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US DOLLAR — Structure Shift in Motion🧭 Context The dollar continues to push higher while major crosses weaken. Risk sentiment remains defensive as traders lean toward safety going into the new week. 📈 Technical POV We’re trading into the structural pivot at 99.804, not above it yet. The daily chart shows stretched momentum — near +2 deviation — but buyers still control the short-term rhythm. The broader weekly bias remains bearish, so this move likely forms a counter-rally within the larger range. 🌍 Macro View Currency Index: DXY advancing toward 100.00, driven by steady demand for USD amid uncertain global data. Central Bank: The Fed’s 25 bps cut came with a neutral tone, signaling a pause — enough to keep the dollar firm. Yields: U.S. 10-year yields hover near 4%, maintaining the yield advantage over Europe and Japan. Seasonality: Early November often favors USD flows as funds rebalance into year-end positioning. 📊 Volume / Order Flow Liquidity behavior remains balanced near current levels. No clear exhaustion yet — market is simply rotating into the key 99.804 zone, waiting for confirmation before expansion. 🎯 Plan If we close above 99.804, it could unlock a move toward the weekly discount-zone liquidity, potentially sparking strong reactions across major cross pairs. If rejected, expect short-term pullback before any renewed strength. 🧠 CORE5 Note Professional traders don’t predict — they prepare. Let price prove conviction before you act. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D3| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D3| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
dxy 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker
DXY Daily Map for 3 to 7 November 2025What this is A clean, event aware plan for the Dollar Index for the week ahead. We start the week with DXY holding the ninety nine handle and sitting just below the round one hundred line. The location is the story. Round numbers compress behavior. If you pre mark the right shelves and then trade the reaction to data and auction tone, you can avoid most of the week’s traps while still catching the meaningful moves. Chart setup Use TVC:DXY on the daily and one hour. Keep the chart clean. Draw only the bands you will act on. • 100.00 round number • 100.15 to 100.45 first resistance band • 100.50 to 101.00 second resistance band • 99.50 to 99.30 first support shelf • 98.90 to 98.60 second support shelf • 98.20 daily defense line Add a fifteen minute ATR for sizing. No other overlays. You do not need them. Why this week matters The heaviest flow sits midweek when private labor gauges, services surveys, and refunding headlines can all hit inside a tight window. On Thursday the Bank of England adds a cross current through GBP and EUR which together carry real weight inside DXY. You do not have to predict any of these. You only need to decide what you will do if price reaches your bands with momentum or with rejection. How to read the round number One hundred is not a signal. It is a liquidity pocket. The first touch after a period below tends to be noisy because participants with different time frames meet there. The more disciplined path is to let the first touch play out, then trade the second decision. If a fifteen minute close accepts above 100.20 and pullbacks hold, you have confirmation to work the first band. If the first test spikes and fails, the wick itself gives you a clear invalidation for a fade back toward 99.50. Scenarios to plan for Acceptance above the first band Price pushes through 100.15 and holds above 100.20 on a fifteen minute close after firm services or a solid tone in rates. The plan is to buy the first clean retest of 100.20 with a stop a few ticks below the retest low. First target 100.45. Second target 100.80 to 101.00 if the tape stays orderly. Trail only after the first target prints. Rejection at the first band A sharp wick into 100.15 to 100.45 that fails within the first five to ten minutes after headlines is often the highest quality fade of the week. Short into the rejection with a stop above 100.55. Take partials into 99.80 and again into 99.50. If 99.50 loses on a fifteen minute close, hold a runner for 99.30. Breakdown through support If 99.50 to 99.30 gives way without a clear catalyst, do not chase the first break. Wait for a back test that fails. Then target 98.90 to 98.60 with small size. This environment rewards patience because air pockets near round numbers can retrace quickly. Cross current from the Bank of England If the press conference lifts GBP and EUR, DXY can slide even if U.S. data is mixed. In that case the plan is simple. Respect your support shelves. Do not fight a broad based dollar selloff at support unless the curve turns back in your favor. Execution checklist • Price touches a band on a headline. • Wait five full minutes. • Decide between confirmation or rejection. • If confirmation, demand a fifteen minute close through the band and a clean retest. • If rejection, let the wick print and use the wick high or low as your invalidation. • Take partials one band at a time rather than the exact level. • If you are still in a trade into the U.S. close on Friday, flatten first and protect your weekend. Risk and position sizing Keep risk small until the midweek cluster passes. Use a volatility stop based on the current fifteen minute ATR. Tie your size to that stop so that one loss equals a fixed fraction of account risk. Set a max loss for the day and for the week. If either is hit you are done. That is a rule, not a suggestion. What can go wrong • A surprise release at an unexpected time can push the index through a band before you have a signal. If you missed it, you missed it. Do nothing. • A sloppy Treasury headline can move rates while equities rally. That mixture can confuse the dollar for an hour. Size down and let the tape choose a side. • The Bank of England tone can reverse a move you liked. During the press conference keep positions smaller and stops wider or stand aside. Three simple rules for the week • Trade reaction, never the headline itself. • Confirm with a fifteen minute close before betting on a break. • Take partials into the next band every single time. Disclaimer Education and analytics only. This is not investment advice.
TVC:DXY
by exlux
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Institutional Structural OutlookMacro Context The Dollar Index is currently holding within a weekly demand zone after a prolonged distributive phase. The market is evaluating whether this region will act as a structural accumulation base or if deeper liquidity levels will be tested. Confirmation from COT reports will be crucial to validate institutional positioning. Technical Structure Breakout & Acceptance: The last major breakout is still respected, with price now consolidating above demand. Demand Layers: Three clear demand zones are mapped: Current Demand – where the market is attempting to accumulate. Deep Discount Demand – a deeper structural level where liquidity could be absorbed if the first zone fails. Extreme Deep Discount Demand – ultimate defensive layer, aligned with long-term rebalancing. Accumulation: Price is building a smaller accumulation range, signaling potential preparation for an institutional move. Projected Scenarios Primary Bias (Accumulation/Long): If confirmed by COT, current accumulation may trigger a structural recovery of the Dollar, strengthening against weaker counterparts (AUD, NZD). Invalidation: A clean break below the current demand would open the path towards deeper demand zones, reframing the context as continuation of distribution. Confirmation & Monitoring COT Reports: Weekly positioning will confirm whether institutional players are indeed accumulating or still unwinding Dollar exposure. Volatility Index (VIX + EVZ): As timing filters for breakout confirmation. Macro Drivers: Next Fed communications and global liquidity flows remain critical catalysts. ⚖️ Institutional Note: The DXY is at a decision point – smaller accumulation is visible, but validation from institutional flows (COT) is essential before considering a structural recovery.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by philipemav
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week: - Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again - Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea
TVC:DXYLong
by SalvoVaccaro
Dollar Index Analysis and Macro view in shortSo, I was analyzing the Dollar Index (DXY) to understand its next direction. Initially, I had not checked the global interest rate landscape. After reviewing the interest rates of Japan, Canada, Europe, and other regions, it became clear that the United States currently has higher interest rates. This means capital is more likely to stay in the U.S. dollar, which supports continued strength in the DXY. The move was expected and aligned well with the VIX behavior. In this analysis, I used a blend of: Technical analysis Semi-fundamental insights Macro-economic context If you have a different view or a different approach to analyzing the DXY, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I would love to hear how you approach dollar index analysis, because understanding the DXY is one of the key components of global market insight.
TVC:DXY
by Risk_Adj_Return
dxy 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker
FOMC OutlookAs US–China trade war concerns ease, the market’s attention is turning to today’s FOMC meeting. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that is already fully priced in. The decision comes amid “rising risks in the labor market,” as emphasized by nearly all Fed members. In addition to today’s expected 25 bps cut, markets are also pricing in another reduction at the December meeting. With inflation increasing more slowly than expected and Trump easing tariffs, the Fed now has greater flexibility to lower rates, aligning with our outlook. Two main topics will be in focus at this meeting. The first is quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed slowed QT earlier this year, and based on Powell’s recent comments, it could slow further or even be halted entirely. The 10-year Treasury yield has already fallen below 4% in anticipation of such a move. The Fed is likely to announce the end of QT or signal that it will conclude soon. If the announcement did not come, it will be seen as hawkish. The second topic is further rate cuts in 2026. Markets are pricing in two to three additional cuts that year. Powell’s tone regarding the 2026 outlook could be one of the key drivers of today’s market reaction. The dollar index remains calm ahead of the meeting. After testing the long-term trendline from 2011 (white line), the dollar recovered above its 100-day moving average and has since turned flat. The 99.60–100.80 zone, previously a major support, now acts as resistance. The dollar is currently trapped between that resistance and the long-term trendline. Depending on the outcome of today’s FOMC meeting, the index could start to move either toward the resistance area or back to the trendline.
TVC:DXY
by ftdsystem