DXY Turning Bearish: This Week’s Best USD Sell Setups!This week I’m watching the DXY closely, and the structure is giving a bearish outlook, opening the door for multiple USD sell opportunities across the board.
I’m analyzing high-probability sell setups on:
🔹 USDCAD – looking for downside continuation
🔹 USDCHF – bearish momentum building
🔹 USDJPY – potential reversal and sell structure forming
🔹 AUDUSD – bullish strength as USD weakens
🔹 GBPUSD – clean bullish flow against the dollar
🔹 NZDUSD – continuation buys as USD trends lower
🔹 GBPJPY – watching for yen strength + risk flow shifts
📊 With the dollar losing steam, these pairs are lining up for possible trend continuation or reversal plays. In this video, I’ll break down structure, key zones, confluences, and what confirmations I want before entering.
👍 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe if you want weekly market breakdowns and trade ideas.
Trade ideas
Understanding Dollar Structure and DeliveryCurrent price action is unfolding inside the Intermediate Dealing Range, defined by the November 5 high and the October 17 low. DXY is trading in the premium of its 20 day IPDA range, with equal highs sitting just under the 0.25 level as my first draw on liquidity and a Daily SIBI resting right above it. If price reacts at those equal highs, fine, that is expected. But if it keeps pressing higher, the Daily SIBI is the next draw, no question. And if price shifts with displacement from either of those levels, I am looking straight to the relative equal lows first, then 98.563 below the 0.75 level. With NFP coming up, the fundamentals can blow through structure, but if the dollar shows weakness, price is reaching into discount. That is the only direction it can go.
If you want to understand the delivery here, study this chart from August 1. Watch how price cleans up inefficiencies, hunts liquidity, and moves between premium and discount with every shift in order flow. Every displacement points to the next target. The PD arrays along the path are not decoration, they are the roadmap. I have marked the August 1 high and the September 18 low as the larger dealing range, and the November 5 high with the October 17 low as the Intermediate Dealing Range. That is the framework. That is where price is operating right now. If you want to understand the current delivery, this is the range you need to focus on.
Study the chart and you will see exactly why price moved the way it did. Yes, it is hindsight, and that is the whole point. Understanding past delivery helps you see future price action with real precision. The levels that got targeted here were not random. They were the logical draws. Learn that, and you stop guessing. The same delivery repeats again and again.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W47| D18 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D18 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY firmed between the hawkish Fed and Waller call of cuts.
The dollar strengthened despite the contrast between the Fed’s overall hawkish tone and Waller’s support for rate cuts.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack noted that policy must remain somewhat restrictive to bring inflation back to target, while St. Louis Fed President Musalem also emphasized that any policy easing should proceed cautiously.
In contrast, Fed Governor Waller said he is not concerned about a renewed acceleration in inflation and argued that several months of labor-market softness justify additional rate cuts. He added that tariffs are unlikely to have a lasting impact on inflation and that restrictive policy is increasingly weighing on the economy, particularly on lower- and middle-income households.
DXY briefly tested the support at 99.30 before climbing above both EMAs. The converging EMAs indicate a potential shift toward a bullish trend.
If DXY closes above both EMAs, the index may advance toward 99.80.
Conversely, if DXY breaks below both EMAs and 99.30, the index could retreat toward the next support at 99.00.
Bullish momentum to extend?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.11
1st Support: 98.63
1st Resistance: 100.27
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Trading Idea: DXY — Potential Reversal PointsTrading Idea: DXY — Potential Reversal Points
Technical Overview
The Dollar Index has formed a significant resistance level, from which price has moved toward the first high-volume zone. The chart highlights three potential areas of volume concentration, each capable of acting as a reaction point.
Key Zones
Zone 1 — The nearest high-volume area, serving as the first potential support level.
Zone 2 — An intermediate volume accumulation area.
Zone 3 — The most compelling zone, featuring an unfilled gap. The presence of this gap creates an additional price magnet, as markets tend to fill price gaps over time.
Trading Scenario
The primary hypothesis anticipates price movement toward the third high-volume zone with the objective of filling the gap. This area is expected to produce the strongest reaction and potential reversal.
However, monitoring price behavior in the first two zones remains essential. A clear bounce with confirmation could indicate an earlier conclusion to the downward movement.
Risk Management
Wait for price reaction in each designated zone and seek confirming signals before entering a position. While the unfilled gap in the third zone increases the probability of price reaching that level, it does not guarantee a reversal.
US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Movement Confirmed?!Following a recent bearish movement, the 📈DXY has corrected to a previously breached key structural level.
I have identified two significant bullish confirmations after this test: the price has violated the neckline of a double bottom pattern and the resistance line of a falling parallel channel pattern.
Both breakouts suggest a high probability of a bullish trend resumption.
The market will probably continue its upward trajectory and reach the 99.70 level in the near term.
DXY key levels to look out for this week (WC 17/11)DXY key levels for the following week ahead.
Key fundamentals this week includes FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday, NFP change along with unemployment rate on Thursday and to finish the week off on Friday- Manufacturing & Services PMI release on Friday.
DXY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 99.554.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 99.097 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D17 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D17 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY-DAily SetupPrice is expected to retest the 99.122 resistance level, where I will be looking for lower-timeframe sell confirmations. My initial target for the downside move is the 98.313 support zone. If this level breaks decisively, I will monitor the next support area for continuation.
My invalidation for the bearish scenario will be a clean break and retest of 99.339, which would signal potential bullish continuation in line with the broader trend.
While executing the sell setup, I will also be watching closely for a bullish reversal around 97.863, which aligns with my higher-timeframe bias.
Bullish bounce off key support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is declining toward the pivot level and may rebound toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.67
1st Support: 97.85
1st Resistance: 100.07
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY price taps into a clean supply block, creating a shift in order flow as liquidity above the highs gets swept. A corrective push toward the next demand pocket is likely. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY — Sunday War MapThe U.S. government has reopened after a 43-day shutdown, but the gap in economic data remains.
Several key datasets were not collected during the closure, and the missing information cannot be reconstructed.
As a result, the Dollar is now trading on partial visibility rather than complete fundamentals.
Macro Overview
The most recent complete inflation report is September CPI at 3.0%, with core inflation also at 3.0%.
Earlier in the month, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) briefly moved above 100.
It then retreated toward 99 after consumer sentiment fell to a three-year low.
Last week’s muted behavior reflects uncertainty, not a structural shift.
When information is missing, liquidity becomes cautious and price action compresses.
Key Events This Week (Nov 17–21)
FOMC Minutes — Wednesday, Nov. 20
This release provides the first reliable view into Federal Reserve discussions since the shutdown.
Markets will look for whether policymakers supported multiple rate cuts or expressed hesitation.
Consumer Sentiment — Friday, Nov. 22
Last month saw a more than 30% year-over-year decline.
Another weak reading will influence Dollar positioning.
Delayed Data Returns
Housing, industrial production, and jobless claims will re-appear gradually this week.
These incomplete releases still matter ahead of the December 9–10 Federal Reserve meeting.
The Dollar is currently driven more by data absence than by clear economic direction.
MSM — Market Structure Mapping
DXY remains inside a major daily bullish range:
Range Low: 97.672
Range High: 99.985
Price sits near the 50% geometric midpoint.
Last week closed at 98.776, maintaining structural balance and preserving the broader bullish framework.
VFA — Volume Flow Analytics
Price continues to hold on the 98.725 bullish volume node, a level typically used for quiet accumulation.
This suggests ongoing absorption of buy-side orders at discount levels ahead of potential volatility expansion.
OFD — Order Flow Dynamics
Liquidity remains concentrated around two notable participation zones:
Aggressive buyers: 98.243
Aggressive sellers: 99.225
These zones are often retested early in the week to assess participation or clear weak inventory before direction establishes.
PEM — Precision Execution Modeling
Mid-range conditions are typically used to clear stops on both sides before intent forms.
Execution criteria for the week:
Respect higher-timeframe direction
Wait for confirmation
Avoid mid-range noise
Act only when structure, flow, and behavior align
High-quality setups generally appear after liquidity sweeps, not before.
Psychological Frame
The major risk this week is acting on incomplete data.
The shutdown left a statistical gap that has not yet been resolved.
Professionals avoid committing capital until visibility improves.
The appropriate approach for the week is simple: observe first, act later.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
DXY is on the next target after reaching previous fibo targetDXY respected a resistance line and went downward then rose up and gave us a clear rejection for an uptrend, On the previous analysis we did by using Fibonacci we can clearly see that it reached it's target.
Now we have the same system as before, a perfect Fibonacci with a target to reach as long as we remain in a downtrend.
Key Forex Economic Events (17-21 November 2025)The global economic calendar for the upcoming week (commencing Monday, November 17, 2025) features a series of pivotal data releases and central bank events that are likely to influence currency pairs, bond yields, and risk sentiment across major markets. With the US Federal Reserve's policy trajectory under scrutiny amid persistent concerns about inflation, the highlight is Wednesday's 9:00 a.m. USD FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could provide critical insights into future rate decisions. This is complemented by preliminary GDP figures from Japan and Canada on Monday, UK CPI on Wednesday, and a flurry of flash PMI readings on Friday spanning the EUR, GBP, and USD. Traders in South Africa (ZA), operating in the SAST timezone, should note the alignment of these events with local trading hours to manage volatility effectively.
The week kicks off on Monday with Asia-Pacific focus: at 1:50am, Japan's Preliminary GDP q/q offers an early gauge of growth momentum in the world's third-largest economy, potentially impacting JPY crosses. This is followed at 3:30pm by Canada's CPI y/y, a key inflation metric that could sway Bank of Canada expectations and strengthen or weaken the CAD against its US counterpart.
Midweek intensity builds on Wednesday, where the 9:00am release of Great Britain’s CPI y/y will test the Bank of England's resolve on monetary tightening amid elevated cost-of-living pressures. The centerpiece, however, is the 9:00am USD FOMC Meeting Minutes—a verbatim recap of the Federal Open Market Committee's latest deliberations. Market participants will parse these for dovish or hawkish signals on balance sheet runoff, terminal rate projections, and labor market resilience, with any surprises capable of triggering sharp USD moves.
Thursday appears lighter, marked as tentative for a 3:30pm USD NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) preview or related indicator, though no firm details are confirmed—advising caution for position sizing.
The week culminates on Friday with a PMI barrage starting at 10:00 a.m. EUR Flash Services PMI, followed by the 11:30 a.m. GBP Flash Services PMI, 4:45 p.m. USD Flash Services PMI, and 11:00 a.m. USD Flash Manufacturing PMI (noting potential overlap in timing for the USD releases). These high-frequency surveys will provide forward-looking snapshots of the Eurozone, the UK, and the US private sector's health, often serving as leading indicators for GDP and employment trends. Strong readings could bolster hawkish repricing, while weakness might fuel recession fears.
In summary, this week's calendar is dominated by inflation reads, growth proxies, and Fed commentary, presenting a high-impact environment for forex, equities, and fixed income. The FOMC Minutes stand out as a potential catalyst for volatility, with flash PMIs offering a capstone on Friday. For South African users (@alndobo), monitoring these in SAST—particularly the overlapping 9:00 am slots—will be essential for risk management. Positioning ahead of these events with appropriate stops and leveraging multi-asset correlations could yield opportunities, but vigilance against data surprises remains paramount in an uncertain macro backdrop.
DXY - Short-Term Bounce, But the Bigger Drop Isn’t Done YetThe Dollar Index is forming a small corrective up-move on the 4H chart. This current rise still looks weak and is unlikely to last long. As long as price stays below the major zones above, the broader structure suggests one more push lower before any meaningful bullish reversal.
Short-term volatility is expected, but the higher-timeframe pressure remains to the downside. We’ll be watching for a final drop to complete the structure before the next big move.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Bretton Woods 2.0?Examining the long-term trend of TVC:DXY since the 1980s, we might be facing a staggering 40% reduction in valuation, potentially landing us around 60. If the US were to devalue the dollar this drastically, could it effectively erase the national debt? 🤔 Is Trump bold enough to consider such a move?
We know the FED is going to cut eventually, the question is when and by how much? Initial claims came in higher than estimated, with cracks beginning to show in the labor market, how much longer can JPow hold out?
DXY Selling Idea before huge buys After years trying to understand the Forex Market, this is my next trading idea using Wyckoff Schematic Drawings. Only learnt about this this year. So lets break it down to understand this theory in Monthly Time Frame on DXY Dollar Index Chart.
Spring Theory is Three SC Sell Climax being done before the buy setup, Meaning?
After first SC then an ST Secondary Test of the low..Two SC must be reated before the buys. Posted chart just as a guide and analysis of Wyckoff Theory.
First SC @$78.00 Second SC @$71.13 Third SC should be around $64.00/$65.00 area.
Then to buy up taking out BS Buy Climax areas @$121.00 and $114.00 area to creat new HH Higher highs around $126.00 and $136.00 area. For now Sells are in play which is good oppounity on long term to buy Forex pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD.






















