trade 2Scenario 1: Buy Limit @ 25376 i.e value-based buying
SL @ last blue cambist line
Risk 0.4%
R:R 1:1
Trade ideas
NAS100 Trade Set Up Oct 27 2025Price has broken PDL and made ATH during Asia session so i am expecting a sweep of SSL then internal structure on the 1m/5m forming CISD/IFVG to continue higher to BSL/London highs
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Reaches an All-Time HighNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Reaches an All-Time High
As the chart shows, trading in the Nasdaq 100 opened with a bullish gap today, with the price rising above the 25,600 mark for the first time in history.
The upbeat sentiment is being driven by:
→ expectations of a potential interest rate cut, with the Federal Reserve’s decision due on Wednesday;
→ the upcoming meeting between Chinese and U.S. leaders, where the presidents may announce a new trade agreement;
→ anticipation of quarterly earnings reports from major tech firms – Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL) and Meta Platforms (META) are all set to release results this week.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
A closer look at the hourly Nasdaq 100 chart, within the context of this month’s volatility, shows a steady recovery from the sharp drop on 10 October – the day President Trump suggested imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods.
The contours of that sell-off can now be used to outline an ascending channel, which neatly captures the market’s current price swings. Notably, today the index climbed into the upper half of that channel, overcoming resistance levels at:
→ the channel’s median line;
→ the 25,220 mark.
Since last Thursday’s low, the price has advanced by more than 3.5% – a strong rally – forming a steep upward trajectory (highlighted in orange). In this context:
→ the next potential target lies at the upper boundary of the blue channel, which would mark a new record high near 26,000 for the Nasdaq 100;
→ however, with RSI signalling overbought conditions, a short-term correction towards 25,500 would be a healthy development.
Should this week’s key events deliver the optimism investors are hoping for, the bulls may well succeed in reaching those ambitious targets.
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Nas100 opens the week with explosive strength4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1 (25,570 – 25,586): Today’s Low / Asia Session Open
This zone marks where price opened during the Asia session today after a sharp weekend gap to the upside. The fact that price held this area cleanly suggests that buyers immediately stepped in to defend the breakout, confirming it as a short-term demand zone. As long as price remains above Zone 1, intraday momentum stays firmly bullish, and any retest here could attract further buying interest.
Zone 2 (25,411 – 25,427): Last Week’s All-Time High
This zone represents last week’s all-time high, now turned into support after the breakout. The strong impulse above this level indicates that what was once a major resistance has now flipped into a structural base for the new leg higher. If the market revisits Zone 2, it will serve as a key test of buyer strength and validation of the breakout’s sustainability. Holding this zone will reinforce bullish market structure, while a clean break below could expose the unfilled gap beneath.
Market Gap – What It Means
Between Friday’s close and today’s open, price created a large upside gap, reflecting aggressive post-market buying and strong bullish sentiment carried into the new week. Such gaps often occur when new information — in this case, easing trade tensions and continued strength in tech earnings, triggers a rush of buy orders before the regular session begins.
However, gaps of this size also leave “thin liquidity zones” below, areas where price moved so fast that few transactions took place. These can act like magnets for future price action, as markets often “fill the gap” later to establish balance. In other words, while the gap confirms bullish momentum, traders should remain aware that it could eventually retrace to retest lower liquidity levels before resuming higher.
Today's sentiment
The Nas100 ended last week on a strong note as optimism returned following constructive U.S.–China trade talks in Malaysia. U.S. Treasury officials described the discussions as “productive,” easing fears of renewed escalation and boosting risk appetite. Strong earnings from major tech and semiconductor firms, including TSMC, further supported sentiment, reinforcing the view that AI and digital infrastructure remain bright spots amid global uncertainty.
Heading into the new week, the tone is cautiously optimistic: the market is supported by tech strength and improved trade relations, but with valuations near record highs and limited macro data due to the U.S. government shutdown, investors remain alert to any sudden shifts in tone or headlines.
US100 BULLISHbullish on all timeframes apart from 1min and 5min.
price has just broken through previous swing high.
ill be waiting for a correction and will be entering a long position with a 2:1 rrr.
but I will be looking to take partial profits and allowing trade to run if price action is still show bullish strength.
NAS100US100 created a NH as price is changing direction creating a bearish peanant, price to retrace back to resistance before it dumps..Trade safe and be Blessed..
US 100 Upside Breakout – Target in SightUS 100 has broken above key resistance at 25,074, confirming a bullish breakout. Price is now at 25,508, supported by VWAP and 5 EMA. Momentum favors buyers, with the 1st target near 27,000, expected to be reached in the upcoming week if trend strength continues. Ideal entry on pullbacks or bullish continuation candles. Place stop-loss below breakout zone at 24,800 to manage risk. Watch for volume confirmation and sustained price action. This setup offers a short-term opportunity for swing traders aiming to ride the breakout wave.
Naz 100 into the new weekPop higher on good earnings.?
Or bad news and we get a retrace into support
NAS100 Intraday & Swing Trade Setup🎯 NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Technical Analysis: Oct 27-31, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Setup
Closing Price: 25,373.7 | Date: Oct 25, 2025 12:54 AM UTC+4 | Timeframes: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, 1D
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📊 ELLIOTT WAVE & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS 🌊
From the daily chart perspective, NAS100 shows completion of Wave 4 correction around 25,100-25,200 support zone. Current positioning at 25,373.7 suggests early Wave 5 development with bullish impulse structure emerging. The 4H timeframe confirms impulsive uptrend with higher highs and higher lows—classic Elliott Wave signature for institutional accumulation phase.
💡 KEY INSIGHT: If 25,900-26,050 resistance breaks decisively on 4H close with volume confirmation, we target Wave 5 extension toward 26,400-26,800 range through mid-week.
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🔄 DOW THEORY & TREND CONFIRMATION ⬆️
Primary Trend: Bullish | Higher highs established above 25,600 on 1H charts
Secondary Trend: Consolidation above 25,300-25,350 support validates buyer control
Confirmation Signal: Volume surge on breakouts above 25,900 confirms institutional participation
The daily VWAP sits at 25,420, acting as dynamic support. Price trading above VWAP with 1D EMA(20) > EMA(50) > EMA(200) alignment signals strong bullish conviction for the coming week.
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⚡ INTRADAY SETUPS: 5M TO 1H TIMEFRAMES
5M & 15M: Utilize Ichimoku Cloud crosses for quick scalp entries. Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen crossover signals 3-5 minute momentum trades. Bollinger Bands (20,2) show tight squeeze—breakout imminent. RSI <30 on 5M = panic-sell exhaustion reversal opportunity.
30M: This is the swing trader's sweet spot . Harmonic patterns—particularly Butterfly and Bat patterns—should be monitored around 25,200-25,100 support confluence. Gann angles from Oct 22 low project resistance at 25,888, 26,150.
1H: Primary intraday timeframe for entry/exit. Support: 25,300 (VWAP), 25,100. Resistance: 25,900 (breakout trigger), 26,050. RSI overbought above 70 = profit-taking zone. EMA(9) above EMA(21) = trend strength confirmation.
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🎪 WYCKOFF METHOD & ACCUMULATION PHASE 📈
Current price action displays classic Wyckoff accumulation: Spring formation around 25,200 + subsequent recovery above neckline. Effort (volume) on upside breakouts now exceeds effort on downside—textbook Wyckoff buying climax setup. Watch for secondary test of 25,300—if holds above with lower volume, expect breakout run to 26,000+.
⚠️ WARNING: Climax volume spike above 26,000 may indicate exhaustion—take profits on target.
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🔷 HARMONIC PATTERNS & FIBONACCI LEVELS 📐
Gartley Pattern forming in 4H with D-point targeting 25,850-25,920 (78.6% Fib retracement). Potential risk/reward ratio of 1:3+ makes this ideal swing entry zone. Support cluster: 25,300-25,420 (multiple MA confluence + VWAP). Extended Fib target: 26,400 (161.8% extension from Oct 22 impulse base).
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📍 TRADING PLAN: MON-FRI (OCT 27-31) 🗓️
INTRADAY SCALPERS (5M-30M): Target 25,750-25,850 breakout on Monday. Stop: 25,250. Take profit 1: 25,650 (+300 pips). Repeat breakout patterns on every higher low formation.
SWING TRADERS (4H-1D): Accumulate longs 25,300-25,420 on dips. Primary target: 26,150-26,250 (Wave 5 target). Secondary: 26,400-26,800. Stop loss: 24,900 (break below daily cloud). Risk/reward: 1:2.5 minimum.
⏰ OPTIMAL TIMING: US market open (13:30 UTC) provides best 5M-1H breakout volatility.
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🚨 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT SIGNALS 🎯
Reversal Alert: If RSI divergence forms (lower high on price, lower high on RSI) at 26,000+ = sell-off imminent. Initial support: 25,650. Hard stop: 25,420.
Breakout Confirmation: Volume >200M shares on 4H close above 26,000 = institutional breakout, extend targets to 26,600+. Failure to hold 25,900 three times = bullish setup invalidation.
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📊 VOLATILITY & BOLLINGER BAND SQUEEZE 📉
Current Bollinger Band width suggests compression before expansion . Watch 1H BB (20,2) for band walk breakout into 26,000+ on closing above upper band. ATR expansion above 250-300 points validates trending move. Consolidation below upper band = power accumulation before next leg up.
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⚖️ RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST ✅
Daily loss limit: 2% portfolio | Use 1:2 minimum risk/reward ratio
Position sizing: Reduce entries above 26,200 (resistance cluster)
Breakout confirmation: Require 5-minute close above resistance + volume spike
Support holds: If 25,300 closes below on daily, trend invalidates—exit swings
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🎓 Technical Theory Applied: Elliott Wave (Wave 5 setup) | Wyckoff (Accumulation completion) | Dow Theory (Higher highs confirmation) | Harmonic Patterns (Gartley D-point) | Gann (Angular resistance) | Japanese Candlesticks (Bullish engulfing on 4H)
🛠️ Indicators Aligned: Bollinger Bands (squeeze breakout), RSI (bullish divergence), Volume (accumulation), VWAP (dynamic support), MAs (uptrend slopes), Ichimoku Cloud (bullish crossover).
📈 Bias: BULLISH with caution above 26,200
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
BIAS UPDATED: RECAP OF ORIGINAL BIASSOMETIMES WE GET IT WRONG:
This week was a clear indication of why I lean on IF-THEN forecasts (If price does this, then I do that):
- Study my notes in the chart to understand the change of bias and the change in the state of price delivery.
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NSDQ100 ahead of US CPI Geopolitics dominated sentiment over the past 24 hours, setting the tone for today’s NASDAQ 100 session.
Market backdrop:
Fresh US sanctions on Russian oil sparked a surge in energy prices, with Brent crude posting its largest two-day gain since 2022. The move drove a sell-off in global bonds, as 10yr US Treasury yields rose +5.1bps, their biggest daily increase in over a month, ahead of the long-delayed September CPI report.
Despite the rise in yields, equities held firm, buoyed by improved risk appetite. The NASDAQ 100 gained +0.58%, supported by renewed optimism in the tech sector and positive sentiment following the White House confirmation of a Trump–Xi meeting next week, which helped temper trade war concerns.
Drivers for today:
US CPI (September) – the first major data point since the government shutdown. A softer print could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut next week, while a stronger reading risks unsettling both bonds and high-valuation tech names.
Geopolitical dynamics – Markets remain sensitive to any new developments in the US–China trade narrative and Russia sanctions, which continue to drive energy and inflation expectations.
Tech sentiment – Optimism in large-cap tech remains supportive, though rising yields could limit upside momentum.
Commodities:
Gold is on track to end its nine-week rally, down over 3% this week as investors rotate out of safe havens amid hopes of easing geopolitical tensions.
Outlook:
The NASDAQ 100 enters the session on firmer footing, with risk appetite improving thanks to trade optimism. However, volatility is likely around the CPI release, which will be the key determinant for near-term Fed policy and tech sector performance.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25350
Resistance Level 2: 25466
Resistance Level 3: 25600
Support Level 1: 24917
Support Level 2: 24700
Support Level 3: 24400
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ | Daily TF - Bearish Divergence with Double TopCAPITALCOM:US100 NASDAQ continues to hold a bearish tone on the 1-hour chart, with a clear bearish divergence confirming weakness in momentum. Price is respecting lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure bearish.
On the 4H timeframe, the index is approaching the trendline support around 24,600, which marks the third touch of this level. If this zone fails to hold, we could see an extended move toward the 24,000 area.
From a broader view, the daily chart shows a double top pattern along with a strong bearish divergence — both supporting a deeper pullback. However, a daily close above 25,220 would invalidate this view and could shift momentum back to the upside.
📰 With the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and heightened market uncertainty, sentiment remains mixed. Volatility is expected to stay elevated, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation around key levels before taking any positions.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 23 2025Price is highly bearish and has filled a 4h FVG already and swept SSL/Asia lows so i will want to see price come up to sweep 15m BSL/Equal highs before making internal structure making 1m-5m IFVG/CISD to target PDL
Nas100 Trade Secured 1500 PipsPrice closed under daily highs and swept daily BSL so i knew lower levels were the target so i waited to 15m BSL to be swept before taking sells to lower levels. Price ended up coming all the way down to fill 4h FVG
USNAS100 | Bearish Momentum After Tesla Earnings MissUSNAS100 | Bearish Momentum After Tesla Earnings Miss ⚠️
The index dropped sharply by 1.5% (~500 points), exactly as projected.
Currently, the bias remains bearish while trading below 24860, with the next downside targets at 24760 → 24510.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 24,860
Resistance: 24,960 · 25,035 · 25,200
Support: 24,760 · 24,510 · 24,350
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup: Shorts remain valid below 24,860, targeting 24,760 / 24,510 / 24,350.
Buy Setup: Longs active only above 24,860, with confirmation toward 25,035 / 25,200.
Premium Takeaway
USNAS100 maintains a bearish bias below 24,860, with room to extend toward 24,510–24,350.
Only a confirmed 1H close above 25,035 would shift momentum bullish, signaling recovery toward 25,200.
previous idea:
NQ Vision for the next daysWe swept 4h candles low. Shifted structure, I'm expecting the price to go into discount and to my enhanced OTE zone and reverse. If the price doesn't get accepted there and supply exceeds demand I expect further down movements.
NASDAQ100 HIGH PROBABILITY SETUPS SOON!!!🚨 NAS100 HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For US100 Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
22 OCT 2025: MARKET RECAP WITHIN DAILY PROFILEObserve how price delivered according to 20 OCT WEEKLY OUTLOOK
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
USNASDEQ100 currently showing bearish momentumThe US NASDAQ 100 is currently showing bearish momentum after recent downside consolidation. The index remains under selling pressure following disappointing earnings reports particularly from Netflix — which dampened risk sentiment.
Additionally, reports suggesting that the Trump administration is considering new export restrictions on China involving U.S. software have further weighed on market confidence may price test the Around 25,000, where reactions could occur. If selling pressure continues, the next major support could be near 24,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Suppooritng.
23 OCT 2025: MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE DAYUpdate to 20 OCT 2025 Weekly Outlook
The devil is in the detail...
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Move After the Trap
I see a confirmed liquidity grab below a key horizontal support
on an hourly time frame.
A formation of a cup & handle pattern and a breakout of its neckline
afterward suggest a strong buygin interest.
The market will rise more and reach at least 25023 level.
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NAS100 short (quick trade) learningNAS100 looks stuck on the 25,150 range it will fall a bit lower and regain the strength to push above the resistance.
Nas100 caught in the crossfire – US–China trade fears returnToday's sentiment
After Tuesday’s pullback, the Nas100 is trading with a tone of cautious defensiveness. Yesterday’s decline was driven by renewed fears of US–China trade tensions after reports suggested Washington may impose new export restrictions on software-related products, sparking concern over supply-chain disruptions and rekindling risk aversion across global markets.
Today, sentiment remains fragile. Investors are still broadly optimistic about tech and AI-driven growth, but the willingness to chase the market higher has faded with the index sitting near record highs. The lack of new macro data due to the ongoing US government shutdown adds to uncertainty, leaving traders highly reactive to headlines.
Overall, the Nas100’s tone is structurally bullish but tactically cautious, the broader uptrend remains intact, yet momentum is vulnerable to any fresh trade-war headlines or disappointing corporate results.
4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This is the current all-time high region and the market’s strongest resistance. Price has tested this area several times but failed to sustain a breakout, indicating that sellers remain active and liquidity is being absorbed here. Until buyers manage to close decisively above this zone with strong volume, it remains a heavy supply level likely to trigger short-term rejections or liquidity grabs.
Zone 2: Intraday Supply / Seller Reaction Zone
This zone represents the area where sellers stepped in yesterday, driving the market lower from its upper range. It acts as a short-term resistance and could serve as a retest level if the price attempts another push higher. If buyers reclaim this zone with momentum, it would open the door for another test of the all-time high (Zone 1). However, repeated failures here could confirm seller strength and reinforce the current consolidation phase.
Zone 3: Asia Session Low
This area was defended during the Asian session and marks a near-term demand pocket. The strong rebound from this level shows that buyers are still willing to step in aggressively on dips. Holding above Zone 3 keeps the short-term structure bullish. If it breaks, however, the next area of interest lies at Zone 4.
Zone 4: Yesterday’s Low
This zone represents the lower boundary of the current structure — yesterday’s low and the last significant area of demand before a deeper retracement. It’s a strong liquidity zone where buyers previously absorbed selling pressure. A break below would signal a shift in sentiment and could trigger a move toward 24,500 or lower.
