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DXY Double Top Rejection - Bearish ConfirmationThe double top rejection pattern has been confirmed with a break of the neckline.
Even if price pulls back slightly to the upside to retest the pattern, eventually the bearish momentum will resume until all those demand zones have been retested and the gap has been filled.
USDX — rebound from demand zoneThe U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is correcting within an upward channel. After testing the demand zone 98.20–98.80 on the 4H chart, a double bottom pattern appeared, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
Strong Smart Money and volume support remain near 98.50. As long as price stays above this area, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Targets for growth are located at 100.12 and 101.03 — key supply zones and previous highs.
The dollar is supported by solid U.S. macro data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher rates for longer. This keeps the USD attractive and favors further recovery.
The bullish bias remains while price holds above 98.20. Only a confirmed breakdown below 97.50 would shift the structure to bearish.
DXY: The Dollar’s Long Cycle — Heading Back to 9/11 Levels?The U.S. Dollar Index ( INDEX:DXY ) has navigated through decades of pivotal global shifts — from the end of the Gold Standard and the 1979 Oil Crisis to the Plaza Accord, the Global Financial Crisis, and now the post-pandemic monetary reset.
Each of these events marked critical macro turning points — and each time the dollar found new structural strength after major dislocations.
Now, DXY has consolidated above long-term resistance and appears to be building energy for another leg higher.
If history rhymes, we may see the dollar rally toward the levels reached during the aftermath of the September 11 attacks — a zone that historically represented both global uncertainty and U.S. capital inflows.
Bias: Bullish
Target Zone: 120–122
Timeframe: Multi-year (monthly chart perspective)
Bullish bounce off?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.77
1st Support: 98.41
1st Resistance: 100.14
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 98.869 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 98.977 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dxy index on high time frame
"Focusing on the DXY index on the high time frame, a downward trend is observed on the daily time frame. Utilizing the liquidity concept, the price has swept liquidity and appears poised for a decline. The first potential target could be around 97.5."
If you have more insights to share or need further assistance, feel free to let me know!
Bullish bounce?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.54
1st Suport: 96.63
1st Resistance: 101.95
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY Demand Area! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY pulls back into a well-defined horizontal demand area, aligning with ICT displacement logic. A bullish reaction from this level may confirm accumulation before expansion toward 99.10 liquidity. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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Out into Right-field she goes!-⚠️ Market Forewarning: Potential Weakness in the U.S. Dollar (USD)
Issued on: October 12, 2025
Prepared by:
Disclaimer: The following is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk. Please consult a licensed financial advisor.
Overview:
Based on a convergence of technical indicators, macroeconomic factors, and cyclical analysis, we are issuing a forewarning regarding potential near- to mid-term weakness in the U.S. dollar (USD).
Recent developments in the global macroeconomic landscape—paired with emerging technical patterns—suggest that the greenback may be entering a corrective or even impulsive decline phase, particularly against major currency pairs such as the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and JPY/USD.
🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
1. Supply and Demand Ray Line Zones
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is currently testing a multi-month supply zone between 108.50 – 109.30, which has historically acted as a reversal region.
Demand zones below near 104.00 – 103.20 have weakened after multiple tests, suggesting a likely breakdown and continuation of downward momentum.
The ray line trend indicates supply is overtaking demand, as evidenced by fading bullish volume and weaker retracements on rebounds.
2. Elliott Wave Pattern
The broader wave structure from the March 2024 low appears to have completed a 5-wave impulsive cycle, peaking around September 2025.
Current price action suggests we are in the early stages of an A-B-C corrective wave:
Wave A likely concluded in early October with a sharp drop.
A shallow Wave B retracement is in progress but struggling to reclaim previous highs.
If pattern symmetry holds, Wave C could extend toward the 102.00 – 101.50 zone, in line with Fibonacci projection levels (1.618 extension of Wave A).
3. Pivot Market Points
October’s monthly pivot point lies around 105.80, and price is trading consistently below it — a bearish sign.
Key support pivots reside at 104.20 (S1) and 102.75 (S2); a breach below these levels could confirm further downside.
Resistance at the 107.60 – 108.00 range remains firm and unbroken.
🔮 Forward Outlook: Bearish Bias
Given:
Sustained rejection from a known supply zone,
A likely Elliott Wave correction unfolding,
And consistent trading below pivot levels,
…we anticipate a bearish trajectory for the USD over the next 1–3 months, barring a major macroeconomic shock or intervention.
Target zones:
Short-term: 104.20
Mid-term: 102.00
Risk invalidation: Close above 109.50 with strong bullish volume
📉 Key Drivers to Watch:
U.S. Federal Reserve commentary and policy shifts
Treasury yields and bond market stress
Geopolitical developments impacting safe-haven flows
Inflation print volatility (CPI/PPI releases)
DXY: 3mo timeline channel, BULLISH
Interest rates (relative to global peers) in the US remain relatively high. Global peers dropping rates at a much quicker pace when compared to the FED.
US GDP growth continues at a fast pace thanks to expanding margins through efficiency thanks to AI. I believe we'll also begin to see small to mid caps perform as well as large caps currently are in the next year or so.
Continued drop in commodity prices like oil
From a technical perspective, on the 3mo timeline, the 50 sma is about to cross above the 200 sma. Current price is also bouncing off bothe the 50 and 200 sma. I believe the DXY is clearly bottoming in a multi decade long channel.
As much tension as there is in the world today, we are still grinding forward. Nothing is perfect, but the sentiment shows clear promise in future growth which would help accelerate DXY value relative to the rest of the worlds currency.
This doesn't mean stocks must come down. We can have both.
...But I'm an optimist.
All the best.
DXY RARE BULLISH FRIDAY SET UPFridays are notoriously bad for dollar, however, today’s Friday session is different.
Due to the ongoing shutdown US data releases are backed and stacked up. There is a large manipulation in play (but don’t worry, trump is busy building his ballroom wing edition plans to the White House and too busy today for tariff surprises).
Long to target zone. Safe exit at 99.5, brave buyers could extend further.
DXYDaily structure pointing to an easing of price action in the near term. 5 bar fractals providing the extremes of the range. The bullish Cypher is obviously incomplete and a guess. But the bottom of the range and the shift in sentiment needs to be revisited before any upside. The Cypher would give us the wyckoff spring and upside taking out highs on the way to 💯.
Analysis of the Dollar Index.The Dollar Index has been in an upward trend towards 100 for nearly 40 days, and the likelihood of reaching the 100 level is high. This is probably going to happen in the coming weeks.
It’s almost bullish across all timeframes below the daily, and only negative news can change this trend.
DXY OutlookWhen the Dollar Rises, Crypto Feels the Heat 💵🔥
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) tracks how strong the dollar is against other currencies. When it climbs, it means investors are moving money into safe assets like cash or U.S. bonds — and away from risky plays like Bitcoin and altcoins.
A stronger dollar makes crypto more expensive globally, reduces demand, and usually pushes prices down.
When the DXY cools off, liquidity flows back into risk assets — that’s when crypto tends to bounce.
In short:
📈 DXY up = crypto down
📉 DXY down = crypto up
Watch the DXY; it’s one of the best macro indicators for crypto moves.
The Dollar Index (DXY) AnalysisDXY is holding above 98.75 (Fib 61.8%), indicating a short-term bullish bias after bouncing from the recent low near 98.15.
Momentum remains positive, with the index approaching resistance at R1: 99.00 and a potential upside target toward R2: 99.25–99.40 zone.
RSI near 60 reflects moderate bullish momentum without being overbought.
Bollinger mid-band (around 98.75) acts as near-term support, keeping intraday sentiment positive.
Bias stays bullish above 98.75, but rejection near 99.25 may trigger minor profit booking.
Fundamental Factors
- Foreign institutional investors have restarted accumulating US stocks:
- October witnessed the highest purchase of US stocks by non-US investors
- Total purchase made = +$22 billion so far in October, the most in last 4 months.
- Marking the 3rd consecutive monthly inflow, after negative inflows reported in July.
- Meanwhile, foreign holdings of US equities rose to a record $20 trillion last quarter.
It seems everyone again wants to enter the US stock market.
Remember 2 Things:
1. When stock market (riskier market) attracts demand =>> The safe havens (Gold) "might" get weaker
2. For Foreign Investors, to invest in US Stock markets =>> first needs to purchase US Dollar =>> US Dollar Strengthens
- When US Dollar strengthens =>> Gold weakens
King Dollar Returns: 98.190 Break💵 Dollar Breakout — Cross Assets Dumping Hard
The U.S. Dollar just flipped 98.190 CAP
After weeks of hesitation, DXY broke clean through the 98.190 daily imbalance, turning prior resistance into a launchpad — and global markets are reacting fast.
📊 Technical Frame
The daily imbalance that capped price now acts as fresh support, confirming a higher-timeframe breakout.
Momentum alignment across 4H and Daily frames signals a firm trend shift.
Upside magnet sits at 98.800–99.200, the next liquidity shelf where sellers may regroup.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
Cross assets are dumping — EUR AND GBP all bleeding as Dollar strength tightens global liquidity.
Yields grind higher with markets reloading for extended Fed tightness.
Risk aversion and portfolio deleveraging are amplifying the move — capital is flowing back into USD safety.
🧭 Takeaway
The Dollar is back in charge. Above 98.190, the structure supports continuation toward 99+.
In this regime, correlation flips: strong Dollar = weak everything else.
When the Dollar breathes in, global markets exhale.






















