US100 - Cautious Optimism Returns?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Key Supply / Lower High Resistance
This is the first meaningful resistance zone below the all-time high. The sharp selloff originated here, making it a tactical “sell zone” on retests. If bulls manage to reclaim and hold above it, it would signal regained momentum and open the door for a reattempt at the highs. Otherwise, repeated rejections here could confirm a developing lower-high structure — a sign of weakening bullish control.
Zone 2: Intermediate Demand / Reaction Zone
This zone has shown reactive buying interest and currently acts as short-term support. It’s where price paused after the last major drop, showing the presence of responsive buyers. Holding above this zone keeps the intraday bias neutral-to-bullish, but a decisive break below would expose the next, stronger demand layer.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Structural Support
This is the critical demand base for the current structure. Buyers have previously stepped in aggressively here, making it a key defense area for maintaining the broader bullish trend. A clean breakdown below would mark a shift in market structure toward a deeper correction phase.
US100 sentiment as of October 14, 2025
After a volatile start to the week, sentiment around the US100 has turned cautiously optimistic. The tone improved sharply yesterday after President Trump softened his rhetoric toward China, easing fears of an escalating trade war. Markets responded positively, with tech and AI-related stocks leading the rebound, particularly semiconductor and infrastructure names, which had been under pressure from tariff headlines earlier in the week.
The shift restored some risk appetite, but traders remain aware of how fragile the backdrop still is. The government shutdown continues to limit access to key U.S. economic data, leaving investors to trade largely on headlines, corporate news, and policy expectations. Meanwhile, valuations remain stretched, and any renewed trade tension or hawkish commentary from the Fed could quickly reverse the current optimism.
Overall, the US100 is holding a bullish bias, supported by AI momentum and relief over trade tensions, yet sentiment is still built on a fragile foundation, driven more by narrative and liquidity than by solid macro data.
