AUDCHF: Shark completion at channel supportAUDCHF is sitting right at a key confluence zone. Price has already broken the daily trendline and is retesting inside the ascending channel.
On H4, we have a potential Shark/alt Bat completing around 0.5240, right at the channel support. This area is lining up with harmonic completion + structure support, so I expect buyers to step in. I’ll wait for H1 confirmation to avoid a trap, but the bias is bullish as long as 0.5215 holds.
Targets remain 0.5285 first, then 0.5320 if momentum continues.
CHFAUD trade ideas
AUDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.524.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.534 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDCHF, We are joining.In the monthly timeframe AC is bearish, a huge difference in the monthly structure prices will make it a bit difficult to decide the trend.
The trick here is to decide based on timeframes going lower. Thus going down to the weekly though we see a shift in trend.
In the daily timeframe, we are in an uptrend and thus we are looking on how to join it.
We are getting an entry in the lower timeframe in 4hr major structure, prices have confirmed in the lower timeframe where we got an entry.
We are risking 10 pips targeting a 1:10 RRR.
DISCLAIMER: I know you know what I want to say.
AUD-CHF Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5257 which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Bullish bounce off?AUD/CHF has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could potentially rise from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.52575
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% FIbonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.52113
Why we like it:
There ios a pullback support.
Take profit: 0.53268
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 61.8% FIbonacci projection.
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Bullish bounce off major support?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.5250
1st Support: 0.5211
1st Resistance: 0.5319
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDCHF potential LONG positionAUDCHF Analysis (4H / Weekly Confluence)
The overall trend remains bullish, following a strong rejection from weekly resistance. This move was supported by a bullish Bat harmonic pattern, which marked a potential reversal point.
Price has since been forming an ascending triangle structure, with higher lows consistently pressing against a flat resistance near 0.5265. This pattern often signals accumulation and builds pressure for a breakout.
Momentum indicators like RSI also support the bullish bias, as the market compresses under key resistance.
I’m watching for a confirmed breakout above 0.5265, ideally followed by a brief retracement into the swap zone, before continuation upward.
Target Levels:
TP1: 0.5350
TP2: 0.5400
Let’s see how this plays out. Open to feedback and alternate views!
Update on AUDCHF – Sitting Out the Storm🔄 Update on AUDCHF – Sitting Out the Storm ⏸️
Just a few days ago, I was eyeing a clean short on AUDCHF. The pair was rejecting resistance, macro favored CHF, and the setup was aligning nicely for a downside play.
But markets don’t move in a vacuum — and Trump’s 39% tariff on Swiss imports, set to take effect tomorrow, just shattered the clean setup.
This changes everything.
📉 Original Thesis:
RBA likely to cut ➡️ AUD weakness
CHF supported by safe-haven demand and stable fundamentals
AUDCHF bouncing into resistance within a broader downtrend
⚠️ New Reality:
🇺🇸 A 39% tariff on Swiss goods injects massive political risk into CHF
🇨🇭 This isn’t a typical risk-off environment anymore — it’s risk against the franc
💣 Safe-haven flows into CHF may dry up or reverse as capital reacts to trade friction
📊 The clean technical structure is now compromised by unquantifiable news risk
🚫 Trade Bias: Neutral – No Trade
I’m stepping aside from AUDCHF for now. The macro case for CHF strength has been undermined, but I’m not convinced AUD is strong enough to buy either. This isn’t a setup — it’s noise, volatility, and uncertainty with no edge.
In FX, uncertainty = risk without reward. Discipline is knowing when not to trade.
I’m keeping it on watch, but until this tariff fallout clears or the chart gives something cleaner, I’m on the sidelines.
Would you still touch this pair with that tariff risk looming?
Because for me — the edge is gone.
Bullish reversal?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.52113
1st Support: 0.51691
1st Resistance: 0.53019
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.