NQ - August 27 - afternoonSince the Powell speech and rally on Friday the 22nd, the easier trade has remained to buy dips.
As we can see in image above we had broke below the longterm trendline and Friday brought us back above it.
And though we drifted below the trendline during the overnight session Monday, we've held above it and its been bought during the NY session everyday since, as seen below.
AFTER THE CLOSE: We have Nvidia earnings which will important for tomorrows trading session.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR: We have GDP tomorrow as well as PCE and Michigan consumer sentiment on Friday. I dont thing GDP will be very market moving but PCE will be quite important for inflation data, as that is what the FED uses. If Inflation is lower than expected and with Powell's most recent comments, its fair to assume a cut in September will be fully baked in.
Good trading! Wishing you all green PnL's :)
NQQ1! trade ideas
NASDAQ 100 TYRING TO CARVE OUR HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP? Hey traders so today looking at Nasdaq 100 looking like it's trying to form a top. More importantly a Head & Shoulders Top.
For those new to trading and understanding technical analysis I highly recommend you learn chart formations like Head & Shoulders.
Technical Analysis is a little bit like art what one trader sees not all other traders will see. However if alot of traders see it then it is becoming more significant.
So basically you have a left shoulder formed at top of rally 23,847. Then you have head or highest peak formed at 24,100. Then you have a neckline formed at 22,758. Finally you have the right shoulder which has not been completed yet. If you read about the Head & Shoulders it normally has a 90% probability or being accurate.
So is the market topping out?
No one knows for sure but we do know that historically September and October are the worst months of the year seasonally for the stock market. This definetly shows that the bearish case is stronger.
Scenario Time
Bullish- knowing that seasonally the market could weaken in September and we are right around the corner I would say wait for the sell off and buy back in November.
Bearish- The way you trade the Head & Shoulders pattern is if the right shoulder completes then you wait for the market to break below the neckline under 22,775 and then place your sell order. Then you place a stop above the right shoulder after if forms.
COT- Commitment of Traders report still showing the funds are holding Long Positions and even somewhat crowded on the long side. But last week they closed some of them could this be a bearish sign closing long positions? Most likely yes but lets see what happens in tommorows report.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23622.75
- PR Low: 23601.25
- NZ Spread: 48.0
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/28)
- Session Open ATR: 284.71
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23520.25
- PR Low: 23499.00
- NZ Spread: 47.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/27)
- Session Open ATR: 297.44
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Plan (A++) — Tue, Aug 26. Analyses and Setups At-a-glance
• Structure: Daily uptrend but capped below 23,585–23,615 supply; late-day dump then bounce.
• Pivot: ~23,50x shelf (intraday pivot).
• Plan: Acceptance Long above PDH (≥23,59x) OR Rejection Short on break ≤23,50x after a pop/fail.
Macro clock (ET)
• 8:30 — Durable Goods (Advance, Jul).
• 9:00 — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller (Jun).
• 10:00 — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Aug).
• 11:30 — Dallas Fed Texas Service Sector Survey (publishing begins 9:30 a.m. CT).
• Afternoon — U.S. Treasury 2-Year Note auction (verify time live; typically 1:00 p.m. ET).
• Heads-up — NVDA earnings Wed, Aug 27 after the close.
HTF context
• Daily/4H: Buyers defend 23,44x → 23,41x; sellers active 23,585–23,615.
• 1H/30M: Sideways; 23,50x is the shelf to watch.
Key levels
• Resistance: R1 23,585–23,615 (PDH/supply); R2 23,650–23,680.
• Support: S1 23,485–23,505 (shelf/NYPM.L); S2 23,440–23,455; S3 23,405–23,415 (AS.L); S4 23,295–23,315 (Mon low area).
A) Acceptance Long (A++)
• Trigger: First 5-min close ≥23,590–23,600 with 15-min holding/printing HH.
• Targets: 23,650 → 23,680/23,700.
• Invalidation: Hard — 15-min close ≤23,580; Soft — no extension within 2×5-min bars.
B) Rejection Short (A++)
• Trigger: Rejection from 23,52x–23,56x then first 5-min close ≤23,498–23,505 (shelf break) with 15-min alignment.
• Targets: 23,455 → 23,410 → 23,305.
• Invalidation: Hard — 15-min close back above ~23,505; Soft — no extension within 2×5-min bars.
Execution rules (A++)
• MOS entry on confirming close; no retest required.
• Align 30m/15m/5m; go BE only after structure/through T1.
• Trade windows: 9:45–11:30 & 13:45–15:30 ET.
• Stand down if price chops inside 23,49x–23,56x without a decisive close.
Disqualifiers
• Trend conflict across 30m/15m/5m
• No 5-min confirming close
• Directly into 10:00 data or the afternoon auction
• Chop inside the pivot box
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23607.50
- PR Low: 23545.00
- NZ Spread: 139.75
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | New Home Sales
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/26)
- Session Open ATR: 302.73
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Weekly Outlook | Aug 25–29, 2025Last week, buyers defended 23,067–23,150 and Powell’s speech fueled a massive short-covering rally, sending price right back to our macro pivot at 23,550. That level now defines the battleground.
🔹 Upside Roadmap:
23,550 = Weekly Pivot
Above → 23,700 (old breakout base)
23,850 minor extension
24,063 swing high
24,400+ final weekly upside target
🔹 Downside Roadmap:
23,335 first support
23,249 Thursday close
23,067 must-hold higher low
22,760 deeper downside
📌 Plan:
Hold above 23,550 = long bias into 23,700+.
Reject 23,550 and lose 23,335 = downside rotation.
💡 Discipline is key: trade the reaction at 23,550, not your prediction.
Classic tug-of-war NASDAQBias: Still broadly bullish on the daily—no true downside displacement, and price hasn’t closed below the last impulse up. But… we failed to close above recent 2-month highs and are sitting right at weekly equilibrium.
Where we are: Price is coiling around the 4H BISI low ≈ 23,790.50, which also aligns with ~50% of the weekly range. Nested inside is a 1H BISI with a bullish 1H OB just beneath. Classic tug-of-war spot.
Areas of Interest:
Above: 23,929 → PDH 23,962.75 → 24,000 BRN → 24,040–24,080 (upper imbalance).
Below: 23,713.50 (50% of 1H OB) → 23,596 → 23,501 → swing magnet 22,684.75 (D1 SIBI high).
Tell: The last “new low” on 1H needed two candles to actually close below and did so weakly. That shows sell-side lacks displacement unless we break structure decisively.
What flips the switch (clear invalidation logic)
Bullish reclaim: 15–60m close back above 23,790–23,804 (ETH close 23,796.5 / RTH close 23,804) and hold on a retest → long side favored.
Bearish break: Clean 1H close below 23,713 (and acceptance under it) → short side favored; you’re below the 1H OB and the nested BISI.
Two actionable trade plans
(Use your 5m/1m execution: wait for displacement through the trigger, then take the FVG or OB retrace inside the HTF level.)
A) Reclaim-and-go LONG (higher-probability if we hold above weekly EQ)
Trigger: 15–60m close above 23,790–23,804, then a controlled retest that holds (wick below, body close back above).
Entry zone: 23,790–23,804 (retest of 4H BISI low / prior close cluster).
Invalidation (stop): Below 23,713 (under the 1H OB mid) or tighter under the swing that forms your 5m/1m FVG entry (your call on risk).
Conservative SL: 23,690–23,705 (below the OB body).
Profit targets:
T1: 23,929 (first buy-side pools / inefficiency fill)
T2: 23,962.75 (PDH)
T3: 24,000 (round-number magnet)
T4 (runner): 24,040–24,080 (upper imbalance)
Trade management: Partial at T1, move stop to BE after M5 market structure shift in your favor or after T1 prints. Keep a runner if displacement expands.
B) Breakdown-and-acceptance SHORT
Trigger: Clean 1H close below 23,713 and a retest rejection (can use a 5m FVG inside 23,713–23,730).
Entry zone: 23,713–23,730 (failed reclaim of 1H OB mid / underside of the 1H BISI).
Invalidation (stop): Above 23,790–23,804 (back inside/above the 4H BISI low and prior closes).
Tighter intraday SL can sit above the 5m swing that breaks down.
Profit targets:
T1: 23,596
T2: 23,501
T3 (optional intraday): 23,440–23,460 (prior 1H demand base, if visible on your feed)
T4 (swing only): 22,684.75 (D1 SIBI high)
Trade management: Take partial at T1, trail above last M5 LHs. If New York lunch compresses, be quick to pay yourself.
Why these are the right spots
23,790–23,804 is a decision box: 4H BISI low + ETH/RTH prior close cluster + weekly EQ. Acceptance above = trend continuation likely; rejection = continuation of the rotation lower.
23,713.50 is the line in the sand intraday: it’s the 50% of your 1H OB and sits just beneath the 1H BISI. Lose it and you’ve removed the nearby bullish sponsor, opening the path to 23,596/23,501.
The lack of downside displacement on the last “new low” keeps a bullish continuation on the table—until we get that decisive 1H break/acceptance below 23,713.
Execution tips
Time-of-day: favor NY AM session for your displacement signal; Monday often ranges → reduce size until one side wins (as you noted).
Trigger discipline: do not anticipate the reclaim/break. Wait for the 15–60m close, then execute on 5m/1m FVG back into the level.
Risk: if trading the same idea across multiple accounts, stagger entries (one at level, one at 50% of the M5 FVG).
Quick reference (levels)
Bullish above: 23,804 → 23,929 → 23,962.75 → 24,000 → 24,040–24,080
Neutral box: 23,790.5 (4H BISI low / weekly EQ) ± a few ticks
Bearish below: 23,713.5 → 23,596 → 23,501 → 22,684.75
NQ - August 22, 2025 - lunchtimePowell's comments at Jackson Hole symposium sent the market soaring.
FUNDAMENTALS : Powell signalled being more concerned about employment and leaned towards the idea that tariff driven inflation wouldn't persist. Result, markets are now pricing in a rate cut for September.
TECHNICALS : If the daily closes above 23,400 its looking good for the bulls.
Good trading :)
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23250.25
- PR Low: 23223.25
- NZ Spread: 60.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 8/22)
- Session Open ATR: 283.49
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -3.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nq & Es Key levels & Scenarios 21-08-2025Good morning everyone,
My overall bias remains bearish, but at the moment we are trading within a discount area. This means that with the market open at 09:30 NY time, we may see potential high-probability long setups, with the main target being the SIBI on the daily chart.
So while the broader bias is to the downside, it is important to also take advantage of short-term moves to the upside, as price may need to rise first before continuing lower.
Wishing you all a successful trading session.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
DG rundown of a trade setup and bottoming processAs always the focus shall be on two timeframes : In the chart above (NQ September contract), the daily TF is on the left and 60M TF on the right. We have inserted manually key weekly and monthly levels (HTF terminations) in order to monitor/confirm a potential bottoming process. This is done automatically with the All-in-one indicator.
The bottoming process is defined as a first close above the upcoming or “live” EBOT. Remember also that a Zone/Area holds when the close is in the Zone/Area. And only then Area 1 needs to become strong support, then Area 2 needs to follow by becoming support.
You can see on the hourly chart how the first candle demonstrated a strong down flow (long range; huge distance between open and close; close almost at extreme).
As we are not at a key HTF area but in between, we do nothing and wait for the close. The hourly will need 2-3 hourly candles closes before confirming a bottoming process (2-3 rule on all timeframes). Price is also far away from the PLdot so we also need to wait for the PLdot to "catch up" with price.
Second hourly candle is also down with good flow, albeit smaller range so potentially first indication of minor change of flow, reaching key terminations (weekly and monthly) and closing below the upcoming EBOT so no bottoming yet.
However, the PLdot is “swinging” downwards which could be interpreted as a first sign of an exhaust. Both of candle 1 and 2 are c-waves down.
Next candle is finding support @ key HTF areas and closes above the upcoming EBOT and stops the c-waves down. This candle also allowed the PLdot to catch up with the price.
This candle goes for the PLdot refresh, first to the live EBOT, then static EBOT then the live PLdot and finally static PLdot which confirms the refresh of new energy that pushes the price to close lower than the static PLdot almost at the place of the live PLdot. Remember how the closes are always important and how the live energy is always most relevant at the end of the time frame – for the hourly candle that would be in the last 30-15 minutes before the candle closes. So, a first safe entry would be LONG at the close of this candle. The conservative stop loss could be the static EBOT while another option would be the live EBOT.
A more aggressive entry would be to go down to the 5 minutes timeframe and monitor around the HTF terminations the flow there and notice the spot where the c-waves stop (yellow box). Stop loss would be the blue line in this case.
The fourth candle is a congestion entrance candle that provide a target of two PLdots back around 23362 which aligns with the daily static EBOT. This would be the target for the trade.
The fourth candle closes below the ETOP so no c-waves yet, and the candle afterwards manages to close above the PLdot, still confirming the trend and finally
the fifth candle starts a c-wave, hits the planned target
Duration in trade - 4h (four candles after entry).
What is next:
We are in a daily PLdot refresh coming from the static EBOT. Either the refresh fails to break static EBOT and the daily down c-wave continues. The 60 minutes needs to start up c-waves in this area in order to confirm up-flow, otherwise the daily needs to have the 2-3 candles (2-3 days) to confirm bottoming. Daily is still in a c-wave down. As you can see, the daily needs to go through exactly what the hourly did in this example in order to start its bottoming process.
You can use this on any timeframe, monitor and learn.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23342.50
- PR Low: 23313.25
- NZ Spread: 65.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing PMI
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/21)
- Session Open ATR: 289.20
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone