NAS100 | Bullish Momentum ExpectedBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 25,196.55, which is a pullbakc support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,926.57, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 25,626.70, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Trade ideas
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
🟢 24,300
🟢 24,400
🟢 24,500
🟢 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.)
🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL):
❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
💰 Target Area (Profit Zone):
🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓).
⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
📌 Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️♂️💸
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers
Summary:
Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in.
Logic:
CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment.
But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth.
With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025.
Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations.
Scenario Outlook:
If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two.
That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names.
NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again.
Trading View:
Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally).
Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode.
Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈:
🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000)
The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000.
🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000.
🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension.
🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption.
🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009)
The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market.
🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉.
🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️.
🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)*
The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses:
⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012)
Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves .
🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength.
📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal.
🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻.
📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies.
🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012)
A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows.
🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands.
📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break.
💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021)
This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves.
🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal.
💡 Fundamentals:
Rise of cloud computing
Mobile-first economy
AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion
COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history
🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3.
🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈.
🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022)
A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity.
🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones.
📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral.
🌍 Macro Headwinds:
Interest rate hikes
Inflation fears
Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis)
🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding*
This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress):
🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅
Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior.
🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion.
🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅
Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation.
🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026)
This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2).
📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks.
🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up.
💡 Fundamentals:
AI hypergrowth
US tech dominance
AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization
Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐
🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027)
A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle.
📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3.
🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally.
🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase.
🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029)
The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2.
🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off
📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up
📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks
🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms.
🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029)
Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold.
🧠 Expect:
Systemic debt pressure
Currency shifts
Economic reset themes
Potential Fed policy overcorrection
Liquidity crunch
🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K.
📚 Final Thoughts
Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈.
✅ Wave Count Aligned
✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected
✅ SMC Structure Intact
✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync
📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊.
"Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊
📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
#FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
US100 STRONG BREKAOUT|LONG|
✅US100 Price has successfully broken through the key resistance and all-time-high level, confirming bullish intent. As long as the breakout holds above structure, we anticipate continuation toward the next premium zone and liquidity resting at higher highs. Time Frame 3H.
LONG🚀
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NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
USTECUSTEC price is in the resistance zone 25237-25264. If the price cannot break through the 25264 level, it is expected that the price will likely go down in the short term. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NASDAQ Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on Nasdaq , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed above my old res and new support with daily candle and we have a very good bullish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price trying to retest the area now and giving a good bullish price action on smaller time frames , , So i see it`s a good chance to buy this pair when it back to retest the broken res and we can targeting from 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again below my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
US100 | Expansion Phase Alignment
The Market Flow | Oct 23, 2025
Technical Overview
• Price confirms a breakout above the active countertrend trigger (green).
• All observed timeframes are in bullish alignment — wave structure expanding higher.
• Immediate resistance lies near 25,175 , where the 100% Fibonacci projection aligns.
• Clearing this zone opens continuation toward higher Fibonacci extensions — 25,353 , 25,418 , 25,464 , and 25,583+ .
• Structural pivots remain supportive above 24,763 and 24,613.7 (daily pivot zone).
Trade Structure & Levels
• Bias: Long above 24,613.7
• Trigger = 25,095–25,143 breakout zone
• Primary Invalidation = 24,613.7 (daily pivot)
• Secondary Invalidation = 24,323.5 (H4 pivot)
• Targets → Fibonacci extensions: 25,353 → 25,418 → 25,464 → 25,583
• Phase: Expansion
Risk & Event Context
• Focus remains on U.S. macro data and yield repricing.
• Short-term volatility expected around key data prints; sustained closes above the trigger confirm momentum continuation.
Conclusion
The US100 shows multi-timeframe bullish alignment, initiating an expansion phase above the countertrend trigger. As long as price holds above the daily pivot at 24,613.7, the structure supports progressive upside toward the Fibonacci expansion cluster.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
US100 (NASDAQ 100) Long SetupAnalysis:
The market formed a strong bullish leg earlier and is now pulling back to retest a key support zone around 25,300. If price holds this level and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or structure break), we could see continuation to the upside.
Bias: Bullish above 25,300
Invalidation: Break below 25,145
Setup Type: Long Position
Entry: Around 25,300 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 25,145
Target: 25,720+
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartAnalysis #BuySetup #TradingView #SmartMoney #Forex #Indices
Nasdaq Fails to Return to Record HighsOver the past six trading sessions, the Nasdaq index has begun to show a notable bearish correction of more than 2.6% in the short term, reinforcing a downward bias that remains active at this stage. So far, the selling pressure has persisted as the market grows increasingly concerned about the performance of several companies linked to artificial intelligence, which have maintained significant valuations without yet reporting profits strong enough to justify those price levels. This situation has started to raise warning signals and trigger a short-term decline in confidence, which, if sustained, could become a key driver of stronger selling pressure in Nasdaq movements over the coming sessions.
Uptrend Still Holding
Despite recent corrections, the Nasdaq index has managed to preserve a steady upward trendline since around April 14 of this year, and so far, there has not been a strong enough sell-off to cause a meaningful break of this trend in the short term. However, if the current selling pressure continues, it could increase the risk of weakening the buying trendline, which has recently entered a phase of consolidation or pause over the past few sessions.
RSI
The RSI indicator line remains oscillating close to the 50 level, suggesting a technical balance between buying and selling strength over the average impulses of the last 14 trading sessions. As long as this behavior persists, the market may enter a more pronounced phase of indecision in the short term, reflecting the absence of a clear directional bias in price movements.
MACD
The MACD indicator, meanwhile, has started to show a neutral pattern, as its histogram continues to approach the zero line. This indicates indecision in the strength of short-term moving averages and could be signaling the formation of a more significant technical neutrality, where the market seeks an equilibrium point before defining a new directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
26,000 points – Main resistance: Corresponds to the recent record highs and stands as the most important bullish barrier to watch. Movements that manage to hold above this level could confirm a stronger buying bias, potentially allowing the uptrend to continue on the chart.
25,115 points – Near support: This zone coincides with the most recent price retracements and could act as a technical barrier against potential short-term downward corrections.
23,800 points – Critical support: This level corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on the chart. Bearish movements that reach and break below this area could put the current trendline at risk and generate a stronger selling bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reaction off FVGNAS100 is now rising towards our sell entry at 25,883, which aligns with the H4 Fair Value Gap and 71% Fibonacci retracement. We shall see how price reacts to this area after it breaks through the previous 2 swing high resistance levels.
The stop loss is at 26,167, which is a swing high resistance level, while the take profit is at 25,313, which is a swing low support level.
Once price reacts bearishly, do take note of the above swing low support level at 25,581 as well.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
5 NOV 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPBREAD & BUTTER SETUP
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NQ is in a reversal mood, non-reversal traders, go cautiously!
NQ is in a reversal mood and a support area. non reversal traders, it is better to wait until thursday shows a clear direction of the market to uptrend or break low retest and then down trend. Such bumpy locations are when we stay put and wait until when this brief storm is over.
NAS100 - Bullish Structure in Progress @ Demand AreaDear friends in trading,
🎯Bullish structure in progress...
🎯If price breach and hold above 25470 it can potentially launch a rally to 25970.
❌ It can also fail and fall back to demand area - watch 25300 (2HR candle)
🔑Kindly see our profile for your exclusive weekly updates.⚜️⚜️
🙏🏻Thank you in advance for your continued support.
NAS100 LongMarket Structure
Clear bearish displacement from the previous highs (~25 850–25 900).
Market made a strong lower low, then broke short-term structure (10 m BOS) to the upside.
That BOS signals a potential short-term reversal or at least a retracement toward a supply zone.
🔹 Key Zones
Demand zone (orange)
Origin of the BOS; clean mitigation of previous imbalance.
This area around 25 330–25 380 is holding as short-term demand.
Supply zone (gray box at top right)
Target zone between 25 550–25 580.
This is the most recent bearish order block before the impulse down, so it’s your liquidity target for longs and potential reversal point for shorts.
Liquidity zones
Equal highs around 25 480 → buy-side liquidity resting above.
Equal lows near 25 340 → sell-side liquidity, which price already swept during the last mitigation.
4 NOV 2025: HTF US100 MARKET RECAPDISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Buy Nas 100 to 26000I am buying Nas100. A lot of traders are selling Nas100 to the gap level and the market is aware that sellers intend holding sells towards the Gap at 25400 - hence I am going opposite direction. The market is not stupid.
I am trading 1HR TF in conjunction with US30. US30 is bullish hence I am convinced that the bull run for NAS100 is also starting now.
Good luck.






















