Gold Week Opens Inside Daily FVG — Will We Drop Into the Weekly New week, and Gold opened inside last week’s Daily FVG, which was fully rebalanced.
No confirmation yet that this zone will act as support. The larger unmitigated Weekly FVG below may still be the draw on liquidity before any bullish move develops.
Plan for tonight:
Let Asia define the range
Watch for a sweep during London
Bearish continuation is favored if we break today’s open level (4174.9)
Bullish only if Asia low → sweep → displacement → retrace
Levels marked.
Patience. Let the algo show its hand.
#Futures #GC #Gold #FVG #ICT #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
Trade ideas
Gold Futures (GC1!) – Key Breakdown Holding, Equal Lows in Sight
Gold is currently trading below a major intraday level (4,110–4,115) after a clean breakdown and rejection on the retest. That failed reclaim confirms this zone as new resistance, shifting the near-term structure bearish.
Price is now sitting underneath a multi-touch level, and the market has a very obvious draw:
the equal lows resting just below the 4,020 → 4,000 range.
Market Structure
Lower high formed after the sharp selloff
Clear break in structure
Retest of resistance was rejected
Momentum continues to favor downside
Liquidity Outlook
There’s a cluster of untapped liquidity sitting beneath recent lows. Gold often sweeps these “equal lows” before making a meaningful move.
Targets below include:
4,020 → 4,000 liquidity sweep
3,975 intermediate reaction zone
3,902 (higher-timeframe demand + major resting liquidity)
As long as price remains below 4,110–4,115, the downside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario.
Invalidation
The bearish idea is invalidated only if gold reclaims 4,115 with strength.
A clean break and hold above that level opens the door back into:
4,183
4,209
4,225
…where unfilled imbalance sits overhead.
Bias
Short-term bearish until equal lows are taken.
Looking for continuation into the liquidity pool below before any meaningful bounce.
Long Gold, Read description is a must Yeah, I’ll be honest , this one’s a bit of a forced setup. It’s not really my usual day trading style, and it doesn’t fully align with my playbook, but I still see potential in Gold here. I’ve been tracking the consolidation after that last leg down, and we finally got a breakout to the upside.
My broader view hasn’t changed though , I’m expecting a deeper correction once price taps that black line. If we get a retrace into the yellow box, that’s where I’d start looking for a long setup. But if price skips the retrace and tags the black line straight away, I’m sitting on my hands , that zone is a key decision point, and patience will pay off there. Once we confirm that the price is heading down, then we ride that wave down, if it happens.
GOLD: The Daily and Weekly +FVGs Hold The Key! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 17-21st.
Gold is still strong, but struggled to move higher last week. It is currently inside a bullish FVG, and this would be the key PD Array to watch. If the market shows respect to the +FVG, then expect higher prices. If it fails, and we see the market close below it on a daily close basis, buys should be avoided until the Weekly +FVG is reached.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SELL OPPORTUNITY1. On Green level take Entry1 for sell on selling engulf candle.
2. or entry 2 on 2nd green level on selling engulfing.
3. Tp 1000 pips till lower green level.
How a Single Put Spread Predicted Gold’s BreakdownSo, gold has broken below the previous bearish zone — meaning we now have a bearish sentiment in play (at least according to my classification).
Now, regarding options flow:
On the chart, I’ve highlighted those lucky (or rather, well-informed) players who entered with a Put Spread — just before the correction started.
Perfect timing.
Their ideal target?
$3,950 — to be reached within 8 days, right around expiry.
Or at least close enough for maximum profit.
p.s. Just to be clear:
We are not teaching options trading as such — even though much of my methodology is built on options market data.
What we are doing is showing you how to read the option sentiment and use that insight to trade more effectively on the markets you already know — like spot Forex.
It’s about understanding why price moves — before it does.
We believe that trading without using options sentiment analysis is similar to fishing with a fishing rod🤦🏻♂️ on the shore while your neighbor has arrived at the river with a sonar on a boat.
We are on that boat, and we want to help you make better trading decision.💰
Gold Buys for Next WeekAfter the mid-October sell-off, Gold entered a period of consolidation lasting more than a week. Price showed clear indecision during this phase. Buyers were convinced the correction had run its course, while sellers continued to push for a deeper move down.
Once the U.S. government reopened, the bullish continuation many traders anticipated finally came through.
Following this minor pullback, I want to see buyers step back in and drive price higher, ideally making a move to retest the previous all-time highs.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry — Micro Gold Futures (MGC1!)
Date: 12th Oct 25
Time: 12:00 PM
Session: LDN → NY AM
Direction: Buyside Trade
Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3978.8
TP: 4290 (+8.06%)
SL: 3924.9 (–1.31%)
RR: 6.15
📌 Technical Narrative
Price formed a macro liquidity sweep, followed by CHOCH and BOS confirming a bullish reversal. A clean inducement below the 4050 zone fueled displacement upward through multiple FVGs, each of which held as re-entry zones. The trade was taken from a discount retracement aligned with the 0.382 and 0.61 fib levels, supported by stacked FVGs and KAMA MA trend alignment.
🔹Model: FVG → Inducement → BOS → Re-entry
Liquidity swept - Price immediately shifted into displacement
Accumulation & Inducement Zone - Between Oct 28 → Nov 5, price carved:
Slow accumulation structure
Multiple small FVGs (stacked)
A clean inducement low at 4050-zone
Equal lows resting near 4084 PD-array
Displacement Leg (Current Move Up) Price breaks:
BOS @ 4148.7 and holds above: 0.382 retracement @ 4140
0.618 retracement @ 4229.
Multiple micro FVGs (confirmed by fills)
📌Market Sentiment Narrative
Gold currently trades in an environment of: Fed dovish shift, Geopolitical uncertainty
Commodity demand rotational flows, Liquidity flight from risk-on assets. This supports a buyside continuation toward HTF premium zones.
Analysis on Gold THBDear all
- currently, no clear direction
- if cannot pass 66000 = open short cut new high
- if 60000 broken down => at least 57000
- if 57000 cannot hold => 51-53k
not a buying time, wait and see or tp only.
not a financial advise, make your own decision and manage your own risk.
plan for MondayScenario 1 – Most Likely
🔻 Price continues drifting down toward 4000–4010 demand
→ Bounce expected here.
Scenario 2
🔺 Price retraces up into 4135–4140 breaker block, rejects, and then drops
→ Very clean short setup.
Scenario 3
🔺 Strong rally into 4205–4215 supply
→ High-probability short zone.
🎯 Summary: Best & Most Accurate Zone
📌 Best Bullish Zone:
➡ 4000–4010 Demand
📌 Best Bearish Zone:
➡ 4135–4140 Breaker Block
📌 Strongest Overall Zone:
➡ 4205–4215 Supply
**“Friday Play: Watching GC for a potential continuation lowerAfter the 4240 liquidity clear. Today’s open (4174.9) is my decision point.
Two scenarios I’m stalking:
1️⃣ Break & retest below 4174 → downside continuation into the H4 bullish FVG (4060–4090).
2️⃣ Sweep above 4200–4215 → rejection → short from premium pricing.
Friday loves completing unfinished business — but only if orderflow confirms. Patience first.”**
GOLD Near Levels of Interest and Buyer Aggession. Another Rally?Gold is near key levels where buyers aggression has been seen in the past. Another rally brewing in GOLD?
Recently US Govenrment reopening has raised chances of interest rate cuts in December which can boost Gold prices further. All eyes on key US data points coming around 2200-2300 IST
Follow me for more such updates
XAUUSD UPDATE : BREACH 4149.78hi again
Market Analysis
From the previous chart, the price successfully broke above 4149.78. At the current level, the next resistance is identified at 4279.23, while key support is around 4124.81.
Trade Plan
Sell Setup:
Look for rejection at 4279.23 combined with bearish price action confirmation at that resistance level.
Buy Setup:
Look for rejection at 4124.81 combined with bullish price action confirmation at that support level
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Gold Confirmed Bullish BiasFenzoFx—Gold is bullish again, confirmed by engulfing above the $4,175.00 resistance. As of this writing, XAU/USD trades inside the bearish fair value gap, testing the $4,230.00 resistance.
Last day, Gold did not dip below $4,103.00 (the bullish FVG) for liquidity. This indicates a strong bullish market. However, going long at the current price is risky because the price has surged already. The ideal level for joining the bull market would be around $4,146.00, which is in conjunction with daily highs and the October 23 and 24 close. This area should provide decent support for Gold.
In the bullish scenario, we expect Gold to form a double top at all-time highs by targeting $4,398.00.
GOLD: Look For Bullish Breakout From The +FVGIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 10-14th.
Gold has been consolidating in a +FVG since last week... and it is still holding! Wait for price to break the high of the consolidation and then look for long setups.
Be mindful that price may sweep the sell side LQ before it moves higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Testing H4 Supply – Eyes on Retrace SetupAfter a clean bullish expansion last week, Gold is now testing a 4H bearish FVG around 4,200–4,240. Price is currently holding below the day’s open (4,203), suggesting potential short-term weakness.
If we stay below 4,203, I’ll look for a corrective move toward the 4H bullish FVG just below the previous day’s low (around 4,060–4,090).
Above 4,220, the bullish continuation remains valid.
Currently in observation mode — waiting for intraday confirmation before engaging any short bias.
Caught between a Volume Imbalance and 2 FVGsI’m looking at the bullish volume imbalance that is overlapping a bearish fair value gap. Price just made a bullish run leaving a bullish fvg behind. I think we drop out of this fvg and vi and head back down towards the bullish fvg around 4050.
I’m guessing we go back to around 4050 over the next couple days.
GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish, primarily driven by central bank accumulation. Since 2023, global central banks led by China have been purchasing gold aggressively, creating a durable demand base. With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, I think risk assets like GOLD could outperform as the USD (DXY) weakens. This macro setup continues to support a long term bullish narrative.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has been retracing since October 20, which I think was a healthy correction following a strong expansion. As mentioned in my previous GOLD outlook, price appeared to be retesting the Weekly Value Gap and accumulating within that zone. In my opinion, this accumulation phase seems to have ended, and the market looks ready to continue higher.
📌 Game Plan - Prediction
Price has broken out of the accumulation zone and started expanding upward. I plan to enter after a retest near the key zone around $4060. It may dip toward $4027, which I consider a discount zone. I intend to scale in between $4060 and $3950, with invalidation if the daily candle closes below $3900.
💬 Follow my Substack profile for detailed insights and extended analysis.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.






















