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GERMANY40CFD trade ideas

GER40 Critical Level: Which Way Will It Break?📊 GER40 Critical Breakout Analysis Hello Guys, By popular demand, I’ve prepared a GER40 analysis. Every single follower matters to me, and that’s why I’m sharing this breakdown with you. 🔹 Buy scenario: Price needs to break above 23,895 and close a candle there. 🔹 Sell scenario: Price needs to drop below 23,278 and close a candle under it. I’ll be watching both levels closely. Once a breakout happens, I’ll update you right away. Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
ICMARKETS:DE40
by TraderTilki
3
"DAX 40 Strategy Map — Multi-Layer Entries & Thief Twist"📊 GERMANY 40 Index Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) Ladies & Gentlemen (aka Thief OG’s 😎), here’s my fresh DAX roadmap. 🔑 Plan (Bullish Bias): Triangular Moving Average 382 broken upwards ✅ CCI Oscillator flashing a Golden Cross ⚡ Both signals together = bullish confirmation. 🎯 Entry (Thief Layer Strategy): This is not a single-entry plan. Instead, I’m layering multiple buy-limit levels: 23800, 23900, 24000, 24100 (You can increase layers if market structure supports it.) This layering method (Thief Strategy) spreads risk and improves average entry. 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief Guardrail): My SL marker: 23700 ⚠️ Note: This is my personal map, not financial advice. You can adjust according to your own risk appetite. 💰 Target (Take Profit Zone): Primary Exit: 24600 Strong barricade & resistance near 24700 🚨 (watch out for overbought trap). Idea: escape with profits before the police (market sellers) block the road! 📌 Correlations & Watchlist: FOREXCOM:GER40 (Germany 40 Index) XETR:DAX (cash market ticker) CAPITALCOM:DE40 (futures contracts) ICMARKETS:STOXX50 (Euro Stoxx 50 correlation) SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX (U.S indices often influence DAX intraday flow) FX:EURUSD (currency correlation can impact European equities via euro strength/weakness) Keeping an eye on global risk sentiment is essential — strong U.S. momentum often supports DAX upside. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for fun, educational purposes, and market mapping only. This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. #GER40 #DAX #Germany40 #SwingTrade #DayTrading #IndexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #TradingView
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by The-Thief
3
GER30 H4 | Extension of Bullish Momentum ExpectedGER30 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,270.66, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the take profit. Stop loss is at 24,040.97, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 24,652.43, which acts as a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:GER30Long
by Tradu
1
DAX break out againDAX held the 24,300 support level we highlighted previous and it has just broken out to a new high on the week and month. It looks like we will get that follow-thru to a new all-time high we were looking for so long as this level now remains intact. If a new high is made, why stop there? Expectations of more German stimulus continues to drive markets higher. So i wouldn't be surprised if the DAX even reached 25K handle in the coming days. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by FOREXcom
1
DAX eyes breakout to 25KFollowing last week's powerful rally, the DAX’s overall uptrend remains intact, with this week's consolidation serving as a healthy pause for momentum to reset. As long as short term support around 23,750 holds, any pullbacks could be supported by the bullish traders looking to chase momentum, rather than signs of weakness. Even if the index dips a bit lower, this wouldn't necessarily invalidate the bullish breakout, but ideally the 23800-24000 area will need to hold. Traders will be watching for indications of renewed upward momentum as the week unfolds. A breakout above the trend resistance of the mini consolidation pattern could pave the way for July high near 24,650, which appears increasingly likely. And above that level, we could see the onset of a rally towards 25,000 and potentially higher. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by FOREXcom
Bearish reversal off swing high resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as a multi swing high resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 24,550.50 1st Support: 24,231.02 1st Resistance: 24,660.54 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by ICmarkets
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Analysis & Trading OutlookCurrent Price: 23,397.40 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS The DAX40 is trading near all-time highs, displaying robust bullish momentum following the breakout above 23,000. The index is currently in a consolidation phase after an extended rally, suggesting potential for either continuation or a corrective pullback. Key Market Context: Trend Structure: Primary uptrend intact across all major timeframes Market Phase: Late-stage expansion with decreasing momentum divergence Volatility: Moderate; Bollinger Bands showing compression on 4H/Daily charts Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent highs suggests potential exhaustion 🎯 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS MONTHLY CHART - Long-term Perspective Elliott Wave Count: Currently in Wave 5 of a larger impulse structure from 2022 lows Gann Analysis: Price approaching the 1x2 Gann angle from the 2022 pivot; resistance expected at 23,450-23,500 Ichimoku Cloud: Trading well above the Kumo; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish crossover sustained Key Support: 22,800 (monthly pivot) | 22,400 (cloud base) Key Resistance: 23,500 (Gann resistance) | 23,850 (Wave 5 projection target) WEEKLY CHART - Swing Trading Perspective Pattern Recognition: Potential Bull Flag formation developing (consolidation after strong rally) Wyckoff Analysis: Phase D (markup) transitioning to possible Phase E (redistribution) RSI: 67.2 - approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme VWAP (Anchored from Jan 2025): 22,950 - price trading above, bullish bias confirmed Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on upswings suggests weakening buying pressure DAILY CHART - Swing & Position Trading Harmonic Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern completion zone: 23,450-23,550 (PRZ) Head & Shoulders Watch: No clear reversal pattern yet, but right shoulder formation risk if rejection occurs above 23,500 Bollinger Bands: Price at upper band (23,420); squeeze pattern suggests breakout/breakdown imminent Moving Averages: 20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 23,050 (critical support) 200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend support) RSI: 64.8 - neutral to slightly overbought MACD: Bullish but histogram showing declining momentum 4-HOUR CHART - Intraday/Swing Bridge Trend: Short-term consolidation within ascending channel Ichimoku: Price above cloud; flat Kijun-sen at 23,350 = pivot zone VWAP: 23,365 - current price trading slightly above, marginally bullish Support Levels: 23,350 | 23,280 | 23,200 Resistance Levels: 23,450 | 23,520 | 23,600 Pattern: Ascending Triangle forming between 23,280 support and 23,450 resistance 1-HOUR CHART - Intraday Focus Candlestick Pattern: Indecision candles (doji/spinning tops) suggesting hesitation RSI: 58.4 - neutral zone Bollinger Bands: Mid-band at 23,370; price oscillating around mean Volume: Below average - lack of conviction Gann Square of 9: Next resistance at 23,445 (45° from current pivot) 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE CHARTS - Scalping Micro Structure: Range-bound between 23,370-23,420 VWAP: Acting as dynamic support/resistance at 23,385 Volume Spikes: Watch for breakout confirmation with volume >120% of 20-period average RSI (15M): Oscillating between 45-60 (neutral range) 🔍 CRITICAL TECHNICAL SIGNALS Bullish Indicators: ✅ Price above all major moving averages (20/50/200 EMA) ✅ Ichimoku Cloud bullish alignment across all timeframes ✅ Higher lows pattern maintained since September ✅ Golden Cross intact (50 EMA > 200 EMA) ✅ Volume-weighted averages showing institutional support Bearish Warning Signs: ⚠️ Declining volume on rallies (distribution concern) ⚠️ RSI bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily charts ⚠️ Approaching Gann resistance and harmonic PRZ ⚠️ MACD histogram declining (momentum weakening) ⚠️ Potential Bull Trap risk if rejection occurs above 23,450 Neutral/Watch Factors: 🔶 Bollinger Band squeeze on daily chart (breakout pending) 🔶 Wyckoff redistribution signs require confirmation 🔶 No clear Head & Shoulders pattern yet (monitoring right shoulder) 📈 INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (Next 5 Trading Days) SCENARIO A: BULLISH BREAKOUT (Probability: 45%) Trigger: Break and hold above 23,450 with volume confirmation Entry Points: Aggressive: 23,455 (immediate breakout) Conservative: 23,470 (retest of breakout level) Targets: T1: 23,520 (short-term resistance) T2: 23,600 (Gann 1x1 angle) T3: 23,750 (measured move from triangle) Stop Loss: Below 23,350 (4H Kijun-sen) Time Frames: 5M, 15M, 1H entries | Hold 4H-Daily for swing Risk:Reward: Minimum 1:2.5 SCENARIO B: RANGE-BOUND CONSOLIDATION (Probability: 35%) Range: 23,280 - 23,450 Long Entries: 23,280-23,300 (lower range support + 20 EMA) 23,350-23,365 (4H pivot + VWAP) Short Entries: 23,430-23,450 (upper range resistance) 23,520-23,535 (false breakout rejection) Targets: Range midpoint: 23,365 Opposite range boundary Stop Loss: Longs: Below 23,250 (range invalidation) Shorts: Above 23,480 (breakout confirmed) Strategy: Mean reversion scalping on 15M/1H charts SCENARIO C: BEARISH CORRECTION (Probability: 20%) Trigger: Break and close below 23,280 (20 EMA + ascending trendline) Short Entry Points: Aggressive: 23,275 (break confirmation) Conservative: 23,300 (retest as resistance) Targets: T1: 23,200 (minor support) T2: 23,050 (50 EMA + psychological level) T3: 22,900 (weekly VWAP + gap fill) Stop Loss: Above 23,370 (failed breakdown) Confirmation Signals: RSI breaking below 50 MACD bearish crossover on 1H/4H Volume surge on breakdown 📊 SWING TRADING STRATEGY (1-4 Weeks Outlook) BULLISH SWING SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (pullback to 20 EMA support) Position Sizing: Build in 3 tranches 40% at 23,280 30% at 23,200 30% at 23,050 (if deeper correction) Targets: T1: 23,750 (Elliott Wave 5 target - partial profit 40%) T2: 23,950 (Measured move + Gann extension - 30%) T3: 24,200 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension - runner 30%) Stop Loss: Below 22,950 (daily close basis) Hold Duration: 2-4 weeks Ideal Setup: Bullish engulfing candle on daily chart at support RSI bounce from 40-45 zone Volume increase on bounce BEARISH SWING SCENARIO (Hedge/Counter-trend) Entry Zone: 23,480-23,550 (harmonic PRZ + Gann resistance) Confirmation Required: Bearish reversal candlestick (shooting star, evening star) RSI bearish divergence MACD bearish crossover on daily chart Break below 23,350 on closing basis Targets: T1: 23,050 (50 EMA - 40% cover) T2: 22,800 (monthly pivot - 35% cover) T3: 22,400 (200 SMA + cloud base - final 25%) Stop Loss: Above 23,650 (daily close) Risk Management: Tight stops; favor bullish bias unless clear reversal ⚡ ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS Current Count: Primary Wave: Wave 5 of larger impulse from 2022 lows Intermediate Wave: Subwave 5 of Wave 5 (terminal phase) Minor Wave: Possible wave (iv) consolidation completing Wave Projections: Wave 5 Target (Equal legs): 23,750-23,800 Wave 5 Target (1.618 extension): 24,150-24,250 Corrective Wave A Target (if reversal): 22,800-22,900 Wave C Target (full correction): 22,200-22,400 Key Insights: Wave structure suggests uptrend continuation likely Terminal wave characteristics: decreasing momentum, longer time Watch for five-wave completion signals near 23,750-24,000 zone 🔮 GANN ANALYSIS Square of 9 (from 23,000 pivot): 45° Resistance: 23,445 ⚠️ (approaching) 90° Resistance: 23,667 180° Major Resistance: 24,000 (psychological confluence) 45° Support: 23,111 90° Support: 22,889 Gann Angles (from September 2024 low): 1x1 Angle: Currently at 23,580 (equilibrium) 1x2 Angle: 23,450 (major resistance) ⚠️ 2x1 Angle: 23,100 (support) Time Cycles: Next significant Gann time window: October 8-10, 2025 (21 trading days from last pivot) Potential reversal/acceleration zone Price & Time Squaring: Price at 23,400 squares with October 7th time projection Suggests potential turning point early next week 🌊 ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO ANALYSIS Current Status (Daily Chart): Tenkan-sen (Conversion): 23,350 (flat = consolidation) Kijun-sen (Base): 23,280 (critical support) Senkou Span A: 23,100 Senkou Span B: 22,850 Chikou Span: Above price (bullish confirmation) Cloud Analysis: Price well above cloud = Strong Bull Trend Cloud thickness = robust support structure Future cloud (26 periods ahead) shows slight thinning = potential volatility increase Key Signals: TK Cross: Tenkan approaching Kijun from above (watch for bearish cross) Price vs Kijun: Trading above = bullish, but proximity suggests correction risk Chikou Span: Clear of price = trend continuation likely Ichimoku Trading Signals: Buy Signal: Pullback to 23,280-23,300 (Kijun support) with bullish rejection Sell Signal: Daily close below Kijun (23,280) with bearish TK cross Strongest Support: Cloud base at 22,850-23,100 📉 WYCKOFF MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS Current Phase Assessment: Late Phase D (Markup) / Early Phase E Watch Characteristics Observed: Accumulation (Complete): Built solid base 22,000-22,500 (July-August) Markup Phase D: Strong advance from 22,500 to 23,400 (September-October) Distribution Signs (Emerging): Declining volume on rallies Buying Climax (BC) potential near 23,500 Automatic Reaction (AR) risk if sharp rejection occurs Secondary Test (ST) of supply likely Wyckoff Price Levels: Creek: 22,900-23,000 (major demand zone) Spring Potential: 23,480-23,550 (if false breakout occurs) Sign of Weakness (SOW): Break below 23,200 would signal distribution Trading Implications: If Markup Continues: Target 23,750-24,000 (Phase E) If Distribution Begins: First support 23,000-23,050, major 22,800 Volume Confirmation Critical: Breakouts require 30%+ above average volume Composite Operator Behavior: Likely testing supply at current levels Watch for shake-out below 23,280 to trap weak longs Absorption of supply above 23,450 needed for continuation 🎪 HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Active Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern Completion Pattern Structure: X: 22,450 (September low) A: 23,150 (interim high) B: 22,850 (retracement) C: 23,350 (rally) D (PRZ): 23,450-23,550 (reversal zone) ⚠️ Fibonacci Ratios: AB: 0.382-0.500 retracement of XA ✓ BC: 0.382-0.886 retracement of AB ✓ CD: 1.618-2.618 extension of BC (target: 23,480-23,550) XD: 0.886 retracement of XA (23,520) ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Bearish Reversal Zone: 23,450-23,550 Entry: Short on bearish reversal confirmation in PRZ Targets (if pattern activates): 38.2% CD: 23,200 61.8% CD: 22,950 100% CD: 22,650 Stop Loss: Above 23,600 (pattern invalidation) Alternative Patterns: Bullish Butterfly target at 23,750 if breakout sustains above 23,550 Gartley Pattern support at 23,050 on any correction 📊 INDICATOR SYNTHESIS RSI (Relative Strength Index): Daily: 64.8 (neutral/slightly overbought) 4H: 61.2 (neutral) 1H: 58.4 (neutral) Divergence: Bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily (price higher highs, RSI lower highs) ⚠️ Key Levels: Overbought: >70 (not yet extreme) Oversold: <30 (correction target) Support: 50 level = trend strength gauge Bollinger Bands: Daily: Squeeze pattern (low volatility = breakout imminent) 4H: Price at upper band (23,420) = short-term extended Bandwidth: Narrowing significantly = explosive move coming (direction TBD) Strategy: Wait for band break + close outside, then enter in direction of break VWAP Analysis: Session VWAP: 23,385 (dynamic pivot) Weekly VWAP: 23,290 (critical support) Anchored VWAP (Jan 2025): 22,950 (major support) Volume Profile: Highest volume node at 23,300-23,350 (strong support/resistance flip zone) Moving Average Confluence: 20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 23,050 (medium-term support) 200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend) Alignment: Bullish across all timeframes Golden Cross: Active since August 2024 (50>200) = long-term bullish MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Daily: Bullish, but histogram declining (momentum loss) 4H: Approaching zero line (neutral) Signal: Watch for bearish crossover on 4H as early reversal warning Divergence: Confirming RSI bearish divergence on daily chart 🚨 TRAP IDENTIFICATION & AVOIDANCE BULL TRAP Risk (HIGH ALERT): ⚠️⚠️⚠️ Scenario: False breakout above 23,450-23,500 followed by sharp reversal Warning Signs: Breakout with declining volume (no conviction) Quick spike to 23,500-23,550 with long upper wicks Inability to hold above 23,450 for more than 2 hours (1H chart) RSI divergence + MACD histogram declining Break below 23,350 after failed breakout Protection Strategy: Wait for retest of breakout level before entering longs Require volume confirmation (>120% of 20-period average) Set tight stops below 23,380 if entering on breakout Reduce position size by 50% if entering in potential trap zone Bull Trap Target (if triggered): 23,000-23,050 (trap participants' stops) BEAR TRAP Risk (LOW-MODERATE): Scenario: False breakdown below 23,280 followed by sharp recovery Warning Signs: Break on low volume Quick recovery above 23,280 within 1-2 candles Strong bullish reversal candlestick at support RSI showing bullish divergence at lower levels Protection Strategy: Wait for daily close below 23,250 before aggressive shorts Watch for volume confirmation on breakdown Be ready to cover shorts if price reclaims 23,300 quickly Don't short against major support zones without confirmation 🌍 MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS Macroeconomic Considerations: ECB Policy: Dovish stance supporting equity markets German Economy: Manufacturing PMI showing signs of stabilization EUR/USD: Correlation with DAX; watch 1.08-1.10 zone US Markets: S&P 500 correlation strong; US data impacts DAX sentiment Geopolitical: Middle East tensions = safe-haven flows (moderate risk) Earnings Season: German corporate earnings (October) = potential volatility catalyst DAX constituent reporting: watch for sector rotation Seasonal Patterns: October historically volatile for European indices End-of-month portfolio rebalancing (October 31st) = potential volatility Volatility Indicators: VDAX (DAX volatility): Currently moderate ~15-16 Complacency risk if volatility spikes above 18 🎯 COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN INTRADAY TRADERS (5M - 1H Charts): Monday-Wednesday Outlook: Primary Strategy: Range trading between 23,280-23,450 Scalp Zones: Buy: 23,300-23,320 | Target: 23,380-23,400 | Stop: 23,275 Sell: 23,430-23,450 | Target: 23,370-23,350 | Stop: 23,475 Thursday-Friday Outlook: Breakout Watch: Decision time for triangle pattern If Bullish: Long 23,460+ | Target: 23,550 | Trail stop If Bearish: Short <23,270 | Target: 23,150 | Stop: 23,320 Risk Management: Maximum 1% risk per trade 2:1 minimum risk:reward No more than 3 active positions simultaneously Daily loss limit: 2% of account SWING TRADERS (4H - Daily Charts): PRIMARY SETUP: Buy the Dip Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (expect pullback next week) Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or hammer on daily chart Position Size: 2-3% risk per trade Targets: 23,750 (T1) | 24,000 (T2) | 24,250 (T3) Stop Loss: 22,950 (daily close basis) Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks SECONDARY SETUP: Breakout Long Entry: Break and hold above 23,480 (daily close) Confirmation: Volume >1.5x average + consecutive closes above Targets: 23,750 | 24,000 | 24,300 Stop Loss: 23,350 Hold: Trail stop to 20 EMA on daily chart HEDGE SETUP: Short from Resistance Entry: 23,500-23,550 with reversal confirmation Confirmation: Shooting star + RSI divergence + MACD cross Targets: 23,200 | 23,050 | 22,800 Stop Loss: 23,650 (strict) Position Size: 50% of normal (counter-trend) POSITION TRADERS (Weekly - Monthly Charts): Long-Term Bullish Thesis: Entry Strategy: Accumulate on corrections to 23,000-23,200 Core Position: Build over 2-3 weeks Targets: 24,000 (3-month target) 24,500 (6-month target) 25,000 (12-month psychological) Stop Loss: Weekly close below 22,600 Rationale: Elliott Wave 5 completion + breakout from multi-year consolidation Portfolio Allocation: 60% long exposure at current levels 20% cash for pullback buying 20% hedges if approaching 23,800-24,000 zone 🔔 ALERT LEVELS & NOTIFICATIONS Critical Price Alerts to Set: ✅ 23,480 (Breakout level - LONG signal) ✅ 23,450 (Harmonic PRZ - Watch for reversal) ✅ 23,350 (4H support - Breakdown warning) ✅ 23,280 (Daily 20 EMA - CRITICAL support) ✅ 23,200 (Buy zone activation) ✅ 23,050 (50 EMA - Major support test) ✅ 22,950 (Stop loss trigger for swings) Indicator Alerts: RSI crossing 70 (overbought) or 50 (weakness) MACD bearish crossover on 4H/Daily Bollinger Band break (either direction) Volume spike >150% of average 📌 CONCLUSION & BIAS Overall Bias: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH 🟢 (60% probability) Bullish Case (60%): The primary trend remains intact with price above all major moving averages and strong cloud support. The consolidation near highs is healthy, and a resolution to the upside targeting 23,750-24,000 is the path of least resistance. Elliott Wave structure suggests one more push higher to complete Wave 5. Bearish Case (20%): Declining volume, RSI divergence, and approach of major resistance (Gann, harmonic PRZ) suggest caution. A failed breakout above 23,500 could trigger a correction to 23,000-22,800. Wyckoff distribution signs require monitoring. Neutral/Range Case (20%): Continued consolidation between 23,200-23,500 for 1-2 weeks is possible as the market digests recent gains and awaits economic catalysts. Best Trading Approach: Intraday: Range trade 23,280-23,450 until breakout Swing: Wait for pullback to 23,200-23,280 for optimal risk:reward longs Position: Maintain core long exposure with stops below 22,800 Key Success Factors: Patience: Wait for high-probability setups at defined levels Discipline: Honor stop losses without exception Flexibility: Adapt to price action; market is always right Confirmation: Require volume and indicator alignment before major trades 🎓 FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS For Aggressive Traders: Trade both sides of the range Quick profits (50-100 points) Tight stops (50-80 points) High frequency (5-10 trades/week) For Conservative Traders: Wait for 23,200-23,280 pullback Larger position size with better risk:reward Wider stops (150-200 points) Target 23,750+ for 1:3+ reward Low frequency (1-2 trades/month) For Long-Term Investors: Accumulate on any dip toward 23,000 Hold through minor volatility Target 24,500+ over 3-6 months Stop only on weekly close <22,600 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is testing the top of its sideways trend in a new impulsive phase that looks set to be followed by a breakout. Price is trading at 24,414, significantly above its VWAP of 23,744. The RSI at 66.4 indicates upward momentum. Support lies at 23,057 with resistance at 24,500. UK 100 has broken out with a fresh leg into record highs, continuing its bullish trajectory. Price is at 9,498, clearly above the VWAP at 9,282. The RSI at 72.4 shows strong momentum, in overbought territory. Support is at 9,072 and resistance aligns with the current price. Wall Street extends its bullish impulsive phase, reaching new record highs, currently at 46,863. VWAP is at 46,236, affirming the strong trend. The RSI at 71.9 shows overbought conditions. Support is at 45,637 while resistance is untested at these highs. Brent Crude remains in a neutral range phase, trading at 6,535 just below its VWAP of 6,680. The RSI at 43.0 suggests a lack of buying pressure. Support is at 6,394, while resistance is higher at 6,967. Gold continues its very strong bullish impulsive run with no signs yet of any major pullback, currently trading at 3,936 and well above its VWAP of 3,760. The RSI at 85.8 indicates extreme overbought conditions. Support lies at 3,576, while resistance is at the current high. EUR/USD remains range-bound in a neutral trend, trading at 1.1664, just below its VWAP of 1.1749. RSI at 42.7 suggests weakening momentum. Support is at 1.1664 with resistance at 1.1850. GBP/USD stays in a neutral trend and range phase, with price at 1.3422 and VWAP at 1.3491. RSI at 44.8 shows mildly bearish sentiment. Support is at 1.3331 and resistance at 1.3651. USD/JPY is attempting a breakout of its neutral range phase to set up a new uptrend, trading at 150.33 above its VWAP of 148.11. The RSI at 63.7 indicates bullish momentum building. Support is at 145.99, with resistance at the current level.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
DAX Bullish resistance breakout supported at 24250 The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24550 – initial resistance 24650 – psychological and structural level 24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 24100 – minor support 24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX40 Bullish breakout sideways consolidation supported at 24255The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24550 – initial resistance 24650 – psychological and structural level 24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 24100 – minor support 24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX Attacking New ATH German DAX is in a very nice recovery, breaking above the corrective channel resistance line, so apparently we are in risk-on mode on this index, which sooner or later could revisit all-time highs. Keep in mind this could already be a fifth wave, but there’s still room for 25,000 or even 25,500. What I really like on the smaller intraday time frame is the strong recovery since October 1st, and notice there’s a gap from October 2nd — these gaps can often act as reversal points, especially once they get filled on the cash market. L ooking at the cash chart, it seems that gap could still get filled during the current fourth-wave correction, which could be a very nice spot for the market to resume higher toward the previous July 2025 highs. The gap fill could be an important support, while the short-term invalidation level is at 23,834 — as long as this one holds, the intraday trend remains up.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by ew-forecast
Breakout Alert! Germany 40 Targeting 25400 – Join the Robbery⚡GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD HEIST PLAN⚡ 💸 Thief Trader Robbery Blueprint 💸 🎭 Dear Ladies & Gentleman, my Thief OG’s 🕶️🕵️‍♂️, Welcome to another market heist – this time we’re targeting the GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD vault! 🚀 Plan: Bullish Breakout Robbery The lock is weak around 24,500.0 ⚡ – once that vault door cracks open, we raid in style with layer entries. 🔑 Thief Layer Entry Method: 📍 First entry on breakout @ 24,500.0 📍 Layer extra buy limits @ 24,400.0 / 24,300.0 / 24,200.0 (stack your orders like pro robbers 😈) 👉 You can increase your layers depending on your appetite for stolen cash 💰. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): This is the Thief SL → @ 24,000.0 after breakout confirmation. 📌 Adjust your SL with caution, OG’s, depending on your risk & strategy. Protect the loot at all costs 🏴‍☠️. 🎯 Target (TP): ⚠️ Police barricade spotted @ 25,500.0 🚔🚨 👉 Escape before the sirens – cash out at 25,400.0 and vanish with the bags 🎒💸. 🏆 Thief Trader Reminder 📌 Stick to the layering strategy – multiple entries spread like a thief’s toolkit. 📌 Manage risk like a pro robber – don’t get caught with greedy hands. 📌 Escape clean – profit secured before the market traps you! 🔥💎 Support the Thief Gang by smashing that Boost Button 💥 Let’s keep robbing the markets together – smooth, stylish, and profitable. Every heist, every day – Thief Trading Style. 🏆🕶️💰🚀
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by The-Thief
Research Shows That Trading Harmonic Pattern Could Improve IQ. Hey everyone, in this video, I broke down a fantastic trading setup on the EUR/USD pair using harmonic patterns. I love trading harmonics because it constantly challenges your IQ and makes you a smarter, more analytical trader. I focused on my three-step framework that I apply to any pair: Key Level: First, I identified a crucial order block on the higher time frame (weekly). This is our potential reversal zone. Harmonic Pattern: Next, I moved to the 4-hour and daily charts to find a harmonic pattern aligned with that key level. I found a beautiful bearish Butterfly pattern. It's crucial to match the pattern with the trend—since the overall structure was bullish, we looked for an extension pattern (like the Butterfly) into the key level, not a retracement pattern. Liquidity Sweep & Entry: The final step was confirming the setup. We waited for a liquidity sweep (a break of the Previous Daily High - PDH) and then a close below a key bullish candle. Entry is on the retest of that break, with a stop loss placed just above the key level. I showed how the Fibonacci measurements (the 1.272 and 2.0 extensions) converged perfectly in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), making it a high-probability trade. We also discussed profit targets and how to manage the trade by moving stop losses to maximize profits. This exact same process is what I've used successfully on pairs like GBP/JPY, USD/JPY, and indices like the German 40. It's a structured, repeatable method that filters out market noise. If you have any questions, drop them in the comments below! Don't forget to like, subscribe, and watch out for more videos like this. Happy trading!
FUSIONMARKETS:GER40Education
by HenryDGREATFX