DXY SELLING FASTDxy has found a resistance at 100.000 and created a double top.
i am pretty confident we're headed down..
trade red daily candles
Trade ideas
DXY SHORTDXY seems it willfall till m-fvg as d-fvg looking disrespected and h4 bearish fvg above weakly bullish fvg not in favour
GBPUSD BUY SIGNALWait for price to break out above 1.32150 then take a BUY to 1.3400. That's over 180 pips. Using a lot size of 1, that can give you $1800. Let's feast
[b]US Dollar technical Forecast: USD Poised for Breakout US Dollar technical Forecast: USD Poised for Breakout Ahead of High-Stakes Fed Decision
USD Dollar rally drops into confluent support - December opening-range taking shape ahead of major policy catalyst.
USD is Coiling with a narrowing structure, and a breakout from this zone will be critical in determining the next directional leg.
Fed decision an top tomorrom- focus on updated SEP as trader's asses monetary policy outlook.
DXY Resistance 100.16/42 (key), 101.20/55, 103 - Support 98.99-99.08, 97.65/80(key) 96.94
USD Poised for Breakout Ahead of High-Stakes Fed DecisionThe range broke lower into the December open with the index plunging 1.6% before rebounding off Fibonacci support to register a weekly close-low last week at 98.99. The focus now shifts to the Fed rate decision tomorrow with the monthly opening-range taking shape just above support- decision time for the US Dollar.
Initial weekly support rests with the 38.2% retracement of the advance off the yearly low at 98.80. A break / weekly close below this threshold would threaten another bout of accelerated losses with the next major technical consideration seen at the 2025 low-week close (LWC) and the 61.8% retracement at 97.65/81- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Subsequent support rests with the 2021 swing high at 96.94 and the 2025 swing low at 96.22.
Key resistance remains unchanged at the 100.15/42- a region defined by the 2024 swing low, the November high-week close, the July high, and the 2024 LWC. A topside breach / weekly close above this threshold is needed to mark resumption of the September uptrend with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 52-week moving average (currently ~101.20) and the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 101.55.
Bottom line: The U.S. Dollar is trading just above confluent support with the monthly opening-range in focus heading into major event risk. Look for the breakout to offer guidance in the days ahead. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 98.80 for the September uptrend to remain viable with a weekly close above 100.42 ultimately needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB
DXY Trade Set Up Dec 9 2025I am expecting DXY to continue bullish for now, targeting supply before the reversal back down
GBPUSD - Session Low Long GBPUSD tapping into Asia session low. I waited for the first 15 min candle close in this region first which price wicked into and then reversed. I then wanted a second confirmation which was the DXY. DXY was approaching a high from last week which it was respecting.
SL & TP: 10 PIPS
RR: 1:1
Risk: 1%
GU Session High resistanceGU is touching a fresh resistance, SL flexed to accommodate GBP volatility, there is a price gap on GBP DTF that market might seek to drop to fill, and DXY is breaking through 99.00 zone after hovering there for some time
DXY rebounded slightly due to the expectation more hawkish FedThe US dollar rebounded after the recent weakness due to increased odds of a rate hike at tomorrow's meeting.
Meanwhile, today's US October JOLTS data may offer further clarity on the labor market following the delayed October NFP. Markets are anticipating the JOTLS to fall to 7.2 million, which could contract the job openings per unemployment rate under the 1.0 level and add further concern about the labor market, despite a low unemployment rate.
DXY breached 99.00 and EMA21. The index remains between the bearish EMAs, indicating potential consolidation.
If DXY breaks below 99.00 again, the index could retreat toward the next support at 98.65.
Conversely, if the DXY moves above the EMA78, the index may advance toward the next resistance level at 99.45.
USD Testing Pivotal Support Ahead of FOMCThe US Dollar is rebounding off key near-term support into the start of the week at 98.69/80- a region defined by the August high-day close (HDC), the May swing low, and the 38.2% retracement of the advance off the yearly low. The immediate focus is on this recovery heading into the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Wednesday. Initial resistance is eyed at 38.2% retracement of the November decline, the December open, and the 200-day moving average around 99.39/48. Near-term bearish invalidation is eyed at the 61.8% retracement 99.77- note that this level converges on former channel support and a breach / close above this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place, and the potential for resumption of the September uptrend. Key resistance remains unchanged at the 2024 low, the August high, and the 2024 low-close at 100.15/35.
A break below this key support pivot would threaten substantial losses of the Dollar with the next major technical consideration eyed at the 2018 swing low and the 61.8% retracement 97.71/81.
Bottom line: The US Dollar is rebounding off near-term support, and the focus is on a breakout of the December opening-range in the days. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 98.69 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 99.77 needed to validate the turn. Keep in mind we get the releases of the FOMC’s updated Summary of Economic Projections and the focus will be on the interest rate dot-plot as traders assess the outlook for monetary policy heading into 2026. Expect some volatility this week.
- AG
How XAUUSD and DXY reflecting each other?It says morning can proivde clues on the day! similarly daily open can provide how the price do all along the day!
Since market open on DXY, the price indicating bearish price action expect this hour with a rejection upside which in turn could be preparation for drop again as market left imblalance toward the downside.
GOLD is, as the mirror of DXY has creating mirror price action with initial bounce now moving back towards daily support level.
As DXY indicating bearish move further, It is high probability GOLD may bounce off the daily support level.
So todays level looking at
DXY possible down from 99.02
GOLD possible upside from 4198.00
Bullish bounce off key suppport?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a multi-swing high.
Pivot: 98.62
1st Support: 97.18
1st Resistance: 100.39
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DXY Bullish Outlook | SMA Pullback + Breakout Confirmation🚀 DXY BULLISH SWING SETUP: SMA PULLBACK CONFIRMED! | Key Levels & Correlated Pairs 📈
🎯 Trade Idea: Bullish Swing on DXY (US Dollar Index)
📊 Asset: TVC:DXY | Timeframe: 4H & Daily
🔥 Strategy: Simple Moving Average Pullback + Resistance Breakout Confirmation
⚡ ENTRY PLAN:
Trigger: Break & close above 99.900 resistance
Ideal Entry: Any pullback toward 99.700-99.850 after breakout
Confirmation: Price holding above SMA support (adjust to your preferred period)
🛑 STOP LOSS (RISK MANAGEMENT):
Reference level: 99.300
👑 Dear Trading Family (Thief OGs) – This is MY protective stop. PLEASE adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance and strategy. I am not responsible for your SL/TP decisions. Manage your own risk!
✅ TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
Primary TP: 100.900 (Strong confluence: SuperTrend ATR resistance + overbought zone potential trap)
Partial take profits advised along the way
🧠 Reminder: You can take money at YOUR own discretion. Not financial advice!
📈 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & CORRELATIONS:
FX:EURUSD – Inversely correlated (~57.6% weight in DXY). DXY up = EURUSD down.
FX:GBPUSD – Negative correlation. Strong dollar pushes GBPUSD lower.
FX:USDJPY – Positive correlation. DXY bullish = USDJPY often rises.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) – Typically inverse to dollar strength.
TVC:USOIL (Crude) – Dollar up can pressure oil prices (denominated in USD).
🔍 KEY POINTS:
Watch for USD strength across majors to confirm DXY momentum
If DXY rallies, expect EURUSD & GBPUSD to show sell setups
Always correlate with Fed policy expectations & US economic data
📌 DISCLAIMER:
This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. You are responsible for your own decisions.
Let’s get this bread! 🍞 If you find this helpful, drop a like 👍, follow for more ideas, and share your thoughts in the comments!
#DXY #USDollar #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingView #FX #RiskManagement #ThiefOGs
how dollar index look like now!!This is a long-term structural analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).
While no analyst can predict the exact future path of price, studying major structures, liquidity zones, long-term channels, and timing cycles can provide a meaningful macro perspective.
In this chart I highlight:
• Key liquidity pools and distribution/accumulation zones
• Long-term ascending and descending channels
• Major Fibonacci confluence zones
• Structural breaks and mitigation blocks
• Possible multi–year corrective cycles
• Time cycles that have previously aligned with major turning points
The overall idea suggests that DXY may be entering a macro inflection point, where both bullish and bearish scenarios become highly sensitive to structural confirmation.
A deeper correction remains possible if price loses the mid–range support zone, while a reclaim of upper structure could extend the bullish cycle first.
This is not a prediction — it’s a roadmap.
Price will choose its own path, but having a broader structural view helps traders understand where major reactions may occur over the next several years.
DXY – Strong Supply Zone and Potential Bullish Breakout SetupThis chart shows a descending trendline on the DXY with price consolidating beneath it. The highlighted green area represents a strong supply zone where previous reactions occurred. If price breaks above the trendline, it may attempt a bullish move toward this zone. The blue projection illustrates a possible scenario based on market structure—not a guarantee or financial advice.
DXY update 95-96 STRONG SUPPORT ? From the data that has been compiled, we can see that there is a reaction at the 95 support area.
Is this a strong support area for a bullish reversal ?
We'll see what happens next...we need more times to watch it movements as DXY still consolidation.
Have a Blessing week ahead !
dxy 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Time to sell BRL for USDUSD/BRL completed a textbook Head & Shoulders which started in April/March. It hit the R$5,29 target for a few week, and is now climbing.
www.tradingview.com
Why now though? Well, the DXY indicator has also done the same after completing its own H&S, and is now trending up, away from support.
DXY downThis isn’t truly MVP system without the volume.
But we get the M & the P with the dollar & it’s still an interesting chart.
MOMENTUM-
RSI just broke down from a consistent uptrend channel. Could be a false move. Will be 👀
PRICE -
Rejected from 100. Still ranging bw 97-100.
What is the value of this info?? Well, within this channel, the dxy tends to move opp the indices although not a perfect correlation. Also, the VIX is moving down on the daily chart. Seasonality is on the side of the bulls for the indices. All in all, several signs point towards a move up for the indices in December. If the indices chop instead of move up, I suspect there may be a bigger move down in 2026.
Dxy bear 15 min chartDxy is heading down Converselry I suspect silver and gold will make an upswing from here by 3%
The Dollar Is Compressing Into 98.635 — Macro Pressure Meets StrThe dollar has been under steady macro pressure all week.
Rate cut expectations, softer yields, and liquidity repricing have weakened the USD across the board.
We’ve seen the same conditions lift EURUSD, gold, and BTC — not because those markets react to DXY levels, but because they respond to the same macro drivers.
That is the correct interpretation.
Now the structural question is simple:
DXY is sitting less than 0.11% above monthly balance and pressing into 98.635 — the level algorithms historically defend.
This is the inflection.
If 98.635 holds:
USD stabilizes, stretched rotations cool, and we likely see counterflow in EUR, gold, and BTC.
If 98.635 breaks:
Macro pressure accelerates, and the next leg of dollar weakness opens with far more momentum.
The key distinction:
FA explains the pressure.
TA defines the resolution.
Cross-asset strength today isn’t randomness.
It’s macro conditions expressed differently across instruments while USD approaches the structural point where the next phase becomes obvious.
Watch 98.635.
Structure will answer what fundamentals only set up.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
Dollar Index Bearish Trend Continuation From Marked ResistancesH1 - Bearish Trend in play
Two Solid Resistance Levels
Trend continuation very likely after pullback.
