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US Dollar Index (DXY) – Institutional Structural OutlookMacro Context The Dollar Index is currently holding within a weekly demand zone after a prolonged distributive phase. The market is evaluating whether this region will act as a structural accumulation base or if deeper liquidity levels will be tested. Confirmation from COT reports will be crucial to validate institutional positioning. Technical Structure Breakout & Acceptance: The last major breakout is still respected, with price now consolidating above demand. Demand Layers: Three clear demand zones are mapped: Current Demand – where the market is attempting to accumulate. Deep Discount Demand – a deeper structural level where liquidity could be absorbed if the first zone fails. Extreme Deep Discount Demand – ultimate defensive layer, aligned with long-term rebalancing. Accumulation: Price is building a smaller accumulation range, signaling potential preparation for an institutional move. Projected Scenarios Primary Bias (Accumulation/Long): If confirmed by COT, current accumulation may trigger a structural recovery of the Dollar, strengthening against weaker counterparts (AUD, NZD). Invalidation: A clean break below the current demand would open the path towards deeper demand zones, reframing the context as continuation of distribution. Confirmation & Monitoring COT Reports: Weekly positioning will confirm whether institutional players are indeed accumulating or still unwinding Dollar exposure. Volatility Index (VIX + EVZ): As timing filters for breakout confirmation. Macro Drivers: Next Fed communications and global liquidity flows remain critical catalysts. ⚖️ Institutional Note: The DXY is at a decision point – smaller accumulation is visible, but validation from institutional flows (COT) is essential before considering a structural recovery.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by philipemav
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week: - Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again - Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea
TVC:DXYLong
by SalvoVaccaro
DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXY
by JCFRGNT
Dollar Index Analysis and Macro view in shortSo, I was analyzing the Dollar Index (DXY) to understand its next direction. Initially, I had not checked the global interest rate landscape. After reviewing the interest rates of Japan, Canada, Europe, and other regions, it became clear that the United States currently has higher interest rates. This means capital is more likely to stay in the U.S. dollar, which supports continued strength in the DXY. The move was expected and aligned well with the VIX behavior. In this analysis, I used a blend of: Technical analysis Semi-fundamental insights Macro-economic context If you have a different view or a different approach to analyzing the DXY, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I would love to hear how you approach dollar index analysis, because understanding the DXY is one of the key components of global market insight.
TVC:DXY
by Risk_Adj_Return
dxy 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker
FOMC OutlookAs US–China trade war concerns ease, the market’s attention is turning to today’s FOMC meeting. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that is already fully priced in. The decision comes amid “rising risks in the labor market,” as emphasized by nearly all Fed members. In addition to today’s expected 25 bps cut, markets are also pricing in another reduction at the December meeting. With inflation increasing more slowly than expected and Trump easing tariffs, the Fed now has greater flexibility to lower rates, aligning with our outlook. Two main topics will be in focus at this meeting. The first is quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed slowed QT earlier this year, and based on Powell’s recent comments, it could slow further or even be halted entirely. The 10-year Treasury yield has already fallen below 4% in anticipation of such a move. The Fed is likely to announce the end of QT or signal that it will conclude soon. If the announcement did not come, it will be seen as hawkish. The second topic is further rate cuts in 2026. Markets are pricing in two to three additional cuts that year. Powell’s tone regarding the 2026 outlook could be one of the key drivers of today’s market reaction. The dollar index remains calm ahead of the meeting. After testing the long-term trendline from 2011 (white line), the dollar recovered above its 100-day moving average and has since turned flat. The 99.60–100.80 zone, previously a major support, now acts as resistance. The dollar is currently trapped between that resistance and the long-term trendline. Depending on the outcome of today’s FOMC meeting, the index could start to move either toward the resistance area or back to the trendline.
TVC:DXY
by ftdsystem
US Dollar Coiled for Breakout ahead of the FedThe US Dollar is coiling just below resistance, with DXY trading within a contractionary range ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC rate decision. The index rallied nearly 3.5% off the yearly lows before stalling, with price consolidate within the first weekly range of October heading into the highly anticipated FOMC rate decision tomorrow. The focus is on a breakout of this range to drive the next directional move as we head into the close of the month. Weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the mid-September rally / 2025 low-week close (LWC) at 97.50/65. A break / weekly close below this threshold would threaten downtrend resumption toward the 2021 high at 96.94 and the June low at 96.37 – both areas of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. The next major technical consideration rests 94.65/97- a key pivot-zone defined by the March 2020 swing low, the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 advance, and the 100% extension of the 2023 decline. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Weekly resistance is eyed at the 2023 low / 209 high / April low-week close (LWC) at 99.59/67 with bearish invalidation just higher at the 2024 low / LWC at 100.16/42- a breach / weekly close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 101.55 and the 52-week moving average at 101.98. Bottom line: The U.S. Dollar is coiled just below resistance, and the focus is on a breakout of the 97.50-99.66 range for guidance heading into the close of the month. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 97.50 IF the Dollar is higher on this stretch with a breach above 100.41 needed to validate a more significant breakout in price. -MB
TVC:DXY
by FOREX.com
DXY Long-Term big surprise revealed by Gold! Hi Guys, I've been doing some research on the DXY and Gold charts and I've been reading news headlines For the past 20 years and trying to link it with both DXY and Gold charts and I've found out Some interesting facts that literally flipped the market upside down. So I pointed each even with the corresponding candle and I would love to know what do you guys Think about this so feel free to comment and share your opinion on what's really going on behind The scenes.
TVC:DXYLong
by Crypto-Shrimp
DXY — The Market UpdateDXY — The Market Therapist’s Take 🧭 Context The U.S. Dollar sits between 98.613 and 98.143 — the high and low from Tuesday, October 21. That zone still controls the market’s psychology. Price is absorbing every order above and below it — a quiet accumulation phase that looks like chaos, but isn’t. The question isn’t “where next,” it’s “who’s still trapped inside.” 📐 Technical Map Daily structure remains bullish range, while weekly and monthly dynamic maps stay bearish. Four months straight, price has rotated through the same rhythm — collecting both buy and sell stops across cross-assets. It’s not indecision; it’s design. If 98.613 breaks, we open expansion higher. If 98.143 gives way, next pivot becomes the target. 🌐 Fundamental Pulse The dollar’s not crashing — it’s unwinding its old story. For two years, the script was simple: high yields, safe haven, strong America. Now, traders are rewriting the plot. Prediction markets show a 40% chance of a U.S. recession in 2025. Rate-cut expectations jumped from one to three. Meanwhile, Germany’s €500 B infrastructure and defense plan signals a new fiscal identity for Europe — and money follows that kind of momentum shift. 📊 Volume & Order Flow Map Volume tools mark 98.197 as the month’s Volume Key line. Close above it, and the bias turns bullish — potential for expansion. Close below, and we remain in a controlled range. This is no accident — it’s liquidity engineering. Volume flow reveals the intention behind every candle. 🎯 Plan Price symmetry holds mid-range, trapping traders chasing both sides. In this kind of terrain, in-and-out execution is survival, not fear. Stay inside structure until the market itself declares direction. The currency game isn’t random — it’s orchestration. When you can’t hold bias, hold discipline. When price hides intent, follow volume. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
DXY Weekly Outlook - Impact on XAU/USD & EUR/USD📊DXY Weekly Outlook - Impact on XAU/USD & EUR/USD On the weekly timeframe, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) after retesting a key support zone, identified as a weekly breaker block. This technical setup suggests a bullish outlook for the upcoming week. 📈 A strengthening dollar typically translates into a weaker Euro and potential downward pressure on Gold (XAU/USD) due to their negative correlation with the USD. In addition, there is engineered draw on liquidity to the upside, supported by an unfilled imbalance (weekly Fair Value Gap) , providing a strong indication that price may continue to seek higher levels in order to rebalance this inefficiency. Also, we have identified a Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence on the weekly timeframe between DXY and EUR/USD, adding strong confluence to our outlook. Specifically, DXY has formed a lower low, while EUR/USD has created a higher high ,an indication of underlying dollar strength and bearish momentum building for EUR/USD. On the EUR/USD weekly chart, a liquidity grab followed by a Market Structure Shift further supports our bearish bias for the pair in the coming week. In summary: DXY: Bullish bias 🐂 EUR/USD: Bearish bias 🐻 XAU/USD: Bearish bias 🐻 Overall, based on current structure, SMT divergence, and prior technical analysis, I expect the U.S. Dollar to strengthen in the week ahead, with EUR/USD and Gold likely to experience downward movement.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by TheProfitRoomFx
DXY OutlookWhen the Dollar Rises, Crypto Feels the Heat 💵🔥 The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) tracks how strong the dollar is against other currencies. When it climbs, it means investors are moving money into safe assets like cash or U.S. bonds — and away from risky plays like Bitcoin and altcoins. A stronger dollar makes crypto more expensive globally, reduces demand, and usually pushes prices down. When the DXY cools off, liquidity flows back into risk assets — that’s when crypto tends to bounce. In short: 📈 DXY up = crypto down 📉 DXY down = crypto up Watch the DXY; it’s one of the best macro indicators for crypto moves.
TVC:DXYLong
by JBDigital_Network