DXY nfp again breaking the support?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Trade ideas
DXY 1H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
DXY Strategy Unlocked — Will Bulls Control the Next Swing?⚡ US Dollar Index (DXY) Swing/Day Trade Setup ⚡
💹 Asset: DXY (US Dollar Index)
📈 Plan: Bullish — Pending Order Strategy
📊 US Dollar Index (DXY) Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.55 (+0.56%)
Day's Range: 97.62 – 98.60
52-Week Range: 96.38 – 110.18
🔔 Trade Setup (Thief Plan)
Breakout Entry: 98.800 ⚡ (Set TradingView alarm to catch the move in real time)
Stop Loss: “Thief SL” @ 24,000.0 (only after breakout confirmation).
📝 Adjust your SL based on your strategy & risk appetite, Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s).
Target: Resistance/overbought zone at 100.20
🎩 Escape target: 100.000 (take profits before market flips).
😰 Fear & Greed Sentiment
Index Level: 64 (Greed)
Market Mood: Moderately greedy, driven by:
📉 Net new 52-week highs vs. lows (bullish)
📊 VIX near averages (neutral)
🛡️ Bonds underperforming stocks (risk-on)
📈 Junk bond demand narrowing spreads (greed signal)
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score
Fed Rate Cut Probability: 90% (Sept 18 FOMC, 25 bps cut expected)
Key Drivers:
✅ Labor Data: NFP (Sept 5) is crucial for direction.
⚠️ Trade Policy: Court ruled Trump tariffs illegal (appeal pending).
⬇️ Consumer Confidence: Michigan Index at 3-month low (58.2).
⬆️ ISM Manufacturing: Ahead of release, possible USD support.
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions supporting USD.
🐂 Overall Market Outlook Score
Bullish (Long): 60%
Bearish (Short): 40%
Bias: Short-term bullish as long as 97.60 holds.
USD rebound + bond yield strength + equity weakness backing USD.
⚠️ Risk: Break below 97.60 → next target 96.55 (bearish).
💡 Key Takeaways
🎯 NFP Report (Sept 5) = decisive catalyst.
⚖️ Fed debates + trade policy = medium-term uncertainty.
📉 Breakout above 98.80 is the key to bullish continuation.
🔍 Related Markets to Watch
FX:EURUSD
FX:GBPUSD
FX:USDJPY
OANDA:XAUUSD
CAPITALCOM:US30
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #DayTrading #SwingTrading #BreakoutStrategy #ThiefTrader #TradingSetup
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS-DXY, BTC,ETH, NAS100,SPX,XAU,XAGThis weekend's analysis will cover the Dollar Index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, NAS100, SPX500, Gold and Silver.
The DXY has found a strong support on both the monthly and daily charts. DXY has officially also broken it's weekly closing resistance level and I think a shift in momentum will propel DXY up higher in the next week towards a target zone of 99 to 99.600.
Bitcoin is still in a correction and currently paused on the weekly 21 EMA, I think it's consolidating sideways and will continue selling to the intended target of $102k in the coming week.
ETH nicely came to the previous resistance and seems to find some buyers there but there is no momentum or RSI strength to support an upward move, so I am bearish on ETH and think the price will fall some more into the target zone below $3,823.
NAS100 and SPX500 are also looking quite over stretch on it's Bollinger Bands and KC channels on the weekly charts, with weekly bearish candles suggesting a pullback in the equities is very likely in the next coming week.
Gold and Silver are in a strong uptrend and the uptrend will continue but I see profit taking on the charts. I expect some sideways consolidation and a minor pullback before the bullish continuation.
I thank you for listening to my publications and I wish you a great trading week. Cheers everybody!!
DXY - KEY LEVELS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK Last week the DXY tested the 97.500 level exactly as I forecasted over the week-end and on Thursday we saw a good breakout that pushed the price to the 98.150 area.
On Friday NFP was cancelled because of government shutdown so we didn't see a lot of volume however we had a re-test of the previous day breakout and the price closing above 97.700.
BULLISH VIEW:
Next week an important support to monitor wil be 97.513, a test of it could see the price going up to the 98.600 / 99.600 area.
BEARISH VIEW:
A break of the 97.513 with momentum could see the DXY re-testing 97.513 and the price lowering to 96.800 starting a long term selloff to the 95.000/92.000 long term support.
Please like / comment / share this idea - I will certainly follow up through the week.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – Elliott Wave & Wedge Pattern Analysis | The US Dollar Index (2H timeframe) is currently developing a corrective wedge structure (A–B–C–D–E) following a completed 5-wave bearish impulse. The current price action suggests a potential bullish correction from the E-point.
🔹 Technical Structure Breakdown:
The previous bearish leg completed a Wave (5), marking the end of an impulse cycle.
Price is now consolidating within a rising wedge pattern, forming the A–B–C–D–E structure.
The E-point is acting as a near-term support, aligning with the ascending wedge base.
Retracement targets:
50.0% → short-term correction level
78.6% → ideal reversal zone before continuation
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 97.600 – 97.500
Resistance Zone: 97.900 – 98.100
Fib Targets: 50% and 78.6% retracement of the recent swing
⚡ Analyst View:
The E-point bounce could lead to a short-term bullish corrective move toward the 50–78.6% Fibonacci levels before resuming the next bearish leg as part of a broader downtrend.
Traders should monitor reaction at the wedge top for possible rejection and reversal confirmation.
🧠 Pattern: Rising Wedge inside corrective phase
🕓 Timeframe: 2H
💰 Instrument: US Dollar Index (DXY)
🎯 Bias: Short-term bullish correction → medium-term bearish continuation
DXY Rejects IFVG & FVG2 – Bearish Liquidity Grab Ahead?📉 DXY – Fair Value Gap Rejection & Southside Liquidity in Play
Price action on DXY is showing clean rejections off both the IFVG and FVG 2, with buyers failing to hold above these supply zones. This rejection adds weight to the bearish bias as we continue to respect imbalances overhead.
🔑 Key points:
• FVG 1 likely to flip into an Inverted FVG (IFVG) → potential supply zone.
• Rejection off IFVG / FVG 2 confirms weak bullish momentum.
• Southside liquidity (SSL) is exposed beneath the recent swing lows.
• Prior FVG around 97.200 has already been tested and remains a key liquidity magnet.
📌 Scenarios to watch:
• A daily close below 97.600 strengthens bearish continuation.
• Southside liquidity sweeps expected with targets at and below 97.200.
• Invalidation: reclaim of 97.800 could fuel another leg higher toward 98.271 (upper liquidity/target).
💡 Bias: Bearish unless DXY reclaims 97.800. Watching for liquidity grabs and continuation lower into 97.200 and below.
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⚠️ This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
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#DXY #USD #FairValueGap #Liquidity #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex #DollarIndex #PriceAction #ICT
DXY DOLLAR INDEX The DXY, or U.S. Dollar Index, measures the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major currencies. It reflects how the dollar is performing against these international peers and serves as a key indicator of the dollar’s global value.
Key Points about DXY:
It tracks the U.S. dollar against the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF).
The euro has the largest weighting in the index (~57.6%), making it the biggest influence on the DXY.
Movements in the DXY indicate whether the dollar is strengthening or weakening overall.
A rising DXY means the dollar is gaining value against this currency basket; a falling DXY means it is losing value.
The index impacts global trade, commodity prices (like gold and oil), and international investment flows.
Practical Use:
The DXY is widely followed by forex traders, economists, and policymakers to gauge dollar strength.
It helps assess the U.S. dollar's impact on global markets and forecast currency market trends.
#DXY #DOLLAR #US10Y
DXY – 2H Chart SetupThe Dollar Index is showing signs of strength after bouncing from the 97.20–97.30 demand zone and reclaiming short-term structure. Price is currently consolidating around 97.55, and holding above this support keeps the outlook bullish.
📈 Bullish Bias:
Above 97.50 support, price is likely to push higher.
Next upside targets are 97.80, then 98.20 – 98.40 key resistance zone.
Retests of the 97.50–97.40 area could provide buy opportunities before the next leg up.
What data releases are at risk from the shutdown? The US dollar came under renewed pressure this week as the federal government entered its first shutdown in nearly seven years.
The shutdown, expected to last at least three days, means traders should not expect the September nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report this week. This key release, often one of the most closely watched on the calendar (by traders and the Federal Reserve), will now be delayed until government operations resume.
Other reports likely to be delayed or canceled include:
Wednesday, 8 October: FOMC Minutes
Wednesday, 15 October: Core and headline CPI inflation
Thursday, 16 October: Producer Price Index (PPI)
Thursday, 16 October: Retail sales
Friday, 17 October: Housing starts
EUR USD and DOLLAR UPDATE
The Dollar Index (DXY) is grinding through a daily order block and has just pierced 97.882.
Technical
If we close above 97.882, that confirms a break and opens continuation toward higher liquidity zones. With tomorrow’s heavy macro news, the setup has volume behind it for a potential massive move.
Macros
U.S. government shutdown is weighing on confidence and trimming growth forecasts (each week may shave 0.1–0.2pp off GDP).
The Fed remains cornered — markets price in rate cuts, but policy credibility is under scrutiny.
Safe-haven flows are mixed: gold at records, dollar stabilizing after Supreme Court support for Fed’s Cook.
Data releases are being delayed by the shutdown, which adds uncertainty and volatility.
EURUSD
We’re short and holding.
4-month rangebound structure remains
Be aware
Dollar strength is being fueled by technical break + macro volume. EURUSD is vulnerable if DXY confirms above 97.882.
But with policy risk and shutdown uncertainty, expect volatility spikes and liquidity hunts around tomorrow’s big data.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) OutlookThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a major corrective structure after topping out in 2022. On the monthly chart, price action suggests we are in the final stages of a Wave II correction, with a potential bottom forming around key Fibonacci retracement levels.
The correction appears to be forming a WXY/ABC structure, with wave c in progress.
Price is currently within the 0.618 – 0.786 retracement zone of the prior impulse.
The long term ascending channel from 2008 lows remains intact, with support aligning around this Fib cluster.
A bullish reaction from this zone could trigger the beginning of Wave III, which historically is strong and impulsive.
Invalidation: Sustained break below 87.00 would weaken the bullish count
Targets:
1 = 132.91
2 = 141.88
If this count holds, DXY could be setting up for a multi-year bullish cycle, suggesting that the dollar may regain strength in the coming years, impacting major USD pairs across the board.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
DXY: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 97.331 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 97.393 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USD Breakdown in the making?Price has been consolidating within Fibs golden ratio while creating a typically bearish descending triangle, applying Elliot Theory (still learning btw) I find this pattern interesting at the bottom of a HTF bullish channel. With current monetary policy (as I understand it) Trump is intentionally weaking the Dollar to favor USA manufacturing. If this trend continues I believe it´s possible DXY reaches 91.00 levels and potentially keep boosting risk assets and/or gold.
50 DMA supports bearish momentum, Is the Dollar about to break down?
My USD analysis 1st of October 2025I made a very long sophisticated USD post but it was taken down (thanks tradingview <3) where I called long on USD. My reason was just pure technical and how it was at a support range. I think there is still more upside despite the drama that's happening around the USD. I would wait for a retest at the support then make an attempt to go long. This might potentially be a formation of a double bottom. Gold and Silver skyrocketing, but I believe there is so much potential for USD.






















