
→ the descending channel (shown in red) defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows;
→ the intermediate QL and QH lines, which divide the channel into quarters.
Notably, at Wednesday’s low the price:
→ touched the QL line, underscoring its strength;
→ formed a clear Liquidity Grab pattern (in the terminology of the Smart Money Concept methodology).
From the perspective of Richard Wyckoff’s method, Wednesday’s low may be viewed as a Spring pattern, which preceded a Mark-Up phase of rising prices.
How Might Events Unfold Next?
Given the above, we could assume that the hawkish tone could serve as a longer-term factor for the DXY index. The 97.55 level appears to act as resistance, but it is possible that we may see an attempt to break through it, with the next target being the QH line.
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DXY (US Dollar Index) 2H chart.DXY (US Dollar Index) 2H chart, you can see my drawn a breakout setup with targets marked.
Here’s the breakdown:
Current price: ~97.42
Trendline breakout setup is shown, with bullish continuation in mind.
First target point is marked around 98.00
Second target point is marked around 98.60
✅ So the bullish targets are:
TP1: 98.00
TP2: 98.60
USD Rate Cut Rally - X Marks the SpotThe Fed cut rates while warning of another 50 bps of softening for this year and another 25 for next year. Yet the USD has rallied since just after the release of the rate cut announcement with strength holding into the end of the week.
This is quite similar to last year's rate cut cycle starting from the FOMC. At that meeting, the USD initially pushed down to a fresh low - and that's when sellers started to stall. It took another week and a half or so but soon bulls took over with aggression and ran a strong rally through Q4 trade.
This also led to higher US yields, with both the 10 and 30-year setting a low yield watermark just a day ahead of the rate cut. But, as the cut and continued to cut in Q4, US yields just went higher and higher, with the 10-year eventually tagging 4.8% in the first few weeks of 2025 (after a pre-cut low of 3.6%) and the 30-year hitting 5% (after a pre-cut low of 3.9%).
This may seem counter-intuitive, as the Fed softening rates led to higher long-term rates, but if the Fed is cutting rates with inflation already high, this is something that can happen. Long-term inflation expectations moving higher makes the prospect of sitting long in long bonds as a less attractive prospect. And there's also the opportunity cost element, why settle for a 3.9% year-over-year return if inflation is expected at 3% or maybe even more; meanwhile stock prices are rallying on the back of a softer Fed even with a backdrop of high inflation.
While last year's rate cut marked a significant low for DXY, there's potential for a repeat occurrence. We're still in the early stages of the move and the Fed sounded just a little less dovish than what markets were hoping for, by reining in expectations for 50-75 bps in cuts next year. But given just how stretched USD bears have been, any further motive towards fewer FOMC cuts could lead to a stronger USD.
For next week, the big focus is on EUR/USD supports which remain in-play, and those keep bulls in the conversation until they're traded through. And with the Euro as 57.6% of the DXY quote, that's an extremely important factor for USD trends as we near the Q4 open. - js
DXY - Dollar Extended Wave DownNow, I am not one familiar with FOREX, and I'll start by saying, that this wavecount isn't the most likely especially with expected rate cuts on the horizon. We could have bottomed on the low the dollar made in June, however, that structure appears clearly corrective and I cannot ignore the solidity of it.
Again, we could transfer into a double or triple three to finish this last move, it's too soon to fully tell.
Just using this chart for context to my other plays not taking any trades.
US Dollar: Hold Off On Selling The USD! Higher Prices Ahead?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD recovered last Friday after the FED cut the rate .25 basis points. The USD was also supported by higher T-note yields.
What's next?
Although price swept the Swing Low last week, it recovered, trading back up into the consolidation. There is a bullish tone to this movement, and a manipulative one as well. The sell side LQ was taken, followed by a quick recovery.
The highlighted bullish FVG indicates bullish order flow.
There is a potential iFVG just above the +FVG. Monitor it to see if price will respect it as support. Should it hold, look to long the USD.
Wait and react. Do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY on the move - where to next?This chart has three key elements:
fib fan from the high in 1985
fib fan from the low in 2008
fib retracement. The blue arrows show the anchor, top and 50% retrace
Note how perfect the 50% retrace is. This validates the fib. Also note that we pinned the .236 level which is also the teal fib fan line, where we've found previous support. .236 generally offers a bounce, especially combined with another key level (ascending teal trendline).
RSI momentum looks to be pulling us down. Also note the grey fib fan centerline. This is the basis for this fib fan and we touched it twice, once in 2008 and once in 20011. I believe the dollar will get back to this grey trendline, likely where I've circled, somewhere around the intersection of the 50% fib and this trendline. I would not be surprised to see a bounce to 104. We could also see 75 sometime in june/july of 26 if things start getting crazy.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceUS Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 97.36
1st Support: 96.47
1st Resistance: 98.12
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DXY SELL PROJECTIONDXY (Daily Outlook) – Sell Projection
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been showing signs of exhaustion after its recent upward move, and price action suggests that a potential correction could be on the horizon. I am closely watching the 98.000 supply zone, which stands out as a critical resistance level on the daily timeframe.
Should price retrace into this zone and show signs of rejection — such as bearish candlestick patterns or a shift in market structure — it would present a strong case for sellers to regain control. A sell from this region could set the stage for renewed downside momentum in the coming sessions.
For traders, this projection carries important cross-market implications: if the dollar weakens from the 98.000 level, we can expect XXX/USD pairs to gain more buying power, particularly around the midweek trading period. This would likely support bullish opportunities in major USD counterparts such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, and potentially gold (XAUUSD).
In short, patience and confirmation are key — waiting for DXY to tap into the supply zone and react will provide higher probability setups across USD-related pairs.
Dollar Index Resistance & Support AnalysisDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is trading around 97.71, holding within an upward channel after bouncing from the 97.00–97.10 support zone. The structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the chart also highlights a potential “strong high” area near 98.20–98.40, where resistance from both Fibonacci retracement levels and channel tops converge. If DXY fails to break above this resistance, a retracement toward 97.20–97.00 is likely, with further downside risk toward 96.80 if that support breaks.
Based on the current setup, short-term upside toward 98.20–98.40 is possible, but overall bias suggests a likely pullback (downside) after testing resistance, especially if momentum weakens near the channel top.
🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup)
- Sell Zone (Resistance area): 98.20 – 98.40
- Sell Trigger: If price tests and rejects this zone with bearish candles (reversal signals).
🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup)
- Buy Zone (Support area): 97.20 – 97.30
- Buy Trigger: If price holds above this zone and shows bullish reversal candles (hammer, engulfing, etc.).
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
DXYDXY Bullish Bias
Buyers have stepped in, absorbing all selling pressure, pushing price higher. Watch for continuation as momentum favors bulls.
Key Notes:
Price cleared previous resistance levels.
Bullish momentum confirmed by strong candle closes.
Look for pullbacks to support for potential entries.
DXY | Bullish Reversal from IFVG – Targeting 99.50 Supply ZoneHello Billionaires!!
In DXY D1 Projection we know The US Dollar Index has tapped into the Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (IFVG) and shown signs of bullish reaction after sweeping Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). This aligns with a potential reversal model aiming towards higher liquidity levels.
🔹 Key Points:
SSL swept, confirming liquidity grab.
Price reacting from IFVG as demand zone.
Short-term retracement expected, followed by continuation.
Targeting the BPR supply zone around 99.50 and eventually Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) above 100.00.
As long as DXY holds above the IFVG zone, bullish continuation remains the primary outlook.
Us Dollar Index
Hi traders
I will provide you with an analysis of dxy, maybe it will be useful.
Considering reaching the support zone as well as the bottom of the descending channel on the 4-hour time frame،I expect an upward trend (dollar strengthening)
Of course, a trend change may occur after a fake breakout and the trend may become bullish after reaching the number 96.
warninggggg
If today's and tomorrow's news, which are very important, invalidate this analysis, a new analysis will be presented soon.