NASDAQ NAS100 Under Pressure – Watching for a Break of StructureThe NASDAQ is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart. Sellers are gradually stepping in, and we can see US100 bearish momentum starting to take control. The market is under pressure, and price action is hinting at potential continuation to the downside.
I’ll be watching closely for a NAS100 break below the current range low — if price retests that level and fails to reclaim it, that would confirm a bearish market structure shift 🔻. Such a setup could provide a high-probability short opportunity as momentum accelerates to the downside.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — purely for educational and analytical purposes.
Trade ideas
Smart Money Positioning on US100 – Liquidity Flow ExplainedRepeated failed highs, deep liquidity sweeps, and a tightly trapped range — the US100 is showing textbook smart money behavior.
Let’s decode how liquidity pockets, fake breakouts, and institutional accumulation are shaping the next 600+ point move.
🧭 Market Story – Where We Are Now
The US100 has been in a broad liquidity cycle after a strong rally.
Price is consolidating within a re-accumulation or distribution phase, hinting that smart money is positioning quietly before expansion.
🔹 Key Liquidity Zones
🟩 Breakout Level – 25,600
The make-or-break point.
Holding above 25,600 = bullish continuation potential.
Losing it = likely sweep back into liquidity below.
🔵 Liquidity Pocket – 26,150 → 26,350
This zone is loaded with stop liquidity.
Multiple failed breakouts = engineered liquidity traps.
A decisive breakout with volume could unleash a sharp institutional expansion toward 26,600–26,800.
🔴 Weekly Low Zone – 24,660 → 24,610
Where the market performed a major liquidity sweep before reversing.
Strong reaction = signs of accumulation.
A revisit here could form the final liquidity grab before the next rally.
🧩 Structure Breakdown
Sweep of Lows → Reaction — liquidity collected below prior swing lows.
Box Phase → Accumulation or Distribution — institutions building orders.
Trendline Rejections → Liquidity Creation — every “failed attempt” tells a story.
Compression Phase → Expansion Loading — pressure building before the breakout.
⚖️ Possible Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Breakout
Price holds above 25,600
Clean break above 26,150–26,350 liquidity pocket
Expansion move likely toward 26,600–26,800
🩸 Bearish Liquidity Trap
Rejection from 25,600 → 24,823 / 24,660 zone
Final liquidity sweep before strong reversal
Watch for aggressive bullish recovery candles
💡 Institutional Insight
Each failed breakout isn’t weakness — it’s intent.
Smart money builds liquidity where retail enters wrong.
When both sides’ liquidity is consumed, true direction begins.
👉 Liquidity is not just a zone — it’s market psychology visualized.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The US100 demonstrates the full liquidity cycle at work:
Sweep → Trap → Accumulate → Expand.
Every fakeout clears inefficiency and builds the fuel for the next impulse.
Don’t chase — track where liquidity builds and follow the flow.
📊 Final Thoughts
The index is coiling between 25,600 and 26,350 — volatility is loading.
Above → Expansion Phase (trend continuation)
Below → Liquidity Sweep Phase (bullish trap setup)
Patience > Prediction.
Let the liquidity tell the truth — not emotions.
💬 Your Turn:
Do you expect a clean breakout or another trap before lift-off?
Share your bias below — let’s discuss how liquidity might play it out!
This is a "buy-the-dip" (bullish) strategy for NAS100.Wait for the price to pull back into the support area between the 0.5 Fibonacci level (25,144.7) and the 0.618 level (25,006.7).
Do not buy just because it touches the zone. Wait for a 4-hour candle to close within or above this zone, which confirms buyers are stepping in.
Your targets to take profit are the 0 level (25,725.5) and the -0.5 level (26,306.3).
Your stop loss would be placed below the 1 level (24,564.0), where the move started.
PS. The FIB never lies.
US100 – Consolidation Between FVGs, Watching for Bullish BreakouHello traders,
On the daily timeframe, NASDAQ (US100) is currently consolidating between a bullish and a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Both sides present clear liquidity areas, and the market is preparing for its next directional move.
From my perspective, I’d like to see the price tap into the bullish FVG first, react from that zone, and then invalidate the bearish FVG on its way higher.
If this scenario plays out, the next targets would be the equal highs (EQH) and eventually a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if a daily candle closes below the bullish FVG, this idea becomes invalid and we could expect further downside movement.
For now, I remain bullish while the bullish FVG holds. 📈
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
Nasdaq Diverges From Dow Gains — Will It Follow?From a daily perspective, the Nasdaq is testing the upper bound of a parallel channel that has been respected since the August 2025. Price action previously broke to the mid-zone of the duplicated channel near 26,300, declined to the lower border of the original pattern near 24,650, and has since rebounded toward the upper edge around 25,700.
The scenarios from here are as follows:
• Bullish case: A confirmed hold above 25,700 could redirect gains toward 26,300, after which another bullish projection targets the upper boundary of the duplicated channel near 26,800–27,000.
• Bearish case: A drop back below 25,200 could pull prices toward 24,650, with further downside potential extending below the August–November support zone toward 23,900, 23,500, and, in extreme cases, 22,700.
As the longest U.S. government shutdown in history comes to an end, the Dow has extended its gains toward new records near 48,500, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 remain in a neutral hold, raising questions about the sustainability of further highs in 2025.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USTEC - Shorts - In the money!!!!🔥 USTE/15 — Morning Sell Trades Explained (Who Caught These With Us?)
This morning our system printed two clean SELL signals — both highlighted on the chart.
📉 Sell #1 — Momentum Flush
Price tapped into a short-term premium zone and immediately rejected.
Our system triggered the orange SELL candle right at the top of the move.
Within minutes, momentum collapsed and delivered a clean downside push.
📉 Sell #2 — Premium Retrace + Rejection
After the first drop, price pulled back into our sell zone again.
The system flagged a second SELL opportunity (again marked in orange).
The rejection was instant — textbook continuation setup.
Both entries respected the exact rules of the system:
✔️ Trend alignment
✔️ Premium pricing
✔️ Momentum shift
✔️ Clear rejection candle
No guessing. No emotion. Just execution.
💬 Who caught these sells with us today?
Drop a comment below if you took the trades — or if you’re testing the system and saw the same signals!
US100 | Building Liquidity for a Potential Push Toward 26,000NASDAQ (US100) is consolidating between 25,400–25,750, forming a potential accumulation zone below short-term liquidity. A clean break and retest above 25,750 could trigger a bullish expansion toward the 26,000–26,200 range, where major buy-side liquidity sits.
Market Structure:
Bias: Bullish (HTF structure shifting higher)
Key Demand Zone: 25,400 – 25,450
Breakout Zone: 25,750
Target Zone: 26,000 – 26,200
Invalidation: Below 25,400
Concepts: Liquidity Grab | Market Structure Shift | Demand Zone | Breaker Block | Smart Money Flow
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq Holds Firm After Support Rebound| Focus on 25820 BreakoutUSNAS100 | Overview
The price retested our support at 25430 and bounced perfectly, just as outlined in the previous analysis.
After reaching the resistance zone, the index is now consolidating between 25700 and 25820, awaiting a decisive breakout.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm bullish continuation, targeting 25960 and 26170.
However, a 4H close below 25700 would indicate the start of a bearish correction, with downside potential toward 25570 and 25430.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25230
Outlook:
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25700, with upside targets at 25960–26170.
A confirmed 4H close below 25700 would shift the short-term tone to a bearish correction toward 25570–25430.
NAS100: Threshold Analysis & Decision FrameworkNAS100: Threshold Analysis & Decision Framework | November 12
Reference Point: 25,625 | 08:45 UTC+4
MARKET PREMISE
The Nasdaq 100 has stabilized within a confined bandwidth, presenting traders with a defined set of bifurcated outcomes. The micro-structure reveals a market in the midst of accumulation, where directional bias remains contested between competing institutional flows.
TECHNICAL ASSESSMENT MATRIX
Primary Trend (Dow Theory Lens): Uptrend remains intact; lower-bound support at 25,500 preserves bullish structure. Failure to maintain this floor signals potential regime shift.
Pattern Development: A Symmetrical Triangle is in formation across the 1H/4H timeframes. Contraction suggests breakout imminent—directional confirmation required.
Elliott Wave Interpretation: Wave IV consolidation underway. Upon completion, Wave V upleg anticipated toward fresh resistance territories.
Harmonic Configuration: Potential bearish Bat pattern exists if price recedes; conversely, completion of bullish Crab pattern supports upside continuation above 25,750.
INDICATOR CONFLUENCE TABLE
| Indicator | Timeframe | Status | Signal |
|-----------|-----------|--------|--------|
| Ichimoku Kumo | 4H | Price-Kumo Contact | Neutral-to-Bullish |
| RSI(14) | 4H | ~50 Median | Energy Stored |
| VWAP Proximity | Intraday | At Fair Value | Equilibrium |
| EMA(50) Stack | 1H | Bullish Alignment | Support Intact |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 30M | Band Tightening | Volatility Expansion Pending |
OPERATIONAL TRADE MATRIX
Bullish Engagement (Primary):
- Activation: Hourly close above 25,700 (Triangle apex breakout)
- Entry Coordination: 25,720–25,750
- Protective Stop: 25,580
- Profit Sequencing: 25,900 (T1) → 26,150 (T2)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4
Bearish Contingency (Secondary):
- Activation: Sustained close below 25,500 (Foundation breach)
- Entry Coordination: 25,480–25,450
- Protective Stop: 25,650
- Profit Sequencing: 25,250 (T1) → 25,000 (T2)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1.8
GANN TEMPORAL OVERLAY
Key cyclical windows on the 4D chart suggest consolidation resolution within the 12–15 hour window. Volume profile at the 25,650 level indicates potential liquidity pool; breakouts through this zone warrant heightened position management.
TRADE DIRECTIVE: Await breakout confirmation with concurrent volume expansion. Triangle compression suggests potential catalytic move. Disciplined position-sizing essential given binary outcome structure.






















