FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY -Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 | DXY📅 Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
Trade ideas
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon
I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week:
- Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again
- Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again
Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario
I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea
US Dollar's Abnormal BehaviorWhy am I saying it abnormal
- because typically DXY tends to weaken with a rate cuts
- In the last 2 month - there were 2 rate cuts,
- but since those "cuts", a declining dollar begins to show upward corrections (or started getting strong)
- Yesterday - ADP released a very strong labor statistics +42K from -29K in the previous month
- Now dollar must continue to strengthen & rise upon such positive data...........
- But today, DXY started with a gap-down and outlook looks further bearish today
DXY — London SessionThe US Dollar traded through 99.357, confirming a wide range between 97.6 and 99.9.
This is already a large playing field, and today’s movement needs extra care.
It’s Friday, and with weekend flows plus U.S. politics in the mix, price can move irregularly.
Signals need double confirmation before bias.
We have our range, and the focus now is to respect it — not rush it.
The professional move: wait for structure to prove intent.
Discipline always beats impulse.
Fundamentals
Dollar strength remains supported by cautious sentiment.
Yields are steady, and investors are holding defensive exposure rather than chasing risk.
It’s less about fresh demand — more about managing positioning ahead of next week’s data.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
US Dollar Index Daily Chart
Daily supply zone【99.78....100.22】
Previous resistance level。
Position at the upper Bollinger Band,
The RSI indicator shows a high level,
Three consecutive daily candlestick charts,Can be considered as the top structure
Possible trend expectations Bearish direction。
Let's wait and see.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.53
1st Support: 99.13
1st Resistance: 100.49
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US Dollar Index (DXY)- Ready for shorts?I have been waiting for sell confirmations on this since market open this week. Momentum to the upside is really slowing down. We can expect possible shorts from current levels. I am waiting for a break to the downside followed by a correction to enter sells on this. Do not jump in blindly. Manage Risk!
-TD
DXY Macro Thesis – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Before Global Risk💵 DXY Macro Thesis – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Before Global Risk Unwind
The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has been forming a multi-year Wyckoff re-accumulation structure since late 2023, following the broad risk-on cycle that stretched across BTC, gold, and equities.
After completing a Spring and successful Test in the 95 – 96 region, the index now shows clear signs of Phase D emergence, suggesting the dollar is quietly preparing for its next markup phase.
🧩 Structural Context
Phase A–C (2023 – 2025): Composite operator absorbed liquidity from over-extended risk assets while DXY built a broad base between 92 – 104.
Phase D (Current): We’re witnessing the Last Point of Support (LPS) formation around 99–100 — strengthening price structure, decreasing volatility, and the first signs of demand dominance.
Phase E (Next): Expected breakout and markup toward upper-range resistance zones.
📊 Technical + Macro Alignment
Zone Function Commentary
98.6 – 100.8 Re-accumulation axis. Current control range; sustained closes above 100.82 = Phase D confirmation
105.9 – 108.0 Mid-range objective Dealer hedging likely shifts positive Gamma → supports sustained advance
110 – 114 Primary target zone Historic supply band; aligns with USD liquidity tightening & global risk-off acceleration
116 – 123 Buying climax / terminal rally Final markup phase before next global rebalancing cycle.
🌐 Macro Narrative
This re-accumulation in DXY likely coincides with the early-stage unwind of speculative excess across BTC, gold, and global equities.
As liquidity rotates back into the dollar and short-dated yields stay elevated, risk assets face compression while USD strength re-emerges.
Stablecoin dominance metrics (USDT.D + USDC.D) have begun climbing again > 7.8 %, confirming risk-off capital rotation consistent with the early stages of a macro tightening leg.
🎯 Outlook
✅ Base case: Phase D markup resumes → targets 110–114, then potential buying climax 116–123 into 2026.
⚖️ Alternate: Range extension 98.6–100.8 through Q1 2026 (continuing absorption).
❌ Invalidation: Weekly close < 98.6 opens redistribution toward 95 → 92.6.
DXY Analysis — Tracking Dollar Strength This WeekThe DXY has cleared buy-side liquidity and closed below the Point of Control, signaling potential weakness in the dollar. I’m expecting continued selling on USD pairs (USDCAD, USDJPY) while looking for buying opportunities on EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD. Overall bias: bearish on the Dollar Index.
DXY(Dollar Index): This up wave will not last long.For TVC:DXY , don't be trapped with this up wave, it should not last long. What is happening now is only manipulation based on what we see.
Fed will continue to cut rates if not this year, next year and they are printing money, ending the QT and also things are not okay. Based on that, on the fundamental part of things and We Trade Waves wave analysis concept. Any sell setup we get for DXY we will go for it BUT:
Always remember WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
USD Falling Wedge Breakout, 4-month Highs into PullbackUSD put in another rate cut rally after the Fed's move last week and that extends the Q4 theme that's seen a continuation of higher-highs and lows ever since the Fed's initial rate cut announcement in September.
Yesterday saw test of a big level at 100.22, which was the swing low from last year's start of FOMC rate cuts. That level printed at the rate cut announcement, held the lows for the next couple of weeks, and then price launched into a massive reversal that ran for all of Q4 and into the first couple weeks of 2025.
This year's iteration has been different and Treasury yields aren't jumping like they were last year, but the impact in USD is similar as the bullish sequence has been driven by the FOMC announcements and that keeps bulls in the driver's seat for short-term trends.
With some profit taking showing after that push up to fresh highs and test of a key resistance level yesterday, the question now is whether bulls come in to defend the move. There's three spots of support just below price that each set the stage for continuation.
The 99.40 level was resistance earlier in October, after having shown as resistance in June. Just below that, the 98.98 Fibonacci level still looms large, and there's another spot of resistance turned support at 98.60 that sits below that and currently functions as an 's3' area. - JS
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Too Overbought Now
Looks like Dollar Index finally starts correction.
A test of a significant hisotric daily resistance triggered
a bearish movement and an intraday change of character
on a 4H time frame.
I think that the market may drop lower.
Goal - 99.8
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DXY Near 100 as Rate-Cut Odds Fade and Uptrend Remains IntactHey Traders,
In today’s trading session we are monitoring the US Dollar Index (DXY) for a buying opportunity around the 100.000 zone. The Index is trading in a broader uptrend and currently is in a correction phase, approaching the trend support/resistance area near 100.000.
Structure:
The prevailing trend remains bullish, though price is consolidating and retesting the support/resistance level at 100.000. A solid rebound here could signal a resumption of the upward trajectory.
Fundamentals:
Recent commentary from the Federal Reserve indicates that a rate cut in December is increasingly unlikely. This hawkish tilt supports the Dollar and reinforces the up-trend scenario.
Next move:
Watching how price behaves around 100.000 — if the level holds, the bias remains bullish; a break below would call structural risk into question.
Trade safe,
Joe.
DXY — London Session🧭 Market Context
Dollar capped down overnight from 99.762 to 99.704 but still trades above the key bullish structure point at 99.525. The structure remains bullish overall, yet price keeps failing to break through 99.875 — the current cap. London session has filled yesterday’s balance range, leaving us in neutral territory.
We’re sitting on zero deviation — meaning equal chance to push higher or rotate lower.
Before taking any position, we need confirmation.
📈 Technical Frame DSM + VFA
Structure stays constructive but momentum is fading.
Volume shows thinning participation near 99.875 — professionals aren’t chasing.
If we see clear volume conviction through that level, we likely drive higher and fill the capped zone. If price slips below 99.525, expect a liquidity sweep into the lower volume pocket near 99.40. Right now, this is observation mode — not engagement mode.
🌍 Fundamental Frame (Macro Logic)
Overnight softness came from mild risk-on sentiment — Asia equities up, yields down.
Still, the Fed’s tone stays restrictive, and dollar demand remains under the surface.
This move looks more like positioning ahead of NFP than any real shift in trend.
🏛️ Coach’s Lens
When the market sits in balance, patience becomes the edge.
Professionals wait for clarity; amateurs act on hope.
Bias follows structure — not emotion.
🎯 Operator Rule
Confirmation defines conviction.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
Dollar index analysisAccording to our previous analysis, the Dollar Index finally managed to reach the 100 zone. Now we need to see whether it can close above the 100 level without making a fake breakout downward. If it can give a solid close above 100, then we can start considering long positions on the Dollar Index or sell positions on EUR/USD.
DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋
On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress.
The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target.
However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher.
Overall, my bias remains bullish for now.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
DXY Bullish Continuation Risks Challenge the 100.20-ResistanceOn the daily chart, the DXY’s rebound from its 17-year support near 96 resembles an inverted head-and-shoulders breakout, currently testing the 100.20 resistance.
A confirmed close above this level would complete the pattern, targeting the 101.80 and 103.40 levels — moves that could potentially pressure GBPUSD toward 1.2940 and 1.2740, as detailed in the following charts.
From the downside, if the DXY retreats below 99.40, the selling pressure on major currencies may ease. In that scenario, the DXY is expected to retest the neckline and validate the inverted head-and-shoulders formation, with the trendline connecting consecutive lower highs from May to August, between 98.50 and 98.00.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
dxy 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Bullish continuation setup?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.53
1st Support: 98.55
1st Resistance: 101.46
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.






















