Potential bullish rise?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.5
1st Support: 96.40
1st Resistance: 10.80
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Trade ideas
DXY — The Dollar Game That Moves Everything...Hello Traders 🐺
Most traders keep watching Bitcoin, Gold, and the stock market...
but everything starts with the Dollar — the DXY.
DXY measures the strength of the US Dollar against major currencies (mostly the Euro, Yen, and Pound).
When DXY goes up, the Dollar is stronger.
When it goes down, the Dollar weakens.
Now here’s the fun part 👇
| Asset | When DXY goes UP | When DXY goes DOWN
| 🪙 Gold | Usually drops (USD stronger) | Usually rises
| 💰 Bitcoin | Liquidity dries up → often drops | Liquidity returns → often rallies
| 📈 Stocks | Exporters get hurt | Risk-on mood, often bullish
| 🛢 Oil | Demand cools | Prices rise with weaker USD
So yeah — DXY isn’t “just another chart.”
It’s the heartbeat of global liquidity.
⚙️ What’s happening right now
Gold is at record highs.
Bitcoin’s flying near extreme levels.
Stocks are still holding up.
Meanwhile, DXY is sitting right on a major monthly trendline support —
a level that’s held multiple times in the past.
Most traders expect the Dollar to keep weakening
after the Fed’s recent 0.25% rate cut...
but history often plays a different game.
📉 The pattern nobody talks about
Every time the US entered a recession,
the Dollar actually got stronger, even while the Fed was cutting rates.
Why? Because when fear hits, everyone runs to cash and US Treasuries.
The Dollar becomes the world’s safe haven.
So lower rates don’t always mean a weak dollar —
sometimes they’re the first warning that the system’s under stress,
and that’s exactly when DXY makes its comeback.
🇺🇸 Politics, China, and the bigger picture
Trump’s talking about another trade war with China.
China’s still trying to strengthen the Yuan and reduce its dependence on USD.
But the US can’t really afford a weak dollar right now —
because a weaker USD means more imported inflation,
and with America’s massive debt and deficits,
they need global demand for US Treasuries.
That only happens if the Dollar stays relatively strong.
🧭 My personal take
The market’s way too confident that “the Dollar is done.”
But both the chart and the history say otherwise.
DXY is testing a massive monthly trendline support while risk assets are near all-time highs.
That’s a setup I don’t want to ignore.
If DXY bounces from here,
we could see a wave of correction across Gold, Bitcoin, and even stocks.
💡 Everyone’s positioned for a weak Dollar.
History and the chart both say — it might surprise them again.
Also don't forgot our golden rule :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
DXY & final liquidityFundamental Analysis :
Based on the current macroeconomic backdrop, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be entering a short-term corrective move to the upside, potentially toward the 100–101 liquidity zone, before resuming its broader bearish trend.
This aligns with the visible Head & Shoulders structure and the small Quasimodo (QM) zone that’s likely to attract liquidity before a larger downside move.
Short-Term View (Correction Toward 101):
Recent U.S. employment and retail sales data have shown relative strength, leading markets to delay expectations for Fed rate cuts.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have seen a mild recovery, prompting short-term dollar demand as investors rebalance risk exposure.
The Federal Reserve’s “data-dependent” stance keeps the market uncertain ahead of the next inflation releases, providing a temporary bid for the dollar.
➤ This corrective phase corresponds to the small QM zone (100–101) where liquidity collection and retesting of previous resistance are likely.
Medium- to Long-Term View (Bearish Reversal After 101):
Core inflation (PCE) continues to trend lower, approaching the Fed’s 2.5% target range.
Labor market softness is becoming more visible through higher unemployment and slowing wage growth.
The probability of rate cuts beginning in early 2026 is increasing, which would significantly reduce the dollar’s yield advantage.
Meanwhile, other major economies (Europe, China, Japan) are stabilizing, which could rebalance global demand away from the USD.
Additionally, rising U.S. government debt and fiscal deficit concerns are weighing on real yields and long-term dollar sentiment.
➤ These factors suggest that once liquidity is collected near 101, DXY could begin a new bearish leg toward the 95–92.5 demand zone.
The current upward move in the dollar is likely a final liquidity grab before the next major decline.
From a fundamental perspective, this aligns with short-term resilience in economic data, followed by an eventual shift toward monetary easing and weaker growth momentum — perfectly in line with technical scenario.
Potential Swing Long Position for the WeekGBPUSD potential buy opportunity for the week. Market moved 296 pips where the avg CAP is 350, also the market is near August ML. where are the DXY is at PL zone 99.8, if this level will be broken then expect the DXY hit next PL resistance of 100, and reverse from it and also the last 4H closing candle was a strong Bearish candle signaling bearish momentum is taking control after a bullish control got exhausted.
DXY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY broke above a key demand area, confirming bullish intent. A successful retest of the breakout zone may attract further buy orders toward the target level. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is the Gold Bull Market Over? Gold has had a double digit correction form the all time high.
Pulling back just over 11% is very healthy if the bull market trend is to resume.
On an intra day 4 hour time frame gold is still looking very weak.
However the weekly pattern was able to hold a key weekly bullish level.
Gold is at a very tricky inflection point so i would personally wait until you get some key breakout or breakdown signals.
Look towards your miners to see if they are gaining additional liquidity. They will often lead.
Bearish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.93
1st support: 98.09
1st Resistance: 99.54
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY ShortsWe have entered a new month of trading which means new opportunities! May the month of November be a great month of trading for all.
For DXY, the overall high timeframe trend is bearish. The most current swing high has been indicated by a dashed line labelled 'Protected High'. For market to respect the high time frame downtrend, price should not break that high.
At the close of last week, price reached a supply zone at which price is likely to start the new downtrend. I will be looking for entry confirmations at the supply zone. There are two things to take into consideration once price respects the supply zone:
1. Price may have a corrective nature indicating another move up before the main sell off. If price moves this way, I will update the analysis and indicate the demand zone at which price may begin to buy from.
2. Price may be impulsive indicating major sell off as expected.
With either scenario, my perspective on DXY is still bearish. The only way I will change this view is if market impulsively breaks the protected high.
Kindly manage risk. Best Of Luck!
-TD
U.S. Dollar Index Gearing Up for a Powerful Upswing!💵 DXY — U.S. Dollar Index | Profit Pathway Setup (Swing Trade)
🧭 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed Setup)
📈 Market Type: Index (USD Strength Focus)
🧠 Strategy Style: Layered Limit Entry with SMA Pullback + Triangular MA Breakout
🎯 Trade Plan Breakdown
📊 Setup Insight:
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has confirmed a bullish momentum as price reclaims above the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and breaks through the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) resistance zone — signaling potential continuation strength for the dollar.
📥 Entry Zone (Layering Strategy):
My “Thief Strategy” approach uses multiple limit layers for precision stacking entries:
Buy Limit Layers: 99.00 → 99.50 → 100.00
(You can extend or adjust layers based on your own conviction and risk appetite.)
🛑 Stop Loss:
My Thief SL sits near the recent lower low wick for structure protection → 98.50
💬 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my exact SL.
You manage your own risk — make money, take money, your call.
🎯 Target (Take Profit):
The moving average line is acting like a police barricade — strong resistance area, potential overbought trap zone. Be smart and escape with profits near 102.00.
💬 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — TP is flexible.
Lock profits where you’re satisfied; don’t let greed arrest your gains. 🚓💰
🌐 Correlated Market Watch
Keep an eye on these correlated pairs & assets for confirmation signals or divergence clues:
💶 $EUR/USD → Inverse correlation (DXY up → EUR/USD down)
$XAU/USD (Gold) → Often moves opposite to USD strength
💷 FX:GBPUSD → Mirrors EUR/USD volatility when DXY surges
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Weakens when DXY strengthens due to liquidity shifts
💹 FX:USDJPY → Supports bullish dollar narrative if yield spreads widen
These pairs can help you validate sentiment and timing entries better — especially during London & New York sessions when DXY liquidity peaks.
🧩 Technical Key Points
✅ SMA pullback confirms bullish continuation zone
🔺 Triangular Moving Average breakout shows renewed strength
🧱 99.00–100.00 acts as accumulation floor
🚨 102.00 remains resistance barricade zone (potential trap)
⏰ Best observed during London/NY overlap for volatility cues
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun and education. Not financial advice. Trade wisely and manage risk like a pro.
#DXY #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas #PriceAction #SMAStrategy #MovingAverages #CurrencyTrading #DollarStrength #ForexSignals #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #ChartPatterns #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #ForexCommunity #TradingView #DXYAnalysis
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical OutlookUS Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Outlook
DXY has shown a clean bullish structure shift, breaking above previous highs and confirming multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) around the 99.00–99.20 zone.
Currently, price is trading at 99.33, inside the premium zone, and testing the weak high area near 99.40–99.60.
📊 Market Structure:
The structure has turned bullish after a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) and a clean BOS above 98.80.
The equilibrium zone (98.40–98.60) previously acted as strong demand and was respected multiple times.
Price is now in a premium range, suggesting potential for a short-term pullback before further continuation.
🎯 Key Levels:
Premium / Supply Zone: 99.40–99.60 (possible liquidity grab or rejection zone)
Equilibrium / Demand Zone: 98.40–98.60 (ideal re-entry zone for continuation buys)
PDH (Previous Day High): 99.40
PDL (Previous Day Low): 98.60
🧭 Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Short-term Rejection:
If DXY rejects the 99.40–99.60 supply area, expect temporary USD weakness.
This could cause pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD to bounce up short-term.
Scenario 2 – Continuation Buy:
If price pulls back into 98.60 equilibrium zone and forms bullish confirmation, expect continuation toward 99.80–100.00.
Supported by the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (yellow) dynamic trend alignment.
📈 Momentum Indicators:
RSI/Stochastic are both near overbought zones, indicating short-term exhaustion.
A minor retracement is likely before continuation of the bullish leg.
Summary:
The DXY remains structurally bullish but short-term overextended.
Look for a pullback toward equilibrium (98.60 zone) before the next impulse move.
This macro setup supports short-term pullbacks on USD pairs, but the broader trend remains USD bullish
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
Bullish continuation setup?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.53
1st Support: 98.55
1st Resistance: 101.46
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US DOLLAR — Structure Shift in Motion🧭 Context
The dollar continues to push higher while major crosses weaken. Risk sentiment remains defensive as traders lean toward safety going into the new week.
📈 Technical POV
We’re trading into the structural pivot at 99.804, not above it yet. The daily chart shows stretched momentum — near +2 deviation — but buyers still control the short-term rhythm. The broader weekly bias remains bearish, so this move likely forms a counter-rally within the larger range.
🌍 Macro View
Currency Index: DXY advancing toward 100.00, driven by steady demand for USD amid uncertain global data.
Central Bank: The Fed’s 25 bps cut came with a neutral tone, signaling a pause — enough to keep the dollar firm.
Yields: U.S. 10-year yields hover near 4%, maintaining the yield advantage over Europe and Japan.
Seasonality: Early November often favors USD flows as funds rebalance into year-end positioning.
📊 Volume / Order Flow
Liquidity behavior remains balanced near current levels. No clear exhaustion yet — market is simply rotating into the key 99.804 zone, waiting for confirmation before expansion.
🎯 Plan
If we close above 99.804, it could unlock a move toward the weekly discount-zone liquidity, potentially sparking strong reactions across major cross pairs. If rejected, expect short-term pullback before any renewed strength.
🧠 CORE5 Note
Professional traders don’t predict — they prepare. Let price prove conviction before you act.
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
dollar index to 100$
technical detail.
dollar broke out of 4hr supply roof and used nit as support ,dollar to 100$ soon,its evident from EURUSD PRICE ACTION TODAY
fundamental details
The DXY (US Dollar Index) is a benchmark that measures the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of six major global currencies: the euro (largest component), Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It serves as a broad indicator of the dollar’s strength or weakness against these currencies
The DXY is trading in the range of 105 to 107, indicating moderate strength in the US dollar.
It reflects the impact of relatively higher US interest rates and bond yields compared to other major economies.
Geopolitical uncertainties and safe-haven demand also support the dollar's position, influencing the DXY.
Key Factors Influencing DXY
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and forward guidance are primary drivers.
Economic Performance: Relative growth, inflation, and employment trends in the US versus other economies.
Risk Sentiment: The DXY often rises during periods of global uncertainty due to flight-to-quality flows into the dollar.
Trade and Capital Flows: Trade balances and foreign investment flows contribute to fluctuations.
Summary
The DXY measures overall US dollar strength against a broad basket of key currencies and is influenced heavily by US monetary policy, economic indicators, and global risk sentiment. It currently shows moderate bullishness, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s tighter policy stance and global economic conditions.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): More Growth Ahead
A quick follow-up for the yesterday's idea for Dollar Index.
The market successfully violated a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle
pattern on a daily time frame.
We see its retest this morning.
A confirmed bullish CHoCH on an hourly time frame gives us a strong
intraday bullish confirmation.
There is a high chance that the Index will continue rising.
Goal - 99.35
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the major resistance.
Pivot: 98.55
1st Support: 98
1st Resistance: 99.53
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY Turning Bullish TVC:DXY Hammer candle through the bullish 0.382 combined with a macro demand line suggests this area will be moving on up soon. A shot to retest upper resistance is most likely underway. With the slightly lower low (Secondary Test) that printed in September, this area looks like accumulation and adds further bullish impetus (signaling risk-off behavior). High potential for a change in momentum for the U.S.$ and consequently capital in the market in the weeks/months to come.
-Not Financial Advice-






















