Dow Jones/US30 crashes in the end of 2025 !!the chart clearly shows the target and it will last the upward wave to October -December 2025 ๐
between 49000-52000
it is the opinion of the Writer ๐
US30 trade ideas
US30US30 Bearish โ Price rejecting resistance with lower highs. Momentum fading, supply strong. Break of support could drive deeper downside.
US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/25/2025๐ US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/25/2025
US30 dipped into the 46,100โ46,000 support zone and held. Buyers stepped in right at demand, keeping the structure intact โ
.
๐ Market Behavior:
๐น Strong defense of 46K support
๐น Consolidating after rejection near 46,700
๐น Bulls need 46,300+ reclaim for momentum
๐ Key Levels:
๐น Resistance Zones:
46,300 โ First hurdle for buyers
46,430 โ Short-term breakout trigger
46,700 โ Major top to break
๐น Support Zones:
46,150 โ Current intraday support
46,000 โ Must hold for bulls
45,722 โ Strong demand area
๐ง Bias:
Neutral โ leaning bullish ๐ข
Above 46K = healthy structure
Break below 45,700 = bearish shift โ ๏ธ
US30: Late-Cycle Pop or Pullback Setup?The ๐๐จ๐ฐ is pressing fresh highs into a historically soft seasonal window with stretched momentum and limited follow-through. Iโm initiating/adding to a daily timeframe short aiming for a retrace back into prior breakout territory. My baseline path is a drift lower toward 44,500โ44,000 (T1) and then the broader demand band near 43,000โ42,2500 (T2), where Iโll reassess.
This isnโt a โcrashโ callโjust a tactical mean-reversion as macro tailwinds fade, breadth narrows and the first Fed cut shifts the narrative from โrates downโ to โwhy theyโre down.โ
Technicals:
โข Stretched swing: Price has stair-stepped higher with shallow pullbacks; weโre now extended above the 50/100-DMA stack with waning impulse on push days (smaller real bodies, upper wicks).
โข Local resistance: Repeated stalls into the same supply shelf. Iโm leaning into the most recent failed extension and fading the box.
Structure map:
โข Entry: around/into the failed-break zone 46.4k area.
โข Invalidation: daily close > recent spike highs around 47.7k-48.0k.
โข Targets: T1 45,000โ44,500 (prior ATH retest / micro-POC region); T2 44,000โ43,000.
โข Risk: 0.5โ1.0R per add; scale in only on rejection prints or lower-highs.
Fundamentals:
1) The first Fed cut is not automatically bullish.
The Fed delivered a 25 bps cut in September and signaled more easing, which historically can coincide with late-cycle growth scares and choppier equity returns rather than a straight-line melt-up. The cut was framed around cooling activity and inflation progress. ๏ฟผ
2) Growth data is mixedโmanufacturing still weak.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August (48.7)โbelow the 50 expansion lineโsignaling ongoing softness in goods demand. That is typically a headwind for the Dowโs cyclical mix. ๏ฟผ
3) ES500 (S&P 500) breadth is narrow; concentration risk elevated.
Mega-caps continue to dominate performance and index leadership, while equal-weight underperforms and concentration risk stays highโconditions that historically increase pullback vulnerability. ๏ฟผ
4) Valuations are rich versus history.
FactSetโs mid-summer forward 12-month P/E for the S&P 500 hovered well above 5- and 10-year averages (>22x vs. ~19x/17x), leaving less cushion if growth wobbles or margins compress. ๏ฟผ
5) Sentiment & seasonality arenโt tailwinds.
September/early Q4 are seasonally trickyโhistorically the weakest stretch for US equitiesโjust as the market tries to price the path of cuts vs. growth. ๏ฟผ
6) Policy & trade headline risk.
Tariff timelines and โreciprocalโ duties remain in play (with officials signaling Aug-1 implementation and additional measures possible), a rolling overhang for global cyclicals and exporters tied into the Dow complex. ๏ฟผ
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every traderโs situation is unique, so itโs crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 46,123.56
1st Support: 45,765.51
1st Resistance: 46,704.98
Disclaimer:
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Random Hater Fuel FireTo continue from previous ideas, we all know when Powell speaks we see a sharp decline and decided to take a sell until confirmation on 1h to continue the trend.
Great play continue on from the dollars increased weakness and haters tears. :)
Can You Escape the US30 High Voltage Trap in Time?๐ US30/DJ30 High Voltage Bullish Heist Plan ๐
๐ฐ Asset: US30 / DJ30 Index CFD
๐ Plan: Bullish โ Thief OG Layered Buy Attack ๐ดโโ ๏ธ
๐ Entry: Any price level โ weโre layering in with the Bull Grid Strategy like a true market bandit.
๐ฏ Layered Buy Limits:
44,900 ๐ต
44,700 ๐ต
44,400 ๐ฅ
(๐ก You can add more layers โ the more vault doors you crack, the more loot you grab!)
๐ Stop Loss: Thief SL @ 44,000 ๐ โ adjust to your own risk appetite & strategy, ladies & gentlemen of the Thief OG Crew.
๐ Target: 46,300 ๐ฏ โ โก high-voltage electric trap ahead! Escape with the stolen money at 46,200 before the market guards catch you.
๐ดโโ ๏ธ The Heist Blueprint ๐ดโโ ๏ธ
Weโre hitting US30 with multi-layer entries, scooping up the dip zones like professional vault breakers. The bull gang is in control โ momentum, sentiment, and greed all lining up for a payday.
Rules of Engagement:
Use multiple buy limit layers โ stack โem like gold bars.
Stick to longs only โ donโt rob against the tide.
Place alerts at each limit level โ no sleeping during the heist.
Use trailing SL to secure stolen profits while the robberyโs still in progress.
๐ Why Bullish?
US30 showing strong momentum fueled by market optimism, earnings strength, and liquidity flooding in. Macro vibes = bullish; sentiment = greedy. Bears? Scattered and broke.
โ ๏ธ Risk & News Alert:
Avoid entry during high-volatility news drops โ even thieves hate unpredictable explosions.
Manage positions like a pro โ protect the stash.
๐ If this heist plan makes you richer or braver, hit that BOOST and join the Thief Trader Army. Every boost powers our next robbery.
๐ We steal from the market, not from people.
See you at the vault door, Thief OGs. ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ฐ๐
Us30 Trade Set Up Sep 24 2025price pushed down hard yesterday but still made a HL on the 1h also created a 1h FVG so i will want to see a test of that, if it respects it i will look for internal 1m bearish structure to look for sells but if it trades through it i will look for buys to PDH
www.tradingview.com
US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/24/2025๐ US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/24/2025
US30 holding steady around 46,320 after yesterdayโs push into the 46,700s before pulling back. Market is consolidating but still above key supports, showing buyers remain in control โ
.
๐ Current Market Behavior:
๐ Retest after breakout โ healthy pullback
โก Buyers defending 46,000 zone strongly
๐ Consolidation above support โ bullish continuation possible
๐ Key Levels:
๐น Resistance Zones:
46,430 โ Immediate resistance
46,700 โ Major upside target
47,000 โ Next extension if momentum continues
๐น Support Zones:
46,093 โ First key support
45,722 โ Strong demand zone
45,456 โ Last line of defense for bulls
๐ง Bias:
Bullish โ
Above 46,000 keeps momentum alive
Break below 45,700 = bearish shift
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update
On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 โ 46,398 after testing the breakout zone.
Key levels:
46,398 โ 46,351 โ short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170.
46,177 โ 45,796 โ support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact.
Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance.
Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support.
Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure.
๐ Summary
Above 46,398 โ bullish continuation toward 47,170.
Hold above 46,177 โ 45,796 โ main uptrend safe.
Break below 45,796 โ correction risk, broader weakness possible.
41,097 โ cycle start and major long-term support.
23 sep 2025 -day one- results 2SL, 1 BEToday I started journaling my trades and emotions again after a 6-month or much more break. I wasn't in my best mood and couldn't think as well as I usually do.
First entry was a sell on a very bullish market, and I took it because I had patterns for it in my strategy, but usually in strong bull or bearish markets, I trust the market momentum for the first 30 minutes, but today my mind wasn't free enough or strong enough to do it on time, and gave me at least 1 reward.
The second trade was a buy, which gave me a break-even result, and there was nothing wrong with that.
On the third trade, I got emotional and didn't hesitate that for this kind of bull market we may start ranging, and I just entered a buy, but unfortunately, I got stopped out.
And I called it a day with minest 2 reward, and I hope I get it all back. I'm thinking about just trading from Wednesday to Friday, because usually I face losses on the first two days of the week, and maybe I will just trade on Wednesday and Friday. I will make the final decision after two more weeks of journaling.
US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/23/2025๐ US30 Technical Breakdown โ 09/23/2025
US30 pushing higher again ๐ Now trading around 46,420, holding strong after reclaiming the 46,000 key level. Buyers are in control as momentum builds.
EMA structure is bullish โ dips are being bought, and price is trending upward toward new highs.
๐ Current Market Behavior:
๐ Strong breakout past 46,000
โก Higher lows & higher highs forming
๐ Consolidation breaks leading to expansion
๐ฅ Momentum still favoring the bulls
๐ Key Levels:
๐น Resistance Zones:
46,430 โ Immediate intraday resistance
46,600 โ Next upside target
46,800 โ Extension level
๐น Support Zones:
46,093 โ First line of support
45,722 โ Strong demand zone
45,456 โ Major support floor
๐ง Bias:
Bullish โ
Above 46,000 = buyers in full control
Only a break below 45,700 shifts bias
US30 TREND ANALYSISIn US30 there is a clear uptrend important areas are marked as always one is 50 percent area and the other one is 75 percent area .Once the market comeback for retest we will shift to smaller timeframe and look for trendshift after observing everything. When the market again comeback for the retest on smaller timeframe we will look for buy side trade.
important areas
50 percent zone(46245.3)
75 percent zone(46134.3)
bigger timeframe (30 minutes)
smaller timeframe(5 minutes)
US30 Short
Entry 46216.29
SL 46386.27
TP 45962.07
This is a short setup on US30:
The idea is to short at the rejection from the resistance zone / trendline.
Stop loss is placed safely above recent highs (46,386).
Target is near the previous support zone (46,091 โ 45,962).
RSI momentum also supports bearish bias after rejection from overbought territory.
Fundamentally, the asset is currently overvalued against the Treasury Bond.
โ ๏ธ Risk Note: US30 is highly volatile. Manage position sizing carefully.
Us30 1500 Pips Securedwww.tradingview.com
price swept SSL/PDL, created 1m IFVG and CISD, retested CISD, targeted BSL to secure 1500 pips!
US30 NY Open | VWAP + Range Breakout Signal โ Confirmed EntryWHAT THIS SHOWS
This idea highlights early pre-signals and confirmed breakout entries when price sweeps the previous dayโs high or low (PDH/PDL) and aligns with VWAP and short-term range levels. Focus is on US30 around NY Open, when volume and liquidity are at peak levels.
HOW TO USE (NY OPEN FLOW)
1. Ahead of NY Open, mark PDH/PDL and watch how price builds a short-term range.
2. Best setups occur after liquidity is swept (PDH/PDL taken). Look for a pre-signal (early warning), then confirmation when a bar closes above/below the range and VWAP in the direction of trend.
3. Apply filters: SMA trend filter to stay aligned with bias; session filter to focus on London/NY hours.
4. Manage risk with stops beyond range edges or confirmation candle; partials at key intraday levels.
SETTINGS TIPS
Range Lookback โ shorter for fast intraday charts, longer for higher TF.
SMA length โ adapt to fit your bias framework.
Session filter โ on for London/NY, off for continuous monitoring.
NOTES
Educational demonstration only. No financial advice.
For advanced versions with extra confirmations and filters โ see my profile signature.
Us30 Trade Set Up Sep 22 www.tradingview.com
price is making LH/LL so overall it is bearish but it is approaching PDL so if price sweeps it and closes above i will look for a reversal IFVG on the 1m-2m to target the 4h FVG before looking for sells back down
US30 Day-trading Day 001Here we see price has been falling since the beginning of the day.
We can enter a short position on the
fib level ( .75 / .625 )
It all depends on your risk reward ratio.
Here price may also reverse only by targeting liquidity seen almost at the daily high.
Patience is key.
Lets wait for NY session where we may be able to have a clear confirmation of today's session.
US30 LongElite Analysis
Discretionary Trade with Confirmations
Targeting Structural liquidity at the top
US30 BEARISH SETUP After breaking into a new level, price managed to find resistance and made couple of attempts to break it but failed. A fall back to previously broken level is anticipated to test it as new support
[Short] Dow 30 (September 21, 2025)Entry: 46256.15
SL: 46288.65
TP: 46191.15
Trying another strategy what I found.
Backtest was done.
Live trade is on.
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