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Swiss Franc/Euro

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EURCHF December 2025 fundamental analysisEUR/CHF is likely to remain in a relatively tight range with only mild upside for the euro into December 2025, with the broader backdrop still favoring a structurally firm Swiss franc. Overall, this points more to a “sell on tops” stance rather than an outright bullish euro view for December.​ Policy backdrop The Swiss National Bank (SNB) keeps policy clearly on the accommodative side, but inflation is very low and firmly within its price‑stability range, so there is no strong pressure to ease further. Minutes and recent assessments show the SNB is comfortable with the inflation outlook and sees current settings as sufficiently expansionary, which implies it can tolerate a relatively strong franc as long as inflation stays subdued.​ The ECB, by contrast, holds its main rates around 2% and is in a gradual normalization phase after prior cuts, with projections showing inflation close to but slightly above target in 2025. Market commentary and ECB speeches indicate little appetite for aggressive further cuts in the near term, suggesting that euro short‑rate support will not improve dramatically against Switzerland’s already low‑rate environment.​ Macro and fundamental drivers SNB projections show Swiss inflation around 0.2% in 2025 and modest GDP growth in the 1–1.5% range, supporting a narrative of a stable, low‑inflation, safe‑haven currency. This setup historically aligns with a structurally firm CHF, especially in an environment of global uncertainty and tariffs that dampen growth expectations.​ In the euro area, ECB projections put 2025 inflation just above 2%, with growth expectations revised down and calls from some economists for stronger stimulus. This mix of slightly higher inflation but weaker growth limits the euro’s appeal versus the franc, since it points to a central bank that may have to remain cautious and potentially ease further if the economy disappoints.​ Market pricing and forecasts Recent analyses show EUR/CHF largely range‑bound between about 0.92 and 0.97 in 2025, with trading clustering near 0.93–0.94 toward year‑end. Several institutional and research forecasts for late 2025 center around the low‑0.90s, with some large banks expecting levels near 0.92 by end‑2025, consistent with a still‑strong franc.​ Specific December 2025 projections from quantitative/forecast sites cluster roughly around 0.93–0.94 on average, with published ranges typically spanning the high‑0.91s to mid‑0.95s, again consistent with a tight range and only modest euro upside risk. Commentary from Swiss‑focused outlets also stresses that the SNB is unlikely to actively engineer a significantly weaker franc unless EUR/CHF falls much further, which caps the upside potential for the pair. Trading verdict for December 2025 Fundamentally, low Swiss inflation, a still cautious SNB, and Switzerland’s safe‑haven status argue for a structurally strong CHF, while the euro faces mediocre growth and limited scope for higher rates. Given that spot is expected to stay in a narrow low‑0.90s range with only limited upside, the pair looks more attractive as a “sell EUR/CHF on rallies” rather than a long‑EUR position for December 2025.​
Short
by Oneirotrade
EURCHF Is Going Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for EURCHF. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.932. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.929 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/CHF – MACD Momentum Analysis (Sell Bias) Take Profit:0.92902Quantum Pulse Professional Market Outlook The EUR/CHF pair has generated a strong SELL signal under the MACD Momentum framework. Current price action shows clear signs of weakening bullish pressure, with momentum gradually tilting in favor of sellers. The structure remains highly technical, with no major fundamental catalysts interfering, making this setup clean and actionable. 📌 Signal Summary Bias: SELL Model: MACD Momentum Volatility: Moderate Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 Session: Any (broad liquidity) This signal is supported by momentum divergence across the last 200 bars, indicating exhaustion of the bullish leg and potential continuation of the broader bearish structure. 📊 Technical Outlook 1. Momentum & Structure MACD shows bearish momentum acceleration, with histogram contracting upward and signal lines positioned for downward expansion. Price is trading firmly below a micro-resistance cluster and struggling to break higher — a classic sign of trend exhaustion. Candle bodies are shrinking near resistance, indicating buy-side weakness. 2. Market Conditions Liquidity remains stable across overlapping sessions. No high-impact CHF or EUR announcements within the next few hours, keeping the pair technically driven. EUR remains soft across the board, increasing correlation pressure on EUR/CHF. 📌 Key Technical Levels Level Type Price Immediate Resistance 0.93245 Immediate Support 0.93185 Major Resistance 0.93275 Major Support 0.93155 Price is currently reacting beneath 0.93245 resistance, a level that historically triggers intraday reversals. 🎯 Trade Parameters Entry: 0.93215 Stop Loss: 0.93372 Take Profit: 0.92902 This places the stop above both the immediate and major resistance zones, protecting the trade from intraday noise. The TP aligns with the next liquidity pocket below the 0.93155 support — a high-probability target. 🧠 Trade Rationale Bearish divergence aligning with MACD momentum shift. Price pressing against resistance with no bullish follow-through. Market sentiment favors CHF strength in low-volatility periods. Clean downside liquidity pool visible toward 0.92900 zone. 📉 Risk Management Guidance Risk only 1–2% of account capital. Consider enabling a trailing stop once price breaks below 0.93155. Monitor volatility spikes around EUR macro sessions. If price closes above 0.93372, bearish bias becomes invalid. 📌 Analyst Conclusion EUR/CHF is showing high-quality bearish confluence, with momentum, structure, and liquidity all favoring downside continuation. As long as the pair remains capped under intraday resistance at 0.93245 – 0.93275, selling pressure should dominate toward the 0.92900 region.
Short
by SivaArjun
EURCHF oversold bounce backs capped at 0.9258The EURCHF is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 0.9258, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 0.9258 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.9190, followed by 0.9179 and 0.9160 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.9258 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.9275, then 0.9290. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the EURCHF breaks and holds above 0.9258 Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
JP Morgan says EURCHF oversold --- Could target 0.96 on rebound?JP Morgan sees the surge in the Swiss franc as not justified. According to JP Morgan, the Eurozone economy is holding up better than markets had anticipated. Under this environment, JP Morgan believes the current EUR/CHF levels present an opportunity to fade franc strength and rebuild long positions. If the pair does rebound from current levels, the first area of interest could be 0.9350, followed by 0.9450, where prior swing highs and short-term structure converge. A more sustained recovery could bring the pair back toward 0.9600–0.9700, a major resistance band that has capped every rally over the past year.
by BlackBull Markets
EURCHF - HTF/Mid-Term OutlookHTF (4H): Bullish Strong liquidity sits at 0.92676. We’ve shifted out of the pullback phase and are now aligned with continuation. Mid-term (30M) internal structure has fully formed, mapped, and refined, giving us the framework for a clean bullish leg. Price took the identified sell-side liquidity (SSL) and dove deeper into the mid-term order block. Normally, I’d expect confirmation from the first orange MTF OB, but price slashed through and tapped into the deeper HTF order block instead — showing that Smart Money wanted a cleaner mitigation. MTF: That deeper tap triggered a mid-term trend change, aligning us perfectly with the HTF continuation leg. The SSL has been swept and price is reacting off a fresh mid-term OB. HTF candles are also showing strong intent — clean displacement to the right, strong-bodied bullish candle taking control. If you take it back to candle-reading fundamentals, this is exactly the kind of transition candle that suggests bullish opening momentum once the market opens. LTF (5M): Trend change is almost complete inside the overlapping mid-term OBs. Now all we need is: • LH break • Pullback into the 5M OB • Execution toward external liquidity above Until then, we let Smart Money direct the delivery cycle and stay patient. Let’s go.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURCHF Wave Analysis – 14 November 2025 - EURCHF reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9300 EURCHF currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the long-term support level 0.9210 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of 2024) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term impulse wave (iii). Given the strength of the support level 0.9210 and the bearish Swiss franc sentiment seen today, EURCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9300.
Long
by FxPro
EURCHF: One of The Clearest Manipulations We’ve SeenEURCHF -One of The Clearest Manipulations We’ve Seen This is one of the clearest manipulations we’ve seen… EUCHF is printing a new historical low at 0.9181 for now without any logical reason behind it. Price has never been in this area in his entire life. There’s no major market news event to justify such a move.The whole week was empty, and CHF continues to be even stronger.. So why is the SNB creating all this chaos? The most likely scenario is that the SNB may be preparing to move back into negative rates, and they’re intentionally pushing CHF to become stronger, to avoid a future sell-off and to remind the market that they’re still in control. However, CHF is strong across all pairs and continues to reach historic lows in many of them. How long will this manipulation last? Remember that in June, the SNB was also added to the US blacklist as one of the Forex market manipulators. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
by KlejdiCuni
14
EUR/CHF Outlook: Is the Euro Losing Strength Against the Swissy?💼 EUR/CHF “Euro vs Swissy” | Forex Market Opportunity Blueprint 🧠 🔻 Bearish Swing Trade Plan – Thief’s Layering Strategy 📊 Market Context: The EUR/CHF pair is showing a clear bearish structure after a Triangular Moving Average (TMA) pullback trend reversal — confirming strong downside potential. A major support zone has been breached, signaling that bears are firmly in control. 💥 Plan Summary: This setup aligns with Thief’s signature multi-layer entry strategy, focusing on precision layering and risk scaling for optimal profit capture. 🎯 Thief’s Layered Entry Zones: 💣 Sell Limit 1 → 0.92500 💣 Sell Limit 2 → 0.92400 💣 Sell Limit 3 → 0.92300 💣 Sell Limit 4 → 0.92200 (optional for advanced layering) 🧩 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own comfort & volatility assessment. The goal is smooth entry stacking — not emotional trading. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Thief SL @ 0.92700 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — remember, this SL is adaptive. Manage according to your own strategy and risk appetite. This isn’t a signal — it’s a structure. 💰 Target Zone (TP): 🎯 Primary TP: 0.91800 As moving averages turn into strong resistance & overbought signals appear, the market forms a bull trap. Be the early one to exit with profits before the herd wakes up. 🔍 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch 💵 OANDA:USDCHF : Often moves inversely with EUR/CHF — stronger USD tends to pressure EUR/CHF lower. 💶 FX:EURUSD : Watch for bullish exhaustion here; a decline supports the bearish EUR/CHF narrative. 💷 OANDA:GBPCHF : Another CHF cross showing similar CHF strength patterns — confirming broader Swissy momentum. 📈 These pairs help validate directional bias — if CHF is strong across the board, it’s a green light for continuation on EUR/CHF shorts. ⚙️ Thief’s Blueprint Note: Trading is an art — strategy, patience, and psychology are your real edge. Use your own levels, risk rules, and profit-taking plan. Don’t copy blindly — learn the rhythm, not just the recipe. 🔥 If you value structured swing setups & strategic planning — drop a like, follow, and comment your view below! Let’s see how the market respects this Thief Blueprint. 💎
Short
by The-Thief