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US100 trade ideas

USNAS100 Update | Fed Pressure Keeps Market Under Bearish BiasUSNAS100 – Overview Tech fright calms but Fed pressure grows U.S. tech stocks appear to have stabilized after two sessions of sharp declines, but uncertainty persists as the Treasury market reacts to the latest Federal Reserve developments ahead of the central bank’s annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming. Technical Outlook USNAS100 maintains a bearish setup while below 23,295. A break and sustained close above this level would signal a potential bullish reversal. 📍 Key Levels Pivot: 23,295 Support: 23,165 – 23,045 – 22,850 Resistance: 23,430 – 23,540 – 23,690 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
How to determine if the Fed will change target interest rates?In this video, I explain the mechanism of the Fed target interest rates and how to determine if the Fed will cut the target interest rates in September 2025 (or any other FOMC). I also talk about the Overnight Reverse Repo balance sheet and the draining of the balance from a high of 2.55T on 30th Dec 2022 to just 25B as of 21st Aug 2025. I hypothesize a scenario from now till the September FOMC: 1. The Overnight Reverse Repo is completely emptied, meaning the stealth liquidity is gone. 2. The Equity Markets suffers a sharp fall (even a crash). 3. Funds rotate into US treasuries, causing yield to fall. 4. Fed cuts target interest rates without having to monetize the debts. The most important key takeaway in this video is to understand that in order to know if the Fed will do anything is to see the 3month government bond yield. All the other information are supplementary and provide us information to paint a narrative on how the market will move in the coming weeks. As aways, keep your risks tight, and Good Luck!
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by yuchaosng
NAS100 Analysis – Bullish Channel Break & Retest in Progress📌 Key Highlights: Bullish Channel Broken: Price failed to respect the upward trend channel. Although the candle bodies held above a support zone, price wicked through to test a lower level – indicating a weakening bullish structure. Pressure Reversal Zone: Around 23,800, price ran out of momentum. Downward pressure entered the market, shifting the trajectory and breaking the previous bullish pattern. Confirmed Zones via Retest: Each zone was respected by a clean retest, reinforcing their validity as support/resistance areas. This is textbook price action – confirming zones before continuation. Current Candle Behaviour: The most recent green candle has no top wick, showing strong buyer conviction. However, the bottom wick is long, meaning bears are still present and applying pressure. Decision Point: We’re at a critical moment. Will price break above this level to reclaim the channel — or reject and fill the imbalance left behind by the last bullish move? 📉 Scenario 1 – Rejection & Continuation Down If price fails to break and close above this resistance, we could see a bearish continuation — potentially aiming for the next key support zone around 22,677. 📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Recovery If bulls maintain strength and close above this level with volume, we could see price climb back toward 23,500+ to retest the upper zone. ✅ Bearish Bias Price broke below the bullish channel structure (a major technical shift). Retests have confirmed lower zones — typical bearish continuation behaviour. The current green candle has no upper wick (buyers trying to push), but a long lower wick shows bears are still active. Downward pressure has already shifted momentum, and we’re now waiting to see if the zone holds. 🟡 However – Confirmation Needed If price fails to break above this current resistance zone, then bearish continuation becomes confirmed. If price closes strong above this level and reclaims the channel, the bias would shift neutral to bullish again. 📌 Final Bias Statement: Bearish bias for now — unless price cleanly breaks back above the resistance zone. Current price action suggests a possible continuation down to fill the wick and test deeper support zones. 🧭 Watching for: Candle body closures above or below key zones Wick reactions showing liquidity grabs Momentum shifts in volume 🔔 Stay sharp. Trade with confirmation, not emotion. By AutoMarkets | Built. Not Begged.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by AutoMarkets
Nasdaq to 24k!!!I remain constructive on the NASDAQ as we head into the second half of the year. Chair Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole reinforced that rate cuts are coming, though they will be measured rather than front-loaded. This approach reflects confidence in the economy’s resilience while ensuring inflation continues to trend lower. Historically, years ending in 5 have shown strong equity market performance under the decennial theory. Combined with improving liquidity conditions and a supportive policy backdrop, the setup favors continued strength in growth and technology-driven sectors. From a technical perspective, the NASDAQ has already established a hard low near the 22,900 level, which now serves as a strong support zone. Since then, the index has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish structure. This price action confirms that buyers remain in control and strengthens the case for continued momentum in the months ahead. In my view, these factors create a durable foundation for the NASDAQ to remain bullish, with momentum likely to build as markets look ahead to a more accommodative environment.
IG:NASDAQLong
by JonathanSantos
1
NASDAQ (CASH100) – Buy the Dip or Trend ReversalThe Cash100 has been trending in an upward channel since May 2025. Today, price has broken through diagonal support. For confirmation that the upward channel is over, I will be looking for these signals: ✅ First signal: a 4H close below diagonal support. ✅ Second signal: a retest of the diagonal. If price fails to reclaim, I’ll start looking for short setups if both signals above confirm. What do you think — is the uptrend finally breaking, or will buyers step back in? 👀 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next update. If you found this helpful, give it a like 👍 and share your thoughts 💬 — I’d love to hear what you think! Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by GTradingMethod
3
Is this the top? SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-20I know it has been a while since I shared a video. This video is designed to share the downside risks I see as a potential for the markets IF this big speculative phase unwinds like I think. Ultimately, you guys are the ones who will be making the trading decisions. I just want you to be aware that the markets are extremely volatile right now and the data is pointing to a very clean Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern. As you are all aware, the EPP pattern suggests that a breakdown in price is likely where price may attempt to target the FLAG LOW. If that happens, be prepared for a -15% to -20% breakdown in price before the end of 2025 - possibly seeing an even bigger price collapse. In my opinion, this breakdown is the result of a broad unwinding of excesses related to the Biden economy (free money) and a move towards more reasonable US economic policies. Overall, this pullback is necessary for the Wave 1 of Wave 5 structure to complete. Once this pullback is complete, the bigger rally phase (Wave 3 of Wave 5) will begin. And get ready for a big rally phase with Wave 3. So, I hope this video helps you learn how to identify and plan for some of the biggest price swings in the SPY/QQQ, and prepare for even bigger moves in Gold/Silver and Bitcoin. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
FX:NAS100Short
by BradMatheny
13
“How I Trade NAS100 with 4H Order Flow + 15M Precision Entry”Here’s my step-by-step process for catching high probability NAS100 setups 👇 1️⃣ Direction from 4H Order Flow – I only look for trades in the direction of the 4H structure. – My key levels are 4H OBs and 4H FVGs. 2️⃣ Patience at the Key Level – No random trades. I wait until price reacts to one of my 4H levels. 3️⃣ 15M Entry Model (MSS + IFVG) – Once price reacts, I refine entry on the 15M chart using MSS (Market Structure Shift) + IFVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap). – This keeps risk tight and entries precise. 4️⃣ Risk Management – I always place stop loss at the invalidation point. – Targeting a minimum of 1:2 Risk to Reward. ⚡ The edge is simple: Only trade what pays me. Nothing else.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Education
by BlueTraders_
When Could Nasdaq's Bearish Momentum Shift ?U.S. stock indices are showing slight declines as investors digest mixed corporate earnings and await key signals from the Federal Reserve, as well as a report from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, which warned against the hype surrounding artificial intelligence, noting that this technology needs more time to clarify the extent of its reliance. Weak retail results, including a sharp drop in Target’s sales, weighed on market sentiment, while traders remain cautious ahead of the release of the Fed’s July meeting minutes and the upcoming remarks from Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, August 22, at the Jackson Hole conference, searching for clues about the future path of interest rates. The Nasdaq Composite, dominated by the technology sector, closed Tuesday down 1.4%, marking its largest one-day drop since August 1, while maintaining its downward momentum on Wednesday, August 20. What can be monitored from a technical perspective to anticipate a potential correction in this index? Traders should watch the exponential moving average (5), which indicates market momentum (positive when the fast moving average (5) is below the price, and negative when it is above the price). This indicator provides short-term signals of momentum shifts in the markets. As seen in the chart above, if the price rises above the exponential moving average (5) and closes a candle above it on the four-hour timeframe, one should then watch the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to move above 50. In this case, we could see a temporary shift in Nasdaq’s downward momentum toward a short-term upward momentum.
CFI:US100
by CFI
USTEC INCOMING BEARISH MOVEMy analysis shows that there's a high chance the bearish move will continue. As we can see the price broke below our Uptrend Channel and made some sort of Double Top signifying a drop in bullish move. Price then broke our major low, creating CHoC and confirmed a bearish move, now we see that it broke below the Previous low and made a deep retest to the zone, we can anticipate the price will continue going down but we will need candlestick confirmation for that This is my intake of what will happen, follow for more Technical analysis and don't miss out😉
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by StarleXtheTrader
1
US100 – Short Setup Based on Visible WeaknessThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) is currently trading around 23,700 and has shown clear signs of weakness in the past few hours. On the 1-hour chart, the price has tested the area between 23,700 and 23,720 multiple times but failed to break through. Moving averages (yellow, green, and red lines) are flat or turning downward, which signals that bullish momentum is fading. Trade Setup Entry Zone: 23,700 – 23,720 This area has acted as resistance several times, meaning the price keeps bouncing off it without breaking higher. Stop Loss: Above 23,827 This is the most recent clear high on the chart. If price breaks above this level, the setup is invalid. Target 1 (T1): 23,515 This level acted as support on August 13 and 15. Price bounced here twice, making it a realistic first target. Target 2 (T2): 23,246 This level was support on August 8 and 9 and could be reached if T1 breaks. Why Short? Price is below the 21 EMA on 4h timeframe (yellow line): This is a sign of weakening trend strength. Price rejected multiple times at the moving averages: Buyers failed to push higher. No new highs: Even after several attempts, price could not break above 23,827. What supports the short idea right now Tech under pressure: Meta and Palantir are both trading lower after weak follow-ups on AI and earnings momentum. This drags on overall sector sentiment. No new highs: The market failed again to break above the last swing high at 23,827, which strengthens the case for continued consolidation or downside. Dollar strength creeping in : Ongoing geopolitical tension (Ukraine, Trump talks) is pushing the USD up slightly – this tends to weigh on tech stocks. Jackson Hole caution : Markets are waiting for Powell’s comments later this week. Until then, many traders stay risk-off, which favors downside movement or at least weak buying. Summary 📉 Short entry: 23,700 – 23,720 ⛔ Stop: Above 23,827 🎯 T1: 23,515 🎯 T2: 23,246 No financial advice – just my personal trade idea based on what the chart shows and the current macro situation. And don’t forget: the market has two moods – “not yet” and “too late.” :D
SKILLING:US100Short
by Maxxchineee
NASDAQ Index (US100 / NASDAQ) AnalysisThe index is moving in a bullish trend on the higher timeframes (Daily – H4), while showing a bearish move on the 1H timeframe. Currently, it is trading near the 23,340 area. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 23,270 and holds, it may head to retest 23,080. 🔺 Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to break and hold above 23,400, this could support a continuation towards 23,560 (a potential reversal zone – Fibonacci golden area). However, if buying momentum continues, the path could extend towards 23,680.
FX:NAS100Long
by Fadi_radar