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NSDQ100 Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25090 Resistance Level 2: 25250 Resistance Level 3: 25400 Support Level 1: 24800 Support Level 2: 24700 Support Level 3: 24620 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
USNAS100 – Bullish Above 24,900, Fed Easing Hopes Drive MomentumUSNAS100 – Overview Global markets climbed higher as speculation of further Fed easing supported risk sentiment, with European stocks hitting records. Despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, optimism over AI, trade themes, and expectations of up to 50bps in Fed cuts by year-end continue to drive indices higher. Technical Outlook Price has already reached and stabilized above the 24,900 pivot, confirming bullish continuation. As long as price holds above this zone, upside targets are 25,040 → 25,180. A further push above 25,040 would strengthen the bullish trend toward 25,180. On the downside, a confirmed 1H close below 24,810 would shift momentum bearish, exposing 24,580 as the next key support. Pivot: 24,900 Resistance: 25,045 – 25,180 Support: 24,810 – 24,580 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Wall Street extends record run as Shutdown delays key data, Fed Wall Street extends record run as Shutdown delays key data, Fed in Focus U.S. stocks closed at record highs on Oct. 2, led by tech, with futures extending gains the next day. Optimism is supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts, though the government shutdown—now in its third day—has delayed key data, including nonfarm payrolls, leaving traders reliant on weaker private labor surveys. With official releases on hold, ISM and S&P Global PMI data will carry added weight, while Fed officials’ speeches could sway rate-cut bets. While momentum points to weekly gains, the rally remains fragile as political gridlock, hawkish commentary, or profit-taking could trigger volatility. Market Implications: Supportive factors: Tech sector strength, softer labor signals, and rate-cut expectations. Risks: Prolonged shutdown delaying visibility on economic conditions, potential hawkish Fed commentary, and profit-taking at record levels. Outlook: If momentum holds, the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq are positioned to close the week higher, though volatility is likely to remain elevated until greater policy clarity emerges.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by ProfessorSingapore
NASDAQ Futures (NQ) – Retracement Setup [Trade of Risk]Main dealing range bias remains long. However, a projected retracement dealing range is forming inside the macro structure. Price rejected the premium line (75%) with negative delta and LVN, showing lack of acceptance. Short trade idea is framed as a risk trade, valid only if this micro range develops fully before buyers step back in. 📌 Desk Note: This is not a bias shift — it’s a retracement play inside the larger bullish dealing range. Risk is defined, and the trade works only if sellers defend premium levels before continuation higher.
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by philipemav
9
US1OO signalling renewed buying momentum.The USNAS100 index gained 11.24 points (+0.04%), closing at 24,690. The index has formed a new bullish consolidation range after the close and has also broken out above the previous support zone, signalling renewed buying momentum. Technical Outlook: Major U.S. stock indexes bounced back from early session lows on Wednesday following weaker-than-expected data. Additionally, upcoming private payroll data on Friday could lead to increased market volatility and stronger price reactions. If the price continues to hold above the breakout zone and remains in bullish territory, we could see the index push toward the 25,001 resistance level in the near term You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely Best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by MrMartin_11
14
Exness: The Convergence of Tech GiantsThe initial phase of the artificial intelligence (AI) rebound was driven by narrative and momentum; merely being associated with AI was enough to push up valuations. Now, we are entering a more mature phase where investors will demand tangible results and will penalize specific strategic missteps or unmitigated risks. Although the AI theme remains dominant, news from specific companies is now triggering significant and differentiated reactions. For example, Apple is adjusting its entire AR/VR strategy due to product-specific difficulties, while Meta is grappling with an existential regulatory battle unrelated to its AI development. This differentiation means the market is beginning to distinguish between "AI beneficiaries" and "AI players who need to prove themselves." Simply being among the "Magnificent Seven" is no longer enough; companies must now demonstrate their ability to navigate their unique challenges—be they competitive, regulatory, or operational. Therefore, the next phase of the Nasdaq 100's performance will depend on how these individual giants execute their specific strategies, making company-level analysis more critical than ever. NVIDIA's AI Empire: Solidifying the Moat or Building a House of Cards? Nvidia recently announced a strategic cooperation intent, planning to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI. This investment is closely linked to the deployment of at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems, aimed at supporting OpenAI's next-generation AI infrastructure, with the first phase using its Vera Rubin platform by 2026. This is not just an investment; it's a self-reinforcing business cycle. Nvidia provides funding to OpenAI, and OpenAI then uses these funds to purchase Nvidia's core products (GPUs, networking systems), thereby effectively securing a large and long-term order channel, injecting strong momentum into both parties' revenue growth. However, this arrangement has also drawn critical perspectives, arguing that it constitutes "The Infinite Money Glitch." Analysts have compared it to Cisco Systems' practices during the dot-com bubble, when Cisco provided funding to telecom companies to purchase its routers, a strategy that amplified the subsequent market collapse. The risk is that Nvidia may be artificially inflating its own demand, which would make it very vulnerable if the AI capital expenditure boom slows down or OpenAI's business model encounters problems. This investment can also be seen as a defensive move, aimed at preventing OpenAI from developing its own custom chips or deepening its cooperation with competitors like Broadcom, with whom OpenAI has already signed a $10 billion order. Apple's Pragmatic Shift: From Vision to Sight Recent reports confirm that Apple is pausing its planned overhaul of the Vision Pro headset to reallocate resources and accelerate the development of AI-powered smart glasses. The logic behind this strategic shift is that the Vision Pro, launched in February 2024, has struggled to maintain sales momentum due to its high price of $3,499, physical weight, and limited content ecosystem, leading to waning consumer interest. This shift is a pragmatic admission by Apple that the path to the mass market lies in a different product form factor. According to the new roadmap, Apple is reportedly developing at least two models: a simpler display-less version (N50) that connects to the iPhone, and a more advanced version with an integrated display that directly competes with Meta's products. The development timeline is being accelerated, with a possible release as early as next year. This strategic shift is less about abandoning spatial computing and more about finding a viable mass-market vehicle to counter its "AI laggard" label and establish a new, Apple-controlled AI platform. Despite the launch of "Apple Intelligence," Apple is still widely considered to be playing catch-up in the generative AI field compared to Google and OpenAI. Meta's Ambitious: Software to hardware while defending the core. In this race, Meta is clearly in the lead. It has collaborated with Ray-Ban to launch multiple generations of smart glasses, and has introduced the $800 Ray-Ban Display, its first consumer model with a built-in screen. They are setting the pace, forcing Apple to react. However, at the same time, Meta's core advertising business is facing unprecedented and escalating legal attacks in the EU. This includes a €550 million lawsuit filed by over 80 Spanish media organizations, accusing it of unfair competition; similar lawsuits exist in France; and its "consent or pay" model faces fundamental challenges under GDPR and the Digital Services Act (DSA). Meta's aggressive push in smart glasses and the metaverse is not just a pursuit of new growth, but a strategic necessity driven by the existential threat to its underlying advertising business model. Meta's primary revenue and profit engine – personalized advertising based on user data – is facing fundamental, systemic challenges in one of its largest markets (the EU). This regulatory pressure creates a powerful incentive for it to develop new platforms (such as smart glasses operating systems) where Meta can control the ecosystem, set data collection rules, and build new, diversified revenue streams (e.g., hardware sales, AR app stores). Therefore, succeeding in this new hardware race is not only an offensive growth strategy, but also a crucial defensive move to reduce the company's reliance on a business model that is increasingly untenable from a regulatory perspective. Microsoft's Quiet Restructuring for the Future of its AI Center Microsoft has undergone a major internal reorganization to strengthen its focus on AI. This includes the appointment of Judson Althoff as CEO of the commercial business, a move explicitly aimed at allowing CEO Satya Nadella to focus on high-level technical work in AI, data center architecture, and product innovation. Meanwhile, the company has for the first time since 2018 unified its Windows engineering division under one leader, Pavan Davuluri. The clear goal is to accelerate the realization of Windows as an "Agentic OS" – an AI-driven operating system that can proactively perform tasks for users. Microsoft's strategy is fundamentally different from Apple's and Meta's. Instead of chasing new consumer hardware categories, Microsoft is doubling down on its existing enterprise and operating system strongholds, deeply integrating AI into the fabric of its core products to increase user engagement and drive consumption within its ecosystem. Recent news from Microsoft is not about novel gadgets, but about organizational structure and a long-term operating system vision. The changes in commercial leadership are to optimize the sales process for AI-enhanced enterprise services (such as Azure AI and Microsoft 365 Copilot). The changes in Windows are to redefine the core PC experience in the age of AI. This is a lower-risk, more defensive strategy. They are not trying to create a new market from scratch, but rather are using AI to fortify their existing multi-trillion-dollar enterprise and consumer software moats. The measure of Microsoft's success will not be hardware sales units, but rather Azure consumption growth, Copilot subscription numbers, and increased enterprise license value. USTEC reached the 100% Fibonacci Extension at around 24955 before retracing. The index awaits a potential breakout from the range of 24800-24955. If USTEC breaks above 24955, the index may test the 161% Fibonacci Extension at around 25265. Conversely, returning below 24700-24800 may lead to a retest of EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound. Combining the above analysis, the performance of the Nasdaq 100 index will be the ultimate resultant force of these competing powers. This ecosystem is interconnected: Nvidia's ability to execute its large-scale infrastructure construction is the foundation for the AI ambitions of companies like Microsoft and Meta. The success of Apple's and Meta's hardware battle will define the next major consumer computing platform and create new ecosystems. Microsoft's solid position in the enterprise sector provides a stabilizing force, while Meta's regulatory battles in Europe remain the most significant idiosyncratic risk facing a major component of the index. This is not a prediction, but a guide to what matters most in the coming quarters: For Nvidia: Track gross margins for its Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin platforms and any comments on pricing power. Watch for any official regulatory investigations initiated by the US or EU regarding its partnership with OpenAI and its ecosystem impact. For Apple and Meta: Sales data in the first 6-12 months after the launch of any new smart glasses, and more importantly, user engagement metrics will be crucial. The quality and capability of Apple's revamped Siri (Project Linwood) upon full release will be a key leading indicator of its AI competitiveness. For Meta (EU): Rulings in media lawsuits in Spain and France will be key (the trial in Spain is scheduled for October 2025). Any decision invalidating the "consent or pay" model would force a fundamental restructuring of its European operations and could have significant financial implications. For the Macro Environment: Monthly non-farm payroll reports are key data points. A sustained trend below expectation would significantly increase the probability of a recession and could outweigh the positive sentiment from potential interest rate cuts, shifting market focus from valuation support to fundamental earnings risk. By Eric Chia, Financial Market Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by WiseLeoTrading
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 24,778.17 1st Support: 24,507.12 1st Resistance: 25,222.22 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
Nas100 Testing All-Time Highs: Breakout or Trap?4H Zone Analysis All-Time High Price is currently testing fresh record highs. This level carries strong psychological weight and often attracts both momentum buyers and profit-taking sellers. Zone 1 – Prior All-Time High This zone, which marked the previous peak, has now flipped into a potential support area. As long as buyers defend it, it reinforces the bullish structure. A clean breakdown below would weaken the breakout narrative. Zone 2 – Major Demand / Retest Support A well-established demand zone that has been retested multiple times. It represents the next strong layer of buyer interest, and losing this level would shift momentum toward a deeper correction. The Nas100 is trading in uncharted territory after breaking to fresh all-time highs. Sentiment remains bullish, supported by falling bond yields and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts, which make growth and tech stocks more attractive. The rally is also fueled by strong momentum in AI and technology names, with FOMO adding to buying pressure. At the same time, the backdrop is fragile. The U.S. government shutdown creates uncertainty around the release of key economic data, while recent employment and manufacturing figures signal underlying weakness in the economy. This means the index could remain volatile, with the risk of sharp reversals or false breakouts despite the strong upward trend.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
Nas100 at Record Levels: Breakout or Fakeout?Technical Outlook Zone 1: Prior All-Time High / Breakout Resistance This zone represents the most recent all-time high area, which has now been tested and temporarily breached. It acts as a critical reference point: if bulls can secure sustained acceptance above this zone, it will confirm continuation into uncharted territory. However, any rejection here could turn this level back into supply and trigger corrective flows. Zone 2: Major Demand / Retest Support This area has been touched multiple times, confirming its role as a key intraday demand zone. Price has repeatedly found buyers here, making it a pivotal battleground between bulls and bears. As long as this zone holds, market structure remains bullish, but a breakdown below would shift momentum in favor of sellers and expose lower liquidity pools. Summary: US100 is now trading around prior all-time highs, which makes the market particularly sensitive. While the broader trend remains bullish, traders should exercise caution: at uncharted levels, price can become highly volatile, and fake breakouts are common. Careful risk management is advised when operating near these extremes. Sentiment: The Nas100 is trading at record highs, yet the underlying macro picture looks mixed. Recent data, including a sharp drop in private payrolls from the ADP report and an ISM Manufacturing PMI still below the 50-point expansion line, point to signs of economic weakness. Normally this would weigh on equities, but instead it has fueled expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, pushing bond yields lower and channeling flows back into growth stocks. Momentum is further amplified by strong demand for technology and AI-related names, with investors treating them as structural winners despite stretched valuations. Breakouts above all-time highs have also triggered FOMO and systematic buying, which reinforces the rally. Overall, sentiment on US100 is bullish but fragile. The index is being driven more by liquidity, Fed policy expectations, and sector-specific optimism than by solid macro fundamentals. This creates strong upside momentum in the short term, but leaves the market exposed if economic weakness deepens or inflation surprises force the Fed to stay tighter for longer.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
US100 Price signalling renewed buying momentum.The USNAS100 index gained 11.24 points (+0.04%), closing at 24,690. The index has formed a new bullish consolidation range after the close and has also broken out above the previous support zone, signalling renewed buying momentum. Technical Outlook: Major U.S. stock indexes bounced back from early session lows on Wednesday following weaker-than-expected data. Additionally, upcoming private payroll data on Friday could lead to increased market volatility and stronger price reactions. If the price continues to hold above the breakout zone and remains in bullish territory, we could see the index push toward the 25,001 resistance level in the near term. Technical Outlook: Major U.S. stock indexes bounced back from early session lows on Wednesday following weaker-than-expected data. Additionally, upcoming private payroll data on Friday could lead to increased market volatility and stronger price reactions. If the price continues to hold above the breakout zone and remains in bullish territory, we could see the index push toward the 25,001 resistance level in the near term. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely Best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by MrMartin_11
1
NAS100 - Updated Trader EdgeI will appreciate some feedback please🙏 🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE BREAKOUT LEVEL: 24,780.0-24,840.0 ➡️Massive HVN cluster (6+ stacked bars) with 3 POC convergence at right edge of VRVP ➡️Untested high-volume zone at all-time high area, no meaningful price rejection history above ➡️48.4 points above current price - price approaching breakout territory 📊 PRICE TARGETS UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️ 🎯T1: 24,780.0-24,840.0 (Breakout through primary HVN) 🎯T2: Breakout continuation into discovery above 24,900.0 DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️ 🎯T1: 24,360.0-24,420.0 (Primary Demand) 🎯T2: 24,180.0-24,240.0 (Secondary Demand) ⚡💎⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY Long from 24,680.0-24,720.0 pullback zone targeting breakout through 24,780.0-24,840.0 then continuation above 24,900.0 🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS ✅ Strong bullish momentum on approach to 24,780.0 with volume expansion ✅ Break above 24,780.0 with conviction or successful retest of 24,720.0 as support ✅ Continuation candles closing above 24,800.0 confirming breakout strength 📈 TRADE SETUP 🟢PRIMARY BIAS: BULLISH-BREAKOUT Long Setup: 🆗Entry: 24,680.0-24,720.0 on pullback OR 🆗Entry: 24,780.0+ on breakout confirmation Stop Loss: 24,640.0 🎯Target 1: 24,840.0-24,880.0 🎯Target 2: 24,960.0+ Risk/Reward: 1:2.0 / 1:3.5 🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS 🔴TURNS BEARISH IF: ✅Rejection at 24,780.0-24,840.0 with strong bearish engulfing and close back below 24,720.0 ✅Break and hold below 24,640.0 with accelerating downside momentum ✅Failed breakout creating lower high below 24,760.0 with distribution ⚡Then Target: 🎯24,360.0-24,420.0 🎯24,180.0-24,240.0 ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT Max Risk: 80 points from entry to stop Position Size: Risk 1-1.5% of capital on breakout plays Time Stop: Exit by end of session if no follow-through above 24,800.0
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by ANROC