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Swiss Franc/Australian Dollar

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AUDCHF The SNB’s key policy interest rate is currently 0.00% This rate is the lowest among major central banks and reflects SNB’s cautious stance amid a fragile global economic context and trade tensions. Head of SNB The Chairman of the Governing Board (equivalent to head of SNB) is Martin Schlegel, who assumed office on October 1, 2024. Schlegel has a strong background in economics and central banking, previously serving as Vice-Chairman and a close ally to his predecessor Thomas Jordan. His leadership is expected to continue monetary policy continuity while addressing financial stability issues, especially after the 2023 Credit Suisse crisis. Economic Outlook The SNB notes inflation pressures have practically remained unchanged recently at about 1.1%, within its price stability goals. The Swiss economy faces uncertainty due in part to increased tariffs from the U.S. (up to 39%), impacting exports and trade. SNB emphasizes maintaining price stability while fostering steady economic growth. Inflation is currently low but monitored carefully amid global risks such as U.S. trade policies and economic developments. Financial stability concerns also remain a focus post-Credit Suisse and UBS merger. SNB RATE =0.00% CH10Y=0.245% The current cash rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as of October 2025 is 3.60%. The RBA has held this rate steady at recent meetings amid a cautious outlook on inflation and economic growth. The Governor of the RBA is Michele Bullock, who commenced her role on September 18, 2023. She previously served as Deputy Governor and held various senior positions within the RBA. Michele Bullock is known for her focus on price stability and full employment and is actively engaged in monetary policy formulation and financial regulation. RBA =3.60% AU10Y=4.319% BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL = 4.319%-0.245%=4.074% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL = 3.60%-0.0%=3.6% THE YIELD AND INTEREST RATE IN FAVOUR OF AUD BUT THE PAIR REMAINS BEARISH. Why is AUDCHF Bearish Despite Favorable Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential for AUD? Despite Australia having higher bond yields and interest rates relative to Switzerland, AUDCHF is bearish due to several key factors: 1. Safe Haven Demand for CHF The Swiss Franc (CHF) is traditionally a safe haven currency. In times of global geopolitical uncertainty, market volatility, or risk aversion, investors flock to CHF, strengthening it even when Australian fundamentals appear stronger. Recent tensions and global uncertainty have intensified demand for CHF, offsetting AUD’s yield advantage. 2. Swiss Economic Stability Switzerland shows relatively stable inflation and retail sales growth, supporting confidence in CHF holdings. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a cautious approach but secure economic fundamentals bolster CHF against riskier currencies. 3. Commodity Price Headwinds Australia’s currency is heavily tied to commodity exports like iron ore and coal. Moderation or declines in commodity prices weigh on AUD, undermining the yield advantage. The AUD suffers when commodity markets are weak or show signs of slowing demand. 4. RBA Rate Pause and Housing Market Slowdown The Reserve Bank of Australia has paused or signaled caution in rate hikes after several moves, limiting further interest rate support for AUD. The Australian housing market growth is slowing, suggesting domestic economic momentum may be weakening. 5. Technical and Market Sentiment Technical analysis shows AUDCHF is in a bearish trend with supply zones holding strong and resistance keeping the pair contained below certain levels. Market sentiment remains cautious on AUDCHF due to the above macro risks and safe haven flows into CHF. The bearish AUDCHF despite favorable interest rate differentials reflects a mix of safe haven CHF flows, stable Swiss economy, commodity price pressure on AUD, and market technical factors. The yield advantage alone is insufficient to overcome these headwinds currently. #AUDCHF #AU10Y #CH10Y
Short
by Shavyfxhub
AUDCHF 1D - wedge falls, price risesOn the daily chart AUDCHF shows a classic falling wedge, already broken to the upside with a retest of the 0.5250 entry zone. Price is consolidating above this level, giving bulls a chance to build momentum. The nearest targets are 0.5295, followed by 0.5374 and 0.5448. Moving averages are flattening, while RSI, recovering from seller pressure, supports a potential upward trend. Fundamentally , the pair reflects the tug-of-war between risk appetite and safe-haven demand. The Aussie gets moderate support from commodity strength, while the franc remains a defensive play. If global risk appetite stays firm, capital is more likely to flow out of CHF into higher-yielding currencies like AUD. Tactical plan: consider longs around 0.5250, with targets at 0.5295, 0.5374, and 0.5448. If bulls hold above the breakout zone, the structure may turn into a solid bullish leg. The only question is: will the franc stay defensive while the Aussie fires up the barbecue?
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
AUDCHF A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDCHF next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.5280 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 0.5287 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 0.5269 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
AUD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.524 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDCHF - Head and Shoulder patternAUDCHF is about to complete a head and shoulders pattern. We see the right shoulder slightly above the left shoulder, often a high probability indicator of a liquidity sweep before the drop. Sell volume has increased considerably after the head. An important factor in the pattern. The market is very risk-off because of the shutdown, french politics, UK fiscal problesm, etc. Hard to see a better scenario for a sell AUDCHF... which reflets market sentiment
Short
by gabagoollover
AUDCHF My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, AUDCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.5268 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 0.5260 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5273 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Going Up- AUDCHFAUD appears to be setting up for a long position against other currencies. My supportive reasoning for going long on this trade is the Trend Channel is long on the 1week and the nearest SL is below the EMA 1week while the candles are above it. AUD delivered their interest rate decision for the sixth time this year with two more decisions left for the remainder of the year. The reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady after a decrease in August. That decision may have benefited the currency due to a higher than expected inflation reading but also an equally unexpected economic growth in quarter two. CNBC reports that RBA Governor stated “the global environment is particularly uncertain and unpredictable, but monetary policy is well placed to respond if it seems international developments could have a material impact on Australia’s economy.” which gave the AUD a strong supportive stance on the issue of their economy in case of an international crisis like for instance the UNITED STATES GOVT SHUTTING DOWN! The Market sentiment recently went back up to risk on but it is still in a close enough position to turn risk off with the flip of a switch so I am being mindful of that. All in All the market has appeared to want to enter into that greed phase for a while now and For now we will just have to wait and see. Until Next Time. Prosperous Trading and God Bless
Long
by NKE_TheAn0maly
AUDCHF – Short-Term ViewAUDCHF – Short-Term View AUD/CHF is leaning bearish in the short term. The pair is currently trading around 0.5255 after a period of consolidation. Looks like the price already finished the correction. The chart suggests a potential bearish move given that AUD has been weak for a long time. The main focus is on 0.5245 as the first support, and a break lower could open the way to 0.5225. Key Levels to Watch: 0.5245 → First target support zone. 0.5225 → Second target if bearish momentum continues. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
7
AUDCHFMacro bias: Bullish AUD/CHF (strong fundamental divergence). Technical trend: Market shifting into higher highs and higher lows → supportive of long continuation. Trading implication: Dips are opportunities to align with the bullish macro trend rather than fighting it. In simple terms: AUD/CHF is a buy-the-dip market right now. Fundamentals strongly back AUD, while CHF is fundamentally weak. Technically, the pair is building a base for further upside, so the broader outlook favors continuation higher rather than sustained downside.
by SurgiForex
Bullish rise?AUD/CHF has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5251 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 0.5230 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.5291 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage