US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Trade ideas
NASDAQ | Diagonal resistance | GTradingmethodGood morning Traders,
I hope everyone has had a winning week so far :)
The US100 is sitting at a pivotal point. Price is currently at all-time highs but also testing two key diagonal resistance levels โ one medium-term and one short-term. These resistance lines are intersecting right now, which adds extra weight to this resistance zone.
The big question:
๐ Will the US100 break through resistance and push higher into uncharted territory, or are we about to see a short-term correction from here?
๐ Trade Plan:
Not entering a trade just yet โ waiting for confirmation of either a breakout with retest or rejection and reversal.
Very keen to hear what everyone thinks, let me know please :)
Peace
G
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsThe trendline I drew last week played out perfectly. Price has carved out a fresh trend on the lower timeframe and is breaking to the upside. But the real confirmation comes only if the FVG is fully filled and we get a strong bullish close above 24,700.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis ๐
๐Hold above 24,500 โ 24,520 โ BUY targeting 24,700 (upper FVG). Break & hourly close above 24,700 โ room to push toward 24,850 โ 24,900.
๐24,700 โ 24,750 โ strong SELL zone (Premium PD Array + FVG overlap). First downside target: 24,400 โ 24,350.
โก๏ธBottom line:
โข Bullish caseโ If inflation comes in lower and the Fed takes a softer tone โ buyers could step in and push levels higher.
โข Bearish case โ If data runs hot and the Fed signals more tightening โ selling pressure kicks in, and your short levels become key.
NAS100 - Stock Market Awaits Employment Data!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand range and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk.
According to reports released over the weekend, UBS stated that there is a 93% probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year. This figure implicitly suggests that the country may already be in recession, though some analysts remain skeptical of such a direct conclusion. UBSโs projection is based on indicators such as personal income, consumption, industrial production, and employment.
The bank warned that the U.S. economy has reached โhistorically troubling levels,โ though no outright collapse has yet occurred. Analysts at UBS described the economy as โweak, soft, and fragile,โ while noting that a definitive declaration of recession has not been made.
In the United States, an official declaration of recession is the responsibility of the Business Cycle Dating Committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which typically makes such calls with a lag of 6 to 18 months after the recession has started. Their assessment relies on revised data covering GDP, employment, income, sales, and production, and they generally avoid premature decisions.
In the meantime, policymakers and markets tend to act on real-time indicators such as GDP estimates, jobs data, yield curve signals, and credit spreads. In practice, traders react more strongly to price movements than to formal definitions of recession.
Separately, Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at J.P. Morgan, dismissed Fed board member Steven Miranโs call for cutting rates to 2.5% or lower. The bank has maintained its forecast for gradual 25-basis-point cuts, targeting a range of 3.25% to 3.5% by early next year.
A potential Supreme Court case involving Fed board member Lisa Cook has also emerged as a โwild card,โ since a ruling against her could undermine the positions of other members as well. J.P. Morgan has warned that politicization of the Federal Reserve would leave the institution more vulnerable to pressure from a Trump administration on monetary policy.
The U.S. dollar remained relatively strong this week, as investors continued to parse the Fedโs less-dovish stance. While the latest dot plot showed policymakers aligned with the market on two additional rate cuts this year, the median dot for 2026 pointed to only one more 25-basis-point reduction. By contrast, markets still expect as many as three cuts next year.
However, following Chair Jerome Powellโs cautious tone on Tuesdayโemphasizing that the Fed must continue balancing the competing risks of elevated inflation and a weakening labor marketโinvestors scaled back some of their bets.
Inflation risks remain significant. The OECD highlighted this week that the full effects of tariff hikes are still unfolding. What supports Powellโs cautious approach is that, despite signs of labor market weakness, the Fedโs own forecasts remain relatively optimistic, with economic activity showing resilience. The Atlanta Fedโs GDPNow model projects 3.3% growth for Q3.
Although last weekโs inflation data failed to dampen market optimism for rate cutsโand equities continued their rallyโthe focus in the coming week will shift back to labor market conditions.
The week begins Monday with pending home sales data. On Tuesday, the JOLTS job openings report and the consumer confidence index will be released. Wednesday brings private-sector employment data from ADP, followed by the ISM Manufacturing PMI. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims will be published as usual.
All of these releases will build up to Fridayโs critical nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report, widely seen as the marketโs ultimate test.Investors will closely monitor whether recent labor market weakness persists, and whether the Fed can move another step toward a rate cut at the October meeting. Finally, the ISM Services Index will provide a more comprehensive picture of U.S. economic health.
Ahead of the jobs data, traders may also take note of remarks from several Fed officials, including Vice Chair Jefferson, New York Fed President Williams, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, and Dallas Fed President Logan. The ADP and NFP releases on Wednesday will likely provide the first snapshot of September labor market performance.
US100: Approaching resistance, pullback likely before breakoutThe IG:NASDAQ has shown a strong short-term recovery after breaking a major descending trendline. However, price is now testing a significant resistance zone, and a technical pullback is likely before the uptrend can continue.
๐ Technical Analysis: 30-minute Chart
๐ 1. Overall Trend
Price has successfully broken above a descending trendline (red line), shifting market structure from bearish to bullish.
An uptrend line (green) is now acting as dynamic support.
Price is trading near the upper band of the Keltner Channel, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
๐ฅ 2. Resistance Zone: 24,596 โ 24,681
This zone has acted as a strong supply area in the past, causing multiple rejections.
Price is currently testing this area again โ a rejection or short-term pullback is highly probable.
๐ฆ 3. Support Zone: 24,383 โ 24,500
This zone overlaps with previous consolidation and aligns with the uptrend line.
If a pullback occurs, this area could attract buyers and act as a launchpad for the next leg up.
๐ Potential Trade Setups
โณ๏ธ Primary Scenario (preferred):
Price rejects at resistance โ pulls back to support โ bounces and resumes the uptrend
Wait for a pullback toward 24,500 โ 24,383
Look for bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) for entry
Enter long if support holds:
๐ฏ TP1: 24,650
๐ฏ TP2: 24,700+
๐ SL: Below 24,350 (trendline invalidation)
๐ป Alternative Scenario (risk):
If price breaks below 24,383 and the uptrend line fails โ short-term trend could shift sideways or bearish
Avoid long entries without a confirmed recovery
Re-evaluate trend structure if support fails
โ
Conclusion
A short-term uptrend is in place
However, price is now testing a major resistance zone, and a healthy pullback is likely
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future ๐โจ
NAS100 Long Idea: Bullish Break and Retest ScenarioHello TradingView Community,
This is a technical analysis of a potential long opportunity on the US 100 Cash CFD (NAS100) on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
The chart is displaying a bullish structure. We can identify a key horizontal level at approximately 24,410.03. This level previously acted as a ceiling, providing significant resistance to the price.
Recently, the market has shown strong momentum by breaking out above this resistance zone. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control. The trading idea is based on the expectation of a "break and retest" pattern, where the price pulls back to this former resistance level, confirms it as new support, and then continues its upward trajectory.
Trade Setup:
The long position tool on the chart outlines a potential trade plan based on this bullish outlook:
Entry: Approximately 24,410.03 (at the retest of the new support level).
Stop Loss: 24,117.96 (placed below the support structure to allow for some volatility and to invalidate the idea if the level fails).
Take Profit: 25,299.42 (targeting a new higher high, continuing the bullish trend).
This setup provides a structured plan with a clear risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move higher.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading CFDs and indices involves a high level of risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
US100 MOVE UP AHEAD|LONG|
โ
US100 price is hovering above the demand level after a sell-side sweep, hinting at ICT displacement. If the level holds, Smart Money will likely rotate price upward to rebalance inefficiency and draw liquidity toward 24,640. Time Frame 3H.
LONG๐
โ
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US100: Short Trade Explained
US100
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell US100
Entry - 24498
Stop - 24559
Take - 24384
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead ๐ NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead ๐
Current Price: 24,507.1 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 โฐ
๐ INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days)
๐ฏ BULLISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 24,480 - 24,520 ๐
Stop Loss: 24,420 ๐
Target 1: 24,650 ๐ฏ
Target 2: 24,800 ๐
๐ฏ BEARISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 24,550 - 24,580 ๐
Stop Loss: 24,630 ๐
Target 1: 24,300 ๐ฏ
Target 2: 24,150 ๐
๐ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
๐ KEY INDICATORS STATUS:
RSI (14): 58.3 โก *Neutral Zone - Room to Move*
Bollinger Bands: Mid-band Squeeze ๐ฅ
VWAP: 24,465 - Dynamic Support Holding ๐ช
EMA 50: 24,380 โ
*Bullish Above Key Level*
Volume: Declining ๐ *Awaiting Catalyst*
๐ WAVE ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 Correction Complete ๐
Next Target: Wave 5 Extension to 25,200+ ๐ฏ
๐ HARMONIC PATTERNS:
Bullish Bat Pattern Active at 24,450 โจ
ABCD Completion targeting 24,750 ๐
โ๏ธ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)
๐ BULLISH TARGETS:
Weekly Resistance: 24,850 ๐
Monthly Target: 25,200 ๐
Gann Square of 9: 25,000 โญ
๐ BEARISH INVALIDATION:
Weekly Support: 24,200 โ ๏ธ
Critical Level: 24,000 ๐จ
๐ญ MARKET STRUCTURE:
Trend: Consolidating Bullish ๐ช
Momentum: Building Energy ๐ฅ
Wyckoff Phase: Re-accumulation ๐
Ichimoku: Neutral Cloud ๐ก
๐ฅ CRITICAL LEVELS TO WATCH:
Resistance: 24,600 | 24,750 | 25,000 ๐ง
Support: 24,350 | 24,200 | 24,000 ๐ก๏ธ
Breakout Trigger: 24,580 confirmed close ๐ฅ
โก RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk per Trade: 1.5% ๐ก๏ธ
R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:3 โ๏ธ
Position Size: Conservative in Range ๐
๐ MARKET CATALYSTS:
Tech Earnings Season Approaching ๐ผ
Fed Policy Impact on Growth Stocks ๐๏ธ
AI/Tech Momentum Driving Index ๐ค
๐ฏ FINAL VERDICT:
NAS100 coiling for EXPLOSIVE MOVE! ๐
25K psychological level in sight! ๐ฅ
Watch for volume spike above 24,580 ๐
Trade Management: Scale in on pullbacks to VWAP ๐
Key Decision Zone: 24,500-24,600 battle crucial โ๏ธ
---
*โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Use proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only.*
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
๐ Follow for Daily Updates | ๐ฌ Share Your NAS100 Strategy
NAS100 4H๐น Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The marketโs reaction to these zones โ whether a breakout or rejection โ will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
โ ๏ธ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
โ
Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
NAS100 - TRADER EDGE
๐ฏ KEY PIVOT ZONE
๐งSUPPLY ZONE: 24,480 - 24,520
Multiple session POCs clustered in this range
Highest volume VRVP node concentration
Critical resistance where price is currently struggling
๐ PRICE TARGETS
UPSIDE TARGETS โฌ๏ธ
T1: 24,650 - 24,700
T2: 24,750 - 24,800
DOWNSIDE TARGETS โฌ๏ธ
T1: 24,350 - 24,400
T2: 24,250 - 24,300
โกโก EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Short from 24,480-24,520 supply zone targeting 24,350+ with stop above 24,550
๐ KEY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
โ
Rejection at current supply zone with volume
โ
Break below 24,450 support with momentum
โ
Volume expansion on downside moves
๐ TRADE SETUP
๐ดPRIMARY BIAS: BEARISH
Short Setup from Supply Zone:
Entry: 24,480 - 24,520 (on rejection/weakness)
Stop Loss: Above 24,550
Target 1: 24,350 - 24,400
Target 2: 24,250 - 24,300
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ ratio
๐ BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
๐ขTURNS BULLISH IF:
Clean break above 24,550 with strong volume
Hold above 24,520 on any pullback attempt
Volume expansion above pivot zone indicating fresh buying
โกThen Target:
24,650 - 24,700 (first)
24,750 - 24,800 (extension)
โ ๏ธ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 40 points per position
Position Size: Adjust to 1-2% account risk
Time Stop: End of 4-hour session if no movement
NASDAQ short then longOn NASDAQ, considering the break of market structure, I want to see a small push higher to 24,581 (Resistance + 4H value) before short term swing sells to 23.6k (Weekly value). Price respected daily value at 24,285. Once I see a close under daily value structure, I'll look for a pb to daily value. Sells at 4hr value and sells at daily value.