Trade ideas
AUDCHF: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
AUDCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDCHF
Entry Point - 0.5274
Stop Loss - 0.5285
Take Profit - 0.5255
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDCHF What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDCHF is below:
The market is trading on 0.5250 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5264
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5243
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCHF November 2025 fundamental analysisAustralian Dollar (AUD): Inflation Surprise Supports Hold
Reserve Bank of Australia Stance
The Australian Dollar received a powerful boost from the September quarter inflation data released on October 29, which delivered a significant upside surprise. Headline CPI accelerated to 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 3.2% year-on-year, well above the RBA's 2-3% target midpoint. More importantly, the RBA's preferred trimmed mean measure climbed 1.0% quarterly (beating 0.8% expectations and the RBA's August forecast of 0.6%), pushing the annual rate to 3.0%—the first uptick since December 2022.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock had explicitly stated earlier in the week that a 0.9% quarterly rise in trimmed mean inflation would be viewed as a "material miss". At 1.0%, the threshold was decisively crossed. Bullock also described the labor market as "a little tight" despite unemployment rising to 4.5%, and emphasized the RBA's unwillingness to "leap at a single number".
Rate Cut Expectations Pushed Back
The inflation surprise has dramatically reshaped rate cut expectations. The November 4 meeting confirmed the decision to hold rates steady for the moment, and the first 25 basis point cut has been delayed from February 2026 to May 2026. This represents a stark shift from earlier expectations for near-term easing. The RBA cash rate remains at 3.60%, providing a substantial yield advantage over other major central banks.
November Outlook: Very Bullish
The Australian Dollar is the clear standout for November strength. AUD/USD surged to a three-week high of 0.6607 following the inflation data, and technical analysis suggests further upside potential toward 0.6706. The currency benefits from multiple tailwinds: delayed rate cuts relative to other central banks, particularly the Fed; buoyant risk sentiment following the preliminary US-China trade framework; and strong commodity prices, including copper near three-month highs. Against the weaker commodity currencies like CAD and NZD, the Australian Dollar is exceptionally well-positioned.
Swiss Franc (CHF): Safe Haven Supremacy Despite Zero Rates
Swiss National Bank Policy
The Swiss National Bank has maintained its policy rate at 0.00% and shows no inclination to move into negative territory despite franc strength. At its September meeting, the SNB notably refrained from describing the franc as "highly valued" or expressing concern over its appreciation—a significant shift in communication. This suggests the SNB has become more comfortable with franc strength, particularly as Switzerland's real exchange rate remains relatively stable due to low domestic inflation of just 0.2%.
Economic Environment
Switzerland's economy is projected to grow 1.5% in 2025 and 1.0% in 2026, with inflation expected to remain subdued at 0.2% in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026. The SNB characterized current policy settings as "appropriately expansionary" despite the 0% rate, and expressed confidence that inflation will remain within the 0-2% target range. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, with weaker growth prospects potentially limiting any hawkish policy adjustments.
November Outlook: Bullish
The Swiss franc's safe-haven status provides strong support in November's uncertain environment. EUR/CHF has been trading around 0.92-0.93, and analysts expect the pair to gradually appreciate toward 0.96 over the next 12 months, implying modest franc weakness against the euro. However, against the dollar, the franc is expected to strengthen significantly, with USD/CHF forecasts suggesting 0.77 within a year, with downside risks toward 0.75 or even 0.73. The franc's outperformance has persisted despite substantial interest rate differentials, demonstrating the power of safe-haven flows in the current geopolitical environment.
Verdict
We are dealing with two currently very strong currencies here who are battling out a close head-to-head race. However, going into November AUD is expected to pull ahead given its clear interest rate advantage resulting in a BUY recommendation for AUD/CHF in November.
AUDCHF: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF went up as I predicted on Friday.
Analyzing the pair after the market opening, I see
another strong bullish signal today.
The price successfully broke a resistance of a horizontal
parallel channel that was formed after a retest of a daily structure.
A new higher high higher close suggests a highly probable bullish continuation.
Next goal - 0.5286
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Can Aussie Strength Outrun the Swiss Franc This Week?💼 AUSSIE DOLLAR VS SWISS FRANC - Forex Market Profit Playbook
📊 Market Overview
Trading Style: Swing/Day Trade
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH
Strategy: The Thief's Layered Entry Method
💪 Currency Strength Analysis
🇦🇺 Australian Dollar (AUD) - Commodity Powerhouse
Current Strength: 🟢 STRENGTHENING
Key Drivers:
Commodity Prices: AUD correlates strongly with gold, iron ore, and base metals
Risk Appetite: Benefits from global risk-on sentiment
Interest Rates: RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) monetary policy stance
Chinese Economic Data: Australia's largest trading partner impact
Trade Balance: Export-driven economy sensitive to global demand
Bullish Factors:
Positive commodity price momentum
Improving risk sentiment in global markets
Relative yield advantage attracting capital flows
🇨🇭 Swiss Franc (CHF) - The Safe Haven
Current Strength: 🔴 WEAKENING (vs AUD in this setup)
Key Drivers:
Safe-Haven Demand: Strengthens during market uncertainty
SNB Policy: Swiss National Bank intervention history
European Exposure: Close ties to Eurozone economy
Negative Real Yields: Limited yield appeal compared to other currencies
Risk Sentiment: Weakens when investors seek higher returns
Bearish Factors (for CHF):
Risk-on environment reducing safe-haven demand
Stronger commodity currencies outperforming
Capital rotation away from defensive assets
📊 AUD vs CHF: The Strength Battle
🥊 Current Matchup: AUD gaining ground against CHF
Why This Setup Works:
Divergence in Sentiment: Risk-on favors AUD, pressures CHF
Commodity Rally: Supporting Aussie strength
Yield Differential: AUD offers better carry trade potential
Technical Confirmation: Moving averages align with fundamental strength
🔍 Technical Analysis
The AUD/CHF pair is showing bullish confirmation with moving averages pushing buyers to the upside. We're currently in an accumulation zone, presenting an excellent opportunity for strategic entries.
Key Observations:
Moving averages are aligned in favor of bulls
Price action indicates accumulation phase
Upside momentum building with buyer interest
Currency strength divergence supporting bullish bias
🎯 The Thief's Entry Strategy
Entry Method: Multiple Limit Orders (Layering Strategy)
This approach uses multiple buy limit orders to scale into the position strategically:
🔹 Suggested Entry Layers:
Layer 1: 0.52600
Layer 2: 0.52700
Layer 3: 0.52800
Layer 4: 0.52900
💡 You can add more layers or adjust based on your risk tolerance and account size. Alternatively, enter at any current price level if you prefer market execution.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: 0.52400
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Traders (Thief OG's), this is my suggested stop loss level. However, you have full control — set your own risk parameters based on your trading plan and risk tolerance. Trade at your own discretion.
🎯 Profit Target
Take Profit: 0.53500
📍 Exit Strategy: There's a strong resistance zone + potential overbought conditions + liquidity trap area around this level. It's recommended to secure profits before reaching this zone or use trailing stops.
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Traders (Thief OG's), this is my suggested take profit target. However, you're the boss — take profits at your comfort level. Lock in gains when you feel it's right. Trade at your own risk.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these correlated pairs for confluence:
🇦🇺 AUD Pairs:
AUD/USD - Primary driver of Aussie strength
AUD/JPY - Risk sentiment indicator
AUD/NZD - Oceanic currency dynamics
🇨🇭 CHF Pairs:
EUR/CHF - Swiss franc strength gauge
USD/CHF - Dollar vs safe-haven dynamics
GBP/CHF - Alternative CHF exposure
💡 Correlation Context:
AUD is a commodity currency (tied to gold, iron ore, and risk appetite), while CHF is a traditional safe-haven currency. When risk-on sentiment dominates global markets, AUD typically strengthens against CHF. Monitor global equity markets, commodity prices, and risk sentiment for confluence.
⚖️ Disclaimer
⚠️ This is the "Thief Style" trading strategy — shared for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading forex involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#AUDCHF #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #AUD #CHF #CurrencyTrading #ForexStrategy #TradingIdeas #PriceAction #ForexCommunity #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #BullishSetup #ForexLife #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #CurrencyStrength
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.517 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF: Intraday Bullish Signal 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Quick update for AUDCHF.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed breakout of a key
daily horizontal resistance.
Retesting the broken structure, the price successfully
violated a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
It suggests a strong buying interest.
We can expect a move up now at least to 0.5264
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AUDCHF shortsPrice has approached a strong supply area with decreasing bullish momentum. I have two key points I am watching. The lower entry is more aggressive in case price decides not to push higher to the conservative entry. I may sit this one out as tomorrow is Friday. Which every way price goes, next week should present something great. Manage Risk. Best of Luck!
AUD CHF long:I feel the overall environment still warrants a 'risk on' trade (US/ CHINA, mega cap tech earnings).
I've chosen the CHF to short, I feel in this moment, the JPY is very extended following 'hawkish FOMC comments' from chair Powell and the BOJ hold with 'relatively dovish / neutral' press conference.
Arguably any of the currencies has been longable Vs the JPY, including the USD and CAD. And short JPY remains on my radar. But, for now, I've gone with AUD CHF, with a stop loss at the lower end of multiple 1hr swings.
The risk to the trade is negative sentiment, particularly if there is further push-back on FED rate cuts. Or perhaps if the EUR strengthens and the CHF follows. The fact I've not particularly been keen on trading the CHF due to its recent underlying strength is also a risk.
But if the mood remains positive, I think the chart 'should' return to recent highs.
AUDCHF: Important Breakout 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF broke and closed above a significant daily resistance cluster.
The next historic resistance is 0.5287.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BUY AUD/CHF📈 Trade Recommendation: AUD/CHF
🟢 Action: Buy
Entry Point: 0.5790
Target: 0.6000
📊 Trade Details
Detail Value
Currency Pair AUD/CHF
Action Buy
Entry Point 0.5790
Target 0.6000
Stop-Loss Level 0.5730
📌 Trade Rationale
Technical Analysis:
Support level at 0.5790
Resistance level at 0.6000
Fundamental Analysis:
Positive economic indicators for AUD
Market sentiment favoring AUD over CHF
📈 Visual Chart
(Include a visual chart here showing the entry point, target, and stop-loss levels. For now, a placeholder text can be used if the chart is not available.)
Potntial bullish rise?AUD/CHF has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a multi swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.552229
1st Support: 0.51848
1st Resistance: 0.53094
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDCHF | 4H Supply Play – Return to Origin Before DropWe’re observing a corrective bullish leg pushing into a prior 4H supply zone around 0.5280 – 0.5307, aligning with the structure that caused the previous impulsive move down.
Price is retracing into the imbalance left behind by the prior sell-off — a textbook “return to origin” move. Liquidity above the equal highs is likely to get swept before price reacts from the unmitigated supply block.
Narrative:
The current leg is corrective, not impulsive.
We anticipate potential short setups once price taps into the 4H supply.
Confluence with higher-timeframe bearish order flow still intact.
Execution Plan:
Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (M15–M5) after price taps into the green zone. If bearish structure confirms (BOS + retracement + continuation), short entries become valid.
AUDCHF: Short Signal Explained
AUDCHF
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell AUDCHF
Entry Level - 0.5223
Sl - 0.5229
Tp - 0.5212
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Potential bearish reversal?AUD/CHF has rejected off the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take rpofit.
Entry: 0.52164
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.52489
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.51816
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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