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US100 trade ideas

NAS100USD Analysis – POC Magnet, Demand Zone🔎 Context Price action on NAS100USD is currently trading within a clearly defined range between the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) . Volume Profile highlights a key Point of Control (POC) around 23150 – the price level where the highest amount of trading volume has accumulated in this range. In Smart Money terms, we also have a refined demand zone forming below, with the proximal line aligning closely above the POC. This overlap strengthens the case for the POC acting as a "magnet" and a potential support base. ⚡ Key Levels Value Area High (VAH) : ~23880 – range resistance. Value Area Low (VAL) : ~23010 – range support. POC : ~23150 – high-volume node, magnetic level. Proximal Line : Sitting just above POC, marking the edge of demand. Refined Demand Zone : 22950 – 23050 region. 🏗 Structural Insights A major structural failure occurred earlier near 23880, confirming supply above. Price swept liquidity below 23050 before aggressively reclaiming the range. Current trading sits just above POC and proximal, showing buyers defending. A break and acceptance above 23510 (mid-range) opens the path back to VAH at 23880. ✅ Trade Scenarios Bullish Case (Continuation to VAH) If price sustains above 23516 and holds above the proximal/POC cluster, we can expect a continuation toward VAH (23880). Targets: 23880 (VAH) → potential extension toward swing high. Bearish Case (POC Magnet + Demand Retest) Failure to hold above proximal/POC may drag price back into the POC magnet zone at 23150. If momentum weakens further, a retest of the refined demand zone (22950 – 23050) is likely. Below VAL (23010), imbalance could drive a deeper correction. 📌 Conclusion The confluence of POC (fair value) and proximal demand (structural support) makes 23150 a pivotal level. Holding above it favors a continuation toward 23880 VAH , while a rejection would likely see price revert back to demand. This setup showcases how Volume Profile levels (POC/VAH/VAL) can be combined with SMC concepts (demand zones & structural breaks) to create a high-probability framework. 💡 Trade safe, manage risk, and always wait for confirmations around these key levels before execution.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Apexfx_Alpha
NAS100 UPDATE: Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading, Keynote: I am only labeling Friday's candle due to the fundamental sentiment for September. But even technically, a bearish structure was broken on Friday, potentially signaling an even stronger bullish continuation. How I see it: 1) Demand will only pile up from here. 2) Immediate resistance at 23550 is strong and may force a small correction. INTERESTING: ✅✅✅ Check out a 3Day candle that closed on Friday. A new 3D candle starts on Monday - Keeping in mind the strength. I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight Thank you for taking the time study my analysis. PS: I really apologies for changing the format again. I am aiming to find the golden thread between my eyes for work, and simplified clarity for ideas. I will settle on a standard template soon.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ANROC
6
watch 23,280–23,755 for the next impulse ### 🧭 US100 – Daily Game Plan **Timeframe:** 1D (structure) + 4H (triggers) **TL;DR:** Price is coiling near a prior swing zone. I’m watching a break-and-retest for continuation, or a failure back into the range for a mean-revert move. Not financial advice—educational levels only. --- #### 📊 Market Picture * Trend on higher TFs remains **up** while price holds above the most recent higher-low area. * Momentum cooled after the last impulse; candles tightened → **volatility compression**. * The **50-day MA** sits just below current structure and is my bull/bear divider. > **Chart setup I’m using:** AlgoFlex Ai S&R indicator (free indicator based on our Ai Model), a simple swing-structure tool (HH/HL/LH/LL). --- #### 🧱 Key Areas I Care About * **Resistance box:** prior swing high cluster (where we failed last attempt). * **Support box:** last demand wick + 50-DMA zone. * **Line in the sand:** a daily close beyond either box sets the next leg. *(Mark these boxes on your chart before trading—numbers change daily; structure doesn’t.)* --- #### 🎯 My Playbook **Continuation (bullish):** 1. 4H **close above resistance box** 2. **Retest holds** as support 3. Enter on reclaim with risk below the retest low → scale at prior highs / round number **Fade/Breakdown (bearish):** 1. Rejection wick at resistance **or** daily **close below support box** 2. Look for **lower-high** on 4H to confirm shift 3. Target the 50-DMA first; deeper move only if structure stays weak --- #### ⚠️ Risk Management * No entries into high-impact news (FOMC, CPI, NFP). * Size ≤ 1R per idea; invalidate quickly if we close back inside the range after a breakout. * If the first breakout is a **fake-out**, stand aside and let structure reset. --- #### 📚 Education Note This post is for study and discussion. Everyone manages their own risk and decisions. --- #### 🧰 About My Tools I develop **AlgoFlex**—a suite of **invite-only TradingView scripts**: **Scalping, Forex, Commodities, Indices, Crypto**. **One subscription = full access.** If you want to explore how I build these setups, check my **profile → Scripts** --- 👍 If this helped, drop a like/comment and tell me which timeframe you want next (4H or 1H). \#US100 #Nasdaq100 #PriceAction #SupportResistance #50DMA #RiskManagement #AlgoFlex
FX:NAS100Long
by AlgoFlexMarket
NAS100 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy# NAS100 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & Daily Trading Strategy **Current Position**: 23,514.5 (Aug 23, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) * 🎯 Executive Summary Multi-theory convergence analysis indicates NAS100 at critical inflection point with 65% probability of upward continuation to 24,000-24,600 zone, contingent on breaking 23,640 resistance. --- # 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS **INTRADAY ANALYSIS (5M - 4H)** **5-Minute Timeframe Analysis** ** Candlestick Patterns *Current Formation**: Potential inside bar consolidation *Key Patterns to Watch**: Hammer/Doji near 23,500 (bullish), Shooting star above 23,580 (bearish) *Volume Confirmation**: Required for breakout validation ** Technical Indicators *RSI(14)**: ~48-52 (Neutral zone, watch for divergence) *VWAP**: 23,508 ± 15 (Dynamic S/R level) *Bollinger Bands**: Squeeze pattern suggesting breakout imminent *EMA(20)**: 23,495 (immediate support/resistance) **15-Minute Timeframe Analysis** ** Harmonic Patterns *Active Pattern**: Potential ABCD completion at 23,350-23,380 *Butterfly Pattern**: Target projection 24,580-24,650 *Fibonacci Confluence**: 61.8% retracement at 23,420 ** Wyckoff Analysis *Phase**: Testing phase after potential accumulation *Volume**: Decreasing on declines (bullish sign) *Price Action**: Higher lows formation developing *Next Expected**: Markup phase if 23,450 holds **30-Minute Timeframe Analysis** ** Elliott Wave Count *Primary Count**: Wave (4) correction nearing completion - Wave A: 23,690 → 23,350 - Wave B: 23,350 → 23,580 (current) - Wave C Target: 23,200-23,300 *Alternate Count**: Wave (5) impulse beginning - Target: 24,200-24,600 ** W.D. Gann Analysis *Square of 9**: 23,490 and 23,625 critical levels *Time Theory**: Next major turn window Aug 26-28 *Angle Theory**: 1x1 Gann line at 23,200 (major support) **1-Hour Timeframe Analysis** ** Ichimoku Kinko Hyo *Tenkan-sen (9)**: 23,520 (resistance) *Kijun-sen (26)**: 23,465 (support) *Kumo Cloud**: 23,420-23,480 (support zone) *Chikou Span**: Above price action (bullish) *Future Cloud**: Bullish twist expected in 26 periods ** Moving Averages Confluence *SMA(50)**: 23,380 *EMA(50)**: 23,425 *WMA(50)**: 23,448 *Golden Cross Formation**: EMA crossing above SMA (bullish) *# **4-Hour Timeframe Analysis** ** Advanced Pattern Recognition *Head & Shoulders**: Potential inverse H&S with neckline at 23,580 *Flag Pattern**: Bullish flag consolidation after impulse move *Support/Resistance**: - Major Support: 23,200-23,300 - Minor Support: 23,420-23,465 - Minor Resistance: 23,580-23,625 - Major Resistance: 23,690-23,750 --- # 📈 SWING ANALYSIS (4H - Monthly) **Daily Timeframe** *# Elliott Wave Analysis *Supercycle**: Wave (III) of Grand Supercycle in progress *Cycle**: Wave 3 of (III) potential completion *Primary**: Wave (4) correction expected - Target: 22,800-23,200 (38.2%-50% Fibonacci) - Duration: 3-8 weeks - Pattern: Likely flat or triangle *# Wyckoff Market Structure *Phase**: Distribution testing vs. Reaccumulation *Volume Profile**: High volume nodes at 23,300 and 22,800 *Composite Man Activity**: Accumulation signs if above 23,200 *Spring/Upthrust**: Watch for false breakdowns below 23,200 *# Gann Time & Price Forecasting *Time Cycles**: - 90-day cycle: Peak expected late August - 180-day cycle: Next major turn October 2025 *Price Squares**: - 23,400 = 153² ÷ 10 - 24,000 = 155² ÷ 10 - 25,000 = 158² ÷ 10 **Weekly Timeframe** *# Long-term Elliott Wave *Grand Supercycle**: Wave III from 2009 lows *Supercycle**: Wave (3) extension phase *Cycle**: Wave 3 of (3) nearing completion at 25,000-26,000 *# Harmonic Analysis *Shark Pattern**: Completion at 25,200-25,400 *Crab Pattern**: Deep retracement target 20,800-21,500 *ABCD Extensions**: 1.618 projection at 26,000 * **Monthly Timeframe** *# Macro Elliott Wave Structure *Primary Degree**: Wave (5) of III in progress *Intermediate**: Wave 3 of (5) targeting 28,000-30,000 *Minor**: Current correction within larger impulse *# Gann Annual Forecasting *2025 Projection**: 24,000-26,000 year-end target *Seasonal Tendency**: Q4 traditionally strong for tech *Master Time Cycle**: 7-year cycle supportive through 2026 --- # 📋 KEY LEVELS & TARGETS **Critical Price Levels** *# Immediate (Next 48 Hours) *Ultra Resistance**: 23,690-23,750 *Strong Resistance**: 23,625-23,640 *Minor Resistance**: 23,580-23,600 *Pivot Point**: 23,514 (current) *Minor Support**: 23,465-23,480 *Strong Support**: 23,420-23,450 *Ultra Support**: 23,350-23,380 *# Short-term (1-2 Weeks) *Bull Target 1**: 24,100-24,200 *Bull Target 2**: 24,600-24,800 *Bear Target 1**: 23,000-23,100 *Bear Target 2**: 22,600-22,800 *# Medium-term (1-3 Months) *Primary Upside**: 25,000-25,500 *Extended Upside**: 26,000-26,800 *Primary Downside**: 21,500-22,000 *Extended Downside**: 20,000-20,500 --- # 📅 DAILY TRADING STRATEGIES (WEEK OF AUG 26-30, 2025) **MONDAY, AUGUST 26, 2025** *# Market Context *Gann Time Window**: Major turn date (High probability reversal) *Volume Expected**: Above average due to Monday open *Key Events**: Watch for gap up/down at open *# Intraday Strategy **Pre-Market Analysis (Before 9:30 AM EST)** *Gap Assessment**: - Gap Up >23,550: Look for continuation to 23,625 - Gap Down <23,480: Target 23,420 support *Volume Profile**: Confirm with higher volume for gap sustainability **Morning Session (9:30 AM - 12:00 PM EST)** **Setup 1: Breakout Play** *Entry**: Break above 23,580 with volume *Stop Loss**: 23,530 *Target 1**: 23,625 *Target 2**: 23,690 *Risk/Reward**: 1:1.8 **Setup 2: Support Bounce** *Entry**: Bounce from 23,450-23,465 zone *Stop Loss**: 23,420 *Target 1**: 23,520 *Target 2**: 23,580 *Risk/Reward**: 1:2.6 **Afternoon Session (12:00 PM - 4:00 PM EST)** **Setup 3: Range Trading** *Buy Zone**: 23,465-23,485 *Sell Zone**: 23,565-23,585 *Stops**: Outside range by 25 points *Scalping Opportunity**: 5-15 minute timeframes **Daily Risk Management** *Max Risk**: 2% of account *Position Size**: Adjust for increased volatility (Gann date) *News Watch**: Fed officials' speeches, tech earnings --- **TUESDAY, AUGUST 27, 2025** *# Market Context *Technical Focus**: Follow-through from Monday's action *Volatility**: Expected to decrease from Monday *Pattern Completion**: Watch for harmonic pattern triggers *# Intraday Strategy ** **Pre-Market Setup** *Trend Continuation**: If Monday bullish, look for higher lows *Reversal Signs**: If Monday bearish, watch for oversold bounce ** **Trading Sessions** **Setup 1: Trend Following** *Bullish Scenario**: - Entry: Pullback to 23,500-23,520 - Stop: 23,465 - Targets: 23,625, 23,700 *Bearish Scenario**: - Entry: Rally to 23,540-23,560 - Stop: 23,590 - Targets: 23,450, 23,380 **Setup 2: Wyckoff Spring/Upthrust** *Spring Play**: False break below 23,420, quick reversal *Upthrust Play**: False break above 23,640, quick rejection *High probability setups with tight stops** --- **WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28, 2025** *# Market Context *Mid-week Dynamics**: Typically consolidation day *Technical Pattern**: Triangle/flag pattern completion expected *Volume**: Usually lower, range-bound trading likely *# Intraday Strategy **Setup 1: Breakout Preparation** *Consolidation Range**: 23,480-23,580 *Volume Spike Required**: For any breakout attempt *False Breakout Fades**: High probability trades **Setup 2: Scalping Strategy** *Timeframe**: 5-15 minutes *Range**: 23,500-23,550 *Multiple small profits**: 15-25 point targets *Tight stops**: 10-15 points maximum --- **THURSDAY, AUGUST 29, 2025** *# Market Context *Elliott Wave**: Potential completion of correction wave *Momentum Building**: For Friday breakout *Options Activity**: Weekly expiration influence *# Intraday Strategy **Setup 1: Pre-Breakout Positioning** *Accumulation Zone**: 23,450-23,500 *Distribution Zone**: 23,580-23,630 *Position for Friday's move** **Setup 2: Momentum Trading** *Morning Gap**: Trade in direction of gap *Volume Confirmation**: Essential for sustainability *Extended Targets**: If momentum strong --- **FRIDAY, AUGUST 30, 2025** *# Market Context *Week-End Positioning**: Major moves often occur *Monthly Close**: Important for larger timeframe analysis *High Volume Expected**: Options expiration *# Intraday Strategy **Setup 1: Weekly Close Play** *Above 23,580**: Bullish for next week, target 23,700-23,800 *Below 23,450**: Bearish setup, target 23,300-23,200 *Volume Crucial**: For weekly close significance **Setup 2: Gap & Go/Gap & Reverse** *Gap Analysis**: Size and volume determine strategy *Large Gap**: Look for exhaustion and reversal *Small Gap**: Expect filling and continuation --- # ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK **Position Sizing Formula** *Conservative**: (Account Size × 1%) ÷ Stop Loss Distance *Moderate**: (Account Size × 2%) ÷ Stop Loss Distance *Aggressive**: (Account Size × 3%) ÷ Stop Loss Distance **Daily Limits** *Maximum Daily Loss**: 3% of account *Maximum Positions**: 3 concurrent trades *Win Rate Target**: >55% (Given R:R ratios) **Technical Stop Levels** *5M Chart**: Beyond recent high/low + spread *15M Chart**: Beyond support/resistance + 15 points *1H Chart**: Beyond key levels + 25 points *4H Chart**: Beyond major levels + 40 points --- # 📈 PROBABILITY MATRIX & SCENARIOS **Scenario Analysis** *# **Bull Case (65% Probability)** *Catalyst**: Break above 23,640 with volume *Targets**: 24,100 → 24,600 → 25,000 *Timeline**: 2-6 weeks *Volume Profile**: Above average confirmation needed **Consolidation Case (25% Probability)** *Range**: 23,200-23,700 *Duration**: 4-8 weeks *Pattern**: Triangle or flag formation *Resolution**: Eventually bullish **Bear Case (10% Probability)** *Catalyst**: Break below 23,200 with volume *Targets**: 22,800 → 22,200 → 21,500 *Timeline**: 3-10 weeks *Warning Signs**: Distribution volume patterns --- # 📊 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE TRACKING **Key Metrics to Monitor** *Win Rate**: Target >55% *Average Risk/Reward**: Target >1:2 *Maximum Drawdown**: Limit to 5% *Sharpe Ratio**: Track risk-adjusted returns *Best/Worst Days**: Analyze for patterns **Weekly Review Questions** 1. Were stop losses appropriate for volatility? 2. Did volume confirm price movements? 3. Which timeframe analysis was most accurate? 4. What patterns repeated throughout the week? 5. How did news events impact technical levels? --- # 🚨 CRITICAL ALERTS & WATCHPOINTS **Immediate Alerts (Next 24-48 Hours)** *23,640 Break**: Bullish acceleration likely *23,420 Break**: Correction deepening *Volume Spike**: >150% average confirms breakout *News Flow**: Fed communications, tech earnings **Weekly Watchpoints** *Elliott Wave Count**: Validation/invalidation levels *Harmonic Pattern Completion**: Entry opportunities *Gann Time Windows**: Reversal probability *Wyckoff Phases**: Institutional behavior clues **Monthly Considerations** *Seasonal Patterns**: September historically weak *Options Expiration**: Third Friday volatility *Earnings Season**: Individual stock impacts on index *Federal Reserve**: Policy meeting outcomes --- **⚡ FINAL NOTE**: This analysis represents a convergence of multiple technical methodologies. Always combine with fundamental analysis and maintain strict risk management. Market conditions can change rapidly, requiring strategy adjustments. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
1
NSDQ100 awaits Fed Powwell's tone at Jackson Hole Key Drivers Powell @ Jackson Hole (10am EST): July FOMC was hawkish on labour, but payroll revisions weaker since → tone today could soften. Market focus: whether Powell leans on labour weakness vs still-solid inflation & activity. Outcome = pivotal for Fed cut expectations and tech valuations. Macro/Policy Noise: Halts & policy risks: immigration and visa restrictions could tighten labour supply, indirectly feeding wage/inflation concerns. NIH funding cuts add fiscal uncertainty. Geopolitical chip tension: Nvidia halting H20 AI chip production under Beijing pressure raises supply-chain risk. Negative for semi names in the NASDAQ-100 (NVDA, AMD, AVGO). US stance on chipmakers: No forced equity stakes → removes one overhang, but policy risk still high. NASDAQ-100 Implications Powell dovish → likely risk-on, tech rally (rate-sensitive growth). Powell hawkish / inflation-first → risk-off, higher yields weigh on big tech multiples. Chip news: Nvidia headline is a near-term drag; could spill over to the semiconductor complex (SOX index). Net read: Short-term cautious bias into Powell due to Nvidia headline + policy noise. Direction after 10am EST depends on Fed tone—dovish shift = upside reversal, hawkish = further pressure on NASDAQ-100. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23480 Resistance Level 2: 23720 Resistance Level 3: 23950 Support Level 1: 23100 Support Level 2: 22985 Support Level 3: 22740 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
6
Nasdaq to 24k!!!I remain constructive on the NASDAQ as we head into the second half of the year. Chair Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole reinforced that rate cuts are coming, though they will be measured rather than front-loaded. This approach reflects confidence in the economy’s resilience while ensuring inflation continues to trend lower. Historically, years ending in 5 have shown strong equity market performance under the decennial theory. Combined with improving liquidity conditions and a supportive policy backdrop, the setup favors continued strength in growth and technology-driven sectors. From a technical perspective, the NASDAQ has already established a hard low near the 22,900 level, which now serves as a strong support zone. Since then, the index has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish structure. This price action confirms that buyers remain in control and strengthens the case for continued momentum in the months ahead. In my view, these factors create a durable foundation for the NASDAQ to remain bullish, with momentum likely to build as markets look ahead to a more accommodative environment.
IG:NASDAQLong
by JonathanSantos
1
NAS100: BUY OPPORTUNITY AT H4 ORDERBLOCKHello traders Here's my point of view about PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 TECHNICALLY: Price this week was very bullish until today FRIDAY. AS you can see price reached the psychological area of 23.000. Currently, price action seems to reject and print pin bars at the H4 ORDERBLOCK. This is a make-or-break area. As long as we stay ABOVE 23 000 we can consider to look for BUY entries but only if fundamentals, confluences & confirmations. Otherwise, the area will be completely invalidated I personally took a quick buy at the 23 080 AREA. FUNDAMENTALLY: All eyes on TRUMP speech today as well as Jackson Hole Symposium You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
FX:NAS100Long
by AIRFOREXONE_
USNAS100 Update | Fed Pressure Keeps Market Under Bearish BiasUSNAS100 – Overview Tech fright calms but Fed pressure grows U.S. tech stocks appear to have stabilized after two sessions of sharp declines, but uncertainty persists as the Treasury market reacts to the latest Federal Reserve developments ahead of the central bank’s annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming. Technical Outlook USNAS100 maintains a bearish setup while below 23,295. A break and sustained close above this level would signal a potential bullish reversal. 📍 Key Levels Pivot: 23,295 Support: 23,165 – 23,045 – 22,850 Resistance: 23,430 – 23,540 – 23,690 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
How to determine if the Fed will change target interest rates?In this video, I explain the mechanism of the Fed target interest rates and how to determine if the Fed will cut the target interest rates in September 2025 (or any other FOMC). I also talk about the Overnight Reverse Repo balance sheet and the draining of the balance from a high of 2.55T on 30th Dec 2022 to just 25B as of 21st Aug 2025. I hypothesize a scenario from now till the September FOMC: 1. The Overnight Reverse Repo is completely emptied, meaning the stealth liquidity is gone. 2. The Equity Markets suffers a sharp fall (even a crash). 3. Funds rotate into US treasuries, causing yield to fall. 4. Fed cuts target interest rates without having to monetize the debts. The most important key takeaway in this video is to understand that in order to know if the Fed will do anything is to see the 3month government bond yield. All the other information are supplementary and provide us information to paint a narrative on how the market will move in the coming weeks. As aways, keep your risks tight, and Good Luck!
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by yuchaosng