ES1! A++ short (fade the lid) Trigger: another probe into 6783.75–6784.25 stalls with absorption, then a 1m lower high. Entry: 6783.50–6784.00. SL: 6785.50 (above the resting stack). TP1: 6780.25. TP2: 6777.75. TP3: 6775.50 if momentum expands. Management: take TP1, set runner to BE; let TP2→TP3 work while the lid holds. Invalidation: 15m body close back above 6785.
Flip long only on acceptance Requirement: offers pull and price pushes/holds above 6784.75–6785.00 for ~30–60 seconds without a snap-back. Entry: 6785.00–6785.50 on the first 1m HL after the hold. SL: 6783.25. TP1: 6787.75. TP2: 6789.75. Then reassess 6791–6792. Invalidation: quick loss of 6784.50 after entry.
ES1! Bookmap is showing layered offers between 6,772 and 6,776, with some sticky bids around 6,760 to 6,762. If those bids get pulled, we could see some fast movement down to the mid-50s or 40s. NQ has already slipped below its AM box, adding more downside pressure as long as it stays under 25,260 to 25,300.
09:30–10:00: Watch for an initial probe of 6.79x. If we see a clean push and hold above 6.795, expect buying interest to pull prices toward 6.820–6.830, where the first touch often experiences some resistance. If it fails to clear this band or has a quick pop-and-fail back under 6.790, look for a drift back down to 6.735.
10:00–11:00: If the price holds above 6.800, momentum could carry us up to 6.840 before there’s a possible cooling off. Keep an eye on a potential fade at the first touch of 6.820–6.830 if volume starts to thin. If we drop below 6.790, anticipate a grind down to 6.705 with reactive bounces at 6.735. If we briefly lose 6.705 and then reclaim it, that could set up a solid bounce opportunity.
11:00–12:00: Expect to see range maintenance during this hour. Focus on managing existing positions; new entries will require fresh 15-minute signals at the previously indicated levels.
Session Plan Primary path is acceptance > 6,795 → 6,820–6,830 → 6,840. Alternate path is rejection at 6,79x → 6,735 → 6,705 → 6,690.
ES1! Into the bell we’re pressing the 6,725–6,735 shelf from below. My base case for the first 30 minutes is a quick sweep through 6,735 into 6,740–6,747, then a 5-minute rejection that rotates down to 6,720 and tags the 6,701–6,705 magnet. That keeps the rebound honest before the next decision.
Invalidation for this view: two firm 5-minute closes above 6,740 with the pullback holding 6,735 as support. If that happens, expect a squeeze toward 6,758–6,765 before 10:00 ET.
ES1! 
