CHFAUD trade ideas
AUDCHF BUY?Market is overall bullish on daily and weekly. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
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AUD/CHF Bearish continuation after retracementI am still new to trading. However, based on my analysis, I see structure has been broken with HH and LL. This pair just broke structure and made a LL. So now I'm waiting for the pullback to that zone, then will be waiting for an entry on the 15min charts.
I'm also keeping in mind that it can break through that zone and continue going long!
Thank you and God Bless!
The trend is your friend… Oh hello friend… Can we take a bull ride?
As you can see. Levels have been broken. Trend is Headed north on all 3 timeframes 4h, D and 1W
Why fight it? Better to float with it. But also, as most (not all) experienced traders will say, “literally anything can happen” so we sit back and wait, Let’s see what happens….
#022: AUD/CHF SHORT Investment Opportunity
The AUD/CHF is consolidating in a tight range after recent attempts to rally. The pair remains stuck below the 0.5265-0.5270 zone, which has acted as a liquidity-seeking area in recent sessions. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
Key Observations
The low volumes seen during the latest rally suggest the move is more related to stop-loss hunting than actual accumulation.
A confirmed break below 0.5235 on high volume could trigger accelerated downside momentum.
Broader fundamentals still favor the CHF in times of uncertainty, while the AUD struggles in risk-off conditions.
This setup aims to capture a move back towards the 0.5200 area, aligning with the upper technical resistance and a potential bearish continuation.
AUD/CHF BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so AUD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.525.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF: Weak TrendMomentum is beginning to pick up on the AUDCHF pair. This is based on the EMA behavior along with price's behavior around the ATLs plotted. Here are my observations across two key timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crosses below ATL > first indication of momentum picking up
EMA20 is beginning to move away from EMA60 > second indication of momentum
H1 Timeframe:
EMA20 diverges away from EMA60 > indication of momentum
Price crosses below intraday HTL > confluence with overall downtrend if there isn't a liquidity trap
AUD/CHF (2H) SetupAnalysis:
After a strong downtrend, price is consolidating near support. A breakout above 0.5250 could trigger a bullish continuation toward 0.5287.
Re-entry if price comes back but bullish momentum is on pick
📈 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.5250
Stop Loss: 0.5232
Take Profit: 0.5287
Bias: Bullish
Bears Exhausted at 0.5217 - Bulls Spring-Loading for 350 Pips📌 To see my confluences and/or linework, step 1: grab chart, step 2: unhide Group 1 in object tree, step 3: hide and unhide specific confluences. 😊
The Market Participant Battle:
Bears have completely exhausted themselves pushing AUDCHF down to 0.5217, where proven institutional buyers from the initial accumulation zone (point 2) are aggressively defending their territory. The validation came when point 3 decisively closed above point 1 at 0.5280, proving these buyers have serious firepower. Now at point 4 (0.5217), we're witnessing a textbook spring setup where trapped bears are about to fuel a 350-pip explosion to our target at 0.5350. The Risk/Reward of 3.6:1 makes this a no-brainer institutional-grade setup! 🚀
Confluences:
Confluence 1: Volume Footprint & Delta Divergences 💪
The footprint chart reveals the hidden truth: massive bullish delta divergences with +169 delta at the lows! Those final red bars show Delta Total of 3.44K and 3.03K POSITIVE on DOWN bars - this is textbook accumulation disguised as selling. The large green reversal bar with 4.39K delta confirms aggressive institutional buying has begun. This isn't retail buying - this is smart money loading the boat while bears celebrate too early.
Confluence 2: Perfect Horizontal Support & VWAP Reclaim 📊
Multiple technical factors converge at exactly 0.5217:
- Historical horizontal support from multiple touches (visible across the 4H timeframe)
- VWAP from point 1 shows price dipped below but immediately reclaimed - classic bear trap
- The 0.5217 level has acted as a magnet 3 times previously, each time generating violent reversals
- Current bounce shows immediate rejection of lower prices with strong buying pressure
Confluence 3: Oscillator Divergences & Extreme Oversold 📈
- RSI: Clear bullish divergence - price made lower low at point 4, but RSI shows higher low (52.33 vs previous)
- MFI: Matching bullish divergence at 69.43, showing money flow increasing despite lower prices
- OBV: Touching lower Bollinger Band at -1.6M level, historically a powerful reversal signal
- All three indicators screaming the same message: selling is exhausted, reversal imminent!
Trade Setup Details:
- Entry: 0.52450 (current market)
- Stop Loss: 0.52090 (36 pips below, protected under demand zone)
- Take Profit: 0.53506 (106 pips above, 1.99% move)
- Risk/Reward: 3.6:1 (Exceptional!)
- Risk Amount: $750
- Potential Profit: $1900.86
Web Research Findings:
- Technical Analysis: AUDCHF trading at critical 0.5234 support, with next resistance at 0.5270-0.5285. ADX at 61.86 confirms strong trend potential ahead.
- Recent News/Earnings: Swiss franc weakening on U.S. tariff threats (39% potential tariffs mentioned). AUD supported by RBA's measured approach after 75bp of cuts in 2025.
- Analyst Sentiment: Mixed near-term, but technical traders noting oversold bounce potential from 0.5210-0.5220 zone.
- Data Releases: RBA at 3.60% with inflation at 2.7% (within target). SNB stuck at 0% with limited ammunition.
- Interest Rate Impact: Rate differential stabilizing as both central banks near their limits, reducing further downside pressure.
Layman's Summary:
Imagine a spring being compressed to its absolute limit - that's AUDCHF at 0.5217. The sellers pushed and pushed, but hit a concrete wall where big money defended successfully before. The smoking gun? Those red candles showing positive buying volume - it's like seeing buyers secretly loading up while pretending to sell. With a 3.6:1 reward/risk and multiple confirmations, this is the kind of setup institutions dream about. The bears are trapped, and when they realize it, the rush to cover will catapult price toward 0.5350! 🎯
Machine Derived Information:
- Footprint Analysis: Positive delta on red bars (+169, +3.44K, +3.03K) - Significance: Institutional accumulation under cover of selling pressure - AGREES ✔
- Support Structure: Triple test of 0.5217 with immediate rejections - Significance: Proven demand zone with high probability of reversal - AGREES ✔
- Risk/Reward Calculation: 3.6:1 ratio with clear invalidation - Significance: Professional-grade setup with asymmetric profit potential - AGREES ✔
- Oscillator Configuration: Triple divergence across RSI/MFI/OBV - Significance: Maximum oversold confluence rarely seen - AGREES ✔
Actionable Machine Summary:
Every technical system is flashing green! The footprint data shows institutions accumulating aggressively, the support level has proven itself multiple times, and momentum indicators are all diverging bullishly. With your stop protected below proven support and target at logical resistance, this setup offers institutional-grade risk/reward. The 3.6:1 ratio means you only need to be right 28% of the time to profit long-term - and this setup has much higher probability than that!
Conclusion:
Trade Prediction: SUCCESS ✅
Confidence: Very High
This is a textbook "bears trapped at support" setup with exceptional risk/reward. The combination of footprint divergences, proven support, momentum divergences, and a 3.6:1 R/R ratio makes this an A+ institutional setup. Your entry at 0.52450 is well-positioned, stop at 0.52090 is perfectly placed under support, and target at 0.53506 is realistic given the technical structure. This is the kind of trade that builds accounts!
AUDCHF: Heading To Support Zone!?AUDCHF have been on lower highs and lower lows, in regards to the yesterday daily candle the pair observed the resistance area and as expected it is moving down to the next partial support at a target of 0.5163.
meanwhile a confirmed breakout would trigger a move below the next support area.
Key Points;
To my fellow intraday traders this is an opportunity to short with target at 0.5225 as first Tp.
Like and follow up
Thanks for reading
AUDCHF Swing Buys LoadingBeen eyeing this for a few days and it’s pulled back into this decent fib zone. Fundamentally gold is strong & commodity strength = AUD strength, and chf being a safe haven tends to follow the dollar & since we have dollar rate cuts coming (dollar bearish) it’s safe to assume some moderate chf easing to go with it. There is plenty of room for this to run up but if this area fails and fundamental conditions stay the same, lower entries can be entertained. Trade Safe, Trade Smart & Trade with Precision!
AUDCHF BUY ForecastAUDCHF New forecast👨💻👨💻
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aud/chf making bullish breakthroughsAUD/CHF has passed many resistances and is making new supports. The pair appears to be on a downtrend on the weekly timeline however it has shown to be recovering from a more recent downtrend. I predict it could stay bullish until it hits the reaches 0.53320, which is the resistance area.
AUDCHF: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current AUDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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