GERMAN30 trade ideas
Germany 40 – Bearish Outlook with ECB and US CPI in Focus🔥 Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy: Germany 40 CFD Bearish Setup 🚨
Asset: Germany 40 Index CFD (DAX)Trade Type: Swing/Scalping (Bearish Pending Order Plan)Date: September 11, 2025Current Price: 23,632.95 (-0.36% daily change)
💰 The Thief Strategy: Layered Precision for Profits
The Thief Strategy is all about stealing profits with disciplined, layered sell limit orders. By targeting the 23,500 support zone breakout, we capitalize on bearish momentum with precision. This setup is perfect for scalpers and swing traders looking to ride the wave of macro-driven volatility. Set your TradingView alarms to catch the breakout! 🚨
🔹 Why This Works?
Technical Edge: Price rejection at 23,800 + overbought RSI signals a potential drop.
Macro Triggers: ECB policy (11 Sept) and US CPI data could fuel bearish moves.
Sentiment: Fear-driven hedging and sector rotation (defense/energy outperforming tech).
📊 Market Snapshot (11 Sept 2025)
Daily Change: -85.50 (-0.36%)
52-Week Range: 18,382.26 - 24,639.10
1-Year Performance: +29.38%
😨 Sentiment & Fear/Greed Index
Retail Traders: 🟡 Cautious
Mixed earnings: Siemens Energy (+4.57%), Rheinmetall (+3.29%) vs. SAP (-2.87%), Deutsche Telekom (-2.16%).
Eyes on ECB policy and US CPI data.
Institutional Traders: 🟠 Neutral to Slightly Bearish
Defensive moves in chemicals/financials.
Higher put/call ratios in options show hedging.
Fear & Greed Index: Fear
Elevated volatility from ECB/US data uncertainty.
Bonds slightly outperforming stocks short-term.
📉 Fundamental & Macro Score
Economic Data:
German Inflation (Aug 2025): 2.2%
Interest Rate: 2.15%
Unemployment: 6.3%
Score: 6/10 (Neutral)
Corporate Performance:
Top Gainers: Siemens Energy, Rheinmetall
Top Losers: SAP, Deutsche Telekom
Score: 5/10 (Mixed)
Global Risks:
EU tariff pressures (India/China).
French political uncertainty.
Score: 4/10 (Slightly Negative)
🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Short-Term: Bearish
Resistance at 23,800; downside risk if ECB delays rate cuts or US CPI spikes.
Medium-Term: Neutral
YoY +27.76%, but momentum slowing.
Q3 2025 forecast: 23,412.92 (Trading Economics).
🎯 Thief Strategy: Bearish Layering Plan
🔹 Entry (Pending Sell Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 23,650
Layer 2: 23,600
Layer 3: 23,550
Layer 4: 23,500 (Key Breakout Level ⚡)
Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk tolerance. Confirm entry after a 23,500 breakout. Set a TradingView alarm at 23,500 to stay sharp!
🔹 Stop Loss (SL):
Place at 23,750 after breakout confirmation.
Note: Dear Thief OG’s, adjust SL based on your strategy and risk. I’m not your boss—manage your risk, steal the profits! 💸
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
Target 23,300 (strong support + oversold zone + potential bear trap).
Note: Escape with your loot at your discretion. My TP is a guide—take profits at your own risk!
🔹 Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% per trade.
Use trailing stops during high-volatility events (e.g., ECB, US CPI).
Avoid new trades during major news to dodge whipsaws.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 23,800 (immediate), 24,100 (strong).
Support: 23,500 (breakout zone), 23,300 (target), 23,200 (deeper support).
Breakout Confirmation: Daily close below 23,500 signals bearish continuation.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD )
FX:EURUSD ($): Bearish DAX may align with a stronger USD if US CPI surprises. Watch 1.1578 (current), support at 1.1254.
FX:GBPUSD ($): Bullish at 1.3581; DAX drop could pressure GBP on risk-off sentiment.
FX:USDJPY ($): Bearish correction at 144.09; monitor for risk-off flows impacting DAX.
📰 Key Events to Monitor
ECB Announcement (11 Sept): Delayed rate cuts could push DAX lower.
US CPI Data (11 Sept): Higher inflation may trigger global risk-off moves.
Sector Rotation: Defense/energy (e.g., Rheinmetall) outperforming tech (e.g., SAP).
🚀 Why This Setup Steals the Show
The Thief Strategy is built for precision and adaptability. Layered entries at 23,650–23,500 let you exploit the breakout with confidence, backed by macro signals (ECB, US CPI) and technical rejection at 23,800. This setup is designed to maximize engagement and visibility for scalpers and swing traders. Let’s steal those profits together! 💰
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#DAX #Germany40 #ThiefStrategy #Bearish #TradingView #Scalping #SwingTrading #ECB #USCPI
DAX bullish consolidation support at 23950The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish reversal signal on H4 chart?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which has been identified as a swing low support.
Pivot: 23,978.05
1st Support: 23,407.17
1st Resistance: 24,225.79
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX | Buy & Sell Setup | 12 Sep 2025 – 16:20 BSTDAX | Buy & Sell Setup | 12 Sep 2025 – 16:20 BST
Buy Zone: 23796.40 – 23727.04
Sell Zone: 23650.02 – 23601.72
Scenario : Buy
Entry: 23730
Stop Loss: 23655
Targets:
TP1 → 23793.06
TP2 → 24024.22
TP3 → 24206.53
Analysis:
From Buy Zone (23796.40 – 23727.04) creates possibilities for a buy move.
Scenario 2 : Sell
Entry: 23655
Stop Loss: 23730
Targets:
TP1 → 23549.96
TP2 → 23080.00
Analysis:
From Sell Zone (23650.02 – 23601.72) creates possibilities for a sell move.
Stay alert on updates here.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
DAX trade idea, DO what everyone else ISN'T expecting Next week I think we go for a sweep of both sides of this range we've been playing.
Favouring the upside first and then come back down and sweep the lows and then we see how the market plays.
I think everyone is expecting the market some sort of big reaction to the downside, I think it's coming but not before we sweep the highs and take out all those stops.
Trade Idea
Short 23950 - 24050
TP - 24500 (( around there ))
GER30 (DAX 40)GER30 (DAX 40) Bullish Outlook
The DAX 40 is showing steady strength, with buyers stepping in around 23,500. Momentum is building, and if it pushes past 23,800, we could see it testing 24,000 soon.
Pullbacks to support might be great spots to consider entering long, keeping an eye on how the market reacts. Overall, the vibe is bullish and the trend is looking healthy.
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 remains range-bound at 23,751, trading under its VWAP of 24,029. RSI at 42 signals weaker momentum. Support at 23,455 is being tested while resistance is 24,604.
UK 100 remains bullish but has pulled back from recent highs down to its VWAP, trading at 9,224. RSI at 54 shows neutral-to-positive momentum. Support is 9,097, resistance is 9,347.
Wall Street continues in a bullish trend, consolidating below record highs, last at 45,487 above its VWAP of 45,243. RSI at 58 leans bullish. Support is 44,684, resistance 45,803.
Brent Crude is still in a choppy range, at 6,654 the price is hovering around its VWAP of 6,690. RSI at 47 reflects neutral momentum. Support stands at 6,492, resistance at 6,888.
Gold has surged higher, trading at new record highs, currently 3,612 above VWAP 3,570 and breaking out of its multi-month consolidation. RSI at 80 indicates strong bullish momentum. Support is 3,400, resistance 3,796.
EUR/USD is pushing towards recent highs and a possible triangle breakout, trading at 1.1726 around VWAP 1.1726. RSI at 56 suggests balanced-to-bullish momentum. Support is 1.1652, resistance 1.1796.
GBP/USD is still in an extended correction within a bullish trend, trading at 1.3510 near VWAP 1.3485. RSI at 53 signals steady momentum. Support is 1.3398, resistance is 1.3573.
USD/JPY stays range-bound at 147.71 stalling after a triangle breakout, now just above the VWAP at 147.12. RSI at 51 reflects a neutral outlook. Support is 146.53, resistance 148.66.
DAX: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 23,625.24 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 23,566.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX40 sideways consolidation support at 23400The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast📊🇩🇪 GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook
Asset Class: GER40 CFD (DAX40)
Current Close: 23,675.1 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Technical Setup
🕯 Candlesticks: Strong rejection tails at resistance, suggesting supply pressure.
🌊 Elliott Waves: Market in corrective wave phase after strong rally.
📐 Harmonics: Possible Bearish Gartley forming near 23,950 zone.
📊 Wyckoff: Distribution signs emerging after extended markup.
📏 Gann Angles: 23,800 key pivot (time & price convergence).
☁️ Ichimoku: Price testing Kijun resistance; cloud support below 23,400.
📈 Indicators
💪 RSI (H1): 65 – nearing overbought zone.
📉 RSI (Daily): Neutral → potential downside risk.
🎯 Bollinger Bands: Pinching – volatility expansion expected.
⚖️ VWAP (Weekly): 23,520 – magnet level.
📊 MA Cross: Short-term EMA threatening bearish crossover.
⏱ Intraday Outlook
🕒 Key Levels:
🟢 Buy Zone: 23,420 – 23,480 (bounce setup).
🔴 Sell Zone: 23,800 – 23,950 (rejection expected).
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 23,720 → 23,840 → 23,950
Downside: 23,520 → 23,400 → 23,250
⚡ Bias: Range-bound with bearish tilt near highs.
📆 Swing Trading Outlook
🟢 Swing Buy Entry: 23,200 – 23,300 (strong demand zone).
🎯 Upside Swing Targets: 23,850 → 24,100 → 24,350
🔴 Swing Sell Entry: 23,900 – 24,050 (supply area).
🎯 Downside Swing Targets: 23,400 → 23,050 → 22,750
📉 Bias: Bearish divergence forming – possible correction if 23,900 rejects.
🌐 Market Context
⚠️ Eurozone slowdown + ECB policy risks may cap upside.
📊 US indices correlation → keep an eye on US500/NAS100.
🛢 Energy price spikes = potential drag on DAX industries.
📝 Trading Plan
✔️ Intraday traders: Sell rallies into 23,800–23,950 🔻
✔️ Swing traders: Accumulate near 23,200–23,300 🟢
✔️ Manage risk: Always place tight stops below support or above resistance.
🔥 Conclusion:
DAX40 (GER40) faces stiff resistance at 23,900. Intraday range traders can fade extremes, while swing traders prepare for a correction towards 23,200 support before the next big move.
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I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade