E mini Nasdaq 100. NYSE. 20.08.2025, WednesdayCME_MINI:NQU2025
Outlined the daily Institutional Order flow. And the Market Efficiency Paradigm
NQQ1! trade ideas
DG Rundown on NQ Trade – Key Points to RememberTip 1: Focus on Two Timeframes
Prefer swing trading. Zoom out. Use weekly as your focal timeframe and daily to understand what the weekly is doing in terms of strength, support, and resistance.
In the chart above (NQ September contract), the weekly is on the left and daily on the right .
We start with last week’s analysis by answering:
1. Where is price?
The weekly candle closed in Area 5 , below the upcoming EBOT . Closes are key in DG.
2. What is it doing?
(Is there a weekly/monthly top/bottom? How many days are left? What’s the envelope direction? Is PLdot swinging? Is flow shifting? Is it entering congestion, continuing a trend, or exhausting?)
Price had been in a c-wave for the last two weeks, closing above ETOP.
First August candle showed strong upward flow : wide range, close at the extreme, PLdot slope increasing, and opposite to July’s down candle.
That August candle negated July’s down flow and was confirmed by the second August candle.
This flow also reshaped the channel structure .
Tip 2: Structure Holds When No Lower TF C-Waves Start
When a candle closes in Area 5, exhaust zone, or higher, the next candle often treats that zone as support instead of resistance. That’s what happened with the s econd August candle – it found support and pushed higher.
However, that same candle closed below the upcoming ETOP , which is a key warning.
Tip 3: A Zone Holds When the Close Is in the Zone
Price attempted to push above Zone 5 but was rejected, closing back in Area 5. That meant Area 5 was holding and flipping downwards .
Flow also shifted: smaller range, closer open/close, no close at extremes.
In DG, a topping pattern unfolds in 3 steps (3 candles on weekly):
Touch exhaust upper limit + close in exhaust
Bounce from ETOP but no exhaust close
Reject from Area 5 + close below upcoming ETOP
By this definition, NQ’s weekly chart may be in a topping process, with ETOP now likely acting as strong resistance.
3.What’s Next?
We could expect a rollover to the downside at least for a PLdot refresh .
Daily Price Action
Friday’s candle = Congestion entrance with a projected target ~23,722 (2–3 Pldots back).
Monday’s candle hit that target but failed at the daily PLdot.
Tuesday’s candle touched the daily static PLdot again and confirmed the downward flow → a daily c-wave down.
Daily action confirms that for the weekly to top, the daily must print c-waves down – and that’s what we’re seeing.
Tip 5: 60-Minute C-Waves Are Key for Flow
Flow shifts usually start on lower TFs, but 60m is the most reliable.
On the hourly, the down flow slowed at the weekly static PLdot.
Confirmation came when 60m candles failed to close above ETOP – meaning the flow was still down.
The 2–3 candle rule for topping/bottoming applies to all timeframes.
Tip 6: LTF C-Waves Can Break HTF Terminations
When a higher timeframe level (PLdot, ETOP, EBOT) breaks, velocity increases and candle ranges expand.
Here, 60m c-waves broke the weekly PLdot, driving price lower into the weekly EBOT area.
What’s Next? (Scenarios)
Bottoming begins only when:
Area 1 (Exhaust) becomes strong support,
Then Area 2 becomes strong support.
This usually triggers only a PLdot refresh , which may occur at EBOT, live PLdot, or static PLdot.
If the refresh fails to break static EBOT, the down c-wave continues.
If daily channel bottom acts as resistance, 60m must first exhaust and re-enter its channel before a retrace or further breakdown.
What happens after the PLdot refresh is decisive for the next move (“definition of done”).
Entry idea:
When 60m looks like it’s bottoming at a key daily area → drop to 15m/5m for entries.
Time Element – Crucial for Execution
Big moves tend to align with time-of-bar closes:
1H → last 30–15 minutes
15m → last 2 minutes
5m → last 1 minute
Daily → last few hours
Weekly → Friday afternoon
Avoid arbitrary entries. Be systematic: flow + time + structure = higher probability trades.
NQ - If you're curious to where Nasdaq is going todayNot much to babble.
This is my intraday Chart.
TGT at the Centerline...where else? §8-)
Trade save. NO FOMO!!!
Nq ShortAfter taking a short position with the target I previously shared, I am now looking for a potential long opportunity — applying a scalping approach on Nasdaq.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
NQ Long IdeaI am not a Indices guy this is my Idea for NQ/ES We have retraced to discounted levels and OTE levels with Premium Array
NQ short After yesterdays big move lower into the US open driven by under performing mega cap stock and possible profit taking ahead of Jackson Hole later this week, we've broken through the previous uptrends confirmed higher low and have left behind some nice levels to retrace back into.
Well confirmed hourly trendline
Low volume area and previous support turned resistance
Fibonacci retracement 50-61.8%
Lower timeframe entry/trigger (TBC)
This trade would need to be taken with caution and fairly strict in-trade management as price has entered a slightly higher TF fib retracement against the trade direction
Would only be looking to enter the trade if a clear entry point is provided and broken. This could be the break of a counter trendline or preferably the breakout of a 5min higher low and a retest of a short term fib retracement
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23485.50
- PR Low: 23450.00
- NZ Spread: 79.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 8/20)
- Session Open ATR: 282.07
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
19 August 2025Clean shorts presented several times today.
Same inversion FVGs.
For the first time I took 1h inversion short.
Need to focus on leaving the trades alone.
NQ 4H Bounce off the 200EMAI trade time based LQ primarily so the idea is pretty self explanatory. Hit me up if you want to talk about it
NQ: 237th trading session - recapNo scalp today either. I'm starting to worry again due to lack of trades. Some months I don't even trade at all, which is NOT GOOD.
I need to do something about that...
$MNQ - 08/19/2025H4 Close Below > Bearish
M15 -FVG > Bearish
M5 IFVG > Bearish
M1 FVG Entry > Bearish
Time > H4 10 AM Open
Future Analysis Nas & Dow 08/18/25Hey there ✌
Until now, I was mainly known among German-speaking traders, as I have been conducting my swing trades in Nasdaq futures (performance +110%, win rate 60%, average RR 2.83 in 42 trades) for about 7 months and my swing trades in Dow Jones futures (performance +103%, win rate 53%, average RR 6.58 in 19 trades) here at TV in an open, transparent manner and in advance.
For my analyses, I use a unique approach in which I embed price action and volume into a market mechanical structure to determine where institutional trading is most likely to have its average positions. I trade four different zones:
PDZ (Priority-Demand): Long-Level
PSZ (Priority-Supply): Short-Level
PDBZ (Priority-Demand-Break): Short-Level
PSBZ (Priority-Supply-Break): Long-Level
My approach only works when I have a crystal-clear market structure. I don't trade in ranges because I lack a clear market structure or market trend. True to the motto “It's better not to trade than to trade badly,” I only made 42 trades on the Nasdaq in seven months and 19 trades on the Dow in four months.
I also use the zones presented here as key levels for my intraday trading.
I love talking about the markets and exchanging ideas with other traders of all levels, and I know that there are many different approaches to successful trading. That's why I want to bring a little more positivity to the toxic trading industry, where everyone always thinks that only their own way works. So feel free to comment and ask me questions 🙌🙌
------------------------------------------------------------------
Performance Nasdaq (NQ/MNQ)
Total number of trades: 42
Starting Balance: $15'000.00
Net Gain/Loss: $16'531.74 (110.21%)
Balance: $31.531.74
Win: 59.52%
Average winning trade: $870.76
Average losing trade: -$308.07
------------------------------------------------------------------
Performance Dow Jones (YM/MYM)
Total number of trades: 19
Starting Balance: $5'000.00
Net Gain/Loss: $5'180.42103.61%)
Balance: $10'180.42
Win: 52.63%
Average winning trade: $600..13
Average losing trade: -$91.21
-------------------------------------------------------------------
You can find detailed journals of all trades from the two portfolios shown here, including links to the respective trade recommendations/analyses, in the link in my bio.
Nq & Es Key Levels 19-08-2025Good Morning everyone.
Looking at the charts today, we notice that the situation has not changed much compared to yesterday—we are still trading around the same levels. This means that directional bias remains unclear, making it important to see how the market opens at 09:30 in order to reassess.
We are currently in a zone where price could either rise sharply before falling, or drop first and then recover. Therefore, after the market opens:
If price moves down, I will look for long opportunities.
If price moves up into the key levels I have marked on the chart, I will look for short setups.
Things may become clearer after 10:00, where higher-probability setups could form.
At the moment, we are trading within a premium zone, which naturally favors short positions. However, caution is required as market conditions can shift quickly during the session.
On the chart, I’ve highlighted the sensitive key levels I’m watching.
I wish you all good and disciplined trading.
Breakout on NQNasdaq seem to be ready to break in either direction.
With the hourly counter trend failing to reach the lower end of the channel indicating a possible lack in bearish momentum.
Or a solid support level put in place with price creating lower highs (Descending triangle) to break lower.
FED talks towards the end of the week will likely be the deciding factor on which direction and the trigger to enter in either direction.
There are two main events this week for the FED: FOMC minutes on Wednesday and the Jackson Hole symposium from Thursday to Saturday with Jerome Powell speaking on Friday afternoon.
We'll be looking for Hawkish commentary to support higher rates for longer amid slightly elevated inflation and continued uncertainty around tariff implications. US equities down
Or further confirmation that the FED in ready to commit to a more dovish monetary policy stance. The recent FED meeting saw two committee members voting for a rate cut, against the majority and market are starting to pice in 3 cuts by year end amid a weaker labour market. US equities up
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/19/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23838.00
- PR Low: 23792.25
- NZ Spread: 102.25
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 8/19)
- Session Open ATR: 269.98
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 293K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Futures Daily Plan – August 19, 2025NQ Futures Daily Plan – August 19, 2025
NQ remains in a 3-day balance structure ahead of tomorrow’s housing data (8:30 ET) and this week’s Fed Symposium. Price continues to rotate inside balance, with 23,827 acting as the bull/bear pivot.
Key Levels:
• 🔼 23,980–24,000 → Breakout trigger
• 🔼 23,900–23,940 → Upside acceptance zone
• ⚖️ 23,827 → Line in the sand
• 🔽 23,760–23,770 → Weekly pivot support
• 🔽 23,742.50 → 3-day balance low
• 🔽 23,700 → Downside target if balance fails
Plan:
• Range trade between 23,770–23,940 = scalping zone.
• Break above 23,940 = target 24,000.
• Break below 23,742.50 = target 23,700.
Do you really know what these Strategy Properties checkboxes do Hi everyone,
I'm a Pine script developer and i’ve noticed that many people don’t fully understand what the checkboxes in the **Strategy Properties** section of TradingView actually do. So I’d like to quickly explain them with practical examples:
1. After Order is Filled
Recalculates as soon as an order is opened or closed.
For example, if you have a condition like “move stop-loss to entry after partial TP,” this allows it to update within the same candle. Without it, it only updates at candle close.
Also, if you want to receive **intra-bar alerts**, you must enable this.
2. On Every Tick
As the name suggests, it recalculates on every price movement.
Sounds great, but if your strategy isn’t coded properly, you might see multiple entries for a single signal.
Not recommended in most cases.
3. Using Bar Magnifier
Updates using lower timeframes instead of just the current chart’s timeframe.
Example: when checking past trades, sometimes price touches both TP and SL within the same candle — how do you know which triggered first? With this enabled, the strategy tester knows.
I recommend it, but only if your strategy is coded correctly; otherwise, you might see unrealistic entries before candle close.
4. On Bar Close
Executes trades strictly at candle closes, using the candle’s closing price.
If not enabled, orders are executed at the **open of the next bar** instead.
5. Using Standard OHLC
For charts like Heikin Ashi or Renko (which don’t use real prices), this option ensures more realistic backtests by using actual OHLC values.
If you don’t enable it, your backtest results will be misleading. Definitely use it.
My suggestion:
- Always keep After Order is Filled and Using Standard OHLC enabled.
- If your past trades look clean (no strange early entries), also use Bar Magnifier for more accurate results.
Thanks for reading, stay safe out there!
18 AUGUST 20253 Trades today. I was not looking to take any trades today because of no news and price is very choppy on a no news day. However, few very clean setups were present on LTF.
SMT
1h FVG
Inversion
NQ: 236th trading session - recapGood session - usually mondays are boring ash, but twith the times & sales event it really made a difference. Too bad prica action was sloppy
MNQ (Micro Nasdaq 100 Futures) Trade Setup – 3H TimeframeMNQ: Likely Retest of Nearest Support in Uptrend with Rebound Toward All-Time High
MNQ has been in a sustained uptrend since August 4, 2025, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows supported by constant positive volume inflow. On August 12, price broke above both the 23,800 resistance zone and the 23,848 all-time high following major news, with the breakout supported by strong buying volume.
The 3-hour chart shows that after the breakout, momentum has slowed and positive volume has gradually declined. A sharp spike in negative volume on August 13 suggests selling activity near the new high zone, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward the 23,800 area—a strong liquidity level and former resistance now acting as support.
Illustrative Setup: A Buy Limit order at 23,820 positions the entry near the top of the 23,800 support zone, aiming to capture a rebound in line with the prevailing uptrend. A Stop Loss at 23,730 sits just below the support level, providing a clear invalidation point. The Take Profit target at 24,040 is set near the August 13 new all-time high (24,069), offering a favorable 2.44:1 reward-risk ratio.
Key considerations: The combination of an intact uptrend, a well-defined, strategic support zone, and the potential for a technical retest creates a bullish setup with multiple confirmations. However, given the proximity to all-time highs, traders should watch for volatility and / or potential consolidation before any new significant move takes place. Monitoring intraday volume dynamics can provide additional confirmation before entry.
This analysis is provided solely for educational and entertainment purposes and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Nq & Es Analysis 18-08-2025Good evening everyone, I’m back to share some key levels and potential scenarios for NASDAQ and S&P.
We notice that price has recently made a small pullback after last week’s reaction at the all-time highs (ATHs). At the moment, there are multiple levels where price could react, and we are positioned in a very critical zone.
I have no directional bias for today. The best approach is to wait for confirmation of what the market is actually trying to show us, and observe how the opening session develops. This will help us better understand how to use the key levels I have highlighted on the chart.
⚖️ Remember:
In premium zones, we look for short setups.
In discount zones, we look for long setups.
For today, I am simply observing without giving any specific scenario. Trade carefully and I wish you all a successful session.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23853.50
- PR Low: 23795.00
- NZ Spread: 131.0
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/18)
- Session Open ATR: 277.67
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 291K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
