Naz 100Not looking too happy
Rez starts at 25.7K area
Could be just a pullback or it could be a top
Lets see what happens
Trade ideas
NASDAQ Head and Shoulers Pattern - Strong Bearish SignalHead and Shoulders pattern has been confirmed by a break of neckline.
Catch your short entries from either above the right shoulder or when price drops below the neckline and sell to the next support zones.
NAS100 Trade Set Up Dec 8 2025Price has tapped into supply and has swept London/Asia highs so i will wait to see if price can sweep PDH first to then look for internal 1m-5m IFVG/CISD target LRLR and SSL
USNAS100 | Watching 25740 After Resistance ReactionUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
USNAS100 has already reached the 25730 resistance highlighted in the previous analysis.
For today, the index is expected to trade with bearish momentum while below 25740, with price likely to test 25570.
A 1H close below 25570 is required to confirm continuation of the bearish trend toward 25430.
However, if the market closes a 1H candle above 25740, bullish momentum will return, opening the way toward 25980 and higher resistance levels.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 25740
Resistance: 25880 · 25985 · 26170
Support: 25570 · 25470 · 25330
previous idea:
NASDAQ D3Waiting for D3 candle to close to look for next move. Missed small buys yesterday by few points. Life goes on.
$BTC - $DXY -$SPX - $NDX - $GOLD 11/12/2025 forecastWhile the past days saw a fairly moderate negative energy across an index at a time, things will now complicate. As we're looking for both CRYPTOCAP:BTC , TVC:GOLD and NASDAQ:NDX (the latter still waiting to properly discount the incoming negative days) to witness huge peaks of negative energy, at 3:49 am UTC and particularly at 7:50 am UTC being the hardest one, volatility will further increase as we get towards 12/12/2025.
Stop Loss Killers Completed – Bullish Expansion Ahead?After three consecutive Stop-Loss Killers (SLK1, SLK2, SLK3), the market appears to have flushed out remaining buyers and collected liquidity below key lows. This structure often signals the end of a manipulation phase and the beginning of a potential bullish expansion.
With the FOMC rate-cut announcement expected this evening, the market now has both structural and fundamental conditions for an upside move. If the sweep was indeed the final liquidity grab, a rally toward the upper target zone may follow next.
NSDQ100 wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight’s FOMCMarkets remained in wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight’s FOMC decision, keeping equity moves muted. The S&P 500 slipped -0.09%, with futures flat this morning, signalling no strong pre-Fed risk appetite for US equities, including tech.
Key Macro Drivers for NDX
US 10yr yields rose +2.4bps to a 3-month high, continuing the global bond selloff.
Higher yields remain a headwind for long-duration tech stocks, keeping upside in the NASDAQ capped.
Australia’s 10yr yield hit a late-2023 high, confirming that the global tightening in bond markets is still broad-based.
Elsewhere, Franco-German spreads tightened, offering limited relief for global risk sentiment.
Fed in Focus
Markets are pricing a ~90% probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut tonight, which would be the third consecutive cut since September.
Since the last meeting, unemployment has risen to 4.4%, reinforcing the case for near-term easing.
However, inflation concerns are creating deep policy divisions, meaning forward guidance for 2025 is likely to remain intentionally vague.
Powell is unlikely to clearly signal additional cuts, especially with succession uncertainty growing as Kevin Hassett is seen as a leading candidate to replace him.
Implications for NASDAQ 100
Near-term direction hinges on Powell’s tone, not the cut itself.
Dovish guidance → NDX upside via yields pullback.
Cautious / inflation-focused tone → further yield pressure and likely NDX consolidation or downside.
Until the press conference, NDX is likely to remain range-bound with headline-driven volatility tonight.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100 Liquidity Reaction at Accumulation Box Volume ProfileThis analysis is based on a Volume Profile anchored to the most recent accumulation box in order to isolate the active auction. The goal is to understand whether price is accepting value or rejecting it, rather than attempting to predict direction.
US100 recently attempted to trade above the upper value region but failed to hold acceptance. Price is now rotating back into the composite range, suggesting a transition from expansion to balance.
Volume Profile Perspective
The anchored Volume Profile highlights where the majority of recent transactions occurred. These levels define fair value and serve as decision points for continuation or rotation.
Price is currently interacting with a key acceptance area that has previously acted as both support and resistance. This makes it a critical zone for determining short-term control.
Key Reference Levels
Upper distribution and rejection zone from prior highs
Value acceptance area defined by the anchored profile
Lower value boundary and high-volume support
Lower composite distribution below value
These levels are treated as reaction zones, not precise turning points.
Expected Market Paths
Path One: Continued Rejection and Rotation Lower
If price fails to reclaim acceptance above the value area and continues to form lower highs, rotation toward the lower value boundary becomes the higher probability outcome. Acceptance below value would open the path toward the next lower composite distribution.
Path Two: Reacceptance Into Value
If price reclaims the value area and holds above it with acceptance, rotation back toward the upper distribution becomes likely. In this case, the prior rejection zone would act as the next area to evaluate for continuation or rejection.
Execution Considerations
This environment favors patience and reaction over anticipation. Trades are best evaluated at value boundaries rather than inside the range. Acceptance and rejection should be confirmed through structure and follow-through, not single candles.
This is a contextual market analysis, not a trading signal.
Summary
US100 is currently trading within a decision zone defined by an accumulation-based Volume Profile. The next directional move depends on whether price accepts back above value or continues to reject and rotate lower. Letting the market confirm intent at these levels is critical.
Nasdaq at a Make-or-Break Level: Breakout or Breakdown?Price is trapped between a major historical resistance and a long-term ascending trendline — a critical decision zone.
Bullish Scenario
If price breaks and holds above 26,300:
• Target 1: 27,500
• Target 2: 28,500–29,000
• Stop-loss: Close back below 25,800
Bearish Scenario
If price loses 25,200, and especially 24,800 (trendline):
• Target 1: 23,500
• Target 2: 21,800
• Stop-loss: Reclaiming 25,500
Short Fundamental View
• Tech giants continue to drive market momentum.
• Valuations are elevated, leaving room for correction.
• Fed policy and macro data will heavily influence future price action.
Chasing the last train: how late entries ruin good trendsChasing the last train: how late entries ruin good trends
The picture is familiar.
The asset has already made a strong move, candles line up in one direction, chats are full of profit screenshots.
Inside there is only one thought: "I am late".
The buy or sell button is pressed not from a plan, but from fear of missing out.
This is how a classic "last train" entry is born.
This text breaks down how to spot that moment and how to stop turning each impulse into an expensive ticket without a seat.
How the last train looks on a chart
This situation has clear signs.
Long sequence of candles in one direction with no healthy pullback.
Acceleration of price and volatility compared to previous swings.
Entry happens closer to a local high or low than to any level.
Stop is placed "somewhere below" or moved again and again.
The mind focuses on other people’s profit, not on the original plan.
In that state the trader reacts to what already happened instead of trading a prepared setup.
Why chasing the move hurts the account
The problem is not just "bad luck".
Poor risk-reward .
Entry sits near an extreme. Upside or downside left in the move is small, while a normal stop needs wide distance. In response there is a temptation to push the stop further just to stay in.
Large players often exit there .
For them the trend started earlier. Where retail opens first positions, they scale out or close a part of the move.
Strategy statistics get distorted .
A system can work well when entries come from levels and follow a plan. Once late emotional trades appear in the mix, the math changes even if the historical chart still looks nice.
How to notice that the hand reaches for the last train
Knowing your own triggers helps.
This symbol was not in the morning watchlist, attention appeared only after a sharp spike.
The decision comes from news or chat messages, not from calm chart work.
There is no clear invalidation level, the stop sits "somewhere here".
Many timeframes blink at once, the view jumps from 1 minute to 15 minutes and back.
Inner talk sounds like "everyone is already in, I am the only one outside".
If at least two of these points match, the trade is most likely not part of the core system.
Simple rules against FOMO
Work goes not with the emotion itself, but with the frame around trades.
No plan, no trade .
A position opens only if the scenario existed before the spike. Fresh "brilliant" ideas during the impulse are placed into the journal, not into the order book.
Move distance limit .
Decide in advance after what percentage move from a key zone the setup becomes invalid.
For example: "if price travels more than 3–4 percent away from the level without a retest, the scenario is cancelled, next entry only after a pause and new base".
Trade from zones, not from the middle of the impulse .
Plans are built around areas where a decision makes sense, not around the fastest part of a candle.
Time filter .
After a sharp move, add a small pause.
Five to fifteen minutes with no new orders, only observation and notes.
What to do when the move has already gone
The smart choice is not "grab at least something".
Better to:
save a screenshot of the move;
mark where the trend started to speed up;
write down whether this symbol was in the plan and why;
prepare a setup for a pullback or the next phase, where entry comes from a level, not from the middle of noise.
Then the missed move turns into material for the system instead of three revenge trades in a row.
A short checklist before pressing the button
Was this symbol in the plan before the run started.
Do I see the exact point where the idea breaks and is the stop parked there.
Is the loss size acceptable if this trade repeats many times.
Can I repeat the same entry one hundred times with the same rules.
If any line sounds weak, skipping this "train" often saves both money and nerves.
The market will send new ones. The task is not to jump into every car, but to board the ones that match the timetable of the trading plan.
US100 = NASDAQ INDEX big short coming soon ?i think we are at the very end of a very long impulsive wave, we might even be finished it not certain but one thing is certain, we will see a big short in the coming months after another small impulse wave or some range to target wave 5 maybe. gonna be on the watch on this one, my last year target already reached so, add to watch list, might give us very good entry for another long term buy.
USNAS100 📉 The US100 chart shows a strong bullish structure forming after price successfully broke above a long-term descending trendline that had been acting as resistance for several weeks. This breakout indicates a potential shift in market momentum from bearish to bullish. After the breakout, price retested the same zone, confirming it as new support, which strengthens the reliability of the bullish setup.
✅ We can also see two major demand zones marked on the chart. These zones have repeatedly pushed price upward in the past, showing strong buying pressure. The market respected the latest demand zone once again, creating a solid base for the current upside move. With buyers stepping in and defending this level, a continuation to the upside becomes more likely.
✅ Following the retest of the broken trendline and the demand area, the price has started forming higher highs and higher lows—an early sign of trend reversal. This bullish structure aligns perfectly with the upward projection shown on the chart. The first target is placed around 25,700, where previous minor resistance lies. If price manages to break this level with momentum, the rally could extend toward the second target near 26,000+, which is a stronger resistance area and a psychological level where traders often take profits.
✅ The stop-loss region is positioned below the retest zone to protect the trade in case price fails to hold above the new support. This ensures a balanced risk-to-reward setup while maintaining market structure integrity.
✅ Overall, the market setup suggests a well-defined bullish opportunity supported by trendline breakout, successful retest, strong demand zones, and improving price structure. As long as price stays above the retest level, buyers may continue to push toward the highlighted targets.
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NAS100 Trade Set Up Dec 3 2025Price failed to create a new HH and swept PDH so i will want to see how price reacts to PDL area, if it sweeps it and make 1m-5m bullish IFVG/CISD i will look for buys but if price trades through it and makes bearish internal structure i will look for a continuation lower to SSL
NSDQ100 - Soft ADP employment figuresUS equities showed tentative stabilisation, with the S&P 500 up modestly and Nasdaq futures also edging higher this morning. Markets remain cautious ahead of a heavy US data slate and next week’s FOMC, with rate-cut expectations already priced at over 90%, limiting upside momentum for growth stocks.
Focus today is firmly on ADP private payrolls and the ISM services survey, especially the prices paid component, which is seen as an important inflation proxy in the absence of official CPI data. A soft ADP print would reinforce the view of a cooling labour market and be supportive for rate-sensitive Nasdaq tech, while any upside surprise risks pressuring the index via higher yields.
Treasury yields are drifting lower, offering some support to mega-cap tech, but overall trading conditions remain fragile. Crypto volatility continues to spill into risk sentiment after sharp moves in Bitcoin and crypto-related equities.
Geopolitics adds background risk, with no breakthrough on Ukraine talks and renewed threats from Russia, but for Nasdaq traders the near-term direction is likely to hinge almost entirely on today’s US data and its implications for Fed policy next week.
Will NAS100 Sustain Its Bullish Momentum After the Pullback?NAS100 🚀 Bullish Swing Setup | SuperTrend Pullback & Layered Entry Strategy
🎯 TRADE IDEA: NAS100 (US100) BULLISH SWING
Capitalize on a structured pullback in the NASDAQ 100! This plan leverages a proven indicator confluence for a high-probability long opportunity.
📊 ANALYSIS & CONFIRMATION:
Trend: Primary Bullish Trend is intact. ✅
Trigger: Price is pulling back into a demand zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward entry.
Indicator: The SuperTrend ATR Line is acting as dynamic support on the 4H/Daily timeframe. A bounce from this level confirms our bullish bias.
⚡ STRATEGY: "THE THIEF" LAYERED ENTRY
This method uses multiple limit orders to average into a position, perfect for volatile markets like the NASDAQ.
Entry Zone: Look for entries between 25,200 - 25,600
Layer Example:
🟢 Limit Order 1: 25,600
🟢 Limit Order 2: 25,400
🟢 Limit Order 3: 25,200
👉 You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital and risk appetite.
❗ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Stop Loss (SL): A decisive break below 24,800 would invalidate the bullish structure.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY protective stop. Dear Thief OG's 👑, you MUST adjust your position size and SL based on your personal risk management strategy. Protect your capital first!
🎯 PROFIT TARGETS:
Primary Target: 25,600 (Initial resistance & profit-taking zone).
Key Reasoning: We anticipate a reaction here due to:
Moving Average resistance.
Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes.
A "trap" for late buyers.
👉 Smart Move: Consider taking partial profits at 25,600 and trailing your stop for the remainder. Escape the trap with your profits! 💰
⚠️ REMINDER: Dear Thief OG's 👑, your Take Profit (TP) is your own decision. Secure gains based on your trading plan and market behavior.
🔍 RELATED ASSETS & MARKET CORRELATION:
Watching these related instruments can provide confirmation and a broader market view.
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 🟡 NEGATIVE CORRELATION
A weakening Dollar ( TVC:DXY DOWN) is generally bullish for Nasdaq. If the Dollar is falling, it adds confidence to this long thesis.
USTECH (CFD on Nasdaq 100): 🟢 DIRECT CORRELATION
Moves in sync with NAS100. Perfect for cross-verifying price action and volume.
NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:TSLA (Mega-Caps): 🟢 HIGH IMPACT
These heavily weighted Nasdaq components drive the index. Bullish momentum in these stocks supports a rising NAS100.
FOREXCOM:SPX500 (S&P 500): 🟢 POSITIVE CORRELATION
A strong S&P 500 often lifts the Nasdaq. Monitor for overall U.S. market strength.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
What's your entry strategy for the NAS100 this week?
#NAS100 #US100 #TradingView #SwingTrading #Bullish #SuperTrend #TradingStrategy #IndexTrading #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy
US100 / NASDAQ TodayNasdaq 100 (NDX) Analysis - December 3, 2024
Based on today's market data, here's a comprehensive analysis of the Nasdaq 100:
Today's Performance
The Nasdaq 100 is currently trading around 25,513 points. The index closed at 25,555.86, gaining 213.01 points (+0.84%) as of 5:16 PM EST on December 2.
Today's Trading Range:
Opening: 25,449.87
High: 25,622.58
Low: 25,369.36
Volume: 380,862,001
52-Week Performance
Over the past 52 weeks, the index has ranged from 16,542.20 to 26,182.10, representing an 18.91% gain over the past 12 months.
Technical Signals
Based on technical indicators and moving averages, the daily buy/sell signal is "Strong Buy".
2024 Performance Context
The Nasdaq-100 finished 2024 higher by 25% following a return of nearly 54% in 2023—its best two-year stretch since 1998 and 1999—and eclipsed 20,000 for the first time.
However, December saw a reversal with approximately three out of every five indexes experiencing losses, averaging down 4.0%. This followed the Fed's hawkish tone, as it reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2025 to two from four.
Recent Index Reconstitution
On December 13, 2024, Nasdaq announced that Palantir Technologies, MicroStrategy, and Axon Enterprise will be added to the index effective December 23, 2024, while Illumina, Super Micro Computer, and Moderna will be removed.
Market Context
The index is currently navigating a period of consolidation after reaching near-record highs. Key factors influencing the market include Federal Reserve interest rate policy, valuations of mega-cap tech stocks (particularly the "Magnificent 7"), and ongoing developments in AI technology.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in financial instruments involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and the information provided may not reflect real-time market movements. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not a financial advisor and assumes no responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this analysis.
Bullish continuation setup?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 25,166.38
1st Support: 24,913.61
1st Resistance: 25,736.27
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq Hits Resistance: Pullback Before the Next Bullish Move?📊 Nasdaq – Technical Setup & Market Catalysts
The index recently tested a previously unfilled Fair Value Gap (H1 timeframe) and swept liquidity from last week’s accumulation — a process that often precedes new directional moves. The move cleared many trapped positions and reset the orderbook.
Currently, Nasdaq is sitting below a strong resistance zone; price appears to be weakening, which increases the probability of a short-term pullback toward the Previous Day Low (PDL) to collect more liquidity before any further upside attempt.
Momentum indicators and price structure suggest caution: while the general uptrend remains, a lack of upward acceleration and signs of hesitation point toward a possible consolidation or retracement.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Optimism remains in markets thanks to rising investor expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this December. This sentiment supports risk assets, and tech stocks in particular — historically sensitive to interest rates and discounting future earnings.
However, some analysts warn that valuations in the tech sector — which heavily influence Nasdaq — are rich relative to earnings. The forward P/E ratio sits well above long-term averages, increasing vulnerability if economic data disappoints or if rate cuts are delayed.
Broader macro conditions remain fragile: global yield curves and bond markets show signs of stress, which could add volatility. Also, inflation trends and upcoming U.S. data releases could shift sentiment quickly.
🎯 What to Watch Next
Pullback zone: Look for support near the PDL or recent liquidity area — potential buying zone if price stabilizes.
Breakout zone: If Nasdaq breaks above resistance with strength and volume, upside is open toward higher targets set pre-rally.
Catalysts: Fed rate-cut expectations, upcoming economic data (inflation, employment, PMI), and tech sector earnings will influence direction strongly.
NASDAQ100 Breakout Watch — Is a New Upside Leg Starting Now?📈 NASDAQ100 Swing Trade Opportunity — Bullish Breakout Play
🟩 Asset: NASDAQ100 (Index CFD)
⚡ Trade Type: Swing Trade — Bullish Plan Confirmed
🧭 Trade Thesis
The index has confirmed a bullish setup following a Triangle + Moving Average breakout, strengthening upward momentum and favoring dip-buying behavior.
To reflect the Thief layering method, this plan uses multiple staggered limit orders to accumulate positions efficiently across volatility pockets.
📌 Entry Plan (Thief Layering Method)
💰 Entry Style: “Any price level allowed — Thief uses layers”
Buy Limit Layers:
24,900
25,000
25,100
25,200
(Feel free to increase or customize layers to fit your personal risk and liquidity preference.)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL)
🔻 Thief SL: 24,500
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust SL based on your personal risk and strategy.
This is not a fixed recommendation, only a reference zone.
🎯 Target (TP)
⚡ The High-Voltage Electric Gate Zone around 26,200 acts as major resistance because of:
Overbought readings
High-liquidity trap behavior
Historical reversal probability
Exit with profits before heavy sellers activate.
Again — you decide your own TP based on your risk tolerance, not mine.
📊 Market Logic Behind the Move
Breakout structure confirmed
Trend continuation supported by triangle compression
Index ETF flows show short-covering + rotation back into tech
Momentum accelerates above 25,200 zones
Cleaner upside path until liquidity wall at 26,200
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insight)
1️⃣ NASDAQ:NDX / NASDAQ:QQQ
Direct ETF mirror of NASDAQ100
Useful for checking volume, market depth, and real-time breakout confirmation
2️⃣ SP:SPX / NYSE:ES (S&P 500)
High correlation (approx. 0.85+)
A strong SPX supports tech continuation; weakness warns of index-wide pullback
3️⃣ TVC:VIX (Volatility Index)
Inverse correlation
If VIX stays below key volatility thresholds, bullish NASDAQ continuation is more reliable
4️⃣ FX:USDOLLAR / DXY
Tech usually performs better when the Dollar weakens
A rising Dollar can slow or cap NASDAQ bullish momentum
5️⃣ TVC:US10Y / Yields
NASDAQ moves inversely with yields
If yields drop, NASDAQ accelerates
If yields spike, prepare for turbulence or failed breakouts
📘 Summary
Bullish plan confirmed via Triangle + MA Breakout
Thief layering entries positioned smartly into volatility
SL/TP guidance flexible for trader customization
Strong correlation checks available across SP:SPX , TVC:VIX , TVC:DXY & yields
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
