DAX | Accumulation Phase Validating Countertrend BreakTechnical Overview
Weekly:
The broader trend remains bullish, maintaining higher-high and higher-low structure. Price action continues to trade above the weekly pivot zone, confirming medium-term trend alignment to the upside.
Daily:
A valid countertrend structure is present. The last daily breakdown has been broken by a clean impulsive wave that also pierced the countertrend line, suggesting early transition from correction toward potential expansion.
Bias remains constructive as long as price holds above the lower daily pivot at 23,990 .
H4:
The structure shows price consolidating beneath the broken countertrend line, forming a short-term base around the 24,050–24,100 zone. A sustained close above 24,324 would confirm trigger alignment and open path toward 24,625 (EXP) and 24,850–25,100 Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Structure & Levels
Bias: Long above 23,990
Trigger Zone: 24,324–24,625
Invalidation: Daily close below 23,990 or H4 close below 23,750
Path → 24,625 → 24,850 → 25,100
Phase: Accumulation (pre-expansion)
Risk & Event Context
The GER40 remains in a technical accumulation phase within a bullish weekly structure. Volatility is moderate, and continuation depends on reclaiming upper trigger levels.
Conclusion
As long as the structure holds above the active daily and H4 pivots, the setup favors an eventual continuation toward expansion.
