Trade ideas
AI Bubble Burst in NasdaqChart is on logarithmic scale
Bet on price to correct back to the low of the shown logarithmic scale channel.
about 40-50% drop from an ATH at this price. (chance also that ATH can be established at the peak of the channel at 30,000$)
Bank of England and IMF started warning of an AI bubble crash similar to the dot-com bubble crash.
USNAS100 – Range Consolidation Before Breakout, Key Zone: 25,175USNAS100 – Overview | Range-Bound Ahead of Key Market Events
The NASDAQ 100 rebounded from the support zone highlighted earlier, though market sentiment remains cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases and the prolonged government shutdown.
Price action shows consolidation near the upper range, with short-term traders watching for a breakout to define direction.
Technical Outlook
The index is currently capped below the 25,175 – 25,225 zone.
As long as price trades beneath this resistance band, momentum favors a bearish correction toward 25,070 → 25,015, and a sustained move below 25015 could extend losses to 24900.
Conversely, a 1-hour close above 25,220 would confirm a bullish breakout and open the path toward 25,300 → 25,390, with further upside potential if buyers remain in control.
Pivot Line: 25 175
Resistance: 25 300 · 25 390 · 25 450
Support: 25 070 · 25 015 · 24 900
Summary:
USNAS100 remains range-bound, trading between 25,070 and 25,225.
A breakout on either side of this range will define the next intraday move—above 25,220 favors continuation toward 25,390, while below 25,015 signals deeper correction toward 24,900.
USNASDAQ100 Correction will Trigger growth at 25,000The US100 (NASDAQ) edged slightly higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark index hitting a fresh intraday high. Investors remained cautious, awaiting comments from a series of Federal Reserve speakers for further clarity on the future direction of monetary policy.
Technically, a false breakout below support could signal continued upward momentum. If the index retests that support level and holds, weaker selling pressure may fade, paving the way for a move higher toward the next resistance levels and there target will 25,100.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks For Support.
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:After yesterday’s drop to 24,990, which represents the golden Fibonacci retracement zone (as mentioned in the previous analysis), the NASDAQ index rebounded today, reaching 25,100, a nearby support zone expected to trigger a bullish continuation toward retesting the all-time high at 25,190.
If the index breaks above 25,190 and holds, it may target 25,280 as the next resistance level.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 25,100 and stabilizes beneath it, a decline toward the recent low at 24,990 becomes likely.
US100 (NDQ): Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trends, colored levels,
and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ).
Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way.
After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000.
📊 Confluence Highlights:
Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K)
Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K)
Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K)
🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation
① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021)
Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery.
Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout.
Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate.
② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023)
Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands.
Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure.
③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026)
The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone).
Confirms institutional markup phase , where:
Retail short sellers are trapped.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves.
Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow.
Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm.
④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027)
Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 .
Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern.
This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion.
Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area.
⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029)
After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range.
This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops.
Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure.
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💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence
Concept | Observation | Implication
Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation)
Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)}
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)}
Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent
Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking
🧭 Smart Money Flow:
Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution
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📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels
Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance).
Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone.
Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 .
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🧭 Market Outlook Summary
Timeframe | Bias | Expectation
Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000
Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads
Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K
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🔖 FIBCOS Summary
> NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC)
Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K).
After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K.
📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only.
#FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
USNAS100 Extends Gains on AI Strength & Fed Cut Hopes?USNAS100 – Overview
Wall Street futures rose on Monday, extending last week’s rally as AI-related optimism and softer labor market data boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. The upbeat sentiment continues to support risk assets, though volatility remains sensitive to policy headlines.
Technical Outlook
The index has stabilized in a bullish zone, maintaining upward pressure above 24,900, with potential to extend toward 25,175, especially if it breaks 25,040.
To confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 4H candle below 24,810, which would expose downside targets near 24,580.
Pivot: 25,040
Resistance: 25,175 – 25,390
Support: 24,810 – 24,590 – 24,450
BUY EVERY BIG TECH, BUY AND HOLD UNTIL OCTOBERBuy the pivot level. hold for the last 7-month bull run until October 2025.
Price and time cycles suggest that price will peak in October 2025 and a second swing high in March 2026 for the midcycle correction. We would look for the top at 26k
Buy every big tech, buy the major stocks, buy, buy......
The 7-month cycle from March to October 2025 will be the second largest swing within the 5-year bull run from 2020 crash low
Trade safe, good luck.
NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place.
On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low.
As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600.
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